Welcome back! Week 13 is in the books, and the fantasy football playoffs are just one week away. With most trade deadlines in the rear view window, the focus now shifts to rest-of-season takeaways and fantasy strategy once those first waiver runs clear.
This means we’re zeroing in on what really matters: playoff stashes, injury fallout, drop candidates, player usage shifts, and schedule advantages — plus the key questions that were answered this week and the new ones we still need to figure out.
And I’m holding myself accountable to the name of this column — to truly go beyond the box score. No regurgitated stat dumps here (aside from the advanced ones provided by Next Gen Stats). Just the signal, not the noise.
I want to save time. You want to save time. Win-win, baby. Less is more.
Here goes nothing. Beyond the Waiver Wire. We are OFF.
And consider this your Strength of Schedule ROS cheat sheet to help with transactions off the waiver wire ROS.
Also, check out the ROS rankings.
- Week 14
- Best QBs: Lions, Vikings, Packers
- Worst QBs: Raiders
- Best RBs: Browns, Bengals, Steelers, Rams, Bills, Chargers, Vikings, Packers, Jets, Dolphins
- Worst RBs: Titans
- Best WRs: Lions
- Worst WRs: Chargers
- Best TEs: Eagles
- Worst TEs: Chargers
- Weeks 15-17 (Fantasy Football Playoffs)
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- Best QBs: Giants, Vikings
- Worst QBs: Jaguars, Texans, Chiefs
- Best RBs: Bengals, Patriots, Saints, Commanders, Raiders, Browns, 49ers, Buccaneers, Packers, Dolphins, Cardinals, Eagles, Cowboys
- Worst RBs: Chargers, Seahawks, Bears, Lions, Colts, Broncos, Rams, Steelers, Bills, Jets
- Best WRs: Steelers
- Worst WRs: Raiders
- Best TEs: Dolphins, Cowboys
- Worst TEs: Raiders
- Best Ks: Patriots, Texans, Bengals
- Best DSTs: Cowboys, Buccaneers, Saints, Texans
- Worst DSTs: Chargers, Broncos, Vikings,
- ROS SOS (Weeks 14-17)
- Best QBs: Giants, Vikings
- Worst QBs: Jaguars, Texans, Chiefs, Raiders
- Best RBs: Bengals, Patriots
- Worst RBs: Colts, Broncos, Titans, Rams, Steelers, Falcons, Texans, Bills, Jets, and Jaguars
- Best WRs: Steelers, Vikings
- Worst WRs: Colts, Raiders
- Best TEs: Dolphins
- Worst TEs: Raiders
- Best DSTs: Buccaneers, Saints, Texans
- Worst DSTs: Chargers, Jaguars, Vikings, Panthers
- Best Ks: Patriots, Commanders, Bengals
Arizona Cardinals
Buy Trey McBride | Hold Michael Wilson | Hold Zonovan Knight | Add Jacoby Brissett
Bam Knight recorded a season-high 62 yards on 11 carries with +24 rushing yards over expected in Week 13 (Next Gen Stats). Knight forced seven missed tackles, the third-most in a game in his career, while generating 49 yards after missed tackles, the second-most in his career. He complemented his rushing performance by catching all three of his targets for 36 yards and a touchdown. He also lost a fumble.
Will Trey Benson ever come back? Who knows. They are still day-to-day with him. And even so…TB is still just a projection. Not a definite bet to hit even if he is healthy.
Jacoby Brissett averaged 8.1 air yards per attempt in a loss to the Buccaneers in Week 13, slightly above his season-average (7.9). He completed 5 of his 6 pass attempts for 85 yards and two touchdowns on intermediate passes (10-19 air yards), his first game this season with multiple touchdowns and a perfect passer rating (158.3) on such passes. Brissett also faced pressure on 53.3% of his dropbacks, the 2nd-highest rate he’s faced this season, but did generate a season-high 50.0% dropback success rate (NGS).
The Buccaneers generated pressure on 53.3% of dropbacks against the Cardinals, the unit’s second-highest mark of the season. Five different Buccaneers defenders generated 4+ pressures, with all five Cardinals offensive linemen allowing 5+ pressures. Vita Vea, Logan Hall, and Elijah Roberts all generated three quick pressures (in under 2.5 seconds) per Next Gen Stats.
According to Ian Rapport… Kyler Murray is eligible to return from injured reserve Week 14, but he doesn’t appear to be fully healed from his mid-foot sprain and appears unlikely to be activated ahead of next Sunday’s game against the Rams. HC Jonathan Gannon was non-committal on whether they would open the QB’s 21-day window to return. He later confirmed they would not open Murray’s window this week.
Marvin Harrison Jr. returned and immediately supplanted Michael Wilson back to WR2.
MHJ hurt his heel in the fourth quarter after dominating the targets (three catches on the first drive). Wilson had just three before he left. Harrison did return, but his status is worth monitoring. Obviously, the sample size of Harrison dusting Wilson is immense, and nothing seemed to have changed that pecking order even after Wilson’s impressive two-game stretch.
Wilson did still have seven targets (two in the RZ) and 61 incomplete air yards – so lack of production wasn’t necessarily tied to lack of volume/opportunity.
I was correct on Greg Dortch – completely falling out of favor (two targets).
Schedule
| Week 14 | Los Angeles Rams |
| Week 15 | at Houston Texans |
| Week 16 | Atlanta Falcons |
| Week 17 | at Cincinnati Bengals |
| Week 18 | at Los Angeles Rams |
Atlanta Falcons
Sell Darnell Mooney | Buy Kyle Pitts
Bijan Robinson rushed 23 times for 142 yards and a touchdown in Week 13 against the Jets, gaining 122 rushing yards after contact, the 9th-most by any player in a game this season. Robinson also added five catches for 51 yards, recording 69 yards after the catch. Robinson ran outside the tackles on 21 of 23 carries, 91.3%, the highest by any player this season (min. 15 carries). Atlanta now leads the NFL with a 74.2% outside run rate, the highest by any team in the last decade (Next Gen Stats).
Kyle Pitts was the target leader, catching seven of his eight targets for 82 yards.
The ROS schedule is favorable for the Falcons’ TE, ranking favorably in the next two games. If you are hurting at tight end…Pitts might be a sneaky add if he gets dropped after his three straight duds before Week 13. He has been by far Kirk Cousins‘ most-targeted pass catcher this season.
Darnell Mooney turned back into a pumpkin – 2-25 on five targets.
Drake London is still week-to-week. Always expected him to miss at least two games – but with another Falcons’ loss, don’t bank on London in your fantasy playoff run.
However, Raheem Morris did call London day-to-day this week, so that bodes well for a potential return. If not next week, Week 15 seems like a safe bet.
The Falcons have one of the worst schedules for QBs ROS. Also tied for 32nd in the fantasy postseason.
Schedule
| Week 14 | Seattle Seahawks |
| Week 15 | at Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
| Week 16 | at Arizona Cardinals |
| Week 17 | Los Angeles Rams |
| Week 18 | New Orleans Saints |
Baltimore Ravens
Hold Mark Andrews | Add Isaiah Likely & Keaton Mitchell | Hold Lamar Jackson
Lamar Jackson was a fantasy bust again. According to Next Gen Stats, Jackson put up his third straight fantasy dud, scoring 6.5 points against the Bengals.
Jackson has not looked like himself since returning from his hamstring injury, and that trend continued Thanksgiving night. Jackson completed only 17 of 32 passes for 246 yards while throwing an interception and losing two fumbles. Across Jackson’s three turnovers, Isaiah Likely‘s fumble at the goal line in the second quarter, and Zay Flowers‘ fumble in the fourth, the Ravens lost a total of 48.2% win probability. The offense has been sloppy, and Jackson has now scored just 18.4 fantasy points across his last three games combined. He has not scored a single touchdown of any kind since the fourth quarter of the Ravens’ Week 10 win over the Vikings (Next Gen Stats).
Facing zone coverage, Jackson completed 14 of 21 for 177 yards but was sacked twice. When blitzed, Jackson went just 3 of 11 (27.3%) for 69 yards with an interception and a sack. He compiled a -0.98 expected points added per dropback against the blitz, ranking as Jackson’s 2nd-lowest such performance of his career (min. 10 dropbacks vs. blitz).
Is it enough to bench Jackson next week? Well, it depends on your alternatives.
Also worth noting that Jackson has basically run as cold as possible, given he has scored -21.4 fantasy points under expectation. He should be scoring closer to 15.6 PPG (XPPG average the last 3 weeks) – but that’s still stark from what we typically see from Jackson.
Still, he was as close as you can to throwing two passing TDs while actually throwing zero (44-yard TD to Likely and 36-yard TD to Flowers). Also, it’s not as if he is not running at all (six carries for 27 yards).
Still great schedule, ROS. Positive regression should come at some point. And with 10 days off…this could be the healthiest we see Lamar in Week 13.
Steelers in Week 13. They couldn’t stop the run versus Pittsburgh.
