FantasyBeast15 breaks down value plays for Saturday’s slate of FanDuel MLB contests.
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Here’s a look at the top value plays for Saturday on FanDuel. I will do my best to keep the top plays as cheap as possible but will include higher-priced players if their projections far exceed their salary-based expectation.
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Pitcher
Marcus Stroman (TOR): $6,600 vs. BAL
Stroman will face the Orioles in the Rogers Centre. The Orioles rank last in the league in wRC+ and are now without Manny Machado. They have the seventh highest strikeout rate at 24.4% and feature a lineup full of righties. Stroman will own the platoon advantage against seven or eight players on Saturday. He’s a big favorite and should go deep into this game giving him a great shot at a win and a quality start. For $6,600, he’s viable in both cash games and tournaments.
Catcher/First Base
Yan Gomes (CLE): $2,300 vs. TEX
There is an excessive heat warning in Arlington today with temperatures approaching 110 degrees. Cleveland has a team run total of 5.5 with a lean toward the over. Bartolo Colon has allowed 1.86 HR/9 this season and Gomes has some pop in his bat. He’ll bat seventh or eighth, so he might be a better tournament play than cash play, but at $2,300, Gomes provides value at his position.
Second Base
Alen Hanson (SFG): $2,200 vs. OAK
If Hanson is batting first or second, he provides massive value for $2,200. He’ll own the platoon advantage against Trevor Cahill. Hanson has stolen base upside in this game as Cahill is one of the easiest pitchers to run on. If Jonathan Lucroy is behind the plate, the upside is greater as Lucroy struggles to throw out base runners. For $200 above the minimum, Hanson is one of the best cash game values on the slate.
Third Base
Kyle Seager (SEA): $3,200 vs. CHW
Seager will face Dylan Covey in Safeco Field. Covey was a polarizing pitcher in late May and early June as he strung together a few solid starts. Some DFS players believed Covey had changed his game and become a quality pitcher, while others were waiting for regression to hit. Regression hit hard as Covey has allowed 26 earned runs in his last 20 innings pitched. The Mariners have a team run total of five in this game and Seager should bat fifth, giving him a good chance to drive in some runs. He’ll have the platoon advantage against Covey and there is a favorable umpire for hitters calling this game. At $3,200, Seager is a quality cash game target.
Shortstop
Nick Ahmed (ARI): $2,600 vs. COL
Even with the humidor in Chase Field, I think there is some value on the Diamondbacks roster today. Kyle Freeland has had somewhat of a breakout season, sporting a 3.11 ERA, however, his 4.40 SIERA says regression will hit eventually. While it’s more likely regression hits in Coors Field, I’ll take a chance at Ahmed batting second for $2,600 tonight. He will have the platoon advantage and will be protected by Paul Goldschmidt hitting behind him, allowing him to see a few better pitches. There are certainly other second basemen with more power and tournament upside, but Ahmed is a fairly safe cash game option.
Outfield
Steven Souza (ARI): $2,400 vs. COL
For many of the same reasons as Ahmed, Souza is one of my favorite plays today. He will likely bat fifth with the platoon advantage, allowing him opportunities to drive in some runs. Souza is cheaper than Ahmed and has more power giving him the tournament upside Ahmed lacks. If you’re willing to play Ahmed at $2,600, playing a better hitter in Souza at $200 less should be a no-brainer.
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