It’s Week 13, and we’re right on the cusp of the redraft playoffs. If your team has locked up a playoff spot and is competing for a championship, congratulations! If not, daily fantasy sites can help you get your fantasy fix as you wait for next season.
Each week, I’ll break down the projected player roster percentages at the top DFS sites. These figures are generated based on numbers pulled from full-slate contests, so they won’t be perfectly accurate, but they give us a good measurement of who’s popular.
Check out our full Projected Roster % Report here 
Quarterback
There isn’t much consensus at quarterback on FanDuel this week, and our most popular options are three guys in the 10-20% range: Russell Wilson, Kirk Cousins, and Justin Herbert.
Wilson is the highest-priced of the bunch, and I don’t get the appeal of using him in Week 13. Not only have the Seahawks been shifting back toward their running game, but the Giants also field the fourth-best defense against opposing quarterbacks, as they give up only 16.4 FanDuel points per game (FDPPG). That’s not worth $9,000 of the salary cap to me.
Herbert is the next-most expensive option, and while the Chargers are continuing to feature him despite the return of teammate Austin Ekeler, it’s hard to get excited about targeting New England. Their run-first offense helps them run out the clock, giving Herbert less time to make plays, and their defense gives up the eighth-fewest FDPPG to the position (17.4).
Of the three most popular plays, Kirk Cousins makes the most sense to me. Yes, Minnesota is a run-first team, but Dalvin Cook is nursing an injury at the moment, and the Vikings could lean on their passing game a bit more as a result. Their opponent, the Jacksonville Jaguars, give up the third-most FDPPG to quarterbacks (22.7), and I’m expecting Cousins to have a big day here.
Of the less popular options, I like Taysom Hill and Ryan Tannehill a lot. The Saints throttled the Falcons just two weeks ago, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see more of the same this weekend. Meanwhile, the Browns give up the 10th-most FDPPG to quarterbacks, and Tannehill should connect with Corey Davis or A.J. Brown on a few deep plays.
Running Back, Wide Receiver, Tight End
We actually have some players who are close to chalk this week. But before I begin, you should expect Devontae Booker to rocket up the rostership rankings heading into Sunday, as Josh Jacobs will have to sit this one out. I don’t know if he’ll be chalk, but he’ll be close to it, and you should treat him accordingly — bet on him in cash leagues and against him in tournaments.
I already alluded to the two most popular plays at running back in the above section: Austin Ekeler and Dalvin Cook. Ekeler is a surefire play given his high-volume role; he touched the ball 25 times against the Bills last week, and 11 of those opportunities were receptions. He should be a fine start even against New England’s mid-pack defense — especially at this low-end salary.
I like Cook a bit more, but as I said, I wouldn’t be surprised if the Vikings limit him somewhat due to his injury. He’s in a smash spot this week, as the Jaguars give up the fifth-most FDPPG to the position (24.3).
We only have one player in the 20-30% range this week, but he isn’t going to play. The Dolphins won’t activate Preston Williams from injured reserve this week, and he may not return this season. Notably, that will open up a ton of targets for DeVante Parker, so if you’re hoping to target Cincinnati’s secondary, he’s the guy to roll with.
We don’t have a ton of eye-popping plays in the 10-20% range. Parker, Brandin Cooks, Allen Robinson, Jarvis Landry, Cooper Kupp, and Davante Adams were the only wide receivers to make the cut here, and of the six options, I like Parker and Landry the most.
Landry should have no issues getting open against the Titans, as Malcolm Butler is glued to the perimeter while Landry often kicks into the slot. Tennessee gives up the seventh-most FDPPG to the position (32.8), and while they’ve been trending in the right direction since the acquisition of Desmond King, Landry is the clear-cut first option for Cleveland, and he’ll only cost you $6,000 of cap space.
At tight end, only Darren Waller cracks the list. He’ll face the Jets, who give up the fifth-most FDPPG to the position. He should be a safe bet to rebound after a disappointing performance last week.
Defense
The two most popular defenses this week, Green Bay and Miami, are both big favorites against the spread. Their units should have no issues with dissecting their opponents’ quarterbacks, as neither Carson Wentz nor Brandon Allen poses much of a threat. The Eagles and Bengals have two of the league’s worst offensive lines in terms of adjusted sack rate (CIN: 25th, PHI: 32nd), and you should get a lot of points that way.
Of the rest of these teams, only the Seahawks and Rams are favored. Seattle will probably play against backup quarterback Colt McCoy, while the Rams will get a banged-up Kyler Murray. Both units are smart targets if you’re confident that the opposing quarterback will underperform.
The Lions and Giants crack this list as low-priced underdogs. I don’t see the appeal of Detroit, as Mitch Trubisky has routinely burned the Lions, but the Giants make sense. Seattle’s offensive line ranks 31st in adjusted sack rate, and their revitalized emphasis on the run could keep this one low-scoring.
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Isaiah Sirois is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Isaiah, check out his archive and follow him @is_sirois.
