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DraftKings NFL Value Plays: Week 7 (2019)

by Nate Snodgrass
Oct 17, 2019

T.Y. Hilton has big-game potential against Houston’s struggling secondary

Welcome to Week 7 of the NFL season. We have a few critical teams on bye this week that slightly affect the talent in the player pool. This week the teams on bye are the Carolina Panthers, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Cleveland Browns, and Pittsburgh Steelers.

Each week, I will provide a recap of the prior week’s picks. The goal is to get three-to-four times the price of each player. The higher the value, the better the play.

Quarterback: Kirk Cousins– 31.3 points (6.02x), Gardner Minshew II – 5.6 points (1.12x)
Running Back: Phillip Lindsay – 15.5 points (2.92x), Kenyan Drake – 13 points (2.95x)
Wide Receiver: Dede Westbrook – 8.3 points (1.62x), Jamison Crowder – 15.8 points (3.95x)
Tight End: Delanie Walker – 7.3 points (1.97x)

The Jacksonville Jaguars’ game turned into a battle of field goals which impacted two picks from last week. Outside of the top five to seven tight ends, the position has become tough to predict each week. Aside from a few miscues, the picks last week performed relatively well and, hopefully, that paid off in your lineups.

The goal of this article is to provide daily fantasy football advice for DraftKings value plays. Implementing a few value plays in your lineups allows for the opportunity to play the top-tier studs. The key with a value play is to find a player with a high floor that also has the opportunity for a breakout game. These value plays will be for DraftKings’ main slate each Sunday. Non-tight endsĀ under $6K and tight ends under $4.5K will be considered value plays.

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Quarterback

Jacoby Brissett (IND): $5,600 vs. HOU
Houston ranks 27th in pass defense so this sets up as a great matchup for Brissett. He has thrown at least two touchdowns in every game except for one this season. Playing at home with Deshaun Watson on the other sideline, I’d expect Brissett to have to score some points this week. With a bye last week, the Indianapolis Colts should be well-rested and prepared for the Houston Texans.

Gardner Minshew II (JAC): $5,400 @ CIN
I’m going back to the well this week with “Minshew Mania.” We can throw out last week’s field goal battle and expect a much better performance this week against the lowly Cincinnati Bengals. It is possible that Leonard Fournette dominates this game, but the Bengals have allowed at least 235 passing yards in five straight games, which sets up Minshew for a great outing. I’m expecting a nice bounce-back game this week for him.

Running Back

Kerryon Johnson (DET): $5,100 vs. MIN
It’s a very tough matchup this week for Kerryon Johnson, however, his price is too low for the opportunity he has been given. Detroit has struggled to get the running game going this year, but Johnson continues to get a lot of touches. Having at least 15 touches in each of the last three weeks, he should continue to be heavily involved. He also continues to see a few targets each week, which benefits him on DraftKings.

Josh Jacobs (OAK): $5,000 @ GB
Squaring off against one of the worst run defenses and being fresh off of a bye, Jacobs is set up perfectly this week. Oakland is clearly not afraid to overload their rookie running back either after feeding him 26 times two weeks ago in London. The Raiders also have made it known that they want to get Jacobs involved in the passing game. He had two and three catches in the past two games, respectively.

Wide Receiver

T.Y. Hilton (IND): $5,900 vs. HOU
A perfect stack with Jacoby Brissett this week is T.Y. Hilton. As mentioned, the Houston Texans have struggled against the pass this year. The bye week came at an optimal time as Hilton was nursing a quad injury prior to last week. He should be close to fully healthy now and ready to take advantage of a depleted secondary. The Texans have allowed eight touchdowns to wide receivers this season, making T.Y. Hilton a great option under $6,000.

Cole Beasley (BUF): $4,700 vs. MIA
I originally had planned to recommend John Brown in this spot, but he was limited in practice on Wednesday with an unexpected groin injury. Suddenly appearing on the injury report midweek is never a good sign. Beasley seems to be a nice security blanket for Josh Allen, seeing at least nine targets in three of their five games. A matchup against the Miami Dolphins is always a bonus.

Tight End

Hunter Henry (LAC): $4,000 @ TEN
It seems DraftKings gave us a gift this week by pricing Hunter Henry as a value play. Supposedly being “limited” on Sunday night, Henry exploded for eight catches, 100 yards, and two touchdowns. Although the Los Angeles Chargers seem to be on the downward spiral, Henry seems to be a bright spot going forward. Take advantage of his price before DraftKings raises it.

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Nate Snodgrass is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Nate, follow himĀ @NSnods.

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