Fantasy Football Player Notes

Ladd McConkey was a revelation in his rookie season, leading his class in yards per route run (2.6) and finishing as the WR13 in total points. From Weeks 8-17 (including playoffs), he elevated to WR10 status, commanding a 25% target share and averaging nearly 99 receiving yards and 16.4 fantasy points per game - second only to Ja'Marr Chase. With Justin Herbert under center and coaching continuity in place, McConkey is poised for another step forward in 2025. A 100-catch season is firmly in play.

Hampton lands with the Bolts after hearing his name called in the first round of the NFL Draft. The only uncertainty around Hampton's 2025 outlook is the division of the workload between him and Najee Harris. Harris has been a steady but uninspiring backfield option over the last few years. This could impede Hampton's initial take-off, but drafting Hampton is a bet on his talent and draft capital taking over as time rolls on. Across his final two collegiate seasons, Hampton ranked 12th and 11th in yards after contact per attempt and 16th and 26th in elusive rating (per PFF). There should be plenty of rushing volume to go around, even if Harris hangs around in a supporting role. In Greg Roman's 11 years of coordinating NFL offenses, he's never finished lower than 11th in rushing attempts (last year). Hampton is best viewed as a borderline RB2 with some risk that could massively outplay his ADP if things break right.

Harris was brought in on a one-year deal this offseason. Los Angeles then proceeded to add to their backfield with the selection of Omarion Hampton in the first round of the NFL Draft. Hampton could take over this backfield in short order, but it's also possible that Harris will end up forcing a frustrating committee that crushes the hope of Hampton stans. At this point, we know who Harris is. A volume back and jack of all trades but master of none. He's a solid but unspectacular player. Last year, he ranked 16th in missed tackles forced per attempt, 27th in yards after contact per attempt, and 20th in yards per route run (per Fantasy Points Data). Harris is a decent flex play for 2025, but the bottom could fall out quickly for his value if Hampton assumes control of the backfield workload at the beginning of the season.

Herbert was extremely efficient during the 2024 season albeit before a 4-interceptions implosion in the wild-card round of the postseason.
He was the QB15 in points per game (16.7) and QB13 overall in his first season under offensive coordinator, Greg Roman. The offensive environment limited Herbert's upside as a fantasy QB1 as he ranked just 30th in expected points per game (15.6).
After the bye week, the offense leaned more into the passing game and Herbert's production increased. But it wasn't enough to get him out of low-end fantasy QB1 purgatory. He was also egregiously inconsistent. His 56% bust rate was equivalent to Caleb Williams, and the highest among all QBs inside the top 15.
The Bolts QB hasn't finished as a top 10 fantasy QB for three straight seasons, after finishing as such in his first two seasons. Unless we see a dramatic shift in personnel or offensive coaching philosophy in LA, expect Herbert to finish back in the QB10-15 range.