One of the key aspects to being a successful fantasy football player at any level is preparation. Preparation comes in various forms, and there is no right or wrong way to do it. What works for one fantasy player may not work best for another. I am a 14-year fantasy football veteran and play in several high stakes leagues every year, yet I am still always learning and finding new ways to prepare. Average Draft Position (ADP), Expert Consensus Rankings (ECR), Strength of Schedule (SOS), consistency ratings, and past fantasy rankings are some excellent tools to prep for upcoming drafts. The only problem is the amount of time it takes to research all of those categories for every player at every position.
Well, what if I told you that all of that information plus more could be found all in one spot? That would be pretty awesome, right? You’re in luck because we here at FantasyPros have got you covered! Before we get to the Wide Receiver Super Chart, here is a quick overview of each category:
- Expert Consensus Rankings (ECR): The average rankings from a group of experts in the fantasy industry, compiled by FantasyPros.
- Average Draft Position (ADP): Data taken from Fantasy Football Calculator.
- Last Year (LY)/2016/2015 Rank: Where the player finished among his position at the conclusion of the listed season. These rankings are based on points per game, which is a more accurate measure for determining a player’s true upside and value.
- 15+ Point (PT.) Game (GM): Percentage of games with 15 or more fantasy points in 2017.
- 20+ Point (PT.) Game (GM): Percentage of games with 20 or more fantasy points in 2017.
- FPPG: Fantasy points per game in 2017, based on PPR formats.
- Strength of Schedule (SOS): Strength of Schedule rankings from Weeks 1-16. The lower the rankings, the easier the matchups are. SOS data is taken from FF Toolbox.
Best Use of the Super Chart
The best way to utilize this super chart is to spend some time studying it before your draft. Print a copy and use it as your cheat sheet on draft day so you still have access to all of the numbers, as well as the ECR and ADP from respected individuals in the fantasy football industry. For updated ECRs and ADPs, follow @1ststopfantasy on Twitter.
There is so much information that we just cannot fit it onto one page. Here is a sample of the Wide Receiver Super Chart and to view the chart in its entirety, please click here.
* = Player missed at least four games that season, thus potentially affecting that particular category.
| ECR | Player | Bye | ADP | 2017 RK | 12+pt gm | 20+ pt gm | FPPG | SOS | 2017 Stats | 2016 Stats | 2015 Stats | Age |
| 1 | Antonio Brown | 7 | 5.1 | WR 1 | 71% | 57% | 22.2 | 21st | 101 – 1,533 – 9 | 106 – 1,284 – 12 | 136 – 1,834 – 10 | 29 |
| 2 | DeAndre Hopkins | 10 | 8.5 | WR 2 | 93% | 33% | 20.7 | 25th | 96 – 1,378 – 13 | 78 – 954 – 4 | 111 – 1,521 – 11 | 26 |
