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DraftKings NFL Cash Lineup Advice: Week 5 (2019)

by Brad Richter | @rotopilot | Featured Writer
Oct 4, 2019

Ezekiel Elliott has a great matchup at home against the Packers this week.

The NFL season rolls on with a 12-game Sunday main slate on DraftKings. This week’s cash game lineup construction seems to be pretty straight forward as there is a tight list of viable options to consider at most positions. But beware that in some spots the obvious play, might not be what it seems as I recommend a small pivot away from the expected chalk at one position. Also, a friendly reminder that we don’t only want a high floor from our players in cash games, but we also need to bake in some upside potential to help make up for a dud spot if needed.

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Quarterback

Deshaun Watson (HOU): $6,700 vs. ATL
My optimal cash game lineup right now has me paying up at quarterback for Watson, which is a rare occurrence. I’m comfortable with pivoting to any of the quarterbacks on the list below in cash games, depending on injury news leading up to kickoff on Sunday. Watson is in a great spot playing at home in a game with the highest Vegas total on the main slate. The raw numbers for the Falcons pass defense look solid as they have allowed just 223 passing yards and 1.75 TDs per game. However, they have also face run-heavy offenses that skew those numbers. The Falcons pass defense ranks 21st Defense-adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA) according to FootballOutsiders. Watson in a potential shootout can put up a huge day.

Other Notables:

Running Backs

Ezekiel Elliott (DAL): $8,300 vs. GB
Elliott has worked his way back into a full workload following his preseason holdout by playing 96 percent of the snaps and getting 100 percent the running back carries last week. He should be in line for a huge workload this week both on the ground and through the air against the Packers. The Packers ran 27th DVOA against the run and have surrendered 5.3 YPC to opposing running backs this season which ranks 31st. Couple that with giving up six touchdowns to running backs through the first four weeks and Elliott should be eating up the Packers all day.

David Johnson (ARI): $7,500 @ CIN
The Cardinals have faced some strong defensive teams who like to run the ball and control the clock through their first four games. That all changes this week as the Cardinals travel to Cincinnati to face a winless Bengals team. The Bengals have struggled to stop running backs this season allowing 121 rushing yards (28th) and 1.25 TDs (26th) per game to running backs while posting a 4.78 YPC (26th). Opposing pass-catching backs have also averaged 7.8 receptions (31st) for 73 yards (32nd) and scored three times this season. Johnson should post his best game of the season this week.

Other Notables:

Wide Receivers

Julio Jones (ATL): $7,700 @ HOU
You will want to get plenty of exposure to the Falcons/Texans matchup, so I’d recommend playing both sides of the passing game with either a Deshaun Watson/Julio Jones or a Matt Ryan/DeAndre Hopkins combo. Jones has already posted some big games this season while getting at least seven targets in each game. He will face a Texans secondary that has yielded an average of 195 receiving yards per game to wide receivers which rank 25th in the league through four weeks. The Texans secondary also grades poorly against outside wide receivers according to ProFootballFocus.

Auden Tate (CIN): $3,500 vs. ARI
Tate has played about 90 percent of the snaps for the Bengals over the last two weeks which has resulted in 10 catches on 16 targets for 138 yards in those outings. Now, Tate could get even more snaps and targets coming his way with John Ross put on IR. Add in a favorable, up-tempo matchup against the Cardinals along with a cheap price tag and Tate is almost a lock for cash game lineups.

Other Notables:

Tight End

Jared Cook (NO): $3,400 vs. TB
I expect the majority of DFS analysts and players to lock Tyler Eifert into the tight end spot in a juicy matchup against the Cardinals who have failed to cover the position all season. While Eifert could be a solid option, I have some concerns about his snap count which is an even split with C.J. Uzomah, and his targets which haven’t exceeded five in any game this season. So, instead, I’m going to pivot at the tight end position to Cook who has received over 20 percent target share in two of the last three weeks and has almost as favorable of a matchup as the Bengals tight end with a game against the Buccaneers. The Buccaneers have allowed 7.5 receptions (30th) for 91 yards (31st) and 0.5 TDs (21st) to the tight end position this season.