Mark Andrews is TD or bust, but he gets the Bengals again. Obviously disappointed by his 4-47 on six targets, but not completely terrible by TE standards.
Isaiah Likely was the leading receiver for the Ravens, going 5-95 on seven targets, and he should have scored but got the ball knocked out as he was approaching the end zone.
Zay Flowers busted, but the Bengals have been shutting down No. 1 WRs all season (fewest points allowed to WRs this season). Still drew a team-high seven targets and caught a 36-yard TD pass that was taken back on offensive pass interference. Woof. 89 incomplete air yards.
Better days are ahead if Jackson can regain form. The Steelers are allowing the most fantasy PPG to WRs.
A week after Keaton Mitchell had a 35-yard run called back on holding, he scored a long rushing TD (18 yards).
Note that Derrick Henry‘s playoff schedule is tougher—something to file away before the fantasy football trade deadline. Weeks 16-17 are Pats/Packers. The Pats matchup is the one I am most concerned about, given that they allowed only three RBs to go over 50 rushing yards against them (but they have been worse in recent weeks). And since Henny is not used as a receiver (although coming off strong receiving usage the last three weeks with Justice Hill injured), he can’t take advantage of their defense’s main weakness. Being nit-picky, but something to keep top of mind regarding Henry ROS.
Hill isn’t expected to return for at least 3-4 weeks.
CB Nate Wiggins was ruled out for the rest of Thursday’s game against the Bengals.
Schedule
| Week 14 | Pittsburgh Steelers |
| Week 15 | at Cincinnati Bengals |
| Week 16 | New England Patriots |
| Week 17 | at Green Bay Packers |
| Week 18 | at the Pittsburgh Steelers |
Buffalo Bills
Sell James Cook
James Cook rushed for 144 yards on 32 carries, his 7th game this season with at least 100 yards on the ground. Cook totaled 60 yards before contact, his 2nd-most in a game this season, and added 84 yards after contact, his 4th-most of the season. He also forced six missed tackles on the ground, tied for his season high (NGS).
Note that Cook’s playoff schedule is pretty bad. Two road games against two elite run defenses, then Philly at home. Bottom-10 playoff schedule for RBs.
T.J. Watt was limited to 1 pressure on 18 pass rushes in Week 13. The Bills’ offense used a combination of quick passes (Allen: 2.46 seconds time to throw) and extra attention to limit Watt and the Steelers’ pass rush. Watt faced four chip blocks and was double-teamed three times; his lone pressure came when he was left unblocked.
The Bills called a run play on 63.5% of their plays, their 4th-highest rate in a game since drafting Josh Allen in 2018 (Next Gen Stats). In total, the Bills rushed for 249 yards, with Josh Allen accounting for 38 rushing yards and a touchdown on eight carries; his four designed rushes are his most in a game this season. When he did drop back, Allen completed 15 of 23 pass attempts for 123 yards, a touchdown, and an interception. Allen averaged 1.4 air yards per target, the 3rd-lowest mark by a quarterback since 2016.
Made sense that Buffalo relied on the run game without their top two tackles – Dion Dawkins and Spencer Brown. Brown, Joshua Palmer, and Dalton Kincaid will have a chance to play in Week 14.
Keon Coleman scored inside the red zone on one of his three targets. No other Bill drew more than five targets (Ty Johnson).
Khalil Shakir finished with just one catch for 5 yards (four targets).
Tyrell Shavers played the most WR snaps among the Bills. Gabe Davis ran the most routes. Truly a terrible WR-by-committee approach in Buffalo.
Joey Bosa (hamstring) was listed as questionable to return to Sunday’s contest against the Steelers.
Schedule
| Week 14 | Cincinnati Bengals |
| Week 15 | at New England Patriots |
| Week 16 | at Cleveland Browns |
| Week 17 | Philadelphia Eagles |
| Week 18 | New York Jets |
Carolina Panthers
Hold Tetairoa McMillan | Sell Rico Dowdle & Add Chuba Hubbard
Per Next Gen Stats, the Panthers called a run play on 38 of 62 offensive plays (61.3%), their highest rate under coach Dave Canales. Rico Dowdle and Chuba Hubbard were effective on inside runs, averaging 4.2 yards per carry (19 carries for 80 yards) compared to 3.8 yards per carry on outside runs (16 carries for 61 yards). Hubbard recorded a season-high six first downs and generated +16 rushing yards over expected in the contest (Next Gen Stats).
Hubbard was on a heater in this game, and I do think he was the better of the two Panthers RBs. Scored early on a pass from Bryce Young. The camera also panned to Dowdle on the sideline, looking at his shoulder. But obviously, he was fine.
But Chuba Hubbard had the hot hand today (58% snap share) – and that is concerning for Dowdle investors long term.
Last week, Rico Dowdle totaled just 10 touches to Chuba Hubbard‘s 7. Dowdle only played 65% of the snaps – his lowest mark since Week 8.
In Week 13, touches were 19-18 in favor of Hubbard. And he has already been playing more on third downs because of his proficient pass protection (and long down-and-distance in general).
If we are going back to a closer committee, Dowdle can’t be trusted as a fantasy RB1 ROS, given some of the tougher matchups, including the Buccaneers and Seahawks. In the last four weeks, Dowdle has not finished higher than RB14 on the week. In fact, Dowdle only has one RB1 finish since Hubbard returned to the lineup in Week 7.
After a strong Hubbard showing, we might see this backfield go back to 50/50. Worked out in this last game for the Panthers.
Dave Canales confirmed as much, noting he likes the balance between the two backs. Dowdle on early downs, Hubbard on passing downs, etc.
Jalen Coker (6, 4-74-1) out-targeted Tetairoa McMillan (2) for the first time all season. However, T-Mac saved his day with a big 43-yard TD catch – his only catch on the day. But given the rain and how run-heavy Carolina was (20 pass attempts)…not always the expectation. Again, superstars make superstar plays even when the situation is not ideal.
The rookie WR is 17th in XPPG this season.
Schedule
| Week 14 | BYE |
| Week 15 | at New Orleans Saints |
| Week 16 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
| Week 17 | Seattle Seahawks |
| Week 18 | at Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
Cincinnati Bengals
Hold Chase Brown | Add Samaje Perine
Ja’Marr Chase scored 18.0 PPR points in Joe Burrow‘s return to action on Thanksgiving night, according to Next Gen Stats.
The Burrow-Chase connection was back at it, even with Burrow looking a bit rusty in his first game since Week 2. Chase saw a team-high 14 targets, catching 7 for 110 yards, including 12 matchups against Marlon Humphrey where he saw five targets, three receptions, and 66 yards (NGS).
Chase also saw 2 RZ targets but didn’t score.
Those 66 yards are the most Humphrey has allowed to a single receiver in a game since Week 14 of 2022. In 9 career games against Baltimore, Chase has now topped 100 receiving yards in five of them while averaging 119.1 yards per game in those performances. After visiting Buffalo next week, the Bengals will rematch the Ravens in Week 15 (Next Gen Stats).
Joe Burrow scored 19.2 fantasy points in his debut. He completed 24 of 46 pass attempts for 261 yards and two touchdowns in the Bengals’ win on Thanksgiving night. Burrow completed just half his passes when given a clean pocket, but went 7 for 12 for 83 yards and a touchdown when facing pressure. When taking more than 2.5 seconds to throw the ball, Burrow completed 16 of 27 for 203 yards and both his touchdowns (NGS).
Solid, no doubt…but not an earth-shattering performance you missed out on if you waited a week to play him. And he left production on the table, given his XFP output was 28.9 points. Have no hesitation about starting him next week.
Chase Brown stayed hot with 15 carries for 78 yards and seven catches for 35 yards. Now has six straight games with 100-plus yards from scrimmage.
But good lord, did we see a TON of Samaje Perine–14 carries for 39 yards, and two more catches with two carries at the goal line (tilting for Brown managers). He had 40% of the snaps to Brown’s 60%. He also lost a fumble in the fourth quarter.
Now, Perine did have a role before his injury, but I didn’t think it would be this large in his first game back, especially based on how well Brown has played in the last three games as the clear workhorse.
Before his injury, I noted that the backfield was closer to a 60-40 split (snaps, not necessarily touches.
Chase brown and Samaje Perine split the last 3 weeks pic.twitter.com/zknT6wWjA1
— Andrew Erickson™ (@AndrewErickson_) October 27, 2025
More noteworthy than actionable from a Chase perspective. If anything, it’s just a reason to roster Perine in some deeper formats.
We know Brown wouldn’t play on 3rd down, and they went right back to Perine on 3rd down against the Ravens.
Takes some shimmer off the shine of Brown, but he’s good enough with favorable matchups to still be a low-end fantasy RB1 ROS given the schedule.
From Weeks 14-16, the Bengals face the Bills, Ravens, and Dolphins. Tied with the Patriots for the No. 1 RB schedule in the playoffs.