| 3 | Odell Beckham | 9 | 10.5 | WR 3 | 75% | 50% | 18.5 | 7th | 25 – 302 – 3* | 101 – 1,367 – 10 | 96 – 1,450 – 13 | 25 |
| 4 | Julio Jones | 8 | 13.8 | WR 7 | 63% | 19% | 15.9 | 1st | 88 – 1,444 – 3 | 83 – 1,409 – 6 | 136 – 1,871 – 8 | 29 |
| 5 | Michael Thomas | 6 | 15.3 | WR 6 | 75% | 31% | 16.2 | 8th | 104 – 1,245 – 5 | 92 – 1,137 – 9 | N/A | 25 |
| 6 | Keenan Allen | 8 | 16.4 | WR 4 | 50% | 25% | 16.7 | 23rd | 102 – 1,393 – 6 | 6 – 63 – 0* | 67 – 725 – 4* | 26 |
| 7 | Davante Adams | 7 | 18.7 | WR 7 | 64% | 36% | 15.9 | 18th | 74 – 885 – 10 | 75 – 997 – 12 | 50 – 483 – 1 | 25 |
| 8 | A.J. Green | 9 | 20.1 | WR 12 | 50% | 25% | 14.9 | 30th | 75 – 1,078 – 8 | 66 – 964 – 4* | 86 – 1,297 – 10 | 29 |
| 9 | Mike Evans | 5 | 24.5 | WR 16 | 67% | 13% | 13.6 | 6th | 71 – 1,001 – 5 | 96 – 1,321 – 12 | 74 – 1,206 – 3 | 24 |
| 10 | Adam Thielen | 10 | 29.5 | WR 11 | 56% | 31% | 15.2 | 16th | 91 – 1,276 – 4 | 69 – 967 – 5 | 12 – 144 – 0 | 27 |
| 11 | Doug Baldwin | 7 | 26.8 | WR 18 | 56% | 25% | 13.4 | 11th | 75 – 991 – 8 | 94 – 1,128 – 7 | 78 – 1,069 – 14 | 29 |
| 12 | Larry Fitzgerald | 9 | 33.7 | WR 5 | 63% | 38% | 16.5 | 5th | 109 – 1,156 – 6 | 107 – 1,023 – 6 | 109 – 1,215 – 9 | 34 |
| 13 | T.Y. Hilton | 9 | 27 | WR 33 | 31% | 19% | 11.4 | 32nd | 57 – 966 – 4 | 91 – 1,448 – 6 | 69 – 1,124 – 5 | 28 |
| 14 | Stefon Diggs | 10 | 32.4 | WR 14 | 64% | 14% | 13.9 | 16th | 64 – 849 – 8 | 84 – 903 – 3 | 52 – 720 – 4 | 24 |
| 15 | Demaryius Thomas | 10 | 39.6 | WR 25 | 50% | 19% | 12.5 | 19th | 83 – 949 – 5 | 90 – 1,083 – 5 | 105 – 1,304 – 6 | 30 |
| 16 | Tyreek Hill | 12 | 32.6 | WR 7 | 67% | 27% | 15.9 | 27th | 75 – 1,183 – 7 | 61 – 593 – 6 | N/A | 24 |
| 17 | Amari Cooper | 7 | 36.3 | WR 43 | 29% | 14% | 10.6 | 22nd | 48 – 680 – 7 | 83 – 1,153 – 5 | 72 – 1,070 – 6 | 24 |
| 18 | Golden Tate | 6 | 44.6 | WR 20 | 56% | 31% | 13.3 | 14th | 92 – 1,003 – 5 | 91 – 1,077 – 4 | 90 – 813 – 6 | 29 |
| 19 | Allen Robinson | 5 | 45.5 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 9th | 1 – 17 – 0* | 73 – 883 – 6 | 80 – 1,400 – 14 | 24 |
| 20 | Alshon Jeffery | 9 | 51.4 | WR 23 | 44% | 13% | 12.9 | 15th | 57 – 789 – 9 | 52 – 821 – 2* | 54 – 807 – 4* | 28 |
| 21 | Jarvis Landry | 11 | 53 | WR 10 | 69% | 31% | 15.7 | 31st | 112 – 987 – 9 | 94 – 1,136 – 4 | 110 – 1,157 – 4 | 25 |
| 22 | JuJu Smith-Schuster | 7 | 43.5 | WR 25 | 43% | 21% | 12.5 | 21st | 58 – 917 – 7 | N/A | N/A | 21 |
| 23 | Brandin Cooks | 12 | 47.8 | WR 18 | 56% | 19% | 13.4 | 13th | 65 – 1,082 – 7 | 78 – 1,173, 8 | 84 – 1,138 – 9 | 24 |
| 24 | Josh Gordon | 11 | 41.7 | WR 44 | 60% | 0% | 10.5 | 31st | 18 – 335 – 1* | N/A | N/A | 27 |
| 25 | Marvin Jones | 6 | 59.3 | WR 15 | 44% | 13% | 13.8 | 14th | 61 – 1,101 – 9 | 55 – 930 – 4 | 65 – 816 – 4 | 28 |
