Fantasy Football Player Notes

Last week, the Bears ran the ball down the Eagles' throats with success and hid their young quarterback. I could see Ben Johnson deploying a similar attack plan this week. Last week, Swift played 52.9% of the snaps with a 47.5% route share. He had one of five red zone rushing attempts and finished with 19 touches and 138 total yards. Overall, he his the RB13 in fantasy points per game. Among 55 qualifying backs, Swift ranks eighth in explosive run rate and 16th in missed tackle rate. Since Week 9, Green Bay's run defense has displayed some give, ranking 15th in explosive run rate while allowing the 11th-most rushing yards per game and the 14th-highest yards before contact per attempt.

Last week, Ben Johnson leaned on the ground game to help protect Caleb Williams. I think Chicago should and will deploy a similar attack plan against Green Bay. Last week, Monangai finished with 22 carries and 130 rushing yards as the RB8 for the week. He had four of five running back red zone rushing attempts while playing 44.7% of the snaps with a 22.5% route share (zero targets). Among 55 qualifying backs, Monangai ranks 11th in yards after contact per attempt and 16th in explosive run rate. Since Week 9, Green Bay's run defense has displayed some give, ranking 15th in explosive run rate while allowing the 11th-most rushing yards per game and the 14th-highest yards before contact per attempt.

DJ Moore has had a quiet season as the WR43 in fantasy points per game, with only two top 24 weekly finishes. In the last four games, he has finished as the WR68 in weekly scoring or lower three times. Moore has a 14.9% target share with 41.8 receiving yards per game, 1.41 yards per route run, and a 16.9% first-read share. He has seven red zone targets and 11 deep targets. Moore is best left on the bench this week. Since Week 9, Green Bay has allowed the ninth-fewest fantasy points per game and the 12th-fewest receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.

Since Week 10, Luther Burden has had a 51.6% route share, a 13.7% target share with 39.3 receiving yards per game, 1.96 yards per route run, and a  19.5% first-read share. In those four games, he has zero high-leverage usage with no red zone or deep targets. With Rome Odunze out this week, I expect Burden to shift outside opposite DJ Moore as Olamide Zaccheaus becomes the full-time starting slot. Burden will have a tough assignment on the perimeter this week. Since Week 9, Green Bay has allowed the ninth-fewest fantasy points per game and the 12th-fewest receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.

Since Week 10, Loveland has had one TE1 weekly finish (TE3). During his last four games, Loveland has had a 54.8% route share with a 13.7% target share, 43 receiving yards per game, 2.02 yards per route run, and a 14.9% first-read share. In those four games, he has had two red zone targets and zero deep targets. Green Bay has held tight ends to the seventh-fewest receiving yards per game and the 11th-fewest fantasy points per game. Loveland is a streaming option best left on the bench this week.