FanDuel NFL GPP Lineup Advice: Week 2

by Josh Shepardson | @BChad50 | Featured Writer
Sep 14, 2018

Alvin Kamara is a game-script proof back with an enticing matchup this week

This week’s FanDuel GPP lineup below features a three-man stack headlined by one of the seven quarterbacks to amass more than 300 yards passing in Week 1, and two of his three talented wideouts join him. The backfield is stacked with a pair of elite receiving backs capable of hitting home runs. Also included on the team are the game’s best receiver and a burgeoning young tight end.

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Quarterback

Case Keenum (DEN): $6,700 vs. Raiders
Keenum’s debut with the Broncos wasn’t perfect. He did toss three interceptions. However, he led his team to victory, and more importantly for gamers, he ripped off 329 yards passing and three touchdowns. He also absorbed only one sack, and he shouldn’t have much pressure to deal with against the Khalil Mack-less Raiders. According to Austin Gayle of Pro Football Focus, the Raiders tied for a league-low five total pressures in Week 1.

The Raiders are also on a short week as a result of playing in the second Monday Night Football game in the opening week doubleheader. Denver is a six-point favorite at home in a game with an over/under total of 46 points, per Pinnacle, giving them an implied team over/under total of 26 points.

Running Back

Alvin Kamara (NO): $9,000 vs. Browns
The Saints knocked some folks out of survivor pools in Week 1 with their loss to the Ryan Fitzpatrick-quarterbacked Buccaneers. Kamara — and the Saints offense, for that matter — don’t deserve blame, though. The explosive second-year back rushed eight times for 29 yards and a pair of scores, and he secured nine of 12 targets for 112 yards and another score through the air. He was an offensive dynamo in the opener, and he’s game-script proof. Whether the Saints defense shores things up in Week 2 and work with a big lead, or New Orleans gets once again stuck in a shootout, Kamara will get plenty of work.

He’ll also be getting that work in a juicy matchup. James Conner gashed Cleveland for an NFL-high 135 yards rushing in the season’s opening week, and while Conner looks good, he’s not the explosive back Kamara is. The sky’s the limit for Kamara this week, and getting sticker shock would be a mistake.

Christian McCaffrey (CAR): $7,400 @ Falcons
McCaffrey as a workhorse back didn’t succeed the way we had hoped in Week 1, but he did reach double-digit carries (10) for just the fourth time in his career and parlayed that work into 50 yards rushing. Unfortunately, he coughed up a fumble, but he didn’t end up in the doghouse as a result of the fumble. Cam Newton scored one red zone rushing touchdown, and fullback Alex Armah also plunged into the end zone from the one, but on the plus side, McCaffrey was in the backfield as the red-zone back on both of those scores. Eventually, his number will be called as long as he remains in the goal-line packages.

Not yet mentioned is McCaffrey’s stellar 6-45-0 line receiving on a team-high nine targets. The receiving game is where the second-year back shines, and with Greg Olsen out for a lengthy period with a foot injury, he should once again be the weekly favorite to top the team in most receiving categories. His receiving excellence is especially useful this week. Atlanta allowed just four receptions on seven targets for 22 yards to Philadelphia’s running backs in Week 1, per Pro-Football-Reference, but the Falcons have surrendered the most receptions to running backs in each of the last three years. In two games against the Falcons as a rookie, McCaffrey totaled 80 yards rushing on 21 carries with one touchdown, and he caught 10 of 14 targets for 68 yards.

Wide Receiver

Emmanuel Sanders (DEN): $6,800 vs. Raiders
Courtland Sutton (DEN): $4,700 vs. Raiders
I’m not going to waste any time revealing Keenum’s stack partners. Sanders was a favorite bounce-back candidate entering this year, and all he did was flame the Seahawks for a super efficient 10-135-1 line on 11 targets. He’ll get the recency bias/point-chaser ownership bump, but that’s okay. He’s underpriced and clicked with Keenum to open the year. He’ll be the most popular stack partner with Keenum for those making that plunge, but he’ll also be a chalky selection as a standalone option.

