The Primer: Week 4 Edition (2025 Fantasy Football)

Baltimore Ravens vs. Kansas City Chiefs

• BAL -2.5, O/U 48.5
• Baltimore Ravens vs. Kansas City Chiefs Player Prop Bets via BettingPros

Ravens Players & Weekly Rankings

Chiefs Players & Weekly Rankings

Must-Start

These are no-brainer MUST starts.

• Patrick Mahomes II
• Lamar Jackson
• Derrick Henry

Strong Starts

Here are players that should be in starting consideration for most fantasy teams.

Zay Flowers (WR)

Zay Flowers had a down game last week as D.J. Reed blanketed him. He’s still the WR13 in fantasy points per game, ranking 11th in deep targets among wide receivers. Flowers has a 28.9% target share, a 30% air-yard share, 2.75 yards per route run (77 receiving yards per game), and a 33.3% first-read share. The Chiefs have the second-highest two high rate in the NFL (71.2%). Against two high, Flowers has seen his target share dip to 17.9% but he has a 26.3% first-read share and 2.15 yards per route run. Flowers and Rashod Bateman should lead the way for the passing attack against a tough matchup. The Chiefs have allowed the ninth-fewest PPR points per target.

Mark Andrews (TE)

Mark Andrews had a big bounce-back game last week. After that one monster performance, he is the TE12 in fantasy points per game. He has three red zone targets over the last two games. Andrews has a 69.9% route share, a 13.2% target share, 32.7 receiving yards per game (1.51 yards per route run), and an 18.5% first-read share. The Chiefs have the second-highest two-high rate in the NFL (71.2%). Against two high, Andrews has a 14.3% target share and a 21.1% first-read share. The Chiefs have faced the second-fewest targets to tight ends this season, but they have allowed the fourth-highest yards per reception to the position. Last season, they gave up the sixth-most fantasy points per game to tight ends.

Travis Kelce (WR)

Travis Kelce is the TE13 in fantasy points per game. He has two red zone targets and a deep target this season. Kelce has a 15.2% target share, 1.40 yards per route run (44.7 receiving yards per game), and an 18.2% first-read share. He should be a solid TE1 this week. Baltimore has allowed the second-most receiving yards and the seventh-most fantasy points per game to tight ends.

Fantasy Football Flex & Deep Plays to Consider

Let’s fill out those flex spots.

Isiah Pacheco (RB)

Good lawd, how much of a disappointment has Isiah Pacheco been this season? The Chiefs refused to utilize him, and he hasn’t been amazing when they have. He has played 50-58% of the snaps weekly and averaged 9.6 touches and 35 total yards. Pacheco has zero explosive runs and only a 12% missed tackle rate. It has been tough to watch. Pacheco had a wonderful matchup last week, and it didn’t matter. The same is true for this week. Baltimore has given up the third-most rushing yards per game, the highest yards after contact per attempt, and logged the second-lowest stuff rate. If you’re still willing to flex Pacheco again at this point, godspeed.

Rashod Bateman (WR)

Rashod Bateman is the WR60 in fantasy points per game, but he was the WR17 in weekly scoring last week. He has only one red zone target, which he saw last week. Rashod Bateman has an 18.4% target share, a 21.5% air-yard share, 1.29 yards per route run (29.3 receiving yards per game), and a 16.7% first-read share. The Chiefs have the second-highest two-high rate in the NFL (71.2%). Against two high, Bateman has a 25% target share, a 21.1% first-read share, and 2.41 yards per route run. Zay Flowers and Rashod Bateman should lead the way for the passing attack against a tough matchup. The Chiefs have allowed the ninth-fewest PPR points per target.

Tyquan Thornton (WR)

Tyquan Thornton is the WR27 in fantasy points per game. He leads all wide receivers in deep targets. He has been the WR31 and WR15 in weekly scoring over the last two games. He has one red zone target this year. Thornton has a 17.1% target share (24.6 aDOT), 1.88 yards per route run, and a 20.8% first-read share. Thornton could burn Baltimore deep this week. The Ravens have allowed the third-most deep passing yards per game and given up the ninth-best deep completion rate. Thornton is a boom/bust option this week that easily could BOOM!

