We have 15 games to work with tonight and offensive value galore. Unfortunately, we don’t get any true aces, but there is one pitcher who stands out from the rest. Don’t try to get cute in cash games, Rich Hill and the Dodgers are -330 tonight at home against the Padres. We’ve already put together two lineups that went for at least 170 this week so let’s see if we can keep the streak going.
Likely delay in SF @ WAS with chance of delay
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Pitcher
Rich Hill (LAD): $9,300 vs SDP
Jimmy Nelson and Carlos Carrasco are startable in cash games as well, but Hill blows them out of the water with his -330 line and ridiculous 2.62 implied opponent total. He has been among the best handful of pitchers in baseball over the last 50 innings and is a good bet to strike out 7+ and pick up both the win and quality start tonight.
Catcher
Alex Avila (CHC): $2,300 @ ARI
Catcher is a disaster tonight in terms of depth, but Avila and his price are golden. Yes, he has been abysmal over the past month, but he is still leading all of baseball in hard hit percentage, is top 10 in exit velocity and top 15 in line drive percentage. The fact that we get him for so cheap, in a terrific ballpark and in a great split is just too good to pass up.
First Base
Eric Thames (MIL): $2,700 vs CIN
Thames has obliterated the Reds this season and will be batting 2nd, between Domingo Santana and Ryan Bruan at home tonight against of the worst pitchers in baseball, Homer Bailey, who gives up more than his fair share of homers.
Second Base
Robinson Cano (SEA): $3,700 vs LAA
Ricky Nolasco has already given up 28 homers in just 129 innings pitched this season. Tonight, Vegas has the Mariners at 4.87 implied runs scored against Nolasco, and Cano will be batting 3rd, surrounded by some great hitters that will give him plentiful RBI and run opportunities.
Third Base
Jake Lamb (ARI): $3,500 vs CHC
John Lackey has been superb in years past, but this year, he is sitting at a 4.81 ERA and goes into Coors-lite tonight. Lamb and the Diamondbacks are projected for 4.61 runs tonight as a result and Lamb will be batting third in between Paul Goldschmidt and A.J. Pollock. What’s more, is that he carries a .992 OPS against righties so far this season.
Shortstop
Javier Baez (CHC): $3,000 @ ARI
Don’t look now, but Baez has been breaking out in the 2nd half with a .292/.346/.597 line. He isn’t quite as good against righty pitchers as he is versus lefties, but we are looking at a major ballpark upgrade tonight. Baez may be batting near the end of the order, but shortstop is a difficult position tonight so we will take our chances at the homer.
Outfielders
Bryce Harper (WAS): $5,000 vs SFG
The Nationals have the highest implied total on the slate tonight and Harper is a big reason why. He is the top player on the slate this evening at home with the wind blowing out against Chris Stratton. This season, Stratton has allowed a 1.159 OPS to lefties and Harper carries a 1.129 against righties so it is a perfect match.
Yoenis Cespedes (NYM): $3,400 @ PHI
The wind is blowing out to left field at 12 miles per hour tonight in Philadelphia, which is a substantial ballpark upgrade for the Mets, plus they draw Nick Pivetta, who has really struggled lately. The splits aren’t quite in favor for Cespedes, but at this price and in this matchup with the wind, he is a worthy play.
Rhys Hoskins (PHI): $2,100 vs NYM
This should be the last time Hoskins price is anywhere close to this low. He was the best hitter in the minor leagues before the call-up with a .284/.385/.581 line with 21 homers and 91 RBIs. Seth Lugo has taken a step backward this season and could struggle with the ballpark downgrade and wind situation tonight.
Other Top Options (in order)
- Travis Shaw (3B – MIL): $3,300 vs CIN
- Daniel Murphy (2B – WAS): $3,500 vs SFG
- Miguel Cabrera (1B – DET): $3,400 vs MIN
- David Peralta (OF – ARI): $3,300 vs CHC
- Kyle Schwarber (OF – CHC): $3,100 @ ARI
- Miguel Sano (3B – MIN): $3,700 @ DET
- Matt Olson (OF – OAK): $2,000 vs BAL
- Brian Goodwin (OF – WAS): $3,200 vs SFG
- Mark Reynolds (1B – COL): $2,600 @ MIA
- Cameron Maybin (OF – LAA): $2,200 @ SEA
- Jedd Gyorko (3B – STL): $3,000 vs ATL
- Brian Dozier (2B – MIN): $4,100 @ DET
- Buster Posey (C – SF): $3,300 @ WAS
- Chris Davis (1B – BAL): $3,000 @ OAK
- Marwin Gonzalez (SS – HOU): $3,500 @ TEX
- Kike Hernandez (OF – LAD): $2,200 vs SDP
- Jose Altuve (2B – HOU): $4,100 @ TEX
- Paul DeJong (SS – STL): $3,000 vs ATL
- Mike Zunino (C – SEA): $2,200 vs LAA
- Xander Bogaerts (SS – BOS): $2,800 @ ATL
- Chris Young (OF – BOS): $3,000 @ NYY
- Melky Cabrera (OF – KCR): $3,400 @ CHW
- Bruce Maxwell (C – OAK): $2,200 vs BAL
- Justin Upton (OF – DET): $3,800 vs MIN
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