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Fantasy Football Player Notes

Week 13 PPR Rankings
Nyheim Hines Note
Nyheim Hines photo 41. Nyheim Hines RB - (at HOU)
The Colts are supposed to get Taylor back this week, which is something they seem to need more than they know. With him out, Hines and Jordan Wilkins combined for just 51 yards on 16 carries against the Titans, though it didn't help they were without starting center Ryan Kelly (who they hope to get back this week). Fun fact: Hines doesn't have a single carry of 15-plus yards this year. There's not a running back who's seen as many carries as him (61) without one. Taylor should be happy to return to this matchup against the Texans, as its' arguably the best in the league for his skill set. We know there are a lot of fantasy points up for grabs against the Texans, right? Well, of the production they've allowed to running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends, we've watched running backs account for 37.3 percent of it, which is the third-highest mark in the league. They've now allowed a league-high 1,564 yards on the ground to running backs, which is more than 23 teams have allowed to running backs as a whole (receiving included). When you look at strictly production on the ground, the Texans have allowed a league-high 240.4 fantasy points. No other team has allowed more than 215.8 of them. It's not the competition that's made them look bad, either. Running backs average 6.3 more half-PPR points per game against the Texans than they do versus their season average; that ranks as the second-most in the league. All-in-all, the Texans have faced more weighted volume to running backs than any other team in the league. That's led to them allowing a league-high 185.7 total yards per game to the position. The average top-24 running back performance in 2019 required 11.5 PPR points. That's a number that a league-high 14 running backs have hit against the Texans. This is your reminder that they've played just 11 games. Taylor is never a full 100 percent trust under Frank Reich, but he should be trusted enough to be played as a low-end RB2 with upside, because the last time we saw him on the field, he netted a massive 26 touches. Let's just hope Jacoby Brissett getting a few goal-line touches was due to Taylor being out, and not a regular thing moving forward. Production is there through the air as well for running backs in this matchup, as seven different backs have totaled 35-plus receiving yards, which bodes well for Hines' role. He should remain in the RB3 conversation, particularly in PPR formats.
24 hours ago
Michael Pittman Jr. Note
Michael Pittman Jr. photo 46. Michael Pittman Jr. WR - (at HOU)
Pittman continued to be heavily targeted last week, although he wasn't able to do much with the nine targets he saw. Rivers just simply could not put the ball on target for him and Pittman's stats look a lot worse than what the film shows. Fantasy managers need to lean into the target volume and the talent with Pittman, but the QB play certainly downgrades his fantasy potential. Pittman can be plugged in as a mid-range WR3 this week with upside due to Bradley Roby now being out for the year.
2 days ago
Jonathan Taylor Note
Jonathan Taylor photo 65. Jonathan Taylor RB - (at HOU)
The Colts are supposed to get Taylor back this week, which is something they seem to need more than they know. With him out, Hines and Jordan Wilkins combined for just 51 yards on 16 carries against the Titans, though it didn't help they were without starting center Ryan Kelly (who they hope to get back this week). Fun fact: Hines doesn't have a single carry of 15-plus yards this year. There's not a running back who's seen as many carries as him (61) without one. Taylor should be happy to return to this matchup against the Texans, as its' arguably the best in the league for his skill set. We know there are a lot of fantasy points up for grabs against the Texans, right? Well, of the production they've allowed to running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends, we've watched running backs account for 37.3 percent of it, which is the third-highest mark in the league. They've now allowed a league-high 1,564 yards on the ground to running backs, which is more than 23 teams have allowed to running backs as a whole (receiving included). When you look at strictly production on the ground, the Texans have allowed a league-high 240.4 fantasy points. No other team has allowed more than 215.8 of them. It's not the competition that's made them look bad, either. Running backs average 6.3 more half-PPR points per game against the Texans than they do versus their season average; that ranks as the second-most in the league. All-in-all, the Texans have faced more weighted volume to running backs than any other team in the league. That's led to them allowing a league-high 185.7 total yards per game to the position. The average top-24 running back performance in 2019 required 11.5 PPR points. That's a number that a league-high 14 running backs have hit against the Texans. This is your reminder that they've played just 11 games. Taylor is never a full 100 percent trust under Frank Reich, but he should be trusted enough to be played as a low-end RB2 with upside, because the last time we saw him on the field, he netted a massive 26 touches. Let's just hope Jacoby Brissett getting a few goal-line touches was due to Taylor being out, and not a regular thing moving forward. Production is there through the air as well for running backs in this matchup, as seven different backs have totaled 35-plus receiving yards, which bodes well for Hines' role. He should remain in the RB3 conversation, particularly in PPR formats.
24 hours ago
T.Y. Hilton Note
T.Y. Hilton photo 67. T.Y. Hilton WR - (at HOU)
He found the end zone against the Titans for the first time since Week 7 of last year. He also saw five targets, which makes it five-plus targets in 8-of-10 games this year. Hilton has not lived up to his reputation, but he has started to make strides to be considered as a streamer. Can he be trusted against the Texans, who are one of just three teams who've allowed a 70-plus percent catch-rate to wide receivers? As mentioned in the Pittman notes, they lost their top cornerbacks Bradley Roby for the season, which will force them to move forward with Vernon Hargreaves and Keion Crossen. Over the course of their careers, the two have combined to allow 253-of-358 passing for 3,331 yards and 13 touchdowns. That's a massive 9.30 yards per target, which is more than Stefon Diggs is averaging this year. Even with Roby there were 15 wide receivers who were able to finish as the WR42 or better against them, which puts Hilton into the WR4 conversation, though I prefer Pittman.
24 hours ago
Trey Burton Note
Trey Burton photo 121. Trey Burton TE - (at HOU)
He started out last week's game on fire, snagging three balls for 50 yards and a touchdown in the game's first 16 minutes, but he failed to do anything after that. He out-targeted Mo Alie-Cox in the game 6-2, but if you look at the routes run, you're not feeling great: Alie-Cox 23, Burton 21, Jack Doyle 11. This is a timeshare every single week and why we can never play a Colts tight end with much confidence, though we certainly want to try, as they've combined for seven performances with 9.8-plus PPR points. The Texans haven't allowed a lot of touchdowns (4) to tight ends, but the 58.7 yards per game they've allowed to them ranks as the third-most in the NFL, as does the 8.61 yards per target they've allowed to them. Over the last two weeks, we've watched Ryan Izzo and T.J. Hockenson combine for seven catches and 148 yards on just 10 targets, so it's not as if they're trending in the right direction, either. Football Outsiders has them ranked as the fifth-worst team in DVOA against tight ends, which factors in level of competition they've played. Knowing it's Burton who's seen 14 targets over the last three weeks while Alie-Cox has eight of them, I suppose Burton's the best bet, though the Colts have plus-matchups all over the field in this game, so he's just a middling TE2.
24 hours ago
Jordan Wilkins Note
Jordan Wilkins photo 132. Jordan Wilkins RB - (at HOU)
Zach Pascal Note
Zach Pascal photo 135. Zach Pascal WR - (at HOU)
Mo Alie-Cox Note
Mo Alie-Cox photo 167. Mo Alie-Cox TE - (at HOU)
Jack Doyle Note
Jack Doyle photo 182. Jack Doyle TE - (at HOU)
Marcus Johnson Note
Marcus Johnson photo 223. Marcus Johnson WR - (at HOU)
DeMichael Harris Note
DeMichael Harris photo 318. DeMichael Harris WR - (at HOU)