The Bengals defense generated a 39.5% pressure rate on Lamar Jackson in their Thanksgiving win over the Ravens, their 2nd-highest pressure rate of the season. Joseph Ossai led the team with six pressures and two sacks, his 2nd-most pressures in a game this season, while Myles Murphy added five, tying his season high. Cincinnati held the Ravens to a 38.6% success rate and -23.9 EPA on the night, both season lows for the Bengals defense (NGS).
Tee Higgins should return from his concussion in Week 14 (although he is still in protocol as of December 1st). That will relegate Mitchell Tinsley, Mike Gesicki, and Noah Fant to fantasy football irrelevance. Gesicki did see two red-zone targets (one in the end zone).
Schedule
| Week 14 | at Buffalo Bills |
| Week 15 | Baltimore Ravens |
| Week 16 | at Miami Dolphins |
| Week 17 | Arizona Cardinals |
| Week 18 | Cleveland Browns |
Chicago Bears
Add Luther Burden | Sell Caleb Williams & D’Andre Swift| Buy Kyle Monangai & Colston Loveland.
According to Next Gen Stats, the Bears’ offense rushed for 268 yards on designed runs in their victory over the Eagles on Friday, their most in a game this season.
Across those 42 designed carries, the Bears recorded 91 yards before contact and 177 yards after contact, both of which were their season highs. Their ball carriers forced 9 missed tackles combined, tied for their season-most on such runs, with D’Andre Swift forcing five and Kyle Monangai four. Swift recorded 95 yards after contact and 45 yards after missed tackles, both his season highs (Next Gen Stats).
Monangai led the backfield in carries (22) for the second straight game, rushing for 130 yards and 1 TD (4 RZ attempts). But Swift also added 18 carries for 125 yards and 1 TD as well. He also led with a 53% snap rate to the rookie’s 45% snap rate.
This backfield is a split, even if Swift is usually the 1A. The rookie has cemented his role, and in this game, both RBs had the hot hand.
Still, the schedule is tough in the playoffs. The Bears have a tougher schedule for RBs in the playoffs: CLE, GB, and SF.
The Bears’ passing game was quiet, but it is worth noting that Colston Loveland led with seven targets (tied with Rome Odunze when you include penalties) with 27% of the team’s air yards. Luther Burden also drew six targets and led the team with four catches (33 yards). Burden continues to flash. Keep him stashed. He has fully supplanted Olamide Zaccheaus.
Tough matchup for the Bears’ rookie TE, so he should bounce back. 3 or more catches in seven straight games.
In Week 13, he played ahead of Cole Kmet, running more routes than the veteran TE. The rookie tight end is just good.
As for the schedule, it is worth noting that this Bears’ playoff/late-season schedule could be tough on Caleb Williams.
Up next from Week 14 onward: Packers (x2), Browns, and then 49ers in Week 17.
Tied for the bottom-10 schedule for QBs ROS.
Andrew Billings also got hurt toward the end of this game.
Schedule
| Week 14 | at Green Bay Packers |
| Week 15 | Cleveland Browns |
| Week 16 | Green Bay Packers |
| Week 17 | at San Francisco 49ers |
| Week 18 | Detroit Lions |
Cleveland Browns
Hold Harold Fannin Jr. | Add Browns DST | Buy Quinshon Judkins
Quinshon Judkins remained an early-down workhorse (23 carries for 91 yards with a two-point conversion on a 62% snap share). Dylan Sampson also got hurt in this game and has been listed as day-to-day with an ankle injury. Judkins may have benefited from the injury, as he also drew three targets (same as Jerome Ford) to total 26 touches.
The Browns have a top-5 schedule ROS for RBs. Judkins has 16-plus RB opportunities in eight of his last 10 games played.
Harold Fannin was the target leader (5, 19% target share). 3-43-1. He is the target leader with Sanders in the last three games. Most of his yards came on the 34-yard TD pass from Shedeur in Week 13. However, the rookie tight end also lost a fumble on a direct snap.
Head coach Kevin Stefanski said DT Maliek Collins suffered a quad injury. OT Tyler Conklin (concussion) has been ruled out for the rest of Sunday’s game against the 49ers. Wyatt Teller will also miss some time with a calf injury (listed as week-to-week).
Collins is PFF’s 15th-highest graded interior defensive linemen this season (second-highest graded pass rusher from the defensive interior). It’s a significant loss for a stout Browns defense.
Note that Sanders got checked for an injury, and Dillon Gabriel came in for relief briefly. Doesn’t seem to be impacting him for next week.
Browns HC Kevin Stefanski told reporters that Shedeur Sanders will start next Sunday vs. the Titans.
— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) November 30, 2025
Schedule
| Week 14 | Tennessee Titans |
| Week 15 | at the Chicago Bears |
| Week 16 | Buffalo Bills |
| Week 17 | Pittsburgh Steelers |
| Week 18 | at Cincinnati Bengals |
Dallas Cowboys
CeeDee Lamb bounced back from a disappointing game last week, finishing with a season-high 24.2 PPR points against the Chiefs. First top-10 finish of the season. No coincidence it comes after two bad games from Lamb dropping TDs.
He hauled in seven of his nine targets for 112 yards and a touchdown, with a season-high 93 yards coming on passes over 10 air yards. Lamb got the best of top corner Trent McDuffie, catching 4 of 5 targets for 44 yards and his score in that matchup, and the 44 yards McDuffie allowed to Lamb were the most he has surrendered to any single receiver in a game this season (Next Gen Stats).
George Pickens gained 88 yards on six receptions in the Cowboys’ Thanksgiving win (Team-high 13 targets, 33% target share).
Pickens caught five of his seven targets for 85 yards when covered by Jaylen Watson, who pressed him on all targets. In addition to allowing the most receiving yards by a Chiefs defender to a single receiver since 2018, Watson also committed pass interference against Pickens late in the fourth quarter, resulting in a first down. Targeted five times on slant routes, Pickens caught four for 73 yards, the most by any receiver running slants in a game this season (Next Gen Stats).
Before this game, Pickens had been a monster for fantasy this season – and his high-end production was actually hurting CeeDee Lamb. When the two have played together, Pickens has shown the highest ceiling. Pickens has four top-5 finishes…two with Lamb and two without Lamb in the lineup. Lamb has one.
Jake Ferguson scored a red-zone TD, but it was reversed on review, and he finished just 5-36 on six targets.
In the last five games, Ferguson has averaged just a 14% target share. Also, his routes have dropped off a bit, from 80-plus percent to closer to 70%. Falling more into the TD-or-bust category. But it’s tight end. I would only sell to move up a tier. ROS is solid for the Cowboys’ tight end, especially in the playoffs.
Dallas did have more injuries in their secondary with DaRon Bland, Shavon Reveal, and Malik Hooker getting banged up.
Schedule
| Week 14 | at Detroit Lions (TNF) |
| Week 15 | Minnesota Vikings |
| Week 16 | Los Angeles Chargers |
| Week 17 | at Washington Commanders |
| Week 18 | at New York Giants |
Denver Broncos
Add Pat Bryant | Sell Troy Franklin
Bo Nix was pressured 14 times against the Commanders, tied for the 2nd-most pressures he’s faced this season, completing 5 of 13 passes for 41 yards, a touchdown, and an interception while taking just one sack under pressure. Nix was comparatively efficient when not pressured, completing 24 of 32 passes for 280 yards and scrambling to run twice for 16 yards from clean pockets (Next Gen Stats).
R.J. Harvey led the backfield with 13 carries for 35 yards, but he scored twice on the ground (47% snap share). Also caught three passes on four targets.
Per Next Gen Stats…
He was inefficient on the ground, totaling just 35 yards on 13 carries, but scored twic,e including a 5-yarder in overtime. Harvey did have an explosive run of over 10 yards, but it was just his third of the season. He now has an explosive rush rate of only 4.1%, the 3rd-lowest in the NFL among players with at least 50 carries in 2025. Harvey out-snapped Tyler Badie 32 to 18 and continues to handle the bulk of the base work while Badie operates on third downs and passing situations.
Commanders also had no answers for tight end Evan Engram. Constantly left wide open, finishing with 6-79 on nine targets (twice in the RZ).
Courtland Sutton scored late in the first half on a terrific throw by Nix…finishing 5-62 on six targets. Last six games for Sutton – four games with 59-plus receiving yards.
Pat Bryant also drew eight targets, catching three for 42. Notable that he saw more volume in the first game post bye week.
Troy Franklin regressed to WR3 with 2-21 on three targets. Bryant ran more routes than Franklin.
The rookie WR hit a season-high in route participation (76%). Dominated the air yards (36%). Has back-to-back games with a 15% or higher target share (6-plus targets). 40-plus yards in four of the last five games.
I was concerned that Franklin would maintain WR1 usage despite poor efficiency. And that came true versus the Commanders. Not only did Sutton out-target him, but so did Bryant.
With Denver’s tough playoff schedule (GB, JAX, KC), Franklin will be a tough click. He’s scored four TDs in the last six games—8-plus targets in five of six but just two games with more than 40 receiving yards. A red flag that suggests targets might go elsewhere.
