Best Dynasty Value on All 32 Teams (2020 Fantasy Football)
We’re at the point of the offseason where ADP (Average Draft Position) is starting to take shape, as we know where the rookies have landed, whether the biggest free agents have stayed or moved on to another team, and which team has which coach(es).
This also happens to be my favorite time of the year in dynasty, as there are tremendous values to be had. Rookies are bound to be overdrafted, while veterans will be unnecessarily moved down depth charts/draft boards. This is the time where foreshadowing can pay off in a big way. Because of that, we’re going to go through every team in the league and find the best value in dynasty leagues right now. To do that, I used DLF’s Startup Dynasty ADP resource from the month of May.
Kenyan Drake (RB) Overall ADP: 45, Positional ADP: RB19
The running back position has a short shelf life. We’ve learned that, right? So, why try and project beyond a couple years? Since joining the Cardinals last year, Drake was the No. 4 running back in fantasy, and the Cardinals liked him enough to trade away David Johnson. He may be on a one-year deal, but he’s still young and has just 456 carries on his frame. He’s going to get another contract, so scoop him up now at a discount.
Hayden Hurst (TE) Overall ADP: 135, Positional ADP: TE16
His price has gone up since being traded to the Falcons, but not nearly enough. Think about this for a minute. The Falcons could’ve tried to re-sign Austin Hooper without it costing them anything but salary. Instead, they thought it would be better to trade away a second-round pick for Hurst. This highlights just how much they wanted the former first-round pick who was stuck behind Mark Andrews. Hurst should be a top-12 tight end for years to come.
Justice Hill (RB) Overall ADP: 193, Positional ADP: RB63
Let me be clear with the Ravens: there was almost no value players to be had on their team. Hill was the only one I had ranked higher than his current draft position. Sure, Mark Ingram is still there and JK Dobbins will be the No. 2 on the depth chart, but Ingram will be gone after this year, and Hill’s the type of player who’ll get another contract once his rookie deal is over, as he could be a Chris Thompson-type player who gets 8-12 touches per game.
Gabriel Davis (WR) Overall ADP: 239, Positional ADP: WR112
I really thought my value would be Zack Moss on the Bills (I’m a huge fan of his game), but he’s being drafted as the RB32, in front of some starters. Because of that, I went with Davis, who the Bills liked enough to draft him in the fourth round of the NFL Draft. Cole Beasley is 31 years old and John Brown is 30 years old, so the Bills will eventually need to re-inject this offense with some youth. Davis will benefit by playing alongside Stefon Diggs.
Robby Anderson (WR) Overall ADP: 145, Positional ADP: WR65
This might be my most shocking find while researching this list. I’ve never been an advocate for Anderson as a the WR3 people seem to draft him as every year but seeing him fall into WR6-type territory is ridiculous. Many may be underestimating the fact that Anderson played under Panthers head coach Matt Rhule at Temple where he tallied 70 receptions for 939 yards and seven touchdowns. On a team that’ll need to throw the ball almost 40 times per game, sign me up.
Anthony Miller (WR) Overall ADP: 127, Positional ADP: WR58
There’s really only one direction for the Bears offense to go in 2020, and the good news for Miller is that the Bears didn’t draft a wide receiver with any sort of equity. Instead, they brought in Ted Ginn to replace Taylor Gabriel. It’s clear that Miller will be the No. 2 option alongside Allen Robinson. In the seven games he saw more than three targets in 2019, he totaled 42 receptions, 547 yards, and two touchdowns. Targets are coming in 2020.
A.J. Green (WR) Overall ADP: 97, Positional ADP: WR51
It’s amazing to sit back and see the amount of hatred that’s come Green’s way in both redraft and dynasty. He may be getting up there in age, but how many times have you heard someone say “play for the next 2-3 years” in dynasty? Green is getting an upgrade at quarterback and has been a top-15 wide receiver when healthy. Did you know that since 2000, there are just four receivers who’ve posted WR2 or better numbers in a higher percentage of their games than Green?
Jarvis Landry (WR) Overall ADP: 72, Positional ADP: WR38
This is crazy to me, as Landry continues to get undervalued. Don’t get me wrong, he shouldn’t be valued as the WR13 he finished as last year, but here’s a stat you should know. There have been just three wide receivers who’ve finished top-24 in each of the last five years. Julio Jones, Mike Evans, and… Landry. He’s still just 27 years old and is the only player who overcame Adam Gase. He should be drafted as a top-30 receiver rather easily.
