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Fantasy Football Player Notes

Week 1 PPR Rankings

Najee Harris Note
Najee Harris photo 40. Najee Harris RB - (vs . SF)
There's been speculation that the Steelers will give more work to Jaylen Warren this week, although Najee probably isn't in any danger of falling into a 50/50 timeshare. The bigger problem for Najee's investors this week is a bad matchup with the 49ers. San Francisco allowed the fewest fantasy points and rushing yards to RBs last season. Running backs scored only seven touchdowns against the 49ers in 2022. You're probably starting Najee this week, but the outlook isn't as bright as it would be in a better matchup. He's a midrange to low-end RB2 this week.
23 weeks ago
Diontae Johnson Note
Diontae Johnson photo 45. Diontae Johnson WR - (vs . SF)
Somehow, Johnson failed to score a touchdown last year despite drawing 147 targets and catching 87 passes. No other receiver in NFL history has drawn more than 109 targets in a season without scoring a touchdown. Whether Johnson will reverse his TD misfortune against the 49ers this week is unclear, but Johnson has averaged 9.6 targets, 5.9 catches and 61.8 receiving yards a game over the last three years, making him a must-start in most formats. Johnson is a low-end WR2 this week against a 49ers defense that yielded the sixth-most receiving yards to WRs last year.
24 weeks ago
George Pickens Note
George Pickens photo 61. George Pickens WR - (vs . SF)
A big-play specialist, Pickens has a remarkable flare for making acrobatic catches. What Pickens stakeholders need more of is target volume. Pickens had a 15.3% target share last year. He didn't see more than eight targets in any game all season, and he didn't see more than six targets in any game from Week 6 on. Pickens is the sort of receiver who could make his weekly fantasy quota with one big TD catch, but the lower target volume makes for an unstable floor. He's a boom-or-bust WR3 this week.
23 weeks ago
Pat Freiermuth Note
Pat Freiermuth photo 99. Pat Freiermuth TE - (vs . SF)
After catching 60 passes for 497 yards as a rookie, Freiermuth had 63 receptions for 732 yards last year. His average depth of target went from 5.3 yards in 2021 to 8.3 yards in 2022, and his yards per target jumped from 6.3 to 7.5. Although the trends are positive, Freiermuth is no better than a low-end TE this week vs. a 49ers defense that gave up the sixth-fewest fantasy points to tight ends last season.
24 weeks ago
Jaylen Warren Note
Jaylen Warren photo 123. Jaylen Warren RB - (vs . SF)
Although he was far more efficient than Najee Harris last season in terms of yards per carry and yards per target, to conclude that Warren is the better back would be submitting to the fallacy of small sample sizes. Warren is talented, but it would be a leap of faith to conclude that he's better than Najee. Still, Warren may have earned himself a bigger role this season. That role won't be big enough to justify starting Warren this week against a lights-out 49ers run defense, but Warren is a player to watch closely early in the season.
23 weeks ago
Allen Robinson II Note
Allen Robinson II photo 174. Allen Robinson II WR - (vs . SF)
Calvin Austin III Note
Calvin Austin III photo 248. Calvin Austin III WR - (vs . SF)
Darnell Washington Note
Darnell Washington photo 256. Darnell Washington TE - (vs . SF)
Connor Heyward Note
Connor Heyward photo 316. Connor Heyward TE - (vs . SF)
Godwin Igwebuike Note
Godwin Igwebuike photo 338. Godwin Igwebuike RB - (vs . SF)
Miles Boykin Note
Miles Boykin photo 374. Miles Boykin WR - (vs . SF)
Marquez Callaway Note
Marquez Callaway photo 375. Marquez Callaway WR - (vs . SF)
Dez Fitzpatrick Note
Dez Fitzpatrick photo 493. Dez Fitzpatrick WR - (vs . SF)