Hollywood Brown (WR)

Since Week 2, Hollywood Brown has had a 16.7% target share, averaged 36 receiving yards (1.20 yards per route run), and had a 21.3% first-read share. He leads the team with three red zone targets. The Ravens have utilized single high at the tenth-highest rate (58.3%). Since Week 2, against single high, Brown has had a 19.5% target share and 23.3% first-read share. Brown is a viable flex this week. Baltimore has allowed the 11th-fewest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.

Concerning Starts & Players to Fade

Players in consideration for lineups, but temper your expectations this week.

Xavier Worthy (WR)

Xavier Worthy logged “full” practices all week. I’m highly skeptical that he was operating at 100%. He’ll be active this week as he carries no injury designation into Week 4. There’s no way I’m playing him this week. I understand if you want to incur the risk, but there’s no way to project his route share and role this week accurately. Baltimore has allowed the 11th-fewest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.

SEA vs. ARI | MIN vs. PIT | NO vs. BUF | TEN vs. HOU | CLE vs. DET | WAS vs. ATL | PHI vs. TB | CAR vs. NE | LAC vs. NYG | IND vs. LAR | JAC vs. SF | CHI vs. LV | BAL vs. KC | GB vs. DAL | NYJ vs. MIA | CIN vs. DEN

Green Bay Packers vs. Dallas Cowboys

• GB -6.5, O/U 47.5
• Green Bay Packers vs. Dallas Cowboys Player Prop Bets via BettingPros

Packers Players & Weekly Rankings

Cowboys Players & Weekly Rankings

Must-Start

These are no-brainer MUST starts.

• Josh Jacobs
• Tucker Kraft
• Jake Ferguson

Strong Starts

Here are players that should be in starting consideration for most fantasy teams.

Jordan Love (QB)

Last week, against a pass funnel defense, Jordan Love had only 25 passing attempts. Yes, I know Love was pressured on 51.6% of his dropbacks last week, so that did obviously play a part in the game plan. Hopefully, this is the week we finally see Green Bay lean on its passing game a tad more. Love could use the “get right” game. He’s the QB19 in fantasy points per game. While he has the sixth-best yards per attempt and passer rating, he has struggled in accuracy metrics, ranking 20th in CPOE, 35th in highly accurate throw rate, and 24th in catchable target rate. Dallas has allowed the most passing yards per game and the highest CPOE while also giving up the second-most passing touchdowns and the highest yards per attempt. Dallas is only 15th in pressure rate, so Love should have more time in the pocket this week.

Javonte Williams (RB)

Javonte Williams is the RB6 in fantasy points per game while averaging 18.6 touches and 95.4 total yards per game. He ranks tenth in snap share, eighth in opportunity share, and 19th in red zone touches. Among 48 qualifying backs, he ranks tenth in explosive run rate and eighth in yards after contact per attempt. Dallas has done a good job of opening up holes for him ranking eighth-best in yards before contact per attempt. Williams will have his work cut out for him this week. Green Bay has been a brick wall for opposing backs giving up the third-fewest rushing yards per game and yards after contact per attempt while having the sixth-highest stuff rate. There’s an avenue for Williams to walk away with a good game if Dallas leans into their gap run game. Williams has the sixth-best yards per carry and the second-best success rate with gap runs. Green Bay has allowed the seventh-highest missed tackle rate and the ninth-highest yards per carry to gap runs. Dallas should lean on Williams this week.

George Pickens (WR)

George Pickens is the WR20 in fantasy points per game after finishing as the WR14 and WR16 in weekly fantasy scoring over the last two weeks. Over the last two weeks, he has had a 17.5% target share, a 30.1% air-yard share, 1.46 yards per route run, and a 23.2% first-read share. All of those usage metrics will rise with CeeDee Lamb out. Pickens has an insane six end zone targets over the last two games. Pickens could have a very nice game this week despite the tough on-paper matchup. Green Bay has utilized single high with 54.9% of their defensive snaps. Since Week 2, against single high, Pickens has had a 22.2% target share, a 37.9% air-yard share, 2.24 yards per route run, anda 25% first-read share. The matchup is rough, but expect Pickens to be fed a crap ton of volume this week. Green Bay has allowed the sixth-fewest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.