DT D.J. Jones was listed as questionable to return to Sunday night’s game against the Commanders due to a shoulder injury.
Schedule:
| Week 14 | at Raiders |
| Week 15 | Green Bay Packers |
| Week 16 | Jacksonville Jaguars |
| Week 17 | at Chiefs |
| Week 18 | Los Angeles Chargers |
Detroit Lions
Add Isaac TeSlaa
Jameson Williams set a new career high with 144 receiving yards against Green Bay.
With Amon-Ra St. Brown leaving the game early in the first quarter, Williams saw his second-most targets in a game in his career (10), catching 7 for 144 yards and a touchdown to finish with a career-best 26.9 PPR points. He also set career highs in yards after the catch (87) and missed tackles forced (3). Williams continues to dominate on in-breaking routes, adding another 106 yards on four receptions in this game. Despite not recording a single catch last week against the Giants, Williams has racked up 288 receiving yards on in-breakers since the Lions’ Week 8 bye, 75 more than any other player in the league (Next Gen Stats).
Isaac TeSlaa played a career-high 91.7% of snaps in the Lions’ Thanksgiving loss to the Packers. TeSlaa benefited from Amon-Ra St. Brown‘s injury, as he went down in the first quarter and did not return. He saw just two targets across his 29 routes but caught both for 35 yards and a touchdown.
An MRI revealed that St. Brown suffered a low-ankle sprain during Thursday’s loss to the Packers.
With the Sun God out…TeSlaa should see a full allotment of snaps and targets this week versus Dallas. Add him.
Jahmyr Gibbs totaled 52 yards on six carries when rushing outside left against the Packers, averaging 8.7 yards per carry and +21 rushing yards over expected. Gibbs struggled against the Packers’ interior, recording just 10 yards from 8 carries, averaging 1.3 yards per carry on rushes between the tackles. The Packers stuffed Gibbs seven times (career high), leading to a 35.0% stuff rate, Green Bay’s highest against any running back with at least 10 carries this season (NGS).
David Montgomery carried the ball 8 times for 32 yards and one rushing touchdown (added two receptions and had a fumble recovered by the Lions).
Montgomery was my big “sell” 6-plus weeks ago. I’ve been talking about this throughout my articles this season, but he is seeing significantly less work under new OC Jon Morton. It’s been inconsistent in recent weeks (15-plus opps in two of last five games), but the Lions’ slight offensive regression in 2025 is hurting Monty (especially with OL injuries). And like I said before…just a clear RB2 behind Gibbs in the pecking order of who the Lions need to feature on offense. Monty is also still game script-dependent.
Lions coach Dan Campbell said Sunday that Brock Wright is dealing with an injury to his trachea and could be in for a long-term absence. Sam LaPorta is already on IR. In their absences, Ross Dwelley played 75% of the Lions’ offensive snaps. He also drew two end-zone targets but didn’t score.
The Lions have a good schedule ROS for QBs. Their last outdoor game was at Philly in Week 11. Other than that, they are playing indoors until Week 18. You need at least one Lion (hopefully Jamo) on your roster ROS.
Schedule
| Week 14 | Dallas Cowboys |
| Week 15 | at Los Angeles Rams |
| Week 16 | Pittsburgh Steelers |
| Week 17 | at Minnesota Vikings |
| Week 18 | at Chicago Bears |
Green Bay Packers
Add Jayden Reed | Hold Emanuel Wilson | Sell Romeo Doubs
Christian Watson (6-foot-4) hauled in three of his six targets against Amik Robertson (5-foot-9) for 72 yards and a touchdown in Week 13 against the Lions. 10 targets overall for a 33% target share. Robertson did not allow a reception to Watson on three targets in man coverage, with all of Watson’s production coming against zone. Watson had only one other reception in the game, an 8-yard catch against Terrion Arnold (Next Gen Stats).
Dontayvion Wicks finally had the breakout game – 6 catches for 94 yards and 2 TDs – that we all thought we would see more of last season…when he was streaming up draft boards.
The Packers HC even confirmed it in the post-game…that the talent has never been the issue. It’s been the drops and inconsistencies. It’s too bad Jayden Reed and Matthew Golden will be returning soon (potentially), making this Packers WR room an even more challenging situation to parse/rank every week.
Romeo Doubs was perfect on his four targets (1 TD and 20 yards). Still, since Christian Watson returned, Doubs has seen his production nose-dive. One game with more than 55 yards in his last six played. He also finished third in WR routes run in Week 12.
Josh Jacobs was back to his full workload with 17 carries and 83 rushing yards. Played 54% of the snaps.
Devonte Wyatt (ankle) suffered a severe ankle injury that will likely keep him sidelined for the remainder of the season in Thursday’s game against the Lions.
Josh Whyle ran more routes than Luke Musgrave.
Jayden Reed is expected to return soon. Add him. He should be fully healthy from both his collarbone and foot injuries. He was projected to miss 6-8 weeks. He has already missed eight weeks after getting hurt on September 17th.
Schedule
| Week 14 | Chicago Bears |
| Week 15 | at Denver Broncos |
| Week 16 | at Chicago Bears |
| Week 17 | Baltimore Ravens |
| Week 18 | at Minnesota Vikings |
Houston Texans
Hold Woody Marks & Dalton Schultz | Add Jayden Higgins
Nico Collins caught five receptions on 10 targets for 98 yards, with four receptions for 69 yards coming on in-breaking routes.
Against cornerback Charvarius Ward, Collins caught three receptions for 72 yards. Collins also added his first-career rushing touchdown on an end-around early in the fourth quarter.
Woody Marks got banged up in the first half – hence the stark difference in snaps/touches with Nick Chubb (56% snap share to Chubb’s 32% snap share). He came back and delivered the closing blows in the second half. 19 carries for 64 yards, but Chubb scored earlier in the game when Marks was still getting back—only one target for Marks. The usage has been strong, but Marks needs to start converting his RZ touches to TDs. He also fumbled in the third quarter of this game.
Marks is the RB13 in XPPG over the last four weeks, but is scoring nearly 5 points per game under expectation (RB38).
Jayden Higgins was highly efficient on five targets (5-65). The second-round rookie has carved out a starting role behind Nico Collins.
Dalton Schultz rebounded in a great matchup (7-55) on eight targets—top-10 schedule for TEs.
The Texans are now 13-4 (.765 win percentage) in divisional games since 2023, the best record in the NFL (Next Gen Stats).
The Texans DST has the No. 1 schedule in the fantasy postseason: Cardinals, Raiders, and Chargers.
However, it is conversely bad for QBs (bottom-3) and WRs (bottom-10). Leave C.J. Stroud on waivers.
Schedule
| Week 14 | at Kansas City Chiefs |
| Week 15 | Arizona Cardinals |
| Week 16 | Las Vegas Raiders |
| Week 17 | at the Los Angeles Chargers |
| Week 18 | Indianapolis Colts |
Indianapolis Colts
Hold Alec Pierce | Sell Michael Pittman Jr.
Alec Pierce became the first player in Colts history with a pass defensed and a receiving touchdown in the same game since passes defensed were first tracked in 1999 (Next Gen Stats). Pierce finished with four receptions, 78 receiving yards, one receiving touchdown, and one pass defensed in the Colts’ Week 13 loss to the Texans. Highly efficient on five targets.
Derek Stingley Jr. did not allow a reception on his only target across 28 coverage snaps against the Colts.
This marks Stingley’s fifth game of the season, allowing fewer than 10 yards in coverage. Stingley matched up against Michael Pittman Jr. nine times and Alec Pierce eight times in the contest, with his lone target coming on the Colts’ final drive in the fourth quarter. Pittman struggled with just one catch for 13 yards in a tougher matchup.
Future matchups against the 49ers/Jags are solid, but the overall schedule suggests some volatile play with the Colts’ No. 1 WR. Pittman is just WR30 in expected points per game this season compared to WR17 in actual points per game. The TDs are helping boost his numbers dramatically.
And his usage is actually very close to Pierce’s. Targets are near even in the 10 games they have played together. But Pierce has more substantial yards with his big-play ability, while Pittman has more receptions (5/game).
Pittman remains the team’s WR1 but will fluctuate weekly in this run-heavy offense.
Pierce has 65 yards or more in seven of his 10 games played this season.
Tyler Warren entered this game battling a stomach virus – but still scored on one of his three catches (added 22 yards and a botched QB sneak).
Josh Downs finished with just two catches for 44 yards (22% target share), but he made some highlight-reel plays. Reminder that this guy is just really good at football. Also led the team with six targets. Made a sick 22-yard catch that was called back for holding—six-plus targets in back-to-back games.
Now, admittedly, the Colts WR schedule ROS isn’t great—bottom-2 SOS for WRs. The Jags haven’t been terrible versus WRs, and Seattle is always tough.
Sauce Gardner was believed to have suffered a calf strain during Sunday’s contest against the Texans. He was ruled out very early.
