Here are this week’s Two-Start Pitcher Rankings. As usual, remember that pitching rotations are constantly changing due to weather, injury, or just plain suckitude. Good luck this week and happy streaming!

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ALL SYSTEMS GO

1. Zack Greinke (5/22 CWS, 5/27 @MIL)
CWS is 29th in wOBA and 5th in strikeouts. MIL is 9th in wOBA and 3rd in strikeouts. Greinke has a 28.6% strikeout rate and 4.8% walk rate. Elite numbers.

The two matchups next week are sumptuous, although MIL does have some bop. As for splits, no discernible difference between LHB/RHB and he’s been a little better at home than on the road (.268 vs. .297 wOBA). Seven of the nine home runs allowed have come at home.

2. Michael Pineda (5/22 KC, 5/27 OAK)
KC is 27th in wOBA and 17th in strikeouts against RHP. OAK is 21st in wOBA and 6th in strikeouts. The strikeout rate is 29%, walk rate is 4%. and the xFIP is lower than the ERA. He’s also been better at home than on the road so far (.240 vs. .363 wOBA).

3. Dallas Keuchel (5/22 DET, 5/27 BAL) *Keuchel has been placed on the DL with a pinched nerve
DET is 10th in wOBA and 11th in strikeouts against LHP. BAL is 13th in wOBA and 5th in strikeouts. Keuchel has been amazing so far. The BABIP is .215, though, and the xFIP is 2.87 vs. the 1.84 ERA. Also, the strand rate is 88%.

With that said, even if he regresses, it shouldn’t be that massive. The DET matchup is a tough one, especially since they got J.D. Martinez back. BAL has been bad against lefties, so this is a very favorable matchup.

4. Lance McCullers (5/23 DET, 5/28 BAL)
DET is 16th in wOBA and 9th in strikeouts against RHP. BAL is 15th in wOBA and 14th in strikeouts. McCullers is the anti-Jordan Zimmermann, in that he’s been against righties, lefties, at home, and on the road.

Strikeout rate is 27%, walk rate is 7%, and he’s inducing ground balls at a 60% clip. He’s allowed five earned runs twice this season, but he’s shut out three teams and struck out 10 twice.

5. Jon Lester (5/23 SF, 5/28 @LAD)
SF is 27th in wOBA and 20th in strikeouts against LHP. LAD is 18th in wOBA and 15th in strikeouts. Start all lefties against the Dodgers. Lester has been lights out against lefties but has had some troubles with righties (.366 wOBA).

He’s also struggled on the road (.415 vs. .238 wOBA). That puts into question the if you start all lefties against the Dodgers, huh? I probably still would.

6. Carlos Carrasco (5/23 @CIN, 5/28 KC)
CIN is 11th in wOBA and 22nd in strikeouts against RHP. KC is 27th in wOBA and 17th in strikeouts. This will be Carrasco’s first start off the 10-day DL. When healthy, he’s been very, very good this year.

He’s neutering righties (.217 wOBA). Lefties have had a little more success, but still under a .300 wOBA. He’s been much better on the road than at home (.188 vs. .314 wOBA).

7. Gerrit Cole (5/22 @ATL, 5/27 NYM)
ATL is 18th in wOBA and 23rd in strikeouts against RHP. NYM is 20th in wOBA and 27th in strikeouts. With no Freddie Freeman, the ATL offense obviously takes a hit. Lefties have had a little more success than righties, but the wOBA is still sub-.300.

NYM can deploy a bunch of lefties, so that’s pertinent. He’s also been much better at home (.225 vs. .319 wOBA).

8. Johnny Cueto (5/23 @CHC, 5/28 ATL)
CHC is 22nd in wOBA and 12th in strikeouts against RHP. ATL is 18th in wOBA and 23rd in strikeouts. Loss of Freddie Freeman obviously impacts the ATL offense negatively. Cueto has similar numbers to lefties and righties.

He also has the same numbers at home as on the road. The CHC could be a tough one, especially if the wind is blowing out, but they aren’t clicking on all cylinders, so this could be a manageable matchup. The ATL one looks juicy with no Freeman and in San Fran.

TOUGH MATCHUPS

9. Rick Porcello (5/23 TEX, 5/28 SEA)
TEX is 10th in wOBA and 13th in strikeouts against RHP. SEA is 8th in wOBA and 16th in strikeouts. Most of the peripherals look good for Porcello: 23.8% strikeout rate, 4.9% walk rate, .341 BABIP, and 3.70 xFIP.

With that said, he’s allowing a 44.3% hard contact rate. Righties have been a little better against him (.362 vs. .323 wOBA). He’s also been a little worse at home, as he’s allowed seven of the 10 home runs there.