Sutton will be the contrarian play in this stack. Demaryius Thomas played more snaps than the rookie in the first game of the year, and he was second on the Broncos in targets (10), receptions (six), and receiving yards (63) while hauling in a score of his own. Sutton still managed to get five looks in the passing attack, and while he caught just two of them, both went for 20 or more yards and 45 yards overall. He was on the field for a respectable 59% of the team’s offensive snaps.

The matchup looks good for him this week, too. Robert Woods was the low man in the Rams receiving trio with a 3-37-0 line on nine targets, but he got behind the defense a couple times and was narrowly missed on some deep balls from Jared Goff. Cooper Kupp turned his nine targets into a 5-52-1 line, and Brandin Cooks had a 5-87-0 line on eight targets while also drawing 87 yards on a pair of pass interference calls. Denver’s receivers should blow torch Oakland’s secondary, and if Sutton does so on a low-ownership rate, he could be a big-time difference maker in GPPs.

Josh Gordon (CLE): $6,300 @ Saints
Gordon’s box score numbers in Week 1 were uninspiring. He was targeted just three times, but he did haul in one of those targets for a 17-yard score. Jarvis Landry paced the wideouts with 15 targets, seven receptions, and 106 yards. Gordon’s ownership rate might take a hit after being targeted only three times last week, but it’s also possible there won’t be much of an ownership rate discount at all after the Saints had their pants pulled down and their bottoms spanked by Tampa Bay’s receivers last week.

I’m not going to write off last year’s work from the Saints corners as a fluke after one embarrassing game, but Gordon is a matchup-proof monster at his best even if the Saints corners immediately bounce back this week anyway. Game script should work in Gordon’s favor this week. The Browns are 10-point underdogs, and if the Saints hang points in bunches as they did in their opener, the Browns will have to air it out to attempt to hang with them.

Tight End

George Kittle (SF): $5,600 vs. Lions
Kittle’s another candidate for a recency bias/point-chaser ownership bump in Week 2. And, once again, I’m okay with eating more chalk. He led the 49ers in targets (nine), receptions (five), and receiving yards (90) against the Vikings. Last week’s showing marked the second in a row in which Kittle led the team in targets, receptions (tie in Week 17 last year), and receiving yards. In last year’s finale, Kittle totaled a 4-100-0 line on six targets. He’s bested 50 yards or caught a touchdown in four straight games.

The Lions were waxed by the Jets in their season opener at home, and now they’ll be tasked with traveling to San Francisco this week. I like Jimmy Garoppolo’s odds of picking them apart and utilizing his tight end frequently in doing so.

Flex

Antonio Brown (PIT): $8,900 vs. Chiefs
Road Ben Roethlisberger reared his ugly head in Cleveland last week, but that didn’t stop Brown from having a big game (9-93-1 on 16 targets). This week, the Steelers are at home, and Big Ben’s numbers have long been much better in home games than road tilts. That’s good news for the game’s best wideout. Last year, Brown shredded the Chiefs for 8-155-1 on 10 targets, and that was when their secondary still included corner Marcus Peters. Get your popcorn ready for the AB84 show.

Defense/Special Teams

Chargers (LAC): $4,400 @ Bills
Patrick Mahomes and co. lit the Chargers up in Week 1. The Bills don’t have a Mahomes (which could haunt them for a long time given the fact they traded out of the pick used to select him in the 2017 NFL Draft), and they don’t have a Tyreek Hill, either.

The Bills mustered a Week 1-low three points in getting manhandled by the Ravens, and they’ll be a weekly punching bag for opposing defenses. Buffalo moved the ball for a pathetic 153 yards of offense, turned it over twice, and yielded six sacks. Usually I’d be reluctant to use a road defense traveling from out west for a 1:00 PM ET game, but that’s not the case this week. The visiting Chargers are commanding 7.5-point favorites, and Buffalo’s implied team over/under total is only 17.75 points.

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Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.

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