Matthew Golden (WR)

This could be the Matthew Golden breakout game. Over the last two weeks, Golden has had only a 67.7% route share, a 10.7% target share, averaged 26 receiving yards per game (1.18 yards per route run), and had a 13.2% first-read share. None of those metrics look great, but THERE’S MORE! Yes, I know this is a small two-game sample, but if this trend holds, Golden could have a massive game. Dallas is tenth in two high rate (54.2%). Since Week 2, against two high, Golden has had a 28% target per route run rate, a 25% target share, and a 38.5% first-read share. If that trend continues, Golden should lead the way against a secondary that has allowed the highest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.

Fantasy Football Flex & Deep Plays to Consider

Let’s fill out those flex spots.

Dontayvion Wicks (WR)

Over the last two games, Dontayvion Wicks has had a 63.1% route share, a 17.9% target share, averaged 32.5 receiving yards per game (1.59 yards per route run), and had a 26.3% first read share. Dallas is tenth in two high rate (54.2%). Since Week 2, against two high, Wicks has had a 15% target share, an 18% target per route run rate, 1.71 yards per route run, and a 23.1% first read-share. He’s a viable flex play. Dallas has held slot receivers to the 11th-fewest PPR points per target (since Week 2, Wicks 66% slot rate).

Concerning Starts & Players to Fade

Players in consideration for lineups, but temper your expectations this week.

Dak Prescott (QB)

Dak Prescott is playing much better football than his QB24 standing in fantasy points per game would have you believe. Among 37 qualifying quarterbacks, he ranks 12th in CPOE, fifth in highly accurate throw rate, sixth in passing yards per game, and fourth in hero throw rate. The issue is he has only three passing touchdowns, and losing CeeDee Lamb last week was a massive blow to incur. He has a tall task this week, facing a Green Bay pass defense that has allowed the fewest yards per attempt, the sixth-lowest passing yards per game, the third-lowest CPOE, and the eighth-lowest passer rating. Green Bay also has the seventh-best pressure rate, so expect Prescott to be running for his life against his former teammate Micah Parsons this week.

Romeo Doubs (WR)

Romeo Doubs is the WR55 in fantasy points per game. His best showing was Week 2 when he was the WR35 in weekly scoring. Doubs has three red zone targets this season. Doubs has a 14.1% target share, averaged 40.3 receiving yards per game (1.81 yards per route run), and a 17.3% first-read share. Dallas is tenth in two high rate (54.2%). Against two high, Doubs’ target share has dropped off a cliff, with only a 3.6% target share and zero first reads. Sit Doubs this week despite the seemingly sexy on-paper matchup against Dallas.

SEA vs. ARI | MIN vs. PIT | NO vs. BUF | TEN vs. HOU | CLE vs. DET | WAS vs. ATL | PHI vs. TB | CAR vs. NE | LAC vs. NYG | IND vs. LAR | JAC vs. SF | CHI vs. LV | BAL vs. KC | GB vs. DAL | NYJ vs. MIA | CIN vs. DEN

New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins

• MIA -2.5, O/U 45
• New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins Player Prop Bets via BettingPros

Jets Players & Weekly Rankings

Dolphins Players & Weekly Rankings

Must-Start

These are no-brainer MUST starts.

• De’Von Achane
• Garrett Wilson

Strong Starts

Here are players that should be in starting consideration for most fantasy teams.

Justin Fields (QB)

Justin Fields will return to the huddle this week. Fields has been Jekyll and Hyde this season. He looked fantastic in Week 1 as the QB2 for the week, but he also looked horrible in Week 2 (QB35). Against the Bills, he completed only 27.3% of his passes while attempting just 11 throws. Yes, he was knocked out of that game and still had 49 rushing yards, so it wasn’t a totally wasted effort. Fields has averaged 48.5 rushing yards in two games with two rushing scores. His legs will again fuel his fantasy production and upside. Among 37 qualifying quarterbacks, he ranks 14th in yards per attempt, 36th in highly accurate throw rate, and 33rd in catchable target rate. Fields should be able to help those passing stats this week against a Miami secondary that has allowed the third-most yards per attempt, the highest passer rating, and the 12th-highest CPOE.