Schedule
| Week 14 | at Jacksonville Jaguars |
| Week 15 | at Seattle Seahawks |
| Week 16 | San Francisco 49ers |
| Week 17 | Jacksonville Jaguars |
| Week 18 | at Houston Texans |
Jacksonville Jaguars
The Titans blanked the Jags’ RBs. Travis Etienne (12 for 28 on a 47% snap rate) and Bhayshul Tuten (8 for 17 and 1 TD on three goal-line carries) couldn’t get anything going on the ground.
Per Next Gen Stats…The Jaguars utilized a committee approach in the backfield Week 13, with Travis Etienne Jr. playing 47.4% of offensive snaps (27 of 57), his lowest snap share in a game this season. Etienne handled only early-down work, with all of his snaps coming on 1st or 2nd down. Bhayshul Tuten played 18 snaps, splitting his usage between early downs (14) and late downs (4). LeQuint Allen Jr. served as the primary third-down option, playing 10 of his 13 snaps on 3rd down.
Jakobi Meyers is WR1. A perfect 6-90-1 on six targets. He is Trevor Lawrence‘s new Christian Kirk.
Brian Thomas Jr., who? Yup, it’s that bad. 2-28 on three targets. As long as T-Law is the QB, BTJ is a no-go (other than betting the unders on his player props).
Worth noting (via Next Gen Stats), Thomas Jr. saw a notable change in usage in his first game playing significant snaps alongside newly acquired Jakobi Meyers. Thomas, who was inactive for Meyers’ first three games with the team following the trade from the Raiders, aligned in the slot on 40.0% of his routes, the highest rate of his career. He was targeted on 12.0% of his routes (3 of 25), his lowest target rate in any game to date, and caught 2 of 3 targets for 28 yards, including a 17-yard reception from the slot.
Parker Washington also faded back into oblivion – three targets. However, he did also get hurt in the first half and did not return due to a hip injury.
Jags also lost tackle Walker Little to a concussion.
Trevor Lawrence only attempted 27 passes, so the total passing volume won’t always be this low.
Next week, they play the Colts, who likely will be without star CB Sauce Gardner.
Great matchup for Jags TE, Brenton Strange, to keep on cooking.
Weeks 14-17 are bad for all the positions…except for the tight end position.
The Jags’ fantasy playoffs feature Denver/Colts, both of whom rank in the top 8 vs. RBs this season. The Jets are a layup after their mass exodus of players before the NFL trade deadline, but the other two matchups are more challenging for the Jags RBs. Although being fully transparent, the Colts’ run defense has not fared as well since they lost DeForest Buckner (neck injury). He is out for at least one more game.
Schedule
| Week 14 | Indianapolis Colts |
| Week 15 | New York Jets |
| Week 16 | at Denver Broncos |
| Week 17 | at the Indianapolis Colts |
| Week 18 | Tennessee Titans |
Kansas City Chiefs
Rashee Rice scored a career-high 29.4 PPR points in the Chiefs’ loss to the Cowboys. Rice saw a team-high 12 targets, catching 8 for 92 yards and two touchdowns. Four of his receptions, 43 yards, and one of his scores came on wide receiver screens, the most screen yards he has recorded in a single game in his career. He generated 73 yards after the catch, the 6th-most in his career after setting a personal best last week against the Colts with 103. Since returning from suspension in Week 7, he has out-targeted Travis Kelce 59-41 and Xavier Worthy 59-37 (Next Gen Stats).
Kelce scored, and Worthy posted a modest 4 for 61 yards on six targets. Essentially, a WR1 handcuff to Rashee Rice.
Kareem Hunt maintained RB1 duties (64% snap rate), but that should change with Isiah Pacheco coming back after 10 days of rest. Pacheco played just 30% of the snaps (3 carries and two receptions).
OT Josh Simmons suffered a dislocated and fractured wrist during the Chiefs’ 31-28 loss to the Cowboys and is out indefinitely, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports.
Jawaan Taylor (elbow) was ruled out for the rest of Thursday’s game against the Cowboys. OG Trey Smith already missed the game versus Dallas.
This might be a really bad game for the Chiefs, given their OL problems against an extremely elite Texans defense. Take the UNDER.
Schedule
| Week 14 | Houston Texans |
| Week 15 | Los Angeles Chargers |
| Week 16 | at Tennessee Titans |
| Week 17 | Denver Broncos |
| Week 18 | at Las Vegas Raiders |
Las Vegas Raiders
Ashton Jeanty was kept in check with 15 carries for 31 yards – but his targets remained plentiful (team-high eight targets). Led the team with six catches for 30 yards—96% snap share.
High-floor based on usage, but the ceiling can be limited in tougher matchups, given the state of the Raiders’ offense. The pass-catching has also been off-the-charts fantastic.
Rest-of-season fantasy outlook: Still a hold with Jeanty — particularly targeting a Week 17 matchup vs. the Giants, which could deliver a title-winning spike week. But in the short term, expectations should be tempered given the depleted O-line. The Raiders face the No. 32-ranked QB schedule per the FantasyPros Strength of Schedule tool, which is brutal news for Geno Smith‘s rest-of-season.
The Raiders – per the SOS tool – have a decent playoff schedule for fantasy RBs.
Although being fully transparent, the Eagles/Texans aren’t amazing matchups even if they are somewhat plus spots on paper. It’s not perfect, but there are some decent spots for a three-down workhorse like Jeanty. The Broncos, Eagles, and Texans aren’t ideal – even if the Giants are GREAT on paper.
Don’te Thornton Jr. (concussion) was ruled out for the remainder of Sunday’s contest against the Chargers. Jack Bech also got banged up briefly.
Tre Tucker caught all three of his targets for 20 yards and also drew a DPI on a deep target.
Schedule
| Week 14 | Denver Broncos |
| Week 15 | at Philadelphia Eagles |
| Week 16 | at Houston Texans |
| Week 17 | New York Giants |
| Week 18 | Kansas City Chiefs |
Los Angeles Chargers
Drop LAC DST | Hold Keenan Allen & Quentin Johnston
Justin Herbert broke a bone in his left hand (non-throwing) and will have surgery on the injury on Monday. John Harbaugh was TBD on whether Herbert would miss any time in the post-game presser.
Kimani Vidal rushed 25 times for 126 yards and a touchdown against the Raiders, forcing a career-high 12 missed tackles on his touches.
Vidal gained 89 yards following missed tackles, and his total of 12 was the most by a Chargers player in a single game since Week 2 of 2020 (Austin Ekeler, 13 vs. KC). Vidal rushed for 80 yards, and his only touchdown came on nine carries outside the left tackle, avoiding Maxx Crosby, who aligned to the offensive right on 79.1% of his snaps.
Omarion Hampton remained sidelined (chance to return in Week 14 after looking good in practice).
Ladd McConkey was the target leader (6, 29% target share), going 4-39-1. Quentin Johnston also scored, going three for 23 yards on three targets. He was out-targeted by Tre Harris (4) and Keenan Allen (5).
Allen’s route participation was back to 92% in Week 13 (season-high).
Oronde Gadsden was held to just one catch for 27 yards (got tackled at the 2-yard line). He has been under 42 yards in three straight games, with no more than three receptions in any game.
The Eagles’ upcoming matchup is brutal for TEs—1-star rating. Second-fewest yards allowed to TEs this season (32.4 per game). Two guys have gotten past 43 yards.
Entering Week 13, the Eagles are allowing the third-fewest points to TEs. With Herbert banged up, it might be another down game for the rookie tight end.
Basically, the only good matchup left on their schedule for WRs is against the Cowboys.
Worst schedule ROS for the Chargers DST.
Schedule
| Week 14 | Philadelphia Eagles |
| Week 15 | at Kansas City Chiefs |
| Week 16 | at Dallas Cowboys |
| Week 17 | Houston Texans |
| Week 18 | at Denver Broncos |
Los Angeles Rams
Hold Kyren Williams | Add Blake Corum & Colby Parkinson
Emmanuel Forbes allowed five receptions for 110 yards and two touchdowns on six targets in coverage, the most coverage yards allowed by any Rams defender by a significant margin (next closest: linebacker Nate Landman with 24 yards). Forbes was the responsible coverage defender in man coverage against both Jalen Coker (33-yard TD) and Tetairoa McMillan (43-yard TD) on their respective touchdown receptions, both occurring on fourth down. This marked the first time Forbes has allowed a touchdown in coverage since Week 4 (Next Gen Stats).
Kyren Williams was dealing with injuries in this game, which is why Blake Corum was thrust into a larger role (seven carries for 81 yards and one rushing TD). The second-year RB was dealing. And honestly, it can sometimes be tough to tell the difference between Kyren Williams and Corum as rushers.
Even so, Kyren returned and was also effective, rushing 13 times for 72 yards and 1 TD.
We have acknowledged that the split between Corum and Williams has been greater this year, but admittedly, it has made Williams a more effective rusher. And this game should be a reminder of the high upside Corum has if Williams actually does get hurt. Needs to be rostered everywhere.
The next matchup is great for the Rams’ RBs (Arizona).
The schedule gets slightly tougher in the fantasy playoffs (DET, SEA).
