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FanDuel NFL Lineup Advice: Week 14 (Full Slate)

by Elliott Baas | @ElliottBaasBB | Featured Writer
Dec 4, 2019

Devonta Freeman is primed to feast on Carolina’s poor rushing defense

It’s Week 14, which means playoff time is here in season-long fantasy, but don’t worry if your team didn’t quite make the cut. There’s still plenty of winnings to be had on FanDuel with a loaded Week 14 slate. This article covers the full Thu-Mon contests, which include all 16 NFL games this week.

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Quarterback 

Carson Wentz (PHI): $7,700 vs. NYG
Wentz is coming off his best game since Week 1, putting up 310 passing yards and three touchdowns in Philadelphia’s embarrassing loss to the Dolphins in Week 13. He follows up that excellent matchup with another, facing the New York Giants at home. The Giants have allowed the sixth-most fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks this season, along with the highest yards per attempt and third-highest aDOT. They just gave up four passing touchdowns to Aaron Rodgers and have allowed more than 30 points in four of their last five games. Wentz’s overall numbers don’t look great, but four straight games against top-eight pass defenses between Weeks 7-11 (with a bye) have really dragged down Wentz’s numbers. Those tough matchups have kept his salary plenty affordable in an excellent matchup and Wentz should have no problem hitting value in this one.

Running Back

Melvin Gordon III (LAC): $7,300 @ JAC
Gordon has been a workhorse for the Chargers over the last four weeks, averaging 21.25 touches per game during that stretch. He also draws a great matchup in Week 14 against the Jaguars, who have allowed the sixth-most fantasy points per game to opposing running backs. They’ve also allowed the second-highest yards per carry and third-most rushing touchdowns in the NFL. They gave up a pair of scores to Peyton Barber last week and 159 yards and two more touchdowns to Derrick Henry two weeks ago. With his volume and ability, Gordon is in a prime position to explode this week. Even better, he’s priced as an RB2 despite major RB1 upside.

Le’Veon Bell (NYJ): $7,300 vs. MIA
Bell has had a slew of soft matchups over the last few weeks and he gets another in Week 14 as the Jets host the Dolphins. The Dolphins have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points per game to running backs this season along with most rushing yards and rushing attempts against. The Jets are a -5.5 favorite in this one and, with Sam Darnold banged up, they’ll look to build a lead and grind clock with Bell. Like Gordon, Bell is a premier talent in a juicy matchup priced as an RB2. As a duo, we’ll get tons of value out of both Bell and Gordon.

Wide Receivers

Stefon Diggs (MIN): $8,000 vs. DET
With Adam Thielen on the shelf, Diggs is the clear-cut number one target in Minnesota. His production has soared while Thielen’s been hobbled with an average of 15.7 points per game over the last seven weeks. He takes on a Detroit defense that has allowed the ninth-most fantasy points per game to opposing receivers, including the fourth-most receiving yards in the league. They gave up double-digit points to both Anthony Miller and Allen Robinson II last week and have allowed a receiver to top 140 yards in two of their last three games. Veteran corner Darius Slay has taken a big step back this season and is vulnerable to a receiver of Diggs’ quality. With Thielen and Dalvin Cook banged up, Diggs could be in line for a huge performance against a weak opponent as the Vikings’ only healthy playmaker.

Alshon Jeffery (PHI): $7,100 vs. NYG
Jeffery was a huge target for Carson Wentz last week, hauling in nine catches on 16 targets for 137 yards and a score. He could be in for a repeat performance against the Giants since New York has allowed the second-most points per game to opposing receivers, second-most receiving yards, and the highest average yards per target in the league. An already poor secondary has been rendered even worse without safety Jabrill Peppers despite the surprisingly effective play of rookie replacement Julian Love. First-round draft pick Deandre Baker has been an abomination as one of the Giants’ starting corners and if Jeffery can face him instead of Janoris Jenkins, he could teach the rookie some hard lessons about NFL football. Jeffery and Wentz are a high-upside stack that can be had on the cheap, allowing us to fill out a strong lineup all around with big scoring potential.

Zach Pascal (IND): $6,100 @ TB
Pascal has taken over as the Colts’ No. 1 receiver with T.Y. Hilton out and Pascal showed up big time last week with seven catches on 10 targets for 109 yards against Tennessee. He faces an even easier matchup this week, as the Colts hit the road to Tampa Bay for a cross-conference duel with the Buccaneers. Tampa Bay has been decimated by wide receivers this season, surrendering the most fantasy points, receiving yards, and receptions to wideouts in 2019. If Hilton is out again, Pascal is a no-brainer at this price. Even if Hilton does play, Pascal is a high-upside WR3 in such a juicy matchup.

Tight End

Vance McDonald (PIT): $5,800 @ ARI
The Cardinals have been helpless against tight ends this season and just gave up a 20-point performance to Tyler Higbee. Not only have the Cardinals allowed the most fantasy points to opposing tight ends, but they have allowed 44% more production than the next worst team. Tight ends have found the end zone a whopping 13 times against Arizona, while no other team has allowed more than eight touchdowns to the position. McDonald may be coming off a few lackluster weeks, but I’d trust just about any tight end against the Cardinals. His low price makes him all the more appealing, as does the likely absence of JuJu Smith-Schuster. McDonald is the go-to cheap tight end for Week 14.

Flex

Devonta Freeman (ATL): $6,000 vs. CAR
Carolina may have just fired their coach, but unfortunately for David Tepper, he can’t ax his league-worst rush defense until the offseason. The Panthers have been torched by opposing backs for the most fantasy points per game, the most rushing touchdowns, and the highest average yards per carry. They were carved up by the duo of Derrius Guice and Adrian Peterson for a combined 220 yards and three touchdowns on 23 carries.

Freeman was thrown into a full workload immediately after his return last week with 21 touches against the Saints on Thanksgiving. Freeman has gotten the job done when he’s supposed to as well, with double-digit points in every game against a bottom-12 rush defense thus far. With 10 days to rest and no one to steal carries, Freeman is in an excellent position to produce in this one. 

Defense

Pittsburgh Steelers (PIT): $4,300 @ ARI
This game has just a 43.5 O/U and the Steelers’ defense has managed to top double-digit points in nine of their last 10 games. They’ve also forced at least one turnover in all but two games this season and currently lead the league in takeaways. Arizona has one of the worst offensive lines in football and has surrendered the fifth-most sacks in the league this year. That bodes well for Pittsburgh’s strong pass rush, as the Steelers have notched the third-most sacks in the league along with the second-highest amount of quarterback pressures. Arizona’s crumbling offensive line is no match for this ferocious front seven. The Steelers give us plenty of upside both through sacks and turnovers against a rebuilding Arizona squad.

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Elliott Baas is a correspondent at FantasyPros. For more from Elliott, check out his archive and follow him @elliottbaasbb.

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