Skip to main content

Fantasy Football Player Notes

Week 13 PPR Rankings
Austin Ekeler Note
Austin Ekeler photo 4. Austin Ekeler RB - (vs . NE)
The return to the lineup was a major success for Ekeler, as he saw a ridiculous 16 targets to go along with his 14 carries. This was one of the biggest weighted opportunity games in the NFL this year. In PPR formats, it was the most in a single game this year. Despite not finding the end zone, Ekeler still managed to rack up 23.9 PPR points, highlighting a floor that's ridiculously high. The Patriots opponents have chosen to run the ball a league-high 48.8 percent of the time, which is fine for Ekeler, as he's averaged 4.6 yards per carry on the year. Despite teams running the ball at a high rate, it hasn't amounted to much success, as they've allowed just five running backs score 11.5-plus PPR points against them, which is the number it took to hit top-24 numbers in 2019. The Saints are the only other team in the league who's allowed fewer than them through 12 weeks. They have allowed the 19th-most fantasy points to running backs, so the production against them has just been spread out. They're also allowing the 10th-most fantasy points per weighted opportunity, so you shouldn't shy away from using Ekeler as a low-end RB1 this week.
1 day ago
Keenan Allen Note
Keenan Allen photo 6. Keenan Allen WR - (vs . NE)
Another week goes by... another week Allen has seen 10-plus targets. He's also scored in seven of the last nine games, including each of the last five games. Because of all that, he's the WR4 in fantasy, behind only Tyreek Hill, Davante Adams, and D.K. Metcalf. Now, what happens when you mix a wide receiver who is essentially a lock for 10 targets against a defense that's allowed the second-most PPR points per target? The 2.03 PPR points per target the Patriots have allowed to wide receivers is behind only the Cowboys. Some will be concerned about Stephon Gilmore shadowing him, but you need to know that Allen plays 51 percent of his snaps in the slot, which is an area of the field that Gilmore doesn't typically travel. And to be fair, he really shouldn't be going in there, as he's allowed four catches for 80 yards and two touchdowns on just seven targets in slot coverage. It'll likely be Jonathan Jones on Allen most of the game, the cornerback who's allowed the fourth-most yardage in the slot this year. There have been eight wide receivers who've finished with 15-plus PPR points against the Patriots this year, and the best part is that none of them even required 10 targets to get there. Start Allen as a WR1 every week.
1 day ago
Mike Williams Note
Mike Williams photo 64. Mike Williams WR - (vs . NE)
He's now seen a solid five-plus targets in five straight games, which is something we couldn't rely on earlier in the season. He's still a bit of a boom-or-bust play but it helps when your quarterback is throwing for 300-plus yards in 60 percent of his games. The one thing we need to pay attention to is how much of an effect Austin Ekeler has on his target totals because even though Williams saw five targets, it was just 9.6 percent of the targets. Herbert isn't going to throw the ball 52 times every week. In fact, the Patriots see just 17.3 wide receiver targets per game, which is the lowest mark in football. The good news is that they've allowed a massive 9.24 yards per target to wide receivers (5th-most) and have allowed a touchdown once every 13.6 targets, which is the third-most often. As you can see, it's somewhat of a mixed bag, but the reason I'm fading Williams this week is because I believe he's going to see a lot of Stephon Gilmore, as Keenan Allen goes into the slot far too often to be shadowed by Gilmore. Because of that, Williams is a high-risk WR4 this week.
1 day ago
Hunter Henry Note
Hunter Henry photo 68. Hunter Henry TE - (vs . NE)
Despite Austin Ekeler coming back to the lineup, Henry managed to see a season-high 10 targets against the Bills. He also turned them into a season-high seven receptions for 67 yards, so he's now finished with at least 13.7 PPR points in each of his last three games. It took a little while for him and Herbert to get on the same page, but it appears we've finally gotten there. This is the game where we're going to find out how a smaller portion shakes out, as the Patriots haven't faced more than 37 pass attempts in any one game. The Chargers would be wise to look at others for production, as the Patriots have been one of the worst matchups in the league for tight ends, and that's backed up by Football Outsiders' DVOA that has them ranked as the seventh-toughest matchup for the position. No tight end has topped 13.3 PPR points against them this year, and they've played against Travis Kelce, George Kittle, Darren Waller, and Mark Andrews. Tight ends have scored 3.5 fewer PPR points per game against the Patriots versus what they've averaged in non-Patriots game, which makes them the fourth-worst schedule adjusted matchup for tight ends. It's impossible to sit Henry considering the stability he brings to lineups but dial back expectations this week and avoid him in cash DFS lineups.
1 day ago
Joshua Kelley Note
Joshua Kelley photo 152. Joshua Kelley RB - (vs . NE)
Jalen Guyton Note
Jalen Guyton photo 155. Jalen Guyton WR - (vs . NE)
Troymaine Pope Note
Troymaine Pope photo 204. Troymaine Pope RB - (vs . NE)
Tyron Johnson Note
Tyron Johnson photo 215. Tyron Johnson WR - (vs . NE)
Kalen Ballage Note
Kalen Ballage photo 243. Kalen Ballage RB - (vs . NE)
Donald Parham Jr. Note
Donald Parham Jr. photo 269. Donald Parham Jr. TE - (vs . NE)
Gabe Nabers Note
Gabe Nabers photo 303. Gabe Nabers RB - (vs . NE)
K.J. Hill Note
K.J. Hill photo 347. K.J. Hill WR - (vs . NE)
Stephen Anderson Note
Stephen Anderson photo 349. Stephen Anderson TE - (vs . NE)
Joe Reed Note
Joe Reed photo 352. Joe Reed WR - (vs . NE)