Tony Pollard (RB) Overall ADP: 157, Positional ADP: RB54
Once you get outside the top 35 running backs or so, you’re talking about guys who are bench stashes. Pollard might be the best one in the league, as the Cowboys offensive line continues to dominate, and we saw flashes of what could be a true RB1 if Ezekiel Elliott were to miss time. In fact, Elliott’s efficiency wasn’t great last year, which could lead to more playing time for the explosive Pollard. His potential upside is worth much more than his RB54 price-tag.
Jerry Jeudy (WR) Overall ADP: 42, Positional ADP: WR21
It seems Jeudy is being undervalued right now, as not many realize he’s one of the best wide receiver prospects to come into the NFL over the last 10 years. The landing spot in Denver wasn’t ideal from a target perspective, but it shouldn’t be enough to move him outside the top-20 receivers. He’s going to be very good for a very long time, and he’s being treated as a fringe WR2.
Quintez Cephus (WR) Overall ADP: 214, Positional ADP: WR86
When looking into values in dynasty, you must pay attention to contracts. The Lions starting wide receivers Marvin Jones and Danny Amendola both have just one year left on their contracts and are likely gone in 2021. Cephus was someone I loved as a sleeper in the NFL Draft and the Lions invested a fifth-round pick on him. He may not make a big impact in 2020, but there’s a ton of long-term appeal here.
GREEN BAY PACKERS
Marquez Valdes-Scantling (WR) Overall ADP: 231, Positional ADP: WR97
If you go back to October of last year, Valdes-Scantling was being drafted as the No. 43 wide receiver in startup dynasty formats. He’s dropped all the way down to No. 97 this offseason, even though the Packers didn’t draft a single wide receiver. I’d argue that Allen Lazard is a value as the No. 79 wide receiver as well, though Valdes-Scantling has flashed a bit more, totaling 99-plus yards in four games over the last two years.
Will Fuller (WR) Overall ADP: 96, Positional ADP: WR49
His startup ADP is heavily discounted due to injury and not due to his play on the field. With DeAndre Hopkins out of town, it clears up roughly 150 targets in the offense, and though Brandin Cooks was added, he’s not getting anywhere close to Hopkins’ territory. Fuller is the one who has chemistry with Deshaun Watson, and the one who’s seen seven-plus targets in 9-of-18 games over the last two years (with Hopkins in the lineup). He’s just 26 years old and a WR3 when healthy.
Parris Campbell (WR) Overall ADP: 132, Positional ADP: WR59
Injuries derailed his rookie season, but don’t forget how much the Colts loved him last year. With Chester Rogers no longer on the team, we’re going to see Campbell take over nearly a full-time role in the slot, which is incredible for a guy who’s 6-foot-tall and 205 pounds with 4.3-second speed. Now adding Philip Rivers to the offense, we should expect the pass attempts to rise for this offense. Rivers has always loved his targets over the middle of the field (see: Antonio Gates, Keenan Allen, Hunter Henry).
Dede Westbrook (WR) Overall ADP: 176, Positional ADP: WR73
It’s crazy how fast the perception changed with Westbrook, who was being drafted as the No. 41 wide receiver just last offseason. Sure, DJ Chark emerged, and the Jaguars drafted Laviska Shenault, but Westbrook’s slot role should not be in jeopardy. The only players who played a higher percentage of slot snaps for their team last year were Randall Cobb, Larry Fitzgerald, and Golden Tate, who were sturdy presences. Westbrook is just 26 years old and has just one year remaining on his rookie contract. He’ll likely be elsewhere in 2021, which can only help his stock.
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
Clyde Edwards-Helaire (RB) Overall ADP: 14, Positional ADP: RB7
There isn’t any value to be had on the Chiefs offense right now if I’m being honest. Every player is being either properly valued or overvalued. I have Edwards-Helaire as my RB6, so he’s the only one who had a smidge of value, but he’s being valued properly. The Chiefs drafted him in the first round, which means they get the much wanted fifth-year option on his rookie contract. He’s going to be a fantasy stud for years to come, and somehow, there are still some fantasy owners who believe Damien Williams is the starter.
