Fantasy Football Player Notes

CeeDee Lamb took a step back in 2025, as injuries and the arrival of George Pickens cut into both his target dominance and touchdown production. Lamb finished as the WR15 on a per-game basis, averaging 76.9 receiving yards per game, but his weekly ceiling wasn't nearly as consistent alongside Pickens. Still, Lamb remains one of fantasy football's safest WR1 options attached to Dak Prescott, especially considering his elite production from 2023-2024. Even after a relatively disappointing season by his standards, the combination of talent, volume, and offensive environment keeps Lamb firmly in the top tier of fantasy receivers.

George Pickens delivered a true breakout in 2025, finishing as a top-6 fantasy WR despite sharing targets with CeeDee Lamb in Dallas. The big-play specialist thrived on efficiency and touchdown production, averaging 84.1 receiving yards per game with nine scores while consistently delivering spike-week upside. Pickens proved capable of producing WR1 numbers even alongside a healthy Lamb, although his high-variance play style makes weekly volatility part of the package. If he avoids a contract-related holdout and maintains his chemistry with Dak Prescott, Pickens should remain a low-end fantasy WR1 with week-winning upside.

Last year, Javonte Williams was a massive surprise in fantasy, to everyone, including me. I was very bullish about his 2025 outlook, but I was hoping at best for a volume-driven RB2 residing in an explosive offense. Well, Williams crushed even my expectations as the RB11 in fantasy points per game, finishing with a career high 1,201 rushing yards and 13 total touchdowns. Among 49 qualifying backs, he ranked 16th in explosive run rate and third in yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). His season was also a tale of two halves as he faded some down the back half of the year. In Weeks 1-8, he averaged 18.5 touches, 90.7 total yards, and scored nine total touchdowns as the RB8 in fantasy points per game. In Weeks 9-17, he averaged 17.4 touches, 76.5 total yards, and scored only four total touchdowns as the RB25 in fantasy points per game. Much of his fantasy stock drop was related to the fall in touchdown production, which can be simple variance. His deeper analytics back up that his play didn't fall off on a per-touch efficency standpoint. In Weeks 1-8, he had a 4.8% explosive run rate with an 11% missed tackle rate and 3.52 yards after contact per attempt. That yards after contact per attempt mark is otherworldly. In Weeks 8-17, he posted a 5.5% explosive run rate with a 13% missed tackle rate and 2.33 yards after contact per attempt. He improved his marks down the stretch in two of those three categories. If Williams can post production as he did over the first half of the 2025 season for an entire year, he is a locked-in top ten back with top-five upside. At his floor, he looks like a low-end RB1 or top 15 fantasy back.

One of the best pure passers in the game, Dak Prescott seems primed for another big season. He has a solid offensive line in front of him and perhaps the best WR tandem in the league in CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens. If the Dallas defense is subpar again, Prescott could be thrust into a lot of shootouts in which he's forced to match opponents score for score. Over the last three years, Prescott has averaged 263 passing yards, 1.8 TD passes and 19.1 fantasy points per game. He's led the league in completions in two of the last three years, and he might have gone 3-for-3 had he not missed the last nine games of the season with a hamstring injury. Although he managed to finish QB5 in fantasy scoring last season, Prescott offers little value as a runner, with only seven TD runs over the last five years.

Jake Ferguson averaged just 7.3 PPG when George Pickens and CeeDee Lamb were both healthy (> 50% snap share) in the lineup during the 2025 season (11 games). Five games without Lamb playing at least 50% of the snaps -> 13.5 PPG. Still, the overall production and career-high 8 TDs resulted in TE13 finishing in half-PPR scoring (per game). Top-5 in cumulative scoring in full PPR formats.
If George Pickens returns....Ferguson is facing a major uphill battle to rise above TD-or-bust TE territory. But if the impending FA cashes big elsewhere...the Dallas TE figures to be another strong option.

The gold standard among NFL kickers, Brandon Aubrey has finished first, first and third in kicker fantasy scoring in his first three seasons in the league. Aubrey is 112-of-127 (88.2%) on FG attempts over his first three seasons and 126-of-130 (96.9%) on extra points. The 6-3, 218-pound Aubrey has a powerful leg. He's made 35-of-44 FG attempts from 50 or more yards over the last three years, and Aubrey already holds the NFL record for most field goals of 60 or more yards with six. Aubrey should be the first kicker off the board in 2026 fantasy drafts.

Led NFL in pressure rate last season but finished just second-worst in interceptions and below average in total sacks.