| 26 | Michael Crabtree | 10 | 64.3 | WR 13 | 57% | 21% | 14 | 29th | 58 – 618 – 8 | 89 – 1,003 – 8 | 85 – 922 – 9 | 30 |
| 27 | Corey Davis | 8 | 60.9 | WR 74 | 18% | 0% | 7 | 28th | 34 – 375 – 0* | N/A | N/A | 23 |
| 28 | Pierre Garcon | 11 | 75.9 | WR 36 | 38% | 13% | 11.3 | 12th | 40 – 500 – 0* | 79 – 1,041 – 3 | 72 – 777 – 6 | 31 |
| 29 | Sammy Watkins | 12 | 68.2 | WR 50 | 40% | 7% | 9.8 | 27th | 39 – 593 – 8 | 28 – 430 – 2* | 60 – 1,047 – 9 | 25 |
| 30 | Emmanuel Sanders | 10 | 79.2 | WR 54 | 42% | 8% | 9.5 | 19th | 47 – 555 – 2* | 79 – 1,032 – 5 | 76 – 1,135 – 6 | 31 |
| 31 | Chris Hogan | 11 | 56.9 | WR 27 | 44% | 22% | 12.2 | 26th | 34 – 439 – 5* | 38 – 680 – 4 | 36 – 450 – 2 | 29 |
| 32 | Robert Woods | 12 | 99.1 | WR 16 | 50% | 17% | 13.6 | 13th | 56 – 781 – 5* | 51 – 613 – 1 | 47 – 552 – 3 | 26 |
| 33 | Jamison Crowder | 4 | 82.2 | WR 38 | 40% | 13% | 11.1 | 10th | 66 – 789 – 3 | 67 – 847 – 7 | 59 – 604 – 2 | 25 |
| 34 | Randall Cobb | 7 | 80.7 | WR 40 | 40% | 7% | 10.9 | 18th | 66 – 653 – 4 | 60 – 610 – 4 | 79 – 829 – 6 | 27 |
| 35 | Cooper Kupp | 12 | 90.7 | WR 32 | 40% | 7% | 11.8 | 13th | 62 – 869 – 5 | N/A | N/A | 25 |
| 36 | Devin Funchess | 4 | 86.7 | WR 29 | 50% | 13% | 12.1 | 2nd | 63 – 840 – 8 | 23 – 371 – 4 | 31 – 473 – 5 | 24 |
| 37 | Robby Anderson | 11 | 92.1 | WR 21 | 44% | 13% | 13.2 | 24th | 63 – 941 – 7 | 42 – 587 – 2 | N/A | 25 |
| 38 | Devante Parker | 11 | 94.8 | WR 50 | 54% | 8% | 9.8 | 3rd | 57 – 670 – 1 | 56 – 744 – 4 | 26 – 494 – 3 | 25 |
| 39 | Julian Edelman | 11 | 66.6 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 26th | N/A | 98 – 1,106 – 3 | 61 – 692 – 7* | 32 |
| 40 | Marquise Goodwin | 11 | 99 | WR 44 | 38% | 6% | 10.5 | 12th | 56 – 962 – 2 | 29 – 431 – 3 | 2 – 24 – 0* | 27 |
| 41 | Sterling Shepard | 9 | 111.6 | WR 22 | 45% | 27% | 13.1 | 7th | 59 – 731 – 2* | 65 – 683 – 8 | N/A | 24 |
| 42 | Nelson Agholor | 9 | 115.3 | WR 24 | 50% | 13% | 12.6 | 15th | 62 – 768 – 8 | 36 – 365 – 2 | 23 – 283 – 1 | 25 |
| 43 | Jordy Nelson | 7 | 96.3 | WR 50 | 27% | 20% | 9.8 | 22nd | 53 – 482 – 6 | 97 – 1,257 – 14 | N/A | 33 |
| 44 | Will Fuller | 10 | 71.6 | WR 27 | 40% | 20% | 12.2 | 25th | 28 – 423 – 7* | 47 – 635 – 2 | N/A | 24 |
| 45 | Kenny Stills | 11 | 130.3 | WR 37 | 25% | 13% | 11.2 | 3rd | 58 – 847 – 6 | 42 – 726 – 9 | 27 – 440 – 3 | 26 |
| 46 | Kelvin Benjamin | 11 | 118.2 | WR 47 | 43% | 0% | 10 | 4th | 48 – 692 – 3 | 63 – 941 – 7 | N/A | 27 |
| 47 | Marqise Lee | 9 | 123.8 | WR 33 | 36% | 14% | 11.4 | 20th | 56 – 702 – 3 | 63 – 851 – 3 | 15 – 191 – 1* | 26 |
| 48 | Rishard Matthews | 8 | 132.3 | WR 31 | 36% | 21% | 11.9 | 28th | 53 – 795 – 4 | 65 – 945 – 9 | 43 – 662 – 4* | 28 |
| 49 | Allen Hurns | 8 | 106.6 | WR 46 | 30% | 10% | 10.3 | 17th | 39 – 484 – 2* | 35 – 477 – 3* | 64 – 1,031 – 10 | 26 |
| 50 | Josh Doctson | 4 | 136.8 | WR 63 | 19% | 0% | 8 | 10th | 35 – 502 – 6 | 2 – 66 – 0* | N/A | 25 |