10. Patrick Corbin (5/23 CWS, 5/28 @MIL)
CWS is 5th in wOBA and 29th in strikeouts against LHP. MIL is 2nd in wOBA and 3rd in strikeouts. As bad as CWS is against RHP, they are that good against lefties. Two tough matchups for Corbin next week, although there is some strikeout potential against MIL. Corbin has an 18.5% strikeout rate.

Righties mash him (.361 vs. .250 wOBA against lefties). Seven of the eight home runs allowed have been to righties. He’s been better at home (.310 vs. .390 wOBA).

INTRIGUING

11. Danny Duffy (5/23 @NYY, 5/28 @CLE)
NYY is 5th in wOBA and 10th in strikeouts against LHP. CLE is 20th in wOBA and 28th in strikeouts. Duffy faced CLE two starts ago and allowed one earned run and struck out two.

I’ve been concerned about the velocity drop on Duffy’s fastball, but as I’m writing this, he’s struck out 10 Yankees in seven innings without allowing an earned run.

Usually, hitters have the advantage when they face a pitcher twice within a week. Because of that, I’m putting him in the intriguing group.

12. Tanner Roark (5/23 SEA, 5/28 SD)
SEA is 8th in wOBA and 16th in strikeouts against RHP. SD is 25th in wOBA and 2nd in strikeouts. Lefties have been a little more successful against Roark (.333 vs. .240 wOBA).

He’s been equally effective both on the road and at home. The strikeout rate is 20%, and walk rate is 9%. The SD matchup is always a juicy one.

13. Matt Shoemaker (5/23 @TB, 5/28 @MIA)
TB is 6th in wOBA and 1st in strikeouts against RHP. MIA is 23rd in wOBA and 25th in strikeouts. Lefties have been slightly better than righties (.346 vs. .331 wOBA).

He has been better on the road (.327 vs. .345 wOBA) but has allowed six of 10 home runs on the road. The K% is 23.6%, so there’s definite upside, especially with the TB matchup.

14. J.C. Ramirez (5/22 @TB, 5/27 @MIA)
TB is 6th in wOBA and 1st in strikeouts against RHP. MIA is 23rd in wOBA and 25th in strikeouts. TB will probably stack a bunch of lefties against Ramirez and, so far, lefties have been a little better against him (.336 vs. .273 wOBA).

Ramirez has been slightly worse on the road, but not by much (.328 vs. .282 wOBA). He’s allowed five earned runs twice this year and struck out fewer than five batters in four of seven starts.

15. Michael Fulmer (5/22 @HOU, 5/27 @CWS)
HOU is 3rd in wOBA and 29th in strikeouts against RHP. CWS is 29th in wOBA and 5th in strikeouts. Fulmer’s been a little better on the road (.243 vs. .286 wOBA).

The CWS matchup is about as good as it gets for RHP, but that HOU matchup is a tough one. Fulmer did face CWS a few weeks ago and allowed three earned runs, walked three, and struck out three in six innings, so there’s that.

16. Mike Foltynewicz (5/22 PIT, 5/27 @SF)
PIT is 28th in wOBA and 28th in strikeouts against RHP. SF is 30th in wOBA and 24th in strikeouts. Even though Folty throws mid-90s, the K% is only 17.7%.

PIT and SF don’t strike out much, so could be pesky matchups. Lefties have been slightly more successful (.351 vs. .322 wOBA), but it’s the home/road split that’s been huge with .400 wOBA at home and .290 wOBA on the road. Folty has allowed more than three earned runs in a game only twice so far but has struck out more than five only twice.

17. Julio Teheran (5/23 PIT, 5/28 @SF)
PIT is 28th in wOBA and 28th in strikeouts against RHP. SF is 30th in wOBA and 24th in strikeouts. The K% for Teheran is 16.9%. That number has been over 20% the previous five seasons.

The disturbing stat is the 11% walk rate. The lefty/righty split is still apparent, as lefties have a .377 wOBA vs. a .224 wOBA against righties. He’s also been getting creamed at home (.386 vs. .236 wOBA).

18. Jason Vargas (5/22 @NYY, 5/27 @CLE)
NYY is 5th in wOBA and 10th in strikeouts against LHP. CLE is 20th in wOBA and 28th in strikeouts. Vargas is coming off a game in which he allowed six earned runs to NYY. As for CLE,

Vargas faced them a few weeks ago and shut them out for six innings. Speaking of shutouts, Vargas has recorded four of those on the year.

19. Matt Harvey (5/23 SD, 5/28 @PIT)
SD is 25th in wOBA and 2nd in strikeouts against RHP. PIT is 28th in wOBA and 28th in strikeouts. Harvey has a 15% strikeout rate and 11% walk rate. He also has a 2.18 HR/9. No bueno.