LAS VEGAS RAIDERS
Henry Ruggs (WR) Overall ADP: 63, Positional ADP: WR32
There isn’t a whole lot of value available on the Raiders, but if there’s one whose upside isn’t built into his cost, it’s Ruggs. When you draft a receiver at No. 12 overall, you’re going to use him extensively. They’ve likely mapped out his role, and it should include plenty of targets considering they don’t have the prototypical No. 1 wide receiver who’ll command 120-plus targets. The Raiders are likely to have a high draft pick under center in 2021, which can only mean good things for Ruggs’ potential. He’s going to produce immediately.
LOS ANGELES CHARGERS
Keenan Allen (WR) Overall ADP: 42, Positional ADP: WR20
There aren’t many players who I’d say come as a value on the Chargers, though Allen is a tried-and-true fantasy asset. I’m not the biggest Justin Herbert supporter, but if there’s something he does well, it’s throw accurately while in rhythm. Allen is a top-tier route runner who gains separation almost immediately and should become a favorite of the young quarterback. I’ll also say that I’ve personally seen Allen go outside the top five rounds of a 12-man startup league, so this ADP might be aggressive.
LOS ANGELES RAMS
Darrell Henderson (RB) Overall ADP: 122, Positional ADP: RB41
There’s a lot of overreacting this time of year, and seeing Cam Akers be drafted as the No. 16 running back off the board in startups is a great example of that. Sure, they drafted Akers in the second round of the draft this year, but don’t forget they traded up to the top of the third round to get Henderson last year. They’ve continually said this will be more of a timeshare in 2020, and it’s very possible that Henderson is the better all-around running back. Their prices don’t reflect that.
Preston Williams (WR) Overall ADP: 110, Positional ADP: WR53
Despite not starting right out of the gate, Williams impressed the coaches enough to earn a starting spot by Week 3 of his rookie season. He quickly became a fantasy producer and was the No. 39 wide receiver in fantasy through nine weeks despite being a few weeks behind the curve. Now you add Tua Tagovailoa to his long-term outlook and his price is outside the top 50 wide receivers?
Kirk Cousins (QB) Overall ADP: 176, Positional ADP: QB20
When you’re a quarterback who isn’t in danger of losing their starting job, you’re automatically placed into the top-24 quarterbacks. Cousins has finished as a top-eight quarterback on three separate occasions and has never finished outside the top-15. There really isn’t a whole lot of value on the Vikings, but Cousins as the 20th quarterback off the board feels like value to me.
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
Damien Harris (RB) Overall ADP: 180, Positional ADP: RB59
He didn’t get on the field much last year due to the fact that he didn’t play special teams, but after another inefficient year from Sony Michel, we should see Harris make a name for himself in 2020. The Patriots obviously liked him enough to draft him in the third round, and his price reflects that he’s just a low-end handcuff. He might be the starter soon enough, and that’s without injury.
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
Latavius Murray (RB) Overall ADP: 196, Positional ADP: RB66
This is somewhat mind-blowing to me, as we were able to get a glimpse of what Murray could do in the Saints offense last year. In the two games Alvin Kamara missed, Murray totaled 307 total yards and four touchdowns. He’s arguably the best handcuff in football and can even provide some flex value during bye weeks. Sure, he’s a veteran, but he’s worth a lot more than he’s costing in startups.
NEW YORK GIANTS
Sterling Shepard (WR) Overall ADP: 114, Positional ADP: WR55
There wasn’t a single game in 2019 where Shepard played and didn’t see at least six targets. That’s the opportunity we crave in fantasy football, yet he’s going outside the top 50 wide receivers at just 27 years old. His concussion history is worrisome, which can explain some of his price drop, but he’s still the No. 1 wide receiver on this team, as he doesn’t rely on the big plays as much as someone like Darius Slayton (who’s being drafted before him).
NEW YORK JETS
Jamison Crowder (WR) Overall ADP: 124, Positional ADP: WR56
We’ve watched Sam Darnold continuously favor his slot receivers, and that didn’t stop last year when Crowder arrived. He finished with 122 targets, which ranked 16th among receivers, and in case you haven’t heard, the Jets will have two new faces on the perimeter this year with Breshad Perriman and Denzel Mims. It will take time for Darnold to trust them, meaning Crowder will remain the go-to target over the middle of the field.