| 51 | Kenny Golladay | 6 | 143.5 | WR 64 | 18% | 9% | 7.9 | 14th | 28 – 477 – 3* | N/A | N/A | 24 |
| 52 | D.J. Moore | 4 | 112.8 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 2nd | N/A | N/A | N/A | 21 |
| 53 | Cameron Meredith | 6 | 121.7 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 8th | N/A | 66 – 888 – 4 | 11 – 120 – 0* | 25 |
| 54 | Mohamed Sanu | 8 | 162.8 | WR 33 | 53% | 13% | 11.4 | 1st | 67 – 703 – 5 | 59 – 653 – 4 | 33 – 394 – 0 | 28 |
| 55 | DeSean Jackson | 5 | 165.8 | WR 49 | 43% | 0% | 9.9 | 6th | 50 – 668 – 3 | 56 – 1,005 – 4 | 30 – 528 – 4* | 31 |
| 56 | Dez Bryant | N/A | N/A | WR 29 | 50% | 0% | 12.1 | N/A | 69 – 838 – 6 | 50 – 796 – 8 | 31 – 401 – 3* | 29 |
| 57 | Tyler Lockett | 7 | 156.2 | WR 68 | 25% | 6% | 7.5 | 11th | 45 – 555 – 2 | 41 – 597 – 1 | 51 – 664 – 6 | 25 |
| 58 | Anthony Miller | 5 | 147.4 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 9th | N/A | N/A | N/A | 23 |
| 59 | Paul Richardson | 4 | 157.4 | WR 47 | 19% | 6% | 10 | 10th | 44 – 703 – 6 | 21 – 288 – 1 | 1 – 40 – 0* | 26 |
| 60 | Dede Westbrook | 9 | 160 | WR 42 | N/A | N/A | 10.8 | 20th | 27 – 339 – 1* | N/A | N/A | 24 |
| 61 | Tyrell Williams | 8 | 163.6 | WR 60 | 25% | 13% | 8.1 | 23rd | 43 – 728 – 4 | 69 – 1,059 – 7 | 2 – 90 – 1* | 26 |
| 62 | Mike Williams | 8 | 127.7 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 23rd | N/A | N/A | N/A | 23 |
| 63 | Calvin Ridley | 8 | 114.5 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1st | N/A | N/A | N/A | 23 |
| 64 | Ted Ginn | 6 | N/A | WR 40 | 47% | 6% | 10.9 | 8th | 53 – 787 – 4 | 54 – 752 – 4 | 44 – 739 – 10 | 33 |
| 65 | Michael Gallup | 8 | 145.9 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 17th | N/A | N/A | N/A | 22 |
| 66 | Danny Amendola | 11 | 156.5 | WR 55 | 33% | 7% | 9.3 | 3rd | 61 – 659 – 2 | 23 – 243 – 4* | 65 – 648 – 3 | 32 |
| 67 | Chris Godwin | 5 | N/A | WR 100+ | 13% | 6% | 4.9 | 6th | 34 – 525 – 1 | N/A | N/A | 22 |
| 68 | Cole Beasley | 8 | N/A | WR 85 | 13% | 0% | 6.1 | 17th | 36 – 314 – 4 | 75 – 833 – 5 | 52 – 536 – 5 | 29 |
| 69 | Donte Moncrief | 9 | N/A | WR 80 | 17% | 0% | 6.4 | 20th | 26 – 391 – 2* | 30 – 307 – 7* | 64 – 733 – 6 | 24 |
| 70 | Brandon Marshall | 7 | N/A | WR 77 | N/A | N/A | 6.7 | 11th | 18 – 154 – 0* | 59 – 788 – 3 | 109 – 1,502 – 14 | 34 |
| 71 | Christian Kirk | 9 | 164.7 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 5th | N/A | N/A | N/A | 21 |
| 72 | Corey Coleman | 11 | N/A | WR 66 | N/A | N/A | 7.8 | 31st | 23 – 305 – 2* | 33 – 413 – 3* | N/A | 23 |
| 73 | Keelan Cole | 9 | 164.5 | WR 58 | 25% | 6% | 8.5 | 20th | 42 – 748 – 3 | N/A | N/A | 25 |
| 74 | Geronimo Allison | 7 | 139 | WR 100+ | N/A | N/A | 3.9 | 18th | 23 – 253 – 0 | 12 – 202 – 2* | N/A | 24 |
