Fantasy Football Player Notes

Holy explosion, Batman! Hill popped off for a ridiculous 57.9 PPR points in Week 12, which was the most by a wide receiver since Jerry Rice scored 60.9 PPR points in 1995. That performance by Hill was the sixth-highest number of all-time. For those wondering, Rice also holds the record for most PPR points in a game with 65.5 of them in 1990. Hill has now been targeted a ridiculous 47 times over the last three games, and even better, it hasn't affected his efficiency even a little bit, as he's recorded at least nine receptions and 102 yards in each game, while scoring six times. You cannot stop what is happening right now, though the Broncos will try. The last time Hill played them in Kansas City (Week 15 last year), he caught 5-of-7 targets for 67 yards and two touchdowns. They have been so much better than anyone realizes against wide receivers this year, allowing just 7.52 yards per target, which ranks third behind only the Rams and Titans. Will the Broncos shift their cornerbacks around for this game? If not, he'll see rookie Essang Bassey in the slot, who's easily been the one to target in coverage, as he's allowed 24-of-28 passing for 242 yards and a touchdown. Just play Hill everywhere, okay? With the targets he's getting, he can post record-breaking numbers.

He has four 100-yard games this year. The rest of the tight ends in the NFL have combined for nine such games. I'm fairly certain he could stop playing right now and still finish with the most fantasy points among tight ends, as he has a comfy 55.7-point gap over Darren Waller with five games to go. The Broncos have allowed a massive 74.3 percent completion-rate to tight ends (4th-highest), but those receptions have gone for an average of just 9.73 yards (6th-lowest). So, are they just willing to allow the underneath stuff? That's why we've seen 10 tight ends total three-plus receptions against them. Kelce only finished with 3/31/0 in their first matchup, though that game was played in the snow and the Chiefs didn't throw the ball a whole lot. The previous time they played was in Week 15 of last year where Kelce torched them for 11/142/0, so it's clearly not Vic Fangio's scheme that slowed him in the first game. No tight end has topped 13.6 PPR points against the Broncos this year, so we do have to be mindful of that, especially when we know they've played against Kelce, Waller, Hunter Henry, Eric Ebron, Rob Gronkowski, Hayden Hurst, and Jonnu Smith. When you factor in their level of competition, they actually rank as the seventh-toughest matchup for tight ends. You're playing Kelce every week in redraft, but it might not be worth it to pay up for him in DFS cash lineups this week.

I tried warning you about his matchup last week, and Edwards-Helaire completely bombed, finishing with a career-low 4.9 PPR points against the Bucs. When you're seeing the workload he is, those games are going to happen. Over the last five weeks with Bell in the lineup, Edwards-Helaire has averaged 8.8 carries and 3.0 targets per game. Didn't realize it was that low, did you? He's averaging a great 4.58 yards per carry on the year, so that's not the issue. This week's matchup could be one for you to like him a bit more, though. Despite the Broncos being one of the better pass defenses in the league, the Chiefs have an implied team total of 31.3 points, which bodes extremely well for Edwards-Helaire. The Broncos lost interior lineman Mike Purcell on the first drive of Week 7. They haven't been able to stop the run lately, and those eight touchdowns don't even count Taysom Hill's two rushing touchdowns last week. Opponents have averaged 27.2 carries per game against them over that time, which should allow Edwards-Helaire to get back into the 12-15 carry range for this game, which should be enough for him to get into RB2 territory. The Broncos have allowed just 1.28 PPR points per target to running backs, which ranks as the fourth-lowest mark in the league, so don't count on too much production there. I'd play Edwards-Helaire as a solid RB2 this week who has top-five upside in this matchup, though he needs more work. Bell hasn't topped nine touches in a Chiefs uniform, and based on his lack of efficiency, we shouldn't expect his touches to increase. He's just an RB4/handcuff.

He returned to the lineup successfully last week, playing 57-of-79 total snaps and seeing seven targets. They amounted to four receptions for 38 yards, so nothing to write home about, but he's seen at least seven targets in all four games he's played from start to finish this year. The Broncos play stations on the field, so there aren't any shadow matchups to wonder about. They've been one of the more efficient defenses against receivers, allowing just 7.52 yards per target (3rd-fewest). They have allowed 13 wide receivers to finish top-36 against them, though you need to know that 10 of those wide receivers scored touchdowns. Watkins should be considered that WR4-type option you plug-in when there's an emergency and just hope he has one of those big games. But most of the time, you're left with something like four catches for 42 yards.

I tried warning you about his matchup last week, and Edwards-Helaire completely bombed, finishing with a career-low 4.9 PPR points against the Bucs. When you're seeing the workload he is, those games are going to happen. Over the last five weeks with Bell in the lineup, Edwards-Helaire has averaged 8.8 carries and 3.0 targets per game. Didn't realize it was that low, did you? He's averaging a great 4.58 yards per carry on the year, so that's not the issue. This week's matchup could be one for you to like him a bit more, though. Despite the Broncos being one of the better pass defenses in the league, the Chiefs have an implied team total of 31.3 points, which bodes extremely well for Edwards-Helaire. The Broncos lost interior lineman Mike Purcell on the first drive of Week 7. They haven't been able to stop the run lately, and those eight touchdowns don't even count Taysom Hill's two rushing touchdowns last week. Opponents have averaged 27.2 carries per game against them over that time, which should allow Edwards-Helaire to get back into the 12-15 carry range for this game, which should be enough for him to get into RB2 territory. The Broncos have allowed just 1.28 PPR points per target to running backs, which ranks as the fourth-lowest mark in the league, so don't count on too much production there. I'd play Edwards-Helaire as a solid RB2 this week who has top-five upside in this matchup, though he needs more work. Bell hasn't topped nine touches in a Chiefs uniform, and based on his lack of efficiency, we shouldn't expect his touches to increase. He's just an RB4/handcuff.