DeSean Jackson (WR) Overall ADP: 234, Positional ADP: WR102
I get it, dynasty owners are all about the future, but taking guys like Demarcus Robinson and Isaiah Coulter above Jackson is a mistake. You’re extremely unlikely to get any usable performances out of those players, while Jackson will perform while on the field for at least one more year. In just one game with Carson Wentz, Jackson caught 8-of-9 passes for 154 yards and two touchdowns. He’s still starting in this offense and is a value trade target for win-now dynasty teams.
James Conner (RB) Overall ADP: 87, Positional ADP: RB29
There were rumors about the Steelers drafting a running back with their second-round pick, but that didn’t happen. They did add Anthony McFarland in the draft, but I envision him as a Chris Thompson-esque running back who should get 7-10 touches per game. Many have forgotten just how valuable the starting running back is for the Steelers when Ben Roethlisberger is under center. I’m not suggesting Conner should be a top-15 running back in dynasty, but top-24? Yeah. I also like Diontae Johnson quite a bit, though his price is holding steady as the No. 47 wide receiver off the board.
SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS
Jalen Hurd (WR) Overall ADP: 212, Positional ADP: WR85
There are a lot of fantasy players who’ve forgotten about Hurd, who the 49ers drafted at the very top of the third-round last year, as injuries forced him to shut down for the year. He’s a movable chess piece, which is something Kyle Shanahan knows how to work with. Hurd was a former running back in college who converted to wide receiver for just one season but showed tremendous growth. He’s going to be fun to watch once he gets on the field.
Rashaad Penny (RB) Overall ADP: 154, Positional ADP: RB53
I did a double take when I saw Penny’s ADP in startups, but I assure you, it’s correct. In DLF’s sample, he fell to 182 in one draft, but went as high as 90 in another, but 154th overall is the average. Many have seemingly forgot that Penny received 33 touches in two games prior to tearing his ACL last year, with Chris Carson fully healthy. Yes, he suffered a torn ACL, but Carson’s hip injury should be considered even worse, as modern medicine has made ACLs look like nothing. The Seahawks invested a first-round pick on Penny and when healthy, he should be receiving 12-15 touches per game. His upside isn’t baked into his current price.
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
Ronald Jones (RB) Overall ADP: 112, Positional ADP: RB38
It’s kind of crazy how quick some have dismissed the possibility of Jones being the starter for the Bucs, but seeing Ke’Shawn Vaughn being drafted as the No. 24 running back, that’s precisely the case. Jones closed out the season with 225 total yards and a touchdown over the last two games and looked might impressive. Don’t write off his efficiency in the passing game, either, as he finished No. 5 among all running backs in yards per route run. If I were forced to bet on the starter in Week 1 for the Bucs, my money would be on Jones. Seeing O.J. Howard as the No. 18 tight end is also a tremendous value in dynasty.
Ryan Tannehill (QB) Overall ADP: 192, Positional ADP: QB22
There are many who overreact to the season that someone just had, but that’s not the case with Tannehill. Many are not convinced what he did in 2019 is repeatable, and while I agree, him falling back to QB22 makes no sense. He was the No. 3 quarterback in fantasy football from Week 7 through Week 17, which is a solid sample size. At the very worst, he’s a mid-to-high-end QB2 in dynasty. Tannehill has zero competition for the starting job, offers fantasy value with his legs, and has a young receiving corps to throw to. Corey Davis was tempting to put here as a buy-low as well, especially knowing he will be a free agent after the 2020 season.
Kelvin Harmon (WR) Overall ADP: 214, Positional ADP: WR89
There was a time before last year’s draft where some said Harmon was a top-three receiver. While I wasn’t one of them, it goes to show just how highly some thought of him. He got the opportunity to play later in the season and caught 30 passes for 365 yards on just 44 targets. He didn’t score, which kept him almost completely off the fantasy radar, but regression will kick in. He’ll have to battle Antonio Gandy-Golden to start in 2WR sets, but knowing Harmon is about 40 picks cheaper, I’ll take his side in the value department.