NBA DraftKings & FanDuel DFS Primer: Wednesday (3/30)
The last week has been fantastic for yours truly. I really have a good read on these tanking teams, and that Portland-Oklahoma City matchup on Monday carried me to a nice payday. We’re going to look to build off that momentum here, so let’s get started!
After just five games on Tuesday, we’re looking at a full 11-game card here. That means almost every team is in action, and it’s left us with one of our most extensive injury reports since the COVID protocols days. There are more teams resting players than ever before, and it’s going to be critical for you to keep an eye on news closer to tip!
Schedule and Odds
- DAL at CLE (DAL -4.5) O/U: 214
- DEN at IND (DEN -10) O/U: 232.5
- ORL at WAS (WAS -3.5) O/U: 221
- MIA at BOS (BOS -4.5) O/U: 214.5
- CHA at NYK (CHA -2) O/U: 225
- MIN at TOR (TOR -3) O/U: 230
- SAC at HOU (SAC -2) O/U: 232.5
- ATL at OKC (ATL -12) O/U: 229
- MEM at SAS (MEM -6) O/U: 233
- PHX at GSW (PHX -6) O/U: 225
- NOP at POR (NOP -12.5) O/U: 229
- Jarrett Allen (finger) OUT
- Evan Mobley (ankle) Questionable
- Jamal Murray (knee) OUT
- Michael Porter Jr.(back) OUT
- Malcolm Brogdon (tanking) OUT
- Myles Turner (foot) OUT
- Isaiah Jackson (head) Questionable
- Bradley Beal (wrist) OUT
- Kyle Kuzma (knee) Questionable
- Jayson Tatum (knee) Questionable
- Al Horford (personal) Questionable
- Robert Williams (knee) OUT
- Gordon Hayward (ankle) OUT
- Derrick Rose (ankle) OUT
- Mitchell Robinson (foot) Questionable
- Kemba Walker (excised) OUT
- De’Aaron Fox (hand) OUT
- Domantas Sabonis (knee) OUT
- Christian Wood (hamstring) Questionable
- Alperen Sengun (hand) Questionable
- De’Andre Hunter (knee) Questionable
- John Collins (foot) OUT
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (tanking) OUT
- Luguentz Dort (shoulder) OUT
- Josh Giddey (hip) OUT
- Darius Bazley (leg) OUT
- Ja Morant (knee) OUT
- Jaren Jackson Jr.(legs) Questionable
- Cameron Johnson (quad) OUT
- Stephen Curry (ankle) OUT
- Zion Williamson (foot) OUT
- Damian Lillard (abs) OUT
- Anfernee Simons (quad) OUT
- Jusuf Nurkic (foot) OUT
- Josh Hart (knee) OUT
Pascal Siakam (PF/C – TOR): $9,600 DraftKings, $9,500 FanDuel
Sia hasn’t been talked about as one of the best fantasy assets, but he’s been just that. He’s scored at least 34 DK points in all but five games over the last three months, averaging nearly 50 DraftKings points per game in that span. He’s been even better recently, scoring at least 44 fantasy points in eight of his last 10 games. That should continue against a Minnesota team that ranks 20th in total defense while playing at the fastest pace in the NBA.
Tyus Jones (PG – MEM): $5,700 DraftKings, $5,800 FanDuel
Jones has now made 20 starts for Ja Morant this season, and he’s been brilliant in this expanded role. He’s averaging 29 DK points per game, despite many of those being blowouts in Memphis’ favor. That makes him a heck of a value south of $6,000, especially with San Antonio surrendering the third-most fantasy point to opposing point guards. In addition, the Spurs sit third in pace and 24th in points allowed.
Kevin Porter Jr. (PG – HOU): $7,000 DraftKings, $7,200 FanDuel
Porter is really coming into his own. He’s scored at least 26 DK points in 23 of his last 28 games, averaging 32 DraftKings points per game in that span. He’s actually coming off a 53-point gem in his most recent outing, and he should continue to do more with Christian Wood likely missing this game. The matchup with Sacramento is sensational, too, with the Kings ranked 29th in points allowed and 28th in defensive efficiency.
Cash Game Considerations
Nikola Jokic (C – DEN): $12,400 DraftKings, $11,400 FanDuel
Jokic is always the best play on every slate. It feels silly to say that, but we’re talking about a guy who’s scored at least 41 DraftKings points in all but one game this season. That’s led to his absurd 61-point average, carrying this Denver offense in the absence of Murray and MPJ. Not to mention, Indiana ranks 25th in points allowed and 27th in defensive efficiency.
