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Fantasy Football Player Notes

2020 Draft Rankings
Kenny Golladay Note
Kenny Golladay photo 21. Kenny Golladay WR - (vs . MIN)
We've watched Golladay ascending into the clear-cut No. 1 role in the Lions offense, and even though he did finish as the No. 6 wide receiver in 2019, there's still some meat left on the bone. Matthew Stafford went down in Week 9 last year. Golladay had four games with 23-plus PPR points with Stafford in the lineup, and just one game with more than 18 PPR points without him. If Stafford can stay healthy, Golladay should return WR1 numbers.
13 weeks ago
Marvin Jones Jr. Note
Marvin Jones Jr. photo 74. Marvin Jones Jr. WR - (vs . MIN)
When doing the "Boom, Bust, and Everything In Between" series, I can't help but notice how undervalued Jones is nearly every season. The "bust" score is anything less than 8.0 PPR points. Jones busted just 23.1 percent in 2019, the 22nd lowest mark among wide receivers. He was at just 22.2 percent in 2018, the 25th lowest mark. And lastly, he was at just 18.8 percent in 2017, the ninth-lowest mark. Meanwhile, he'll give you big games here and there while not completely tanking your team. If you want to wait at wide receiver in your draft and play him as your WR3, it's not that bad.
13 weeks ago
D'Andre Swift Note
D'Andre Swift photo 81. D'Andre Swift RB - (vs . MIN)
The draft capital the Lions spent on Swift suggested that he'd take the lion's share of the running back touches in Detroit even with the presence of Adrian Peterson. But Swift has battled injury and missed two weeks of practice heading into the season, and word is that the Detroit coaching staff preferred a committee approach to the backfield. With the Lions now signing Adrian Peterson, it's hard to see Swift getting a big workload early on even if he is healthy. He'll likely eventually be the back you want to roster in Detroit and should certainly be drafted as a low-end Flex play, but be prepared to ride with other options for the first several weeks of the season.
11 weeks ago
Matthew Stafford Note
Matthew Stafford photo 90. Matthew Stafford QB - (vs . MIN)
There have been a lot of people talking about Stafford's 2019 season before injury, highlighting that it could be a sign of things to come. He was the No. 6 quarterback in fantasy through nine weeks, yes. But do you know who No. 5 was? Aaron Rodgers. That didn't end well. Stafford's 8.2 yards per attempt was easily a career high and just the second time in his career over 7.6 yards per attempt. He's going to be a fine low-end QB1/high-end QB2, but he's not likely to be a league winner at this stage of his career.
13 weeks ago
T.J. Hockenson Note
T.J. Hockenson photo 118. T.J. Hockenson TE - (vs . MIN)
There's an article I wrote this offseason that was titled, "Which Fantasy Players Should Have Scored the Most Fantasy Points." In that article, I highlighted that every target/carry/pass attempt has an expected outcome in fantasy points. A target on your own 10-yard line isn't worth as much as a target on the opponent's 20-yard line, etc. Each of the tight ends who finished top-12 in opportunity finished top-13 at year's end, so it's clearly something to look for. Based on Hockenson's pace over 16 games, he would've been the No. 12 tight end in opportunity. Now going into his second season, we should see his role grow. Hockenson was one of the least efficient players in all of football last year, and even going over the last 10 years, his 54.2 percent catch-rate ranked 331st among 357 tight ends who've seen at least 30 targets. There's only room for improvement, so if you're looking for a potential late-round tight end, he has more opportunity than most realize.
13 weeks ago
Kerryon Johnson Note
Kerryon Johnson photo 124. Kerryon Johnson RB - (vs . MIN)
Poor Johnson cannot catch a break. After battling injuries throughout his young career, the Lions drafted D'Andre Swift this offseason, which put Johnson as only borderline relevant in fantasy circles. With Swift battling injury as the Lions approached the season, however, it looked like Johnson would at least have an impact role early in the year, with the chance to carve out a larger role even when Swift was healthy. But now, with the Lions signing Adrian Peterson, Johnson again has impediments to fantasy-relevance. Johnson is talented and could succeed in the right situation, but given all the roadblocks in front of him, he's best left as a bench stash in deeper leagues.