He has been much better at home though (.303 vs. .385 wOBA). The SD matchup is so juicy, but can Harvey take advantage?

If he can’t against the Padres, then he’s pretty much useless. The PIT matchup is scary, as he could get BABIP’d to death.

20. Jake Odorizzi (5/22 LAA, 5/27 @MIN)
LAA is 24th in wOBA and 21st in strikeouts against RHP. MIN is 12th in wOBA and 10th in strikeouts. Odorizzi has been more effective against righties (.258 vs. .306 wOBA). He’s been good both at home (.275 wOBA) and on the road (.289 wOBA).

21. Alex Cobb (5/23 LAA, 5/28 @MIN)
LAA is 24th in wOBA and 21st in strikeouts against RHP. MIN is 12th in wOBA and 10th in strikeouts. Lefties have more success than righties against Cobb (.356 vs. .276 wOBA). He’s been a little worse on the road, but not by much.

22. Jordan Montgomery (5/23 KC, 5/28 OAK)
KC is 29th in wOBA and 18th in strikeouts against LHP. OAK is 23rd in wOBA and 6th in strikeouts. Montgomery has a 22% strikeout rate and 10% walk rate.

Lefties have been a little more successful (.379 vs. .308 wOBA). He’s been better on the road than at home (.290 vs .330 wOBA).

23. Kyle Hendricks (5/22 SF, 5/27 @LAD)
SF is 30th in wOBA and 24th in strikeouts against RHP. LAD is 4th in wOBA and 18th in strikeouts. Giants offense is pretty bad, but they don’t strike out much.

The Dodgers offense is deadly against RHP. The Giants have a 7-3 record against the Dodgers this season. What’s that have to do with anything? Just venting.

Seriously, though, the Giants look terrible on paper…and in real life…but they are a pesky team that can do damage. Righties have been more effective against Hendricks so far, and he’s been much better on the road (.249 vs. .343 wOBA).

24. Josh Tomlin (5/22 @CIN, 5/27 KC)
CIN is 11th in wOBA and 22nd in strikeouts against RHP. KC is 27th in wOBA and 17th in strikeouts. A brief look at his peripherals portends some positive regression in the works. The BABIP is .364, strand rate is at 55%, and xFIP is 3.33 vs. the 6.86 ERA.

The walk rate is also a paltry 2.3%. RHB have crushed him so far this year (.409 vs. .305 wOBA). He’s also been worse at home than on the road (.423 vs. .255 wOBA).

25. Ervin Santana (5/23 @BAL, 5/28 TB)
BAL is 15th in wOBA and 14th in strikeouts against RHP. TB is 6th in wOBA and 1st in strikeouts. Santana just got rocked for five earned run in seven innings.

Prior to that start, he had pitched seven games allowing one or fewer runs. Santana is not that good. The BABIP is .128, strand rate is at 98%, and xFIP is 4.52 vs. 1.50 ERA. With that said, the TB intrigues me.

MEH

26. Amir Garrett (5/23 CLE, 5/28 @PHI)
CLE is 20th in wOBA and 28th in strikeouts against LHP. PHI is 8th in wOBA and 17th in strikeouts. Outside of the disaster against MIL, when he allowed nine earned runs in 3 1/3 innings, Garrett has pitched decently. He has not allowed more than two earned runs in any of the other starts and has one game with 12 strikeouts.

Granted, that was the only game with more than five. This will be Garrett’s first start since getting some work in Triple-A.

27. Andrew Cashner (5/23 @BOS, 5/28 @TOR)
BOS is 13th in wOBA and 30th in strikeouts against RHP. TOR is 26th in wOBA and 19th in strikeouts. Many on Twitter call Cashner “Houdini” and for a good reason.

The walk rate (12%) is higher than the strikeout rate (11%). The xFIP is 5.48 vs. the 2.45 ERA. At some point, he’s going to get pounded. Right? Bueller?

I’ve lost plenty of money stacking against him. He’s been lights out on the road (.270 vs. .353 wOBA), and the TOR matchup is juicy. Will the magic show continue?

28. Scott Feldman (5/22 CLE, 5/27 @PHI)
CLE is 14th in wOBA and 15th in strikeouts against RHP. PHI is 17th in wOBA and 7th in strikeouts. Feldman has an 18.2% strikeout rate. There are no glaring differences in righty/lefty and home/away numbers.

Talk about meh. Not good enough to be intriguing, yet not bad enough to put in the lower category.

29. Matt Garza (5/23 TOR, 5/28 ARI)
TOR is 26th in wOBA and 19th in strikeouts against RHP. ARI is 5th in wOBA and 4th in strikeouts. Garza’s been a little better at home (.317 vs. .274 wOBA).