Breece Hall (RB)

Breece Hall is the RB26 in fantasy points per game, averaging 15.4 touches and 78.3 total yards. Hall has averaged 59% of the snaps with a 35.9% route share and a 12.5% target share. Sadly, he has only two of the seven running back red zone rushing attempts, so his touchdown equity in this offense is shaky before we even include the Jets’ mobile quarterbacks. Among 48 qualifying backs, Hall ranks third in explosive run rate and 26th in missed tackles forced per attempt. He should have a wonderful bounce-back game in Week 4 against a Dolphins run defense that has allowed the fifth-most rushing yards per game, the sixth-highest explosive run rate, and the seventh-highest yards after contact per attempt.

Jaylen Waddle (WR)

Jaylen Waddle is the WR23 in fantasy points per game. He has two red zone targets and scores in each of his last two games, which have helped salvage his fantasy outings. Waddle has a 17.5% target share with 1.65 yards per route run (45.7 receiving yards per game) and a 27.6% first-read share. Waddle faces a Jets’ pass defense that moved two high heavy last week (66.7%). Against two high, Waddle has had a 16.9% target share, 1.81 yards per route run, and a 26.3% first-read share (leads the team). If Sauce Gardner is following Tyreek Hill, Waddle should have plenty of reps against Brandon Stephens (73.3% catch rate and 131.7 passer rating allowed), which could lead to a big day.

Mason Taylor (TE)

Mason Taylor began the season relatively quietly with only three targets and 25 receiving yards in his first two games. He has been a full-time player in each game, playing 78.3% of the snaps. Last week, he finally got more involved in the passing attack with a 13.9% target share, 18 receiving yards (0.62 yards per route run), and a 12.5% first-read share. Taylor has one red zone target this season. Taylor dealt with an ankle injury in camp and the preseason, so he could finally be inching closer to 100% which would explain the expanded role in Week 3. Taylor is a strong streaming candidate this week against a defense that has allowed the fourth-most receiving yards, the eighth-highest yards per reception, and the third-most fantasy points per game to tight ends.

Fantasy Football Flex & Deep Plays to Consider

Let’s fill out those flex spots.

Tua Tagovailoa (QB)

Tua Tagovailoa has been a massive disappointment this season, even if your expectations weren’t high. He is the QB30 in fantasy points per game. Among 37 qualifying quarterbacks, he ranks 21st in yards per attempt, 27th in passing yards per game, 24th in passer rating, and 28th in CPOE. We’ll see if he can muster a decent day this week against what has overall been an underachieving Jets pass defense. New York has given up the ninth-highest yards per attempt, the sixth-highest passer rating, and the eighth-most passing touchdowns (tied).

Ollie Gordon (RB)

Last week, Ollie Gordon played 24.6% of the snaps, finishing with nine carries and 38 rushing yards. He was the preferred red zone back with three rushing attempts inside the 20-yard line (De’Von Achane had two). In his limited 12 rushing attempt sample, Gordon has looked good with an 8.3% explosive run rate, a 25% missed tackle rate, and 3.58 yards after contact per attempt. Gordon is a touchdown-dependent flex, but this isn’t a horrible matchup to roll him out there if you’re in a pinch. The Jets have allowed the tenth-most rushing yards per game, the 11th-highest yards after contact per attempt, and the 11th-highest yards per carry to zone runs (Gordon 58.3% zone).

Concerning Starts & Players to Fade

Players in consideration for lineups, but temper your expectations this week.

Tyreek Hill (WR)

Tyreek Hill is the WR21 in fantasy points per game. He has a 23.7% target share, 2.41 yards per route run (66 receiving yards per game), and a 25.9% first-read share. He has one touchdown this season, but he’s still looking for his first red zone target. He faces a Jets’ pass defense that moved two high heavy last week (66.7%). Against two high, Hill’s usage has remained steady with a 23.1% target share, 2.16 yards per route run, and a 23.7% first-read share. I worry that Hill will get shadow coverage from Sauce Gardner this week. Gardner shadowed D.K. Metcalf and Mike Evans following them on 65-89% of their routes. Gardner allowed Metcalf to secure only one of his four targets for 11 scoreless receiving yards. Against Evans, Gardner allowed him to secure three of his five targets with 27 receiving yards and a score. Keep your expectations for Hill in check this week.