Rookie tight end Terrance Ferguson will be a stud. Made another sick one-handed catch today, but it was out of bounds, until 2026.
Colby Parkinson was the most productive tight end for the Rams with Tyler Higbee out another week. Tutu Atwell (hamstring) wasn’t activated off IR ahead of Sunday’s matchup versus Carolina.
Schedule
| Week 14 | at Arizona Cardinals |
| Week 15 | Detroit Lions |
| Week 16 | at Seattle Seahawks |
| Week 17 | at Atlanta Falcons |
| Week 18 | Arizona Cardinals |
Miami Dolphins
Add Darren Waller
De’Von Achane ran for 134 yards and a touchdown on 22 carries in Week 13 against the Saints. He posted a 59.1% rushing success rate, tied for the 5th-highest of any running back this season (min. 20 carries), and his season high. Achane broke off three explosive runs of 10+ yards during the contest. He now has 32 explosive runs this season, fewer than only Jonathan Taylor (33) league-wide this season (NGS).
Darren Waller led the team in receiving yards (47) on two catches and three targets (1 RZ target and 23% of the air yards). Ran a route on 63% of the dropbacks – typical of a player coming off IR. Should ramp up similar to how we saw him start the season. In the first matchup versus the Jets earlier this season, he scored twice.
Coach Mike McDaniel said last Monday that Waller would be designated for return from injured reserve on Wednesday. Great schedule, ROS. Add him. Faces the Bengals in Week 16. McDaniel also said they were conservative with him in his first game back.
Jaylen Waddle was a bust (3-40) despite team-high six targets (26% target share, 45% air yards share, and 65 incomplete air yards). Hold.
Waddle has topped 82 yards in five of his eight games this season without Hill, averaging nearly seven targets and 74 yards per contest when Hill plays fewer than 50% of snaps or misses entirely (12-game sample size). He’s cemented himself as an auto-start WR1 with Hill out.
Safety Minkah Fitzpatrick was injured. FB Alec Ingold also got banged up.
Another W for Miami bodes well for Mike McDaniel’s future as the Dolphins HC for the rest of 2025. The Dolphins’ final five games feature two more at home.
Schedule:
| Week 14 | at New York Jets |
| Week 15 | at Pittsburgh Steelers |
| Week 16 | Cincinnati Bengals |
| Week 17 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
| Week 18 | at New England Patriots |
Minnesota Vikings
Add Jordan Mason & T.J. Hockenson
Max Brosmer completed 19 of 30 passes for 126 yards and four interceptions in his starting debut against the Seahawks. He struggled on downfield passes, completing just 1 of 9 attempts over 10 air yards for 29 yards and three interceptions, each of which came when targeting a different receiver. Vikings quarterbacks have now combined to throw 15 interceptions on downfield passes this season, the most in the NFL (Next Gen Stats).
The Seahawks defense forced the third-lowest EPA per play (-0.79) and the fifth-lowest success rate (24.0%) by a defense in a game this season in Week 13 against the Vikings.
Worst-case outcome. Undrafted rookie QB making his first start on the road in Seattle behind a banged-up O-line. The Vikings didn’t stand much of a chance here.
Aaron Jones will have his shoulder injury evaluated further, head coach Kevin O’Connell said after Sunday’s game. Starting center, Ryan Kelly, suffered a hip flexor injury in Sunday’s 26-0 loss to Seattle, Ben Goessling of The Minnesota Star Tribune reports.
Kelly might still play, whereas Jones seems very much iffy on this week, given he re-aggravated the same shoulder injury he has been dealing with this season.
Jordan Mason will be the next man up if Jones can’t go next week. However, he will still split snaps with Zavier Scott. Mason didn’t even see a massive snap share in this game, given the Vikings’ poor offensive showing and the fact that he also got nicked up.
Justin Jefferson hit rock bottom with Brosmer. Just two catches for four yards (20% target share and 51 incomplete air yards). T.J. Hockenson actually saw a boost (6-for-6 and 59 yards) while Jordan Addison was the target leader (10). I guess Hockenson could be a viable streamer versus the Commanders if we get Brosmer for another week.
Jefferson has to fall closer to the WR2 range in the rankings. Zero top-8 finishes this season—zero 20-point games. The “upside” has not been there for Jefferson this season.
But it’s all about Week 14 onward:
- QBs: No.1
- RBs: Average
- WRs: No.1
The hope is that with JJ McCarthy returning from concussion protocol, the Vikings’ offensive weapons can take advantage of matchups versus the Commanders, Giants, Bears, and Cowboys – while being easy bench candidates in tougher spots (like the last two games).
McCarthy is expected to return in Week 14 and start against the Commanders.
Schedule
| Week 14 | Washington Commanders |
| Week 15 | at Dallas Cowboys |
| Week 16 | at New York Giants |
| Week 17 | Detroit Lions |
| Week 18 | Green Bay Packers |
New England Patriots
Hold TreVeyon Henderson & Stefon Diggs | Add Kayshon Boutte | Drop Hunter Henry | Add Andres Borregales
Drake Maye completed 24 of his 31 pass attempts for 282 yards and two touchdowns in the Patriots’ Week 13 win over the Giants (Next Gen Stats).
He was blitzed on 38.9% of his dropbacks and finished 9 for 12 for 148 yards and both of his TDs against the blitz. Maye’s 2.57-second average time to throw was his quickest of the season, yet he completed 12 of 16 passes for 216 yards and a touchdown when holding the ball for longer than 2.5 seconds. He completed six passes beyond 10 air yards for 117 yards, extending his NFL lead in both categories (88 completions, 1,865 yards on downfield passes).
Despite missing two starters (LT Will Campbell and LG Jared Wilson), the Patriots allowed a pressure rate of 25.0%, the 2nd-lowest mark of Drake Maye‘s career (NGS). Left tackle Vederian Lowe, in for the injured Campbell, was the only player on the line to allow more than two pressures (Lowe: 5 pressures allowed), while replacement guard Ben Brown allowed just one pressure (2.8%) on the night. From a clean pocket, Maye completed 21 of 25 passes for 235 yards and two touchdowns.
Rhamondre Stevenson started this game and led the backfield with 12 carries for 40 yards (58% snap share). He also caught three passes for 40 yards (3 targets).
TreyVeon Henderson carried the ball 11 times for 67 yards (6.1 YPC) and also caught three passes for 19 yards (four targets). 49% snap share.
Terrell Jennings also got hurt in this game.
The days of Henderson seeing 90-plus percent of the work are probably over with Stevenson back in the fold. However, the rookie RB still benefits from great matchups ROS – so I think his fantasy value should be solid. Hendo did get both goal-line carries, but just didn’t convert.
For the fantasy playoffs, the Pats have Bills/Ravens/Jets. The Patriots have the 1 schedule ROS for RBs. Just note the Week 14 bye week.
Hunter Henry led the Pats with four catches and 73 yards (19% target share) – and he also had a long 30-yard TD called back on a flag (second week in a row HH has had a TD called back on a flag). The NE TE led the team in routes run to go with 4 RZ targets.
Kayshon Boutte was the most productive Pats WR – going 4 for 35 yards and 1 TD on six targets (two EZ targets, 16% target share). Tied Mack Hollins in WR snaps (75%) while running the most WR routes.
Stefon Diggs was an afterthought again, catching just three passes for 26 yards. He was back under 50% of the snaps. Womp. With Boutte back, Diggs just isn’t running enough routes to be an automatic start. However, with Buffalo up next – I’d imagine he can at least be a fantasy WR2. The Bills delete TEs, which might move the targets elsewhere in the Pats’ passing attack.
If you really want to think ahead (landmine SZN), Henry could be dropped potentially, given how bad he might play versus Buffalo (also on a bye week). If you have to make a roster move, I could see Henry as expendable because I don’t think he will help you over the next two weeks. Obviously, this is really only recommended in shallower leagues or if you are in dire straits with Week 14 byes. Henry will obviously be involved in Weeks 16-17.
Kyle Williams also scored a long TD – flashing his speed and big-play ability that made him a third-round pick in last year’s draft.
The Pats also have one of the best schedules ROS for kickers. Add Andres Borregales if he is dropped this week.
Schedule
| Week 14 | BYE |
| Week 15 | Buffalo Bills |
| Week 16 | at Baltimore Ravens |
| Week 17 | at New York Jets |
| Week 18 | Miami Dolphins |
New Orleans Saints
Add Devaughn Vele
Tyler Shough completed 26 of 38 passes for 239 yards, two touchdowns, and an interception against the Dolphins. He also rushed for a 2-point conversion. Shough was particularly effective on extended plays, completing 18 of 25 attempts for 172 yards and both touchdowns when his time to throw exceeded 2.5 seconds. On downfield passes of 10+ air yards, Shough connected on 9 of 12 attempts for 124 yards, including both of his touchdown passes (Next Gen Stats).
