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NFL Week 15 Injury Report Analysis (2022 Fantasy Football)

NFL Week 15 Injury Report Analysis (2022 Fantasy Football)

Y’all know the drill. Hit us up on Twitter (@SportMDAnalysis) and Instagram (@sportsmedanalytics) with your questions. Now let’s dive in.

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Lamar Jackson (QB – BAL)

The average timeline takes two to four weeks. Solid chance to play Week 16. Data suggests lower-than-average rushing production through Week 17.

JK Dobbins (RB – BAL)

Last week was likely not a fluke. The SportsMedAnalytics algorithm projects Dobbins to be at 90% of pre-injury form now 16 months out from the major surgery. RB ramp-ups average approximately three games, so expect his touches to keep rising in Weeks 15 and 16. Strong potential DFS value.

Deebo Samuel (WR – SF)

MCL averages two to four weeks. Moderate high ankle averages three to five. The video of his injury looked severe, but spreading the hit over two joints probably helped prevent either from being season-ending. Niners’ comments suggest return Week 18. Data suggests more likely to return in the first round of the playoffs. Skill position players usually take one game to ramp back up to full production.

Amari Cooper (WR – CLE)

Likely to play, but his practice involvement this week suggests that his performance is high risk to be impacted by injury. He’s still averaging eight targets per game since Deshaun Watson came back, so he’s still a solid starter in most year-long formats. Avoiding in DFS this week.

Aaron Jones (RB – GB)

TBD. Lean towards playing. RBs with low ankles typically play and maintain their per-play production. However, their teams tend to use a more committee-based approach. Still starting for me in season-long, but AJ Dillon may be worth a second look in some DFS lineups.

Romeo Doubs (WR – GB)

Expect to play. WRs tend to see performance dips lasting six weeks after high ankle sprains, so Week 16 and onwards looks promising.

Mike White (QB – NYJ)

Average time out is two to four weeks, but recent data trends on the lower side of that spectrum. Lean towards White missing Week 16 as well.

Corey Davis (WR – NYJ)

Out this week. Solid chance to return Week 16, but it’s not guaranteed since the Jets are playing Thursday night. When WRs return, they don’t see any negative performance hit from these.

Tyler Boyd (WR – CIN)

Clean dislocation without fracture is great news for Boyd. It gives him a solid chance to play Week 15. Wouldn’t expect major performance impact if he’s active.

Tee Higgins (WR – CIN)

TBD. Lean towards playing. Factoring in his injury and practice data, the SportsMedAnalytics algorithm rates him a 60% chance of suiting up. Re-injury risk is relatively high (~20%), but performance impact is low (~10%).

Russell Wilson (QB – DEN)

Very likely back Week 16 at full pre-injury production levels.

Courtland Sutton (WR – DEN)

Hamstrings average three weeks for WRs, so there’s a solid chance Sutton returns to practice next week and plays Wk 16 or 17. WRs tend to come back at 90% of pre-injury form.

Dameon Pierce (RB – HOU)

Out this week. High ankle sprains vary, but the fact that he tried to play through it in Week 15 suggests this is relatively mild. Average return timeline for RBs is two to three weeks, but these do tend to have a lingering performance impact for the first game back.

Trevor Lawrence (QB – JAC)

TBD. Lean towards playing. Most players are able to play using a supportive shoe insert without much performance impact.

DJ Moore (WR – CAR)

TBD. Lean towards sitting. While most WRs play through ankles, our algorithm rates him just below 50% chance of playing based on his practice progression this week.

Damien Harris (RB – NE)

Out this week. Likely back Week 16. Most quad strains don’t cause performance impact four weeks out.

Rhamondre Stevenson (RB – NE)

TBD. Lean towards sitting. While most low ankles would be played through by RBs, the fact that he already re-aggravated it combined with his slow practice progression suggests a highly elevated re-injury risk if he’s active.

Josh Jacobs (RB – LV)

Likely playing. Wouldn’t expect much performance impact from either quad or finger injury, but a bad hit or fall on that finger could make it hard for Jacobs to catch passes as the game goes on.

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