SEA vs. ARI | MIN vs. PIT | NO vs. BUF | TEN vs. HOU | CLE vs. DET | WAS vs. ATL | PHI vs. TB | CAR vs. NE | LAC vs. NYG | IND vs. LAR | JAC vs. SF | CHI vs. LV | BAL vs. KC | GB vs. DAL | NYJ vs. MIA | CIN vs. DEN

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Denver Broncos

• DEN -7.5, O/U 44
• Cincinnati Bengals vs. Denver Broncos Player Prop Bets via BettingPros

Bengals Players & Weekly Rankings

Broncos Players & Weekly Rankings

Must-Start

These are no-brainer MUST starts.

• Ja’Marr Chase

Strong Starts

Here are players that should be in starting consideration for most fantasy teams.

Bo Nix (QB)

Bo Nix hasn’t gotten off to the type of start many hoped for as the QB26 in fantasy points per game. He has one QB1 performance (Week 2, QB11). Among 37 qualifying quarterbacks, he ranks 31st in yards per attempt, 34th in CPOE, and 36th in catchable target rate. It hasn’t been good. This matchup with Cincy is a cool tall boy of bounceback he needs to shotgun. Cincy has allowed the eighth-most passing yards per game, the fifth-most passing touchdowns, the 13th-highest CPOE, and the 11th-highest success rate per dropback.

J.K. Dobbins (RB)

J.K. Dobbins is the RB12 in fantasy points per game, ranking 15th in red zone touches. He is averaging 15 touches and 78.7 total yards. Last week, Dobbins played a season-high 70.8% of snaps with 52.4% of the rushing attempts and a 46.9% route share. Among 48 qualifying backs, he ranks first in explosive run rate, 14th in missed tackles forced per attempt, and 20th in yards after contact per attempt. Dobbins should have another strong week against a Cincy run defense that has allowed the 12th-most rushing yards per game, the tenth-most yards after contact per attempt, and has the ninth-lowest stuff rate.

Courtland Sutton (WR)

Courtland Sutton is the WR 17 in fantasy points per game. He had a rough Week 2, but he was the WR12 and WR3 in weekly scoring in the games sandwiched around it. Sutton has a 22.1% target share, a 42.2% air-yard share, 2.20 yards per route run, and a 30.3% first-read share. This week, he faces a Bengals’ secondary that has utilized single-high at the third-highest rate (63.6%). Against single high, Sutton has seen his target share increase to 26.5% and his first-read share bump to 38.2%. Sutton should eat this week against a secondary that has allowed the seventh-most fantasy points per game to perimeter wide receivers.

Fantasy Football Flex & Deep Plays to Consider

Let’s fill out those flex spots.

Troy Franklin (WR)

Finally, we have another full-time wide receiver in the Denver offense opposite Courtland Sutton. Franklin has a 73.8% route share. Franklin has a 20% target share, a 26.8% air-yard share, 1.78 yards per route run (47 receiving yards per game), and a 22.7% first-read share. This week, he faces a Bengals’ secondary that has utilized single-high at the third-highest rate (63.6%). Against single high, Franklin has remained efficient with 2.09 yards per route run, but his target share has dipped slightly to 18.4% with a 17.6% first-read share. These decreases are noteworthy but not damning. Franklin is a strong flex play against a secondary that has allowed the seventh-most fantasy points per game to perimeter wide receivers.

Tee Higgins (WR)

Over the last two games with Jake Browning, Tee Higgins has only a 13.9% target share, 35.5 receiving yards per game, 1.04 yards per route run, an 18.8% first-read share, and 8.6 fantasy points per game. Higgins could get a target bump this week with Ja’Marr Chase likely dealing with a Patrick Surtain shadow. Denver has still allowed the 14th-fewest fantasy points per game to perimeter wide receivers, so it’s tough to consider Higgins as anything more than a middling flex play.

Concerning Starts & Players to Fade

Players in consideration for lineups, but temper your expectations this week.

Jake Browning (QB)

Over the last two weeks, Jake Browning has finished as the QB14 and QB29 in weekly scoring. Among 37 qualifying quarterbacks, he ranks 22nd in yards per attempt, 21st in highly accurate throw rate, 29th in catchable target rate, and he has the highest turnover-worthy throw rate. His results this week could look eerily similar to last week’s against Minnesota. Denver has kept passers in check with the third-lowest success rate per dropback, the tenth-lowest passer rating, and the fifth-lowest CPOE. Denver also has the 12th-best pressure rate and the third-highest blitz rate.

