Fantasy Baseball Player Notes
2022 Fantasy Baseball Draft Notes
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32.
Cedric Mullins II
CF
The city of Baltimore hasn't seen such an unexpectedly high HR total since Brady Anderson smacked 50 homers in 1996. Mullins had hit seven HRs in 374 career at-bats entering 2021. He cleared the fence 30 times last year and added 30 stolen bases for good measure. Mullins played the 2020 season with an undiagnosed case of Crohn's disease, which may have prevented us from seeing the "real" Cedric Mullins. Some pullback on the HR total is probably inevitable, but the speed and other plate skills should remain intact. Looks slightly overpriced at a third-round ADP.
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111.
Ryan Mountcastle
1B,LF
Mountcastle fully arrived in his age-24 season, shaking off a slow start to finish with 33 HR, 89 RBI, 77 runs and a reasonable .255 batting average. His .333 BA in the abbreviated 2020 season was a mirage, but Mountcastle's power is legit, with a .232 ISO in 2021 and home runs on 20% of his flyballs. There's a lot of swing-and-miss to Mountcastle's game, which could make him a BA risk, and he won't steal many bases. But the power profile is enticing, and it's a nice bonus that Mountcastle has dual eligibility as an outfielder and first baseman.
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156.
Trey Mancini
1B
Mancini was one of the best baseball stories of 2021 as he returned from missing the 2020 season due to cancer to put up a productive year. He dipped significantly from his outstanding 2019 numbers (.291/.364/.535), but his underlying metrics largely held firm. The truth is that Mancini was just a bit lucky in 2019, as he outperformed his expected numbers in nearly every category, and was comparably unlucky in 2021, underperforming those same numbers by similar amounts. His true version likely lies somewhere in between, and that's not a bad thing. Expect an improvement from most of his numbers last year, but bank on 25 homers, rather than the 34 he totaled in 2019, particularly with the new dimensions in left field in Camden Yards.
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171.
John Means
SP
Means had a fine overall season with a 3.62 ERA and 1.03 WHIP, the latter number helped by the fact that he walked just 4.4% of batters, which ranked in the top four percent of baseball. If you put Means on another team, his ADP would probably rise 20 or 30 spots. He has elite control as mentioned, and an above-average fastball, changeup, and curveball. But with Baltimore, he just won't win many games (he has eight wins over his last 36 starts) and his always awful home run rate likely won't improve that much, though it may stabilize at least a little with the new dimensions in Camden Yards. Means's expected stats were worse than his actual numbers last year, so some ERA regression may be due. But he's got upside, particularly if he is traded out of Baltimore, and his floor should be pretty stable regardless.
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183.
Austin Hays
LF,RF
Hays finally made good on his prospect pedigree, hitting 22 home runs and topping 140 combined runs and RBI. It wasn't perfect - he walked only 5.3% of the time and his hard-hit rate and exit velocity were mediocre. But he had a strong close to th season with 12 home runs and 35 RBI over the final two months of the season. Just 26 years old, there's plenty of room for growth, though the new dimensions in Camden Yards may keep his power in check a bit. Buy him at his 2021 numbers and understand there's plenty of room for growth.
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230.
Anthony Santander
LF,RF
Santander dealt with a litany of injuries last year to his lower body, so the fact that he still popped 18 home runs in 100 games is rather impressive. He's admitted he is not 100% healthy after last year, which is obviously concerning with the season on the verge of beginning. Nevertheless, given Santander's ADP, he's well worth drafting. He's got 25 home runs in his bat easily if he can remain healthy, and his defense is so strong that he'll remain in the lineup even if he struggles offensively to start as he finds his footing. He rarely walks and so his runs scored total will never help you, but he's fine as a cheap outfield bat that always gets overlooked in fantasy.
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332.
Adley Rutschman
C
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399.
Jorge Mateo
2B,SS,CF
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441.
Tyler Wells
SP,RP
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505.
Jorge Lopez
SP,RP
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512.
Rougned Odor
2B,3B
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519.
Grayson Rodriguez
SP
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520.
Dillon Tate
RP
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524.
Ramon Urias
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591.
Alex Wells
SP
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650.
DJ Stewart
LF,RF
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694.
Logan Allen
SP,RP
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750.
Cionel Perez
RP
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756.
Joey Krehbiel
RP
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788.
Jacob Nottingham
Util
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789.
Kelvin Gutierrez
3B
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816.
Jordan Lyles
SP
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821.
Dean Kremer
SP
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851.
Keegan Akin
SP,RP
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890.
Spenser Watkins
SP,RP
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893.
Chris Ellis
SP
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899.
Kyle Bradish
SP
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925.
Kohl Stewart
SP
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930.
Robinson Chirinos
C
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937.
DL Hall
SP
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981.
Alexander Wells
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1009.
Mike Baumann
RP
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1104.
Matt Harvey
SP
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1112.
Bruce Zimmermann
SP
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1136.
Anthony Bemboom
C
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1161.
Brett Cumberland
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1249.
Zac Lowther
SP
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1271.
Travis Lakins Sr.
RP
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1284.
Shed Long Jr.
2B,LF
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1299.
Logan Gillaspie
RP
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1320.
Rylan Bannon
3B
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1328.
Bryan Baker
RP
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1373.
Ryan McKenna
LF,CF,RF
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1390.
Jahmai Jones
2B
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1397.
Marcos Diplan
RP
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1405.
Tyler Nevin
1B,3B,LF
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1443.
Chris Owings
2B
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1451.
Richie Martin
SS
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1475.
Isaac Mattson
RP
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1491.
Yusniel Diaz
CF
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1514.
Felix Bautista
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1519.
Kyle Stowers
LF
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1614.
Beau Taylor
C
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