| 75 | Jordan Matthews | 11 | 156.3 | WR 94 | N/A | N/A | 5.7 | 26th | 25 – 282 – 1* | 73 – 804 – 3 | 85 – 997 – 8 | 25 |
| 76 | Jermaine Kearse | 11 | N/A | WR 39 | 31% | 19% | 11 | 24th | 65 – 810 – 5 | 41 – 510 – 1 | 49 – 685 – 5 | 28 |
| 77 | Martavis Bryant | 7 | 135.6 | WR 57 | 27% | 0% | 8.6 | 22nd | 50 – 603 – 3 | N/A | 50 – 765 – 6* | 26 |
| 78 | Quincy Enunwa | 11 | 159.1 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 24th | N/A | 58 – 857 – 4 | 22 – 315 – 0* | 26 |
| 79 | Terrance Williams | 8 | N/A | WR 72 | 13% | 6% | 7.2 | 17th | 53 – 568 – 0 | 44 – 594 – 4 | 52 – 840 – 3 | 28 |
| 80 | Mike Wallace | 9 | N/A | WR 53 | 40% | 0% | 9.7 | 15th | 52 – 748 – 4 | 72 – 1,017 – 4 | 39 – 473 – 2 | 31 |
| 80+ | Courtland Sutton | 10 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 19th | N/A | N/A | N/A | 22 |
| 80+ | Terrelle Pryor | 11 | N/A | WR 83 | 22% | 0% | 24th | 20 – 240 – 1* | 77 – 1,007 – 4 | 1 – 42 – 0* | 29 | |
| 80+ | Ryan Grant | 9 | N/A | WR 60 | 19% | 0% | 8.1 | 32nd | 45 – 573 – 4 | 9 – 76 – 0 | 23 – 268 – 2 | 27 |
| 80+ | Dante Pettis | 11 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 12th | N/A | N/A | N/A | 22 |
| 80+ | Willie Snead | 10 | N/A | WR 100+ | N/A | N/A | 1.9 | 29th | 8 – 92 – 0* | 72 – 895 – 4 | 69 – 984 – 3 | 25 |
| 80+ | Albert Wilson | 11 | N/A | WR 67 | 31% | 8% | 7.6 | 3rd | 42 – 554 – 3 | 31 – 279 – 2 | 35 – 451 – 2 | 25 |
| 80+ | James Washington | 7 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 21st | N/A | N/A | N/A | 22 |
| 80+ | Zay Jones | 11 | N/A | WR 100+ | 13% | 0% | 5.1 | 4th | 27 – 316 – 2 | N/A | N/A | 23 |
| 80+ | Trent Taylor | 11 | N/A | WR 79 | 13% | 0% | 6.5 | 12th | 43 – 430 – 2 | N/A | N/A | 24 |
| 80+ | Torrey Smith | 4 | N/A | WR 87 | 13% | 0% | 6 | 2nd | 36 – 430 – 2 | 20 – 267 – 3* | 33 – 663 – 4 | 29 |
| 80+ | Deon Cain | 9 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 32nd | N/A | N/A | N/A | 21 |
| 80+ | Tre’Quan Smith | 6 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 8th | N/A | N/A | N/A | 22 |
| 80+ | J’Mon Moore | 7 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 18th | N/A | N/A | N/A | 23 |
| 80+ | Ryan Switzer | 7 | N/A | WR 100+ | N/A | N/A | N/A | 22nd | 6 – 41 – 0 | N/A | N/A | 23 |
WR Strategy Talk
Contrary to the running back position, the wide receiver draft class is extremely deep this year, which is one of the main reasons I stress the concept of drafting your backs early. However, that doesn’t mean you should completely ignore wide receivers in the early rounds. It’s difficult to recommend a specific strategy because there are so many variables, such as league rules and scoring, number of teams, number of rounds, and draft position. Having said that, in PPR 12-person leagues, I typically like to target one of the few elite receivers at the back-end of the first round or in the early second on the turn.
