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DraftKings NFL Value Plays: Wild Card Round

DraftKings NFL Value Plays: Wild Card Round

The NFL Playoffs are just awesome. It’s the best quality of football we see all year. The best teams, the best players. A lot of the time that means the best fantasy players too. A handful of years ago, hardcore fantasy players would have nothing to do this time of year, but thanks to the rise in popularity of DFS the action doesn’t have to stop. This week the slate only consists of eight teams but there will still be plenty of value that’s going overlooked. Let’s dive back into more fantasy content–playoff edition.

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Quarterback

Russell Wilson (SEA): $5,700 at DAL
Wilson is the sixth most expensive quarterback out of eight this week, which I say is pretty good value for someone who finished as a top-10 quarterback in fantasy leagues this year. Each of the last two quarterbacks to play against Dallas have compiled at least 300 passing yards and one passing touchdown. At the beginning of the year, Dallas limited a lot of fantasy production because their offense was very average and worked at a slow pace. After trading for Amari Cooper mid-season, their offense has become significantly more explosive. This means more points and more possessions overall, as well as higher shootout potential. It’s a cheap price and good matchup, I wouldn’t bet against playoff Russ.

Running Backs

Lamar Miller (HOU): $4,900 vs. IND
If you’re looking to save money at running back this week, Miller is the ideal guy to slide into your lineup. Every running back against Indy that led their backfield in touches over the past five weeks scored at least 11.6 PPR points. This group (which includes Miller) averaged 16 PPR points per game over that five-week span. Many of those running backs got a chunk of their production in the passing game, but Miller is capable of doing the same as he has two games this year with five receptions and five others with at least two catches. Miller has rested for two of the last three games, so he should have fresh enough legs to take advantage of this plus matchup.

Kenneth Dixon (BAL): $4,000 vs. LAC
In Week 16 I wrote about Gus Edwards as a value play when he was going up against this Chargers defense. In Week 17, Dixon gained a lot of momentum, going for over 100 yards on the same amount of carries as Edwards. For that reason, I’m just gonna repeat exactly what I said about Edwards in Week 16, but just replace his name with Dixon’s. His matchup this week is phenomenal, as he takes on a Chargers run defense that has been shredded during the second half of the season. Since their Week 8 bye, LA has surrendered an average of 20.6 PPR points per game to opposing starting running backs. No running back has totaled less than 9.9 PPR points. In Week 15 they allowed 123 total yards and two touchdowns to Damien Williams. Dixon is in a run-heavy offense and has a mouthwatering matchup this week. He’s an absolute steal. 

Wide Receivers

Taylor Gabriel (CHI): $4,500 vs. PHI
Gabriel’s consistency this year has gone overlooked, as he’s had at least three receptions in every game but one. That means that on DraftKings he provides a decent floor every week. When you’re looking for a cheap play, you want someone who has a floor like Gabriel does but also provides some upside. A matchup with Philly this week allows for plenty of upside, as their secondary has been decimated with injuries this year. Gabriel’s biggest game this year came against Tampa Bay, a weak, inexperienced secondary similar to the one the Eagles are fielding right now. In that contest, Gabriel went for a line of 7-104-2. I’m not saying to expect a performance like that this week, but Gabriel is an underrated PPR asset who comes with a higher ceiling than usual this week.

Dontrelle Inman (IND): $4,300 at HOU
In the final two games of the season, Dontrelle Inman solidified his role as Andrew Luck’s secondary option at wide receiver heading into the postseason. When Andrew Luck is playing the way he is now, you want to find a way to get any Colts starters into your lineup. In his last two games, Inman has put together lines of 4-46-1 and 5-77-1. Both Inman and T.Y. Hilton are questionable as of right now, but Hilton’s injury seems to be a little more severe. That means there’s the possibility that Inman could end up leading this team in targets on Saturday, significantly adding to his upside. The Texans strong suit is stopping the run, so Luck should have to throw plenty in this game. You wouldn’t have thought at the beginning of the year that you’d be relying on Dontrelle Inman in the postseason, but here we are.

Tight End

Hunter Henry (LAC): $2,500 at BAL
Finding a value tight end this week was extremely difficult because when you look at the slate it’s pretty much Zach Ertz, Eric Ebron, and then a boatload of unappealing options. Henry is a super interesting DFS option because we know how good he can be with Philip Rivers, but we also have no idea how the Chargers plan to use him. With him coming off an ACL injury, the idea that they could just be activating him to use as a decoy is certainly possible. Yet at the same time, is LA really gonna roll with Antonio Gates and Virgil Green, especially when defending tight ends is a weakness of Baltimore’s? This play definitely isn’t safe by any means, but if you can’t afford Ertz or Ebron, why not go with Henry, who’s far and away the most talented of the low-priced bunch.

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Nick Swantek is a correspondent at FantasyPros. For more from Nick, check out his archive and follow him @nick_swantek.

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