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Fantasy Football Player Notes

2023 Draft Rankings

Bijan Robinson Note
Bijan Robinson photo 3. Bijan Robinson RB - (at NO)
Texas running back Bijan Robinson was the consensus No. 1 RB across all pre-draft publications and was selected 8th overall in the 2023 NFL Draft by the Atlanta Falcons.
Robinson finished the 2022 college football season as PFF's second highest-graded rusher in the FBS, tallying 18 rushing TDs and 1,575 rushing yards en route to a 37% dominator rating in his final year as a Texas Longhorn. He forced 104 missed tackles (40% broken tackle rate) which has shown to be super predictive of success rushing at the NFL level. Compared to last year's running back class, only Breece Hall posted a higher dominator rating (40%). Factor in that Robinson also finished third among RBs in yards per catch (16.5) with zero drops and there's no question as to why he's the locked-in 1.01 for rookie drafts and top-3-ranked running back in season-long formats. At 5-foot-11 and 215 pounds, Robinson has the requisite size and all the tools to be a successful three-down running back in Arthur Smith's offense. Last season in Atlanta's offense, Tyler Allgeier finished as PFF's highest-graded rookie running back and 6th in rushing EPA as a former 5th-round pick. Allgeier also averaged nearly 18 carries and 96 rushing yards per game from Week 13 onward. If Robinson inherits that workload, he is easily projecting 300-plus carries and 1,500 rushing yards in an offense that ranked first in early down run rate and +13% in run rate above expectation.
4 weeks ago
Kyle Pitts Note
Kyle Pitts photo 53. Kyle Pitts TE - (at NO)
After becoming the first tight end in 50 seasons to have 1,000 receiving yards as a rookie, Kyle Pitts had a bitterly disappointing sophomore season, finishing with 28 catches for 356 yards and two touchdowns and missing the last six games of the season with a torn MCL. The 22-year-old Pitts is immensely talented and figures to be a top fantasy TE for many years to come. But can Pitts be a prolific fantasy scorer in 2023 with run-loving head coach Arthur Smith in charge of the Falcons' offense and the Atlanta QB situation unsettled? Pitts will be a high-risk, high-reward fantasy option for 2023, but at least he'll be cheaper in this year's drafts than he was in 2022.
15 weeks ago
Drake London Note
Drake London photo 56. Drake London WR - (at NO)
Drake London excelled in his rookie season, although fantasy gamers were not elated with his WR43 finish. If we look deeper than the raw counting stats, London's future is incredibly bright. If earning targets is a skill (it is), then London proved to be among the league's elite. He ranked 22nd in raw target volume last year (117) with the fifth-highest target share (29.4%) and second-highest target per route run rate (32.4%) among wide receivers. London also blazed in efficiency stats ranking 16th in open rate (per ESPN analytics), tenth in PFF receiving grade, and 14th in yards per route run (minimum 50 targets). London gave a glimpse into his 2023 upside down the stretch last season. In Weeks 13-18, he was the WR20 in fantasy, even though he failed to score a touchdown in this span. London is a target vacuuming WR2 with WR1 upside in 2023.
16 weeks ago
Tyler Allgeier Note
Tyler Allgeier photo 109. Tyler Allgeier RB - (at NO)
Tyler Allgeier enjoyed an extremely successful rookie season, finishing the year as PFF's No.1-graded rookie running back (86.7) ahead of stars like Kenneth Walker and Breece Hall. That accomplishment puts Allgeier into an elite company with RBs such as Jonathan Taylor, Josh Jacobs, Nick Chubb, Alvin Kamara and Rhamondre Stevenson - all who were top-8 fantasy RBs in their second seasons after taking home the crown as PFF's highest-graded rookie RB in their first years. Allgeier's strong finish was the driving force behind his final standing - 6th among all RBs in rushing EPA - as the team unleashed him from Week 13 onward. He was the RB11 in half-point scoring points per game averaging 17.8 carries and 96 rushing yards per game. Alas, Allgeier's accomplishments were all for naught as his fantasy value was immediately vaporized after the team decided to draft Bijan Robinson 8th overall. It puts Allgeier into straight backup duties, where he likely will have no fantasy value without a Robinson injury. At least fantasy managers and zero-RB zealots can be assured that Allgeier will produce if/when called upon based on his rookie-year accolades.
4 weeks ago
Cordarrelle Patterson Note
Cordarrelle Patterson photo 159. Cordarrelle Patterson RB - (at NO)
Younghoe Koo Note
Younghoe Koo photo 217. Younghoe Koo K - (at NO)
Desmond Ridder Note
Desmond Ridder photo 231. Desmond Ridder QB - (at NO)
The Falcons didn't make any significant moves at quarterback during the offseason, so Ridder is expected to remain Atlanta's starter. He was predictably uneven in his four regular-season starts as a rookie, completing 63.2% of his passes, averaging 6.2 yards per attempts, and throwing two TD passes and zero interceptions. But Ridder is a good runner, and his ability to contribute with his legs makes him a potentially stream-worthy quarterback for 2023.
4 weeks ago
Mack Hollins Note
Mack Hollins photo 279. Mack Hollins WR - (at NO)
Jonnu Smith Note
Jonnu Smith photo 329. Jonnu Smith TE - (at NO)
Atlanta Falcons Note
Atlanta Falcons photo 374. Atlanta Falcons DST - (at NO)
Taylor Heinicke Note
Taylor Heinicke photo 408. Taylor Heinicke QB - (at NO)
Caleb Huntley Note
Caleb Huntley photo 441. Caleb Huntley RB - (at NO)
Scotty Miller Note
Scotty Miller photo 473. Scotty Miller WR - (at NO)
KhaDarel Hodge Note
KhaDarel Hodge photo 493. KhaDarel Hodge WR - (at NO)