Theo Maledon (PG – OKC): $5,700 DraftKings, $6,300 FanDuel
To say OKC’s rotation is dismantled would be an understatement. They’re missing their four-best players, leaving Maledon with the starting point guard job. That’s led to Theo tallying at least 34 DK points in three straight games, generating a 40-point average in that stretch. That’s absurd from such an affordable player, and it should continue against a 26th-ranked Hawks defense.
Davion Mitchell (PG – SAC): $7,600 DraftKings, $7,000 FanDuel
This price is getting up there, but Mitchell has earned it. He’s been asked to take over this offense in the absence of Fox and Sabonis, scoring at least 38 DraftKings points in four straight fixtures. The best part of this is the matchup, though, with Houston ranked last in points allowed and defensive efficiency while playing at the second-fastest pace in the NBA.
Kevin Love (PF/C – CLE): $6,900 DraftKings, $5,300 FanDuel
Love can be tough to trust because of his volatile workload, but he has to play 30 minutes here. Cleveland was already missing Jarrett Allen, but it looks like Evan Mobley and Dean Wade could sit here as well. Love is averaging 28 DK points per game across 22 minutes a night this season, so imagine how that could look if he plays the 30-35 minutes he might have to in an increased role!
P.J. Washington (PF/C – CHA): $5,300 DraftKings, $4,900 FanDuel
Washington is another guy who always performs when given the minutes. The big man has played at least 26 minutes in 17 of his last 18 games, averaging nearly 30 DK points per game in that span. Good luck finding that from another $5,000 player, especially one as talented as this. The matchup with New York isn’t too shabby either, with the Knicks surrendering the eighth-most fantasy points to opposing big men this season.
Clint Capela (C – ATL): $6,500 DraftKings, $5,900 FanDuel
Cap is the epitome of a GPP play. We never know when he will go off, but it’s more likely when John Collins is sidelined. That’s the case now, with Capela scoring at least 41 fantasy points in back-to-back games. That’s the $8K stud we saw last season, and he should duplicate that ridiculous form against an Oklahoma City team that might have the worst frontcourt in the NBA.
Alec Burks (PG – NYK): $6,200 DraftKings, $6,400 FanDuel
Why does this guy not get more credit? Burks has been starting at point guard for over a month now, taking over in the absence of Rose and Walker. He’s playing 35 minutes a night in this role, averaging 29 DK points per game. His numbers have been on the rise recently, scoring at least 33 DK points in four of his last five outings. We love all of that against the Hornets, with Charlotte sitting fifth in pace and 27th in points allowed. In their three matchups this season, AB is averaging 29.3 DK points per game.
Isaiah Roby (PF/C – OKC): $6,200 DraftKings, $7,000 FanDuel
It’s laughable how many players OKC has out right now, but it will force Roby into a 35-minute role. He did just that on Monday, collecting 55 DraftKings points across 38 minutes of action. We don’t expect 55 fantasy points every night, but he’s shown the ability to be an $8K player when given this sort of role. Not to mention, the Hawks rank 26th in total defense.
Keon Johnson (SG/SF – POR): $4,700 DraftKings, $3,900 FanDuel
Portland is another team that’s been obliterated by injuries and roster changes. It’s left them with a bunch of nobodies, with KJ looking like one of their best options. That’s allowed him to play 74 combined minutes over the last two games, accruing 56 fantasy points. If you get 25-30 DK points out of a sub-$5K player, you’re way ahead of the pack!
- Kevin Love (PF/C – CLE): $6,900 DraftKings, $5,300 FanDuel
- D’Angelo Russell (PG/SG – MIN): $6,600 DraftKings, $5,500 FanDuel
- Tyrese Haliburton (PG – IND): $9,700 DraftKings, $7,600 FanDuel
- Fred VanVleet (PG/SG – TOR): $8,700 DraftKings, $7,400 FanDuel
- Brandon Ingram (SF – NOP): $7,300 DraftKings, $8,800 FanDuel
- Andrew Wiggins (SF – GSW): $6,800 DraftKings, $5,500 FanDuel
- Julius Randle (PF/C – NYK): $9,300 DraftKings, $7,800 FanDuel