Devaughn Vele caught all eight of his targets for 93 yards and a touchdown against the Dolphins on Sunday. Six of his catches and 81 of his yards came on downfield passes (10+ air yards), including a 15-yard touchdown catch with just over a minute left in the game. Vele’s touchdown was one of his three out-breaking receptions for 43 yards, while he caught his other five targets for 50 yards on in-breaking routes (Next Gen Stats). Worth noting that all of Vele’s production came in the second half (zero first half targets). He had 5 targets on the Saints’ final drive.
Chris Olave came into this game nursing a back injury.
Juwan Johnson drew a team-high nine targets.
Devin Neal led the backfield with 14 carries for 47 rushing yards (81% snap share). Taysom Hill had one carry for 2 yards (virtually non-existent). Evan Hull operated as the RB2. Neal also caught three passes for 22 yards.
ROS schedule. Decent overall, and top 10 for RBs in the playoffs: Jets/Titans Weeks 16-17. I talked about stashing/adding Neal in case Alvin Kamara was thoroughly checked out by then (given his recent injury and week-to-week diagnosis, it seems to be trending in that direction for a team that is currently 2-10).
The Saints have the No. 1 schedule ROS for RBs. Also, their DST schedule is fantastic: Bucs, Panthers, Jets, Titans, etc.
Safety Justin Reid was injured.
Schedule
| Week 14 | at Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
| Week 15 | Carolina Panthers |
| Week 16 | New York Jets |
| Week 17 | at Tennessee Titans |
| Week 18 | at Atlanta Falcons |
New York Giants
Add Devin Singletary
Devin Singletary scored a season-high 19.1 PPR points in the Giants’ loss to the Patriots. Tyrone Tracy Jr. left the game early in the fourth quarter and still out-snapped Singletary 27 to 25, but Singletary out-touched him 15 to 11. Singletary totaled 101 yards from scrimmage and scored a touchdown, his first 100+ yard scrimmage game of the season, far outpacing Tracy’s 33 total yards. The extent of Tracy’s injury is not currently known, but if he were to miss time, Singletary would appear to be the Giants’ lead back with Eric Gray mixing in when needed (Next Gen Stats).
Jaxson Dart did not record a single designed rush in his first game back from his concussion on Monday night. According to Next Gen Stats…despite not making his first official start until Week 4, Dart led all quarterbacks in carries (25), yards (131), and touchdowns (6) on designed rushes in Weeks 1-10. However, in his return after missing the last two weeks, he did not have one designed rush attempt after recording at least two in all seven of his previous starts. He did scramble 4 times for 20 yards, but designed rushes have been the key to his fantasy production. He finished with just 13.6 fantasy points, his fewest in any of his eight starts in 2025.
Even so, the schedule is great for fantasy QBs (particularly Weeks 15-17)
Wan’Dale Robinson remained the Giants’ target leader (8, 30% target share) but was not efficient in converting the volume into just 34 yards (7 catches). Theo Johnson also drew a ton of volume (9, 33% target share), but most of the attempts fell incomplete (3 for 29).
Schedule
| Week 14 | BYE |
| Week 15 | Washington Commanders |
| Week 16 | Minnesota Vikings |
| Week 17 | at Las Vegas Raiders |
| Week 18 | Dallas Cowboys |
New York Jets
Add John Metchie & Tyrod Taylor & Adonai Mitchell
Adonai Mitchell recorded a season-high 102 receiving yards and a touchdown on eight catches (12 targets, 36% target share) against the Falcons. Also drew a 13th target that resulted in a DPI. He caught 7 of those passes for 97 yards and a touchdown against Falcons cornerback Mike Hughes. Mitchell’s 7 catches against Hughes are tied for the most catches of any receiver against a single defender in a game this season, and his 97 yards against Hughes are tied for the 4th-most (Next Gen Stats).
John Metchie also saw volume (eight targets), but this time he was less efficient than AD Mitchell.
With no timetable for Garrett Wilson‘s return, Mitchell/Metchie look like the top two WRs for New York the rest of the way. Great schedule for WRs ROS. Worth the add for the former Colts WR after a breakout performance with his new team.
HC Aaron Glenn talks about the Jets’ new WRs in every post-game press conference (S/O Coachspeak index) and continues to double-down on feeding them the rock.
Tyrod Taylor rushed for 44 yards and scored. He is the starter ROS, so add him in deeper QB1 spots, as the Jets have a favorable schedule in fantasy postseason for QBs. He also adds value with his legs.
The next four weeks are also great for the Jets’ passing attack. Tied for No. 1 schedule ROS for QBS.
Tony Adams (groin) was deemed questionable to return to Sunday’s game against the Falcons. Quincy Williams and Jermaine Johnson also got nicked up.
The schedule is tough for Breece Hall. Weeks 15-16 are both on the road, and Week 17 is the Pats. Love Hall, but there’s a lot of risk being too heavily invested in the Jets in the fantasy postseason
Schedule
| Week 14 | Miami Dolphins |
| Week 15 | at Jacksonville Jaguars |
| Week 16 | at New Orleans Saints |
| Week 17 | New England Patriots |
| Week 18 | at Buffalo Bills |
Philadelphia Eagles
Sell Dallas Goedert & Buy DeVonta Smith
A.J. Brown caught 10 of 12 targets for 132 yards and two touchdowns against the Bears.
Brown fought press coverage on seven of his twelve targets, catching six of them for 85 yards and both his touchdowns. In 14 matchups against Nahshon Wright, Brown caught all five targets for 82 yards and a touchdown, the most receptions and yards earned by Brown and allowed by Wright in a matchup this season (Next Gen Stats).
Ever since I buried AJB two weeks ago, naturally, he’s gone en Fuego. You are welcome to those who needed a spark lit under the Eagles’ WR. AJB was a ghost in the first half (2 catches for 11 yards) before blowing up in the second half.
DeVonta Smith entered the game with multiple injuries but still finished with 5-48 on eight targets. Barely got over his receptions prop with some catches late in the game after doing nothing most of the contest.
Through 11 games, the Eagles’ WRs have nearly identical target shares. I still think Smith can finish the season on a high note. Great schedule for WRs rest of season – specifically to slot WRs. The four remaining defenses that Philly faces rank inside the top-12 in percentage of fantasy points allowed to WRs going to slot WRs (3 inside the top-8). However, the Chargers’ matchup isn’t great. The Chargers have allowed the 6th-fewest fantasy points per game to slot WRs (4th-fewest PPG allowed to WRs overall). LA’s slot CB – Tarheeb Still – ranks 3rd in coverage snaps per target and 6th in coverage snaps per receptions when defending the slot.
Buy Dallas Goedert – the Eagles TE has the best SOS rest of the season for TEs. After he bombed with everybody else eating…I would buy low. However, this is after the Chargers’ matchup. Tied for the 2nd-fewest targets allowed to TEs this season. Derwin James Jr. – 10th highest graded safety in coverage this season per PFF. Don’t generally see a ton of volume coming his way. Raiders is bad, but Commanders should be solid. However, that concludes the run as the Bills’ matchup is a no-fly zone for TEs.
Saquon Barkley was a bust again. Rushed just 13 times for 56 yards. Against a depleted Bears linebacker room, the former 2,000-yard rusher still couldn’t get going.
The Lane Johnson injury doesn’t help Barkley for the rest of the season. So even though there are good matchups, I think Barkley is more of a volume play.
Schedule
| Week 14 | at Los Angeles Chargers |
| Week 15 | Las Vegas Raiders |
| Week 16 | at Washington Commanders |
| Week 17 | at Buffalo Bills |
| Week 18 | Washington Commanders |
Pittsburgh Steelers
Sell Jaylen Warren and Kenneth Gainwell
Jaylen Warren led the backfield with 10 carries for 35 yards and 1 TD. Also had four targets (56% snap rate). Expected more in a smash spot.
And admittedly, the playoffs aren’t nearly as good (bottom-of-the-barrel for RBs), so anticipate this production to fall off.
Weeks 16-17 are the worst matchups for RBs. If this stays a committee between Warren and Kenneth Gainwell, it could be brutal.
The Steelers’ pass attack was non-existent aside from a few Darnell Washington plays (2 for 45 on four targets). Also played 79% of the snaps (most of the Steelers’ tight ends).
DK Metcalf led with five targets (3-32).
Still a WR2/FLEX option with a strong schedule ROS: Through Weeks 15-17 (Fantasy Playoffs): Dolphins, Lions, Browns — the No. 1 WR schedule per FantasyPros’ SOS tool.
No. 2 Schedule overall for fantasy WRs. Hopefully, a healthy Rodgers can boost Metcalf’s fantasy output. But that might be a pipe dream as the injuries are piling up for the future HOF QB.
CB James Pierre (head) is questionable to return to Pittsburgh’s matchup versus Buffalo on Sunday, Burt Lauten of the team’s official site reports. LB Patrick Queen was also ruled out for the rest of Sunday’s game against the Bills.