Chase Brown (RB)

Chase Brown is the RB31 in fantasy points per game. Cincy pulled their starters in that game, so it throws off his usage numbers. In Weeks 1-2, he played 71-75% of the snaps, averaging 20.5 touches and 58 total yards. Unfortunately, Brown is running behind possibly the worst offensive line in the NFL. They have generated the fewest yards before contact per attempt (0.43) in the NFL. That’ll make it tough for any running back to succeed. Brown has zero explosive runs and 1.96 yards after contact per attempt, but he has a decent 15% missed tackle rate. I don’t see Brown having much luck against Denver. They have allowed the fifth-lowest explosive run rate, the 12th-lowest yards before contact per attempt, and the 14th-lowest rushing success rate.

RJ Harvey (RB)

Last week, R.J. Harvey had a season-low 27.1% of the snaps and 9.5% of the rushing attempts, but he had a season-high 31.3% route share and 12% target share. His role is SLOWLY evolving as Tyler Badie was kicked out of the equation. Dobbins absorbed most of Badie’s snaps, but Harvey soaked up some more passing game work. Harvey’s per-touch numbers are still good with a 7.7% explosive run rate and a 23% missed tackle rate. Until he gets more work, though, he’s a sit despite the nice matchup this week.

SEA vs. ARI | MIN vs. PIT | NO vs. BUF | TEN vs. HOU | CLE vs. DET | WAS vs. ATL | PHI vs. TB | CAR vs. NE | LAC vs. NYG | IND vs. LAR | JAC vs. SF | CHI vs. LV | BAL vs. KC | GB vs. DAL | NYJ vs. MIA | CIN vs. DEN

Seattle Seahawks vs. Arizona Cardinals

• SEA -1.5, O/U 43.5
• Seattle Seahawks vs. Arizona Cardinals Player Prop Bets via BettingPros

Seahawks Players & Weekly Rankings

Cardinals Players & Weekly Rankings

Must-Start

These are no-brainer MUST starts.

• Jaxon Smith-Njigba
• Trey McBride

Strong Starts

Here are players that should be in starting consideration for most fantasy teams.

N/A

Fantasy Football Flex & Deep Plays to Consider

Let’s fill out those flex spots.

N/A

Concerning Starts & Players to Fade

Players in consideration for lineups, but temper your expectations this week.

Kyler Murray (QB)

Kyler Murray is having a disappointing season. He is the QB19 in fantasy points per game. His rushing has been stable with his previous levels since 2021 (6.7 attempts per game, 35.7 rushing yards per game), but his passing numbers remain atrocious. Among 37 qualifying passers, he ranks 28th in yards per attempt, 34th in aDOT, 22nd in highly accurate throw rate, 17th in catchable target rate, and 22nd in fantasy points per dropback. Murray looks headed for another tough day. Seattle has held passers to the 13th-lowest yards per attempt, the sixth-lowest passer rating, and the ninth-lowest CPOE.

Sam Darnold (QB)

Sam Darnold is playing good football in Seattle, but it hasn’t translated into a ton of fantasy points as he is the QB30 in fantasy points per game. Among 37 qualifying passers, Darnold ranks fourth in yards per attempt and CPOE, 16th in highly accurate throw rate and catchable target rate, and 13th in fantasy points per dropback. Sadly, he’s headed for another middling fantasy outing against the Cardinals. Arizona has allowed the seventh-fewest yards per attempt, the 11th-lowest passer rating, and the tenth-fewest passing touchdowns.

Kenneth Walker III (RB)

Last week’s blowout win against the Saints muddied Kenneth Walker’s final usage line. In the first half, he played 70% of the snaps with 88.9% of the rushing attempts and a 54.5% route share. He should be projected as the leader of this backfield moving forward. Over the last two weeks, Walker has averaged 15.5 touches and 84 total yards as the RB8 in fantasy points per game. Among 48 qualifying rushers, Walker ranks eighth in explosive run rate and 13th in missed tackles forced per attempt. Seattle’s offensive line remains a work in progress, generating the 13th-fewest yards before contact per attempt for their backfield. This week’s matchup for Walker isn’t a great one. Despite Arizona giving up the 11th-highest explosive run rate and the 12th-highest missed tackle rate, they have also held the opposition to the fourth-fewest rushing yards per game, the tenth-fewest yards before contact per attempt, and the fourth-highest stuff rate. Walker will need to get by with touchdown equity and volume this week unless he can break a big run or two.