11 weeks ago
Adrian Peterson Note
Adrian Peterson photo 198. Adrian Peterson RB - (vs . MIN)
Peterson signed with the Lions shortly after being released by the Redskins. Despite his advancing age, Peterson is coming up off two productive seasons with Washington and likely still has a little gas left in the tank. His role is entirely unclear, however, as both Kerryon Johnson and D'Andre Swift will factor in, and Ty Johnson and Bo Scarbrough are still on the roster. Peterson will likely be usable on occasion in fantasy but there's little reason to draft him in anything other than a bench piece.
11 weeks ago
Matt Prater Note
Matt Prater photo 205. Matt Prater K - (vs . MIN)
Prater is getting up there in age, but he remains one of the most accurate long-range kickers in the game. He hit 7-of-8 field goals from 50 or more yards last year, and nearly 84% of his overall attempts. He's also missed just two extra-point attempts over the last three seasons. On a good but not elite offense that will trust him from long range, Prater makes one of the best kicker options in fantasy, and should be drafted in leagues of all sizes.
12 weeks ago
Danny Amendola Note
Danny Amendola photo 244. Danny Amendola WR - (vs . MIN)
Raise your hand if you knew Amendola had 96 targets last year. Now put your hand down, liar. It was his first year with the team and he clearly had a big role, though he turned those 96 targets into just 678 yards and a touchdown. It does help his projection to know that Geronimo Allison opted out, as he's someone who could've stole slot snaps. Despite being targeted five-plus times in 10-of-15 games last year, Amendola topped 47 yards just four times, and it's not as if touchdowns will help make up for that, as he's scored once every 37.9 targets over the course of his 11-year career. He's a last-ditch bye-week option who'll likely have somewhat of a stable floor in PPR formats, but that's about it.
13 weeks ago
Detroit Lions Note
Detroit Lions photo 290. Detroit Lions DST - (vs . MIN)
Mohamed Sanu Note
Mohamed Sanu photo 321. Mohamed Sanu WR - (vs . MIN)
The Patriots cut Sanu despite giving up a second-round pick for him in the middle of the 2019 season. He'll surely latch on somewhere else, but considering he's rarely had fantasy value in his career in a good offense with Atlanta, it's unlikely he'll be able to join a new team and suddenly find value there. Ignore him on draft day even in the deepest of leagues.
12 weeks ago
Quintez Cephus Note
Quintez Cephus photo 385. Quintez Cephus WR - (vs . MIN)
The Lions tried to add depth this offseason, snagging Geronimo Allison in free agency, then snagging Cephus in the fifth round of the NFL Draft. We've learned that Allison has opted out of the season, meaning Cephus may be one injury away from starting for the Lions. I'll be honest... Cephus was a top-10 wide receiver in this draft class and I was really curious where he'd land. Knowing Marvin Jones has dealt with injuries over the last few years and that Danny Amendola will be 35 years old in a few months, there's a chance we see Cephus on the field sooner than expected. He's a name to pay attention to should there be an injury ahead of him on the depth chart.
13 weeks ago
Jesse James Note
Jesse James photo 440. Jesse James TE - (vs . MIN)
Marvin Hall Note
Marvin Hall photo 454. Marvin Hall WR - (vs . MIN)
Kerrith Whyte Jr. Note
Kerrith Whyte Jr. photo 461. Kerrith Whyte Jr. RB - (vs . MIN)
Dalyn Dawkins Note
Dalyn Dawkins photo 538. Dalyn Dawkins RB - (vs . MIN)
Hunter Bryant Note
Hunter Bryant photo 558. Hunter Bryant TE - (vs . MIN)