Fantasy Football Player Notes

Courtland Sutton is the WR16 in fantasy points per game. After a down stretch of games, he has rebounded nicely in recent weeks. Since Week 11, Sutton has had a 20.6% target share, 74 receiving yards per game, 2.19 yards per route run, and a 26.5% first-read share. In those four games, he has had six red zone targets and six deep targets. This week, he faces a Jacksonville pass defense that, since Week 11, has had the sixth-highest two-high rate (57.3%). Since Week 11, against two high, Sutton has seen a 20.5% target share and 22.2% first-read share, but his yards per route run has dipped to 1.48. Sutton might take an efficiency hit this week, but he'll still lead the Denver passing attack against a Jacksonville pass defense that since Week 10 has allowed the eighth-most fantasy points per game and eighth-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.

RJ Harvey sustained a rib injury last week, but he is practicing in full so it doesn't look like a concern for Week 16. Since Week 11, Harvey has averaged 18 touches and 69.3 total yards as the RB12 in fantasy points per game. During this span, among 51 qualifying backs, he has ranked 25th in missed tackle rate, 12th in rushing success rate, and 44th in yards after contact per attempt. This week, he'll encounter ANOTHER brutal run defense. Since Week 11, Jacksonville has allowed the fewest rushing yards per game, the lowest explosive run rate, and the fourth-lowest missed tackle rate. Harvey will need to rely upon volume and touchdown equity again.

Sit Troy Franklin this week. His route share rebounded last week with a 58.3 route share, but the coverage matchup isn't in his favor this week. This week, he faces a Jacksonville pass defense that, since Week 11, has had the sixth-highest two-high rate (57.3%). Since Week 11, against two high, Franklin has had a 10.2% target share, 1.48 yards per route run, and a 13.3% first-read share. The Jags have allowed substantial production to perimeter wide receivers, so that could help Franklin this week. He is still a thin play when looking at the coverage matchup and his recent usage. Since Week 10, Jacksonville has allowed the eighth-most fantasy points per game and eighth-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.