Other Notables:

Defense

Titans (TEN): $3,000 vs. BUF
Sure, I’d love to pay up for the Patriots who play another weak offense this week (Redskins), but without much value on the slate, I think defense is where we need to pinch our pennies. The Titans defense has been solid this season with at least eight DraftKings points in three of their four games. They will be at home this week as a small favorite in a game with the lowest Vegas total on the slate when they face the Bills. The situation could get even better for the Titans defense this week if Josh Allen is ruled out and the Bills are forced to have Matt Barkley under center.

Other Notables:

  • Patriots (NE): $4,300 @ WAS
  • Bears (CHI): $3,800 vs. OAK (in London)

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Brad Richter is a Featured Writer and correspondent at FantasyPros and a contributor at DailyOverlay. For more from Brad, you can view his archive or follow him @RotoPilot.

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1Christian McCaffrey (CAR)RB
2Dalvin Cook (MIN)RB
3Ezekiel Elliott (DAL)RB
4Josh Jacobs (OAK)RB
5Leonard Fournette (JAC)RB
6Melvin Gordon (LAC)RB
7Tyreek Hill (KC)WR
8Nick Chubb (CLE)RB
9Marlon Mack (IND)RB
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14Tevin Coleman (SF)RB
15James Conner (PIT)RB
16Mike Evans (TB)WR
17Mark Ingram (BAL)RB
18Damien Williams (KC)RB
19Julio Jones (ATL)WR
20Brian Hill (ATL)RB
21Devin Singletary (BUF)RB
22Chris Godwin (TB)WR
23Todd Gurley (LAR)RB
24Amari Cooper (DAL)WR
25Cooper Kupp (LAR)WR
26Julian Edelman (NE)WR
27Travis Kelce (KC)TE
28Joe Mixon (CIN)RB
29David Montgomery (CHI)RB
30Keenan Allen (LAC)WR
1Ronald Acuna Jr. (ATL)LF,CF
2Nolan Arenado (COL)3B
3Mookie Betts (BOS)CF,RF
4J.D. Martinez (BOS)LF,RF
5Trevor Story (COL)SS
6Justin Verlander (HOU)SP
7Cody Bellinger (LAD)1B,CF
8Trea Turner (WSH)SS
9Alex Bregman (HOU)3B,SS
10Jacob deGrom (NYM)SP
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12Francisco Lindor (CLE)SS
13Gerrit Cole (FA)SP
14Freddie Freeman (ATL)1B
15Javier Baez (CHC)2B,3B
16Charlie Blackmon (COL)CF
17Aaron Judge (NYY)RF,DH
18Juan Soto (WSH)LF
19Anthony Rendon (FA)3B
20Bryce Harper (PHI)CF,RF
21Jose Altuve (HOU)2B
22Xander Bogaerts (BOS)SS
23Starling Marte (PIT)CF
24Walker Buehler (LAD)SP
25Manny Machado (SD)3B,SS
26Anthony Rizzo (CHC)1B
27Kris Bryant (CHC)3B,RF
28Whit Merrifield (KC)1B,2B
29George Springer (HOU)CF,RF
30Paul Goldschmidt (STL)1B
1Anthony Davis (LAL)PF,C
2James Harden (HOU)PG,SG
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4Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL)SF,PF
5Kevin Durant (BKN)SF,PF
6LeBron James (LAL)SF,PF
7Stephen Curry (GSW)PG,SG
8Damian Lillard (POR)PG
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10Nikola Jokic (DEN)PF,C
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11Kawhi Leonard (LAC)SG,SF
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13Joel Embiid (PHI)PF,C
14Paul George (LAC)SF,PF
15Chris Paul (OKC)PG
16Ben Simmons (PHI)PG,SF
17Kyrie Irving (BKN)PG,SG
18Kemba Walker (BOS)PG
19Jrue Holiday (NOR)PG,SG
20Jimmy Butler (MIA)SG,SF
21Kyle Lowry (TOR)PG
22Donovan Mitchell (UTH)PG,SG
23Andre Drummond (DET)PF,C
24Rudy Gobert (UTH)C
25John Wall (WAS)PG
26Bradley Beal (WAS)SG
27Kevin Love (CLE)PF,C
28Khris Middleton (MIL)SG,SF
29Devin Booker (PHO)PG,SG
30LaMarcus Aldridge (SAS)PF,C
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