TOR has been a good matchup for RHP, but they have heated up a bit recently. The ARI matchup is deadly. I just can’t get excited about an 18% strikeout rate with a 36% hard contact rate.

30. Tyler Chatwood (5/23 @PHI, 5/28 STL)
PHI is 17th in wOBA and 7th in strikeouts against RHP. STL is 7th in wOBA and 20th in strikeouts. The strikeout rate is 18.9%, but the walk rate is 11.2%. The xFIP is 3.86 vs. the 5.25 ERA. He’s been lights out on the road (.293 vs. .381 wOBA).

31. Zach Eflin (5/22 COL, 5/28 CIN)
COL is 19th in wOBA and 8th in strikeouts against RHP. CIN is 11th in wOBA and 22nd in strikeouts. Eflin has a strikeout rate of 11.6%. Righties have had more success against him (.345 vs. .304 wOBA). He’s also been much better at home (.278 vs. .346 wOBA).

SO, YOU’RE TELLING ME THERE’S A CHANCE

32. Lance Lynn (5/23 @LAD, 5/28 @COL)
LAD is 4th in wOBA and 18th in strikeouts against RHP. COL is 19th in wOBA and 8th in strikeouts. Lefties mash Lynn (.409 wOBA).

He’s also worse on the road (.347 vs. .255 wOBA). Don’t start RHP against the Dodgers. Don’t start pitchers in Colorado.

33. Ubaldo Jimenez (5/22 MIN, 5/28 @HOU)
MIN is 12th in wOBA and 10th in strikeouts against RHP. HOU is 3rd in wOBA and 29th in strikeouts. Jimenez has a 16.6% strikeout rate and 13.1% walk rate. Yuck.

Lefties absolutely destroy him (.443 vs. .315 wOBA). Eight of the 10 home runs allowed have been to lefties. He’s been equally bad at home and on the road.

34. Miguel Gonzalez (5/22 @ARI, 5/27 DET)
ARI is 5th in wOBA and 4th in strikeouts against RHP. DET is 16th in wOBA and 9th in wOBA. There’s strikeout potential in both matchups. Unfortunately, Gonzalez only has a 13.6% strikeout rate.

He has struck out more than five batters only once this season. Lefties hit him a little better and he’s worse on the road.

35. Jordan Zimmermann (5/23 @HOU, 5/28 @CWS)
HOU is 3rd in wOBA and 29th in strikeouts against RHP. CWS is 29th in wOBA and 5th in strikeouts.

Zimmermann has a 12.6% strikeout rate and allows 2.09 HR/9. Zimmermann sucks against righties, lefties, at home, and on the road.

36. Tyler Glasnow (5/23 @ATL, 5/28 NYM)
ATL is 18th in wOBA and 23rd in strikeouts against RHP. NYM is 20th in wOBA and 27th in strikeouts. The 13.8% walk rate is a concern.

The BABIP is .376 and the strand rate is at 57%, so some positive regression could be in the works. Both righties and lefties crush him. He’s been bad at home and on the road, with four of the five home runs allowed occurring on the road.

37. Ty Blach (5/22 @CHC, 5/27 ATL)
CHC is 7th in wOBA and 12th in strikeouts against LHP. ATL is 14th in wOBA and 23rd in strikeouts. Loss of Freddie Freeman obviously affects ATL negatively.

I think all you need to know is that the strikeout and walk rates are almost identical (7.6% and 6.9%). Righties have had more success and he’s been terrible on the road (.564 wOBA).

38. Christian Bergman (5/23 @WAS, 5/28 @BOS)
WAS is 2nd in wOBA and 26th in strikeouts against RHP. BOS is 13th in wOBA and 30th in strikeouts. Bergman is coming off a start in which he struck out nine and did not allow an earned run in 7 1/3 innings. That was agains OAK, though.

WAS and BOS are two completely different animals. In his only start on the road this season, Bergman allowed three earned runs and struck out one in five innings against TOR.

39. Jhoulys Chacin (5/23 @NYM, 5/28 @WAS)
NYM is 20th in wOBA and 27th in strikeouts against RHP. WAS is 2nd in wOBA and 26th in strikeouts.

Lefties have a .375 wOBA against Chacin. While he’s been good at home, he’s been atrocious on the road (.406 wOBA).

40. Dylan Covey (5/23 @ARI, 5/28 DET)
ARI is 5th in wOBA and 4th in strikeouts against RHP. DET is 16th in wOBA and 9th in wOBA. Covey has a 14.4% strikeout rate and an HR/9 of 2.76.

Not ideal when facing ARI and DET. Righties absolutely mash him (.542 vs. .308 wOBA). He’s also been much worse on the road (.464 vs. .365 wOBA).

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