Schedule
| Week 14 | at Baltimore Ravens |
| Week 15 | Miami Dolphins |
| Week 16 | at Detroit Lions |
| Week 17 | at Cleveland Browns |
| Week 18 | Baltimore Ravens |
San Francisco 49ers
Hold/Add Brock Purdy, Brian Robinson Jr., 49ers DST & Ricky Pearsall
Tough matchup for the 49ers on the road. Luckily, the guys we care about the most came through with TDs such as Christian McCaffrey and Jauan Jennings.
George Kittle was also fine by TE standards with 4-67 on five targets. Jennings led the 49ers in total targets (6). In the last seven games, Jennings is the WR target leader for the 49ers.
He has a real connection with Purdy, and every passing day seems to improve his health.
You likely benched Brock Purdy versus the Browns. Now the 49ers have their bye week. But you will want him for the last three games. So, if he is dropped…stash him.
Still, the playoff schedule is fantastic for the 49ers… so hold guys, or add them if they get dropped, i.e., Ricky Pearsall.
FB Kyle Juszczyk (ribs), OG Ben Bartch, and LB Nick Martin also got nicked up against the Browns. Bartch will miss the rest of the season with a foot injury.
The 49ers are reportedly committed to getting Brandon Aiyuk healthy and on the field this year, per Mike Garafolo. Kyle Shanahan confirmed as much, saying there was a potential for the WR to return and play.
But this seems more like a pipe dream, with some sources citing that Aiyuk is done in the Bay Area. Aiyuk, sources say via The Athletic, has failed to attend meetings and declined to participate in other team activities in recent months. The 49ers have grown increasingly frustrated with the receiver’s lack of communication.
They voided the contract guarantees as a result. I’d bet he doesn’t play for San Fran again this season. Get healthy and play for somebody else (Commanders) next year.
Schedule
| Week 13 | at Cleveland Browns |
| Week 14 | BYE |
| Week 15 | Tennessee Titans |
| Week 16 | at Indianapolis Colts |
| Week 17 | Chicago Bears |
| Week 18 | Seattle Seahawks |
Seattle Seahawks
Hold/Buy Kenneth Walker
Kenneth Walker (56) and Zach Charbonnet (52) each cleared 50 rushing yards in Week 13 against the Vikings, totaling +15 and +18 rushing yards over expected, respectively.
Both backs fared better on runs outside the tackles, as Walker totaled 41 yards on nine such carries while Charbonnet recorded 32 of his yards on eight outside carries, along with a touchdown. But like he always does, he found the end zone.
Walker finished with 13 carries (55% snaps) to Charb’s 14 carries (39% snaps). Worth noting that Walker had three more carries wiped away on penalties – so technically he was the carry leader (16) to go along with three catches for 18 yards (4 targets).
Last 2 weeks, touches have been 30-20 in favor of KW3. Walker has 13-plus opportunities in six straight games to Charbonnet’s four.
TE AJ Barner played all the snaps (85%) and led the team in targets (5), yards (35), and catches (4).
OG Anthony Bradford (elbow) did not sustain a significant injury. CB Josh Jobe suffered a potential concussion.
Schedule
| Week 14 | at Atlanta Falcons |
| Week 15 | Indianapolis Colts |
| Week 16 | Los Angeles Rams |
| Week 17 | at Carolina Panthers |
| Week 18 | at the San Francisco 49ers |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Add Mike Evans | Buy Bucky Irving | Add Bucs DST
Baker Mayfield completed 16 of 18 passes under 10 air yards for 140 yards and a touchdown in Week 13 against the Cardinals.
He was also strong against the blitz, completing 6 of 11 passes for 114 yards and a touchdown. Despite being blitzed on 39.4% of his dropbacks, Mayfield averaged 3.05 seconds to throw, his 2nd-longest mark of the season. OT Tristan Wirfs caught the lone Mayfield passing TD. Woof.
Bucky Irving was thrown right back into the mix after his long absence (54% snaps). 17 carries for 61 yards (long of 13) with 2 catches for 20 yards (long of 20 yards). He also scored from the 1-yard line, but it came back on a holding call. No other Bucs’ RB had more than two carries. Rachaad White still drew three targets, but otherwise, this was completely back to “Bell Cow” Bucky. White did catch a 15-yard TD but it was called back on OPI.
Nothing but smooth sailing for Irving after just five games played so far in 2025. Guy has fresh legs.
Emeka Egbuka still saw alpha usage (8 targets), but just nothing in the box score (4-42). Also had another huge chunk gain (21 yards) negated on a flag. More air yards (43%) and targets (29%), but to no avail.
He is still the target leader (29-plus % target share in the last six games). Hold.
Chris Godwin led the team with 78 receiving yards (31-yard long). Godwin also earned two red-zone targets (one in the EZ that he dropped) and saw his route participation jump to 63% (40% in Week 12).
With the veteran getting ramped up, Tez Johnson saw a reduced role (53% route share). He can be dropped.
Mike Evans could also return in Week 14 or 15. Add him. Might start to practice this week.
Weeks 16-17: Panthers/Dolphins. ROS?
Top-10 schedule for WRs, RBs, and QBs.
Tampa Bay has the Top-3 schedule in fantasy playoffs for QBs.
Also, add the Bucs DST. Top-5 schedule ROS and in the playoffs.
Schedule
| Week 14 | New Orleans Saints |
| Week 15 | Atlanta Falcons |
| Week 16 | at Carolina Panthers |
| Week 17 | at Miami Dolphins |
| Week 18 | Carolina Panthers |
Tennessee Titans
Add Gunnar Helm
Tony Pollard led the backfield with 10 carries for 60 yards (also lost a fumble on a reception). Tyjae Spears was the top pass-catcher (6-6 for 25 yards). Titans RB separate? Weak. Together? You could actually play them in fantasy football.
Basically, with both guys healthy… they are utterly useless. However, we saw last year when Pollard went down…Spears was very productive. Just keep them on fantasy benches in deeper formats.
if we could just combine Tony Pollard and Tyjae Spears into Tony Spears pic.twitter.com/iLswLlIgqs
— Andrew Erickson™ (@AndrewErickson_) November 30, 2025
Still, the Titans are tied with the Giants for the worst RB schedule for the rest of the season. If you have to drop one, go ahead.
Gunnar Helm finished with a team-high seven targets (2 in the RZ), six catches for 23 yards. Leads the team in catches over the last two weeks. A DBro favorite, the former Texas TE is carving out a nice role in the Titans’ offense.
Chig Okonkwo led the team with 25 yards. Elic Ayomanor drew five targets, but only had one catch for 5 yards.
Browns next week. Leave all Titans away from fantasy lineups.
Schedule
| Week 14 | at Cleveland Browns |
| Week 15 | at San Francisco 49ers |
| Week 16 | Kansas City Chiefs |
| Week 17 | New Orleans Saints |
| Week 18 | at Jacksonville Jaguars |
Washington Commanders
Add Jayden Daniels & Terry McLaurin | Add Chris Rodriguez Jr. & Zach Ertz
Zach Ertz caught 10 of his 13 targets for 106 yards in Week 13, including seven receptions for 75 yards against zone coverage. He gained 45 yards after the catch on the night, his most in a game since Week 9, 2019, while his 89 receiving yards on targets between the numbers were the 5th-most by any tight end this season and Ertz’s most since Week 10, 2018 (Next Gen Stats).
Pat Surtain II matched up against Terry McLaurin on 21 coverage snaps in the Broncos’ Week 13 overtime win over the Commanders, including 16 in man coverage (Next Gen Stats). Surtain was targeted on eight of those matchups and allowed just three catches for 30 yards while forcing two tight windows (<1 yard of separation). However, McLaurin recorded a fourth-quarter catch beyond 10 air yards, the second such reception Surtain has allowed this season, and scored a touchdown on Surtain in overtime after he had not allowed one on his last 507 coverage snaps dating back to Week 13 of last season (NGS).
TMC had a monster game back from injury – 7-96-1 on 14 targets. He scored in OT (called back on a penalty), but he found the end zone again for real one a few plays later.
Chris Rodriguez spearheaded the Commanders’ backfield with 11 carries for 41 yards and 1 TD. He also split work with Jeremy McNichols (6 for 30 yards) and Jacory Croskey-Merritt (4 for 20 yards).
Still, C-Rod looks like the lead of this 3-headed monster. Great schedule ahead for the Commanders RBs as well. Specifically in the fantasy playoffs, the Giants/Cowboys is very juicy.
And they also might get a boost from Jayden Daniels returning next week. Hopefully, if he returns and looks healthy, he can be used against the Giants and Cowboys if you are hurting at QB—worth an add—strong ROS schedule for fantasy QBs.
However, based on the 5-6-week timeline…Minnesota or New York seems the most realistic return. Then there’s still the case of whether Washington shuts him down in a lost season. But the SNF broadcast seemed to bury this narrative. Once he’s healthy…he will play.
Treylon Burks made a sick one-handed TD grab.
Schedule
| Week 14 | at Minnesota Vikings |
| Week 15 | at the New York Giants |
| Week 16 | Philadelphia Eagles |
| Week 17 | Dallas Cowboys |
| Week 18 | at Philadelphia Eagles |
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