Trey Benson (RB)

With James Conner‘s season-ending injury, Trey Benson takes over as the team’s starting running back. Benson has been impressive on a per-touch basis this season. Among 48 qualifying backs, he ranks sixth in explosive run rate, seventh in missed tackles forced per attempt, and third in yards after contact per attempt. In the second half of last week’s game, Benson was “the dude” with a 69% snap share and a 62.5% route share. He will need all of his explosive ability and volume against this Seattle run defense. They have held opposing rushing attacks to the seventh-fewest rushing yards per game, the ninth-lowest missed tackle rate, the fourth-fewest yards after contact per attempt, and zero explosive runs.

Zach Charbonnet (RB)

Zach Charbonnet will return in Week 4. He missed last week’s game with a foot injury. This week, he has practiced in full all week. Considering what Kenneth Walker has done over the last two games, I don’t think Charbonnet is returning to a lead role in this backfield. He hasn’t been effective this season when on the field. Charbonnet has only a 7% missed tackle rate and 1.81 yards after contact per attempt. With an uncertain workload in Week 4 and a tough matchup incoming, Sit Charbonnet. Despite Arizona giving up the 11th-highest explosive run rate and the 12th-highest missed tackle rate, they have also held the opposition to the fourth-fewest rushing yards per game, the tenth-fewest yards before contact per attempt, and the fourth-highest stuff rate.

Marvin Harrison Jr. (WR)

Marvin Harrison Jr. is off to a lackluster start as the WR47 in fantasy points per game. Harrison Jr. has managed only an 18% target share with 1.46 yards per route run and a 21.7% first-read share. These are WR3/4 type of market share and efficiency metrics. On the bright side, Harrison Jr. is tied for the team lead in red zone targets (three). Harrison Jr. is headed toward another rough game against the Seahawks. They have utilized two high at the fifth-highest rate (59.3%) in the NFL. Against two high, Harrison Jr. has seen his target share decline to 15.6% with 1.45 yards per route run and 0.043 first downs per route run. Seattle has stifled perimeter wide receivers, giving up the third-fewest PPR points per target and receiving yards per game. Harrison Jr. will need a touchdown to save his fantasy day.

Cooper Kupp (WR)

Cooper Kupp is the WR58 in fantasy points per game, earning a 16.9% target share with a 15.6% air yard share (7.5 aDOT) and 45.3 receiving yards per game. He has decent per-route numbers with 2.19 yards per route run and a 21.2% first-read share, but the run-centric nature of Seattle’s offense has hindered him with his low aDOT. If he’s only drawing a 16.9% target share and seeing limited target volume because of the context of the offense, it’ll be tough to trust him week-to-week. Arizona has the seventh-highest two high rate (57.3%). Against two high, Kupp’s target share has declined to 7.4% with a 10% first-read share. This isn’t the week to look to flex Kupp. Jalen Thompson (53.8% catch rate and 69.4 passer rating allowed) has been tough against slot receivers in relief of Garrett Williams (IR).

Tory Horton (WR)

Last week, before Seattle pulled their starters, Tory Horton was on the field for 72% of the snaps, which was nice to see (40 snap rate in Week 2). He has finished as the WR37 and WR29 in weekly fantasy scoring over the last two weeks. Since Week 2, Horton has had a 14.8% target share, a 25.6% air-yard share, 2.13 yards per route run (32 receiving yards per game), and a 17.6% first-read share (third on the team). Horton will be in play as a flex option, especially when we get to bye weeks, but I’m not rolling him out there this week. Arizona has allowed the eighth-fewest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.

SEA vs. ARI | MIN vs. PIT | NO vs. BUF | TEN vs. HOU | CLE vs. DET | WAS vs. ATL | PHI vs. TB | CAR vs. NE | LAC vs. NYG | IND vs. LAR | JAC vs. SF | CHI vs. LV | BAL vs. KC | GB vs. DAL | NYJ vs. MIA | CIN vs. DEN

Subscribe: YouTube | Spotify | Apple Podcasts | iHeart | Castbox | Amazon Music | Podcast Addict | TuneIn

*All data utilized in this article is courtesy of Fantasy Points Data, PFF, FTN, rbsdm.com, and Playerprofiler.com unless otherwise specified.*