I always go into the early rounds with the mindset of taking any workhorse running back I can get, but if they are off the board, that is when I start to consider the wide receiver position next. One thing to keep in mind is that there are tons of starting-caliber receivers all the way up to the 10th or 11th round, and after that, there are still several sleepers with huge upside. Whereas with running backs, the steep drop off comes rather quickly as there are a very limited number of players I would consider taking in the double-digit rounds. Let me show you what I mean:
Running Backs
| Player | ADP | 2017 Points Per Game |
| Aaron Jones | 9.02 (97.8 overall) | 8 FPPG |
| Chris Carson | 9.07 (103 overall) | 9.9 FPPG |
| Nick Chubb | 9.10 (106 overall) | N/A |
| Corey Clement | 10.04 (112.4 overall) | 6.2 FPPG |
| Nyheim Hines | 10.09 (116.6 overall) | N/A |
Wide Receivers
| Player | ADP | 2017 Points Per Game |
| Marquise Goodwin | 9.03 (99 overall) | 10.5 FPPG |
| Robert Woods | 9.03 (99.1 overall) | 13.6 FPPG |
| Allen Hurns | 9.11 (106.6 overall) | 9.9 FPPG |
| Nelson Agholor | 10.07 (115.3 overall) | 12.1 FPPG |
| Kelvin Benjamin | 10.10 (118.2 overall) | 9.7 FPPG |
As you can see, I took five players from both position groups with nearly identical ADPs in the ninth and 10th round. Not only did the receivers outperform the listed running backs last season, but they are also in a prime position to do it again this year, probably by a much larger margin. Let’s break it down.
Aaron Jones is suspended for the first two games of the season and finds himself in a three-way rotation at best. Chris Carson will likely play second fiddle to Rashaad Penny in Seattle. Nick Chubb will also be in a three-way rotation with Carlos Hyde and Duke Johnson. Corey Clement is listed as a backup to Jay Ajayi in Philadelphia. Nyheim Hines figures to be a third-down back working behind Marlon Mack and possibly Jordan Wilkins.
Compare that to the five receivers with a similar ADP. Marquise Goodwin is having a solid camp and looks destined to pick up where he left off last season when he finished as the WR8 during the final five weeks. Robert Woods was a top-20 WR in points per game and should produce similar numbers in 2018. Allen Hurns is listed as the number one receiver for the Dallas Cowboys. Nelson Agholor scored just two fewer points than Alshon Jeffery and will be a crucial part of one of the top passing offenses in the NFL. Kelvin Benjamin is the unquestioned number one receiver for a Bills team that will likely be trailing often, resulting in plenty of volume and garbage time opportunities.
The difference in quality between the backs and receivers in the mid-to-late rounds is substantial. Therefore, aim to go RB heavy early on and then load up with several WRs later in the draft to give your roster balance and the best chance to win.
Here is an example of a strong WR corps based on their current ADP if you are picking out of the six spot:
- A.J. Green (Round 2)
- Jarvis Landry (Round 5)
- Randall Cobb (Round 7)
- Allen Hurns (Round 9)
- Nelson Agholor (Round 10)
- Tyler Lockett (Round 13)
This is a very conservative, yet practical approach to the wide receiver position in PPR formats. This allows you the opportunity to select four running backs within the first six rounds, as well as landing a solid tight end in the eighth. Green gives you the elite production and ability. Landry gives you the high-floor WR2 with added PPR value, and Cobb and Agholor give you two quality starting receivers in high-volume passing offenses with two premier quarterbacks throwing to them. Hurns is a high-floor WR4 with WR2 upside as the Cowboys’ top receiver. Lastly, Lockett is as good as it gets for a WR6, likely playing opposite of Doug Baldwin in Seattle.
Quick Hits
- DeAndre Hopkins was the most consistent fantasy WR in 2017, scoring 12-plus points in 93 percent of his matchups.
- Antonio Brown scored 20 or more fantasy points in 57 percent of his matchups last year, which was 24 percent higher than the next best rating of 33 percent by Hopkins.
- Antonio Brown, Odell Beckham, Julio Jones, A.J. Green, Doug Baldwin, Larry Fitzgerald, Jarvis Landry, and Brandin Cooks are the only receivers to rank in the top 20 in fantasy points per game in each of the past three seasons.
