Fantasy Football Player Notes

Hill hasn't shown any dropoff with the move to Miami. He's the WR5 in fantasy, ranking ninth in target share. He's garnered 35.3% of the team's air yards while ranking second in yards per route among wide receivers (minimum ten targets). Hill will run about 61% of his routes on the perimeter against Chidobe Awuzie and Eli Apple, but the Dolphins could move him inside more this week to get him away from Awuzie. Hill leads the team in slot routes. Awuzie has allowed a 40.7% catch rate and 51.8 passer rating. Apple has given up a 75% catch rate and a 99.3 passer rating. If Hill gets into the slot more this week, he'll see Mike Hilton, who has permitted a 70.6% catch rate and 85.4 passer rating. Hill is a weekly top-12 option at receiver.

This hasn't been a 1A/1B situation. Miami has the lucky fortune of co-alphas. Waddle is tied with Hill at ninth in target share while seeing 41.5% of the team's air yards. Hill leads the team with seven deep targets, but Waddle's aDOT has been a shade higher (11.6 vs. 10.0). Waddle leads all wide receivers in yards per route run (minimum ten targets). He's edged Hill out with four red zone targets (Hill, three). Waddle is also a top 15 wide receiver option who will run about 75% of his routes against Awuzie and Apple.

When it seems like Miami has decided on a backfield leader, we get hoodwinked. Miami has alternated the 1A role in this backfield through three weeks which means that Edmonds and Mostert will be frustrating dice rolls all year long. Despite Edmonds's slight lead in route run rate, he's seen his targets dwindle each week (4, 3, 1). He's averaging a pitiful 9.7 touches and 44.3 total yards. The Bengals are a terrible matchup this week. Cincinnati allows the fifth-lowest rush success rate, 11th-lowest explosive run rate, and eighth-fewest rushing yards per game. They have also shut down receiving backs ranking ninth in DVOA. Edmonds is a dart throw RB3.

Mostert's weekly volume is a mirror image of Edmonds. He's averaging 9.3 touches and 40.7 total yards. Unlike Edmonds (50th), Mostert has shown some juice, ranking 15th out of 58 running backs with at least ten carries in PFF's elusive rating. Still, with the uneven usage and crapshoot red zone work in a tough matchup, Mostert falls in the same risky RB3 bucket this week.

Gesicki isn't playable with his current snap rate. In Week 3, he only handled a 5% target share with a 31.8% route run rate. Sadly this isn't far off his full season marks of 5% and 50%. Bench him until these rates climb (if they do).