Fantasy Football Buy/Sell/Hold Picks: Week 10 (2021)
Whether you’re buying or selling, here’s a list of players to consider making a move on before it’s too late.
Players to Buy
Davante Adams (WR – GB)
There’s a feeling of uncertainty surrounding the Packers right now, for obvious reasons, and Jordan Love‘s spot start wasn’t exactly promising. Adams caught just 6-of-14 targets for 42 yards in Sunday’s Week 9 loss to the Chiefs. However, he commanded a dominant 41.2% target share and hasn’t popped up for a monster game in about a month. Assuming Aaron Rodgers is back in a week or two, Adams’ ceiling is as high as any wideout in the season’s second half.
James Conner (RB – ARI)
It was announced on Monday morning that Chase Edmonds is believed to have a high-ankle sprain. He’ll undergo an MRI but if tests confirm the injury then Conner’s role in the Arizona offense is going to erupt. Coming off a three-touchdown game in Week 9, the former Steeler could be valued as a high-end RB2 for however long Edmonds is sidelined.
Jerry Jeudy (WR – DEN)
The 22-year-old wideout hasn’t erupted since returning from his ankle injury, but the underlying numbers are extremely encouraging. Entering Week 10, Jeudy has been targeted on 25% of his pass routes this season. For comparison, Courtland Sutton has been targeted on 19.8% of his pass routes, and that number has fallen since Jeudy’s return. The second-year wideout looks poised for a strong finish to the 2021 campaign. Go get him.
Jordan Howard (RB – PHI)
Howard is a priority waiver wire add entering Week 10 after he seemingly operated as the Eagles’ primary ball-carrier in Sunday’s loss to the Chargers. Over his past two games, Howard has rushed 29 times for 128 yards and three touchdowns. He saw seven more carries than Boston Scott in Week 9. There’s a chance that he’ll retain a role even when Miles Sanders returns. Consider Howard a low-end RB2 for Week 10 against the Broncos.
Players to Sell
Alvin Kamara (RB – NO)
This recommendation needs to be layered with nuance. By no means is Kamara a screaming “sell” candidate. Do not trade him just to trade him. However, if you can flip him for another RB1 plus something more, then it might make sense to do. His percentage of the RB carries on the Saints has fallen from 83.5% pre-Ingram to 65.1% post-Ingram. Additionally, his target share has fallen from 22.3% to 14%. Kamara is still a great player, of course, but the Ingram move has reduced his margin for error.
D.J. Moore (WR – CAR)
Moore isn’t someone who needs to be shopped when his price is so low, but expectations need to be tempered for the rest of 2021. The level of quarterback play in Carolina has been abysmal as of late. Over his last five games, Sam Darnold has two touchdowns and eight interceptions. Moore’s days of WR1 valuation are over.
Damien Harris (RB – NE)
The 24-year-old has scored a whopping six touchdowns over his past five games, which is great, but we typically don’t want to rely on TD production in fantasy. Harris had his lowest RB share of the season in Week 9 (45.5%). He also hasn’t received more than two targets in a game since Week 1. Rhamondre Stevenson isn’t going to straight-up take the job from him, but Harris is the perfect “sell high” candidate while he’s running hot on touchdowns.
Miles Sanders (RB – PHI)
Philadelphia’s rushing attack has come to life with Sanders currently sidelined. This provides some hope for when he returns, but it also means that Jordan Howard and Boston Scott could retain some opportunities even with a healthy Sanders in the picture. It’s hard to have a lot of optimism for the third-year RB moving forward.
Player to Hold
Cooper Kupp (WR – LAR)
Kupp had arguably his worst game of the season in Week 9 and he finished with 13 targets, 11 catches, and 95 yards. He’s an obvious hold with a strong case to be the No. 1 valued fantasy player entering the second half.
Stefon Diggs (WR – BUF)
Diggs has topped 90 receiving yards just once this season. In 2020 he topped 100 yards in 7-of-16 games. Things haven’t gone as smoothly for Buffalo’s offense in ’21, but Diggs remains the alpha wideout on an extremely pass-happy offense. Expectations should be tempered with targets being more spread out this season, but Diggs will likely headline a lot of “buy low” lists entering Week 10.
Joe Mixon (RB – CIN)
It might be tempting to sell high after Mixon has “burned” fantasy managers so many times before, but we would all be best served to resist that urge. From Weeks 1-5 Mixon received a double-digit target share just once. Over his past four games, however, he has hit that number three times. He’s a legitimate RB1. Don’t overthink it.
Javonte Williams (RB – DEN)
There’s no guarantee the breakout happens. If Melvin Gordon stays healthy all year then the Broncos might be very content having their two RBs splitting time all season. They’re both playing well, but the underlying numbers on Williams are just fantastic. He’s a midseason lottery ticket who could win leagues if things break right for him down the stretch.
Jaylen Waddle (WR – MIA)
Miami’s offense isn’t one to get too worked up about, but Waddle has now seen double-digit targets in three of his past four games. The rookie continues to improve as the year goes on and DeVante Parker just went on IR. Waddle should continue seeing strong volume for the time being.
Jarvis Landry (WR – CLE)
Landry isn’t an exciting player to write about, but in a post-OBJ world, his role on the Browns certainly has value. The former Dolphin has recorded a 25% target share in all three of his games since returning from injury, but his Week 9 box score was a dud. Don’t expect many ceiling games, but he profiles as a strong floor play in PPR leagues in the second half.
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