- Josh Gordon, Corey Davis, Kelvin Benjamin, and Josh Doctson are the only receivers with an ECR of 50 or better who failed to score 20 or more points in a single game in 2017.
- Larry Fitzgerald & Antonio Brown are the only two receivers to record 100-plus receptions in each of the past three seasons.
Best Values
1) Keelan Cole (JAX)
The Jaguars are loaded with depth at the receiver position, and it appears to be anyone’s guess as to who will start. Donte Moncrief signed a lucrative one-year deal, so Jacksonville has no long-term commitment to him and thus has no reason to automatically plug him into the starting lineup. Dede Westbrook showed some flashes, but missed nine games due to injury in his rookie season.
Marqise Lee has the most experience, but has only managed to stay healthy for one full season. Lee has also posted mediocre career-highs of 63 receptions, 851 yards, and three touchdowns. He is penciled in as a starter, but certainly can lose that job if he doesn’t start producing better numbers in a hurry. That leaves the best for last, Keelan Cole.
Cole exploded onto the scene halfway through his rookie year, as he ranked 13th in fantasy points during the second half of the season. He was even better in the fantasy playoffs, scoring 51.3 points in Weeks 14-16, good enough for second best and just one single yard behind DeAndre Hopkins for the top spot. The second-year receiver is a low-risk/high-reward pick based on his current ADP of Round 14. I don’t see any scenario where he doesn’t blow past his ECR of 73 amongst all wide receivers.
2) Tyler Lockett (SEA)
Despite playing through a PCL tear for most of the 2017 season, Lockett still managed to rank third on the team in yards with 555 on just 69 targets. That number should spike significantly for many reasons. For starters, the departures of Jimmy Graham and Paul Richardson frees up 178 targets. The recent news of Doug Baldwin battling a knee ailment could result in the All-Pro either missing games or trying to play through a lingering injury.
The Seahawks defense continues to get significantly worse with Michael Bennett, Kam Chancellor, and Richard Sherman no longer with the team. Earl Thomas could be another key defensive member not on the field if he doesn’t end his holdout. A weak defense will lead to more shootouts and will force Seattle to throw the ball more in 2018. These are all significant factors that boost Lockett’s fantasy value as the number two receiver on a high-volume passing offense. Give me Lockett in the 13th round all day and twice on Sundays.
3) Nelson Agholor (PHI)
Agholor is coming off a career-high in targets (95), receptions (62), yards (768), and touchdowns (eight). He also posted career highs in yards per reception with 12.4 and a 65.3-percent catch rate. Agholor has been praised for displaying incredible speed and reliable hands so far in camp. If those reports are true, then we could see the fourth-year receiver improve his stat line once again in 2018.
With Alshon Jeffery still recovering from surgery to repair a torn rotator cuff, it wouldn’t be surprising to see Agholor emerge as the top receiver to start the season in Philly. Drafting a starting receiver with an elite quarterback in a pass-first offense in the 10th round is an exceptional value. As mentioned earlier, keep in mind that Agholor’s ADP is five rounds later than teammate Alshon Jeffery, even though he scored just two fewer points in 2017.
4) Kenny Stills (MIA)
After ranking 37th in fantasy points per game last season, Stills somehow has an ECR of 45. Is he going to drop eight spots with Jarvis Landry’s 160 targets freed up? Seems a little far-fetched, especially with DeVante Parker struggling throughout training camp. I fully expect Stills to lead the Dolphins in receptions and yards, while finishing the year as no worse than a WR3. The Miami receiver is currently being selected near the end of the 11th round.
5) Brandin Cooks (LAR)/Michael Crabtree (BAL)
Take your pick as both guys offer strong value based on their current ECRs and ADPs. Cooks has strung together three-consecutive 1,000-yard seasons and has scored an impressive 24 touchdowns during that span. He has an ECR of 23 despite never finishing worse than 18th in fantasy points per game.
Crabtree has scored at least eight touchdowns in three-straight years and has been a top-13 fantasy receiver in points per game in each of the past two seasons. He enters the 2018 campaign as the clear-cut top receiver for the Ravens and will likely be peppered with targets on a weekly basis. Crabtree has outperformed his current ECR of 26 on a points-per-game basis in each of the last three years. I don’t expect that to change now.
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Mike Dente is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @1ststopfantasy.