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Beyond the Waiver Wire: Fantasy Football Moves to Make (Week 6)

Welcome back, everybody! We’ve got NFL Week 5 officially in the books and a lot to recap from ALL the action! My goal with this weekly piece is to provide you with the most critical KEY ACTION items from every game – waiver wire pickups, trade, add, drop, stash, buy, sell, start, sit, etc. – for your fantasy football team based on what happened the previous week. Let me do the work of scouring through the data and film so you can just follow my lead. As my college marketing professor always said, “Keep it simple, stupid.” The KISS mantra is at its finest.

Obviously, I’ll cite data and what I observed on film from the past weekend’s matchups, highlighting what matters most and what’s potentially just noise. I will make a strong effort to feature players coming off polarizing performances, as they are sure to be the ones fantasy managers have the most question marks about.

Again, the idea behind the Fantasy Forecast (now named BEYOND THE WAIVER WIRE) has always been about identifying which players are running routes, seeing high snap shares, and earning high-value targets, as these tend to be precursors for future fantasy production. And sometimes, they don’t always appear in the normal box score.

So, without further ado…let’s GO beyond the waiver wire for Week 6 to prepare our rosters for future success.

To infinity and beyond (the waiver wire)!

Beyond the Waiver Wire: Fantasy Football Moves to Make

Arizona Cardinals

Add/Sell Michael Carter

We all wanted to know how the Arizona Cardinals’ backfield would shake out in the wake of Trey Benson‘s injury. I wrote last week about how heavy I was on the Michael Carter side of the backfield over Emari Demercado. I was proven correct. In a game where the Cardinals benefitted from mostly positive game script…until things got really off the rails, Carter was the workhorse for Arizona. 18 carries for 51 yards, and five catches for 22 yards on five targets. He led the backfield with a 57% snap rate – playing 20 more snaps (39 vs 19) compared to Demercado. Demercado had one touch in the first half (zero targets).

Does this mean Demercado’s value is nuked? Not entirely. Again, this matchup for Carter was perfect for him to gobble volume. Arizona won’t always be a touchdown-favorite at home. And FWIW, Demercado did rip off a big run for a 72-yard TD call…but it was overturned as a fumble out of the end zone…resulting in a touchback. Woof. At least in the short-term…don’t expect much from Demercado, who might need to change his zip code to Jonathan Gannon’s dog house.

Demercado will have more opportunities in Cardinals’ games with negative game scripts. That being said, Carter is still the Cardinals’ RB to own until Benson returns. Worth mentioning that Zonovan Knight also scored a rushing TD (as he also earned two red-zone carries to Carter’s two red-zone carries).

Even though Carter was the lead guy…I do think there is some semblance of this being a committee of sorts, ROS. Gannon was noncommittal about Carter being the starter again in Week 6, even after his blow-up on the sideline due to the Demercado fumble/touchback.

Given the upcoming matchups – Colts, Packers, and a bye week – I think Carter might be a sharp “sell-high” after you added him off waivers this past week. Keep in mind that Carter’s always going to have an expired shelf life with Benson coming back at some point in the second half of the season. Flip him to a desperate manager looking for RB production right now because Carter was very inefficient in his first start against a beatable Titans defense. Just 2.8 yards per carry and a 28% success rate.

According to the FantasyPros SOS tool…Arizona’s RB schedule ROS is bottom-8.

Other notes…

  • Michael Wilson ran fewer routes than Zay Jones.
  • Trey McBride has a 32-yard gain removed on an offensive holding call.
  • TE Tip Reiman was carted off the field after sustaining an ankle injury in the third quarter of Sunday’s game against the Titans, Josh Weinfuss of ESPN.com reports.

Route Participation & Air Yards:

Name Team POS RTE RTE % aDOT AY AY Share TGT TGT % TPRR REC YDS TD
Trey McBride ARZ TE 32 86.5 7 49 25.9 7 21.9 0.22 5 41 0
Marvin Harrison ARZ WR 28 75.7 19.4 97 51.3 5 15.6 0.18 4 98 0
Zay Jones ARZ WR 24 64.9 3.5 7 3.7 2 6.3 0.08 2 8 0
Michael Wilson ARZ WR 22 59.5 9.8 39 20.6 4 12.5 0.18 2 16 0
Michael Carter ARZ RB 13 35.1 -0.4 -2 -1.1 5 15.6 0.38 5 22 0
Emari Demercado ARZ RB 9 24.3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Elijah Higgins ARZ TE 8 21.6 -2 -4 -2.1 2 6.3 0.25 2 10 0
Tip Reiman ARZ TE 5 13.5 9 9 4.8 1 3.1 0.2 0 0 0
Bam Knight ARZ RB 4 10.8 0 0 0 1 3.1 0.25 1 13 0
Greg Dortch ARZ WR 3 8.1 -3 -6 -3.2 2 6.3 0.67 2 12 0
Travis Vokolek ARZ TE 1 2.7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Simi Fehoko ARZ WR 1 2.7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Schedule

  • Week 6: at Colts
  • Week 7: vs. Packers
  • Week 8: BYE

Atlanta Falcons

Moves to Make: Buy Drake London

Drake London did all of his damage in the first half back in Week 4, with 6-95-1 (RZ score) on seven first-half targets. The Falcons’ No. 1 WR finally had the breakout game (38% target share, 40% target rate per route run) that I was hoping for when I was pumping his draft stock all offseason. London remains a buy and target if he can be acquired cheaper coming out of his bye week. I like the schedule coming up after the Falcons’ bye week (top-6 ROS). Keep in mind that the Falcons fired their previous WR coach before Week 4, in an effort to get more offensive WR production. So far, so good.

Through four games, London is the WR8 in expected PPG and PFF’s 10th-highest graded WR.

Darnell Mooney left Week 4 in the third quarter. Limited to just 45% of the snaps. It was noted as a hamstring injury, but he is not expected to miss games with the team coming off the bye week.

Schedule

  • Week 6: vs. Bills
  • Week 7: at 49ers
  • Week 8: vs. Dolphins

Baltimore Ravens

Moves to Make: Buy Derrick Henry

Baltimore is sooooo banged up.

Can’t really do much with the Ravens but hold their guys. They will likely get destroyed again next week at home versus the Rams if they remain as injured as they currently are. The latest is that Lamar Jackson has an “outside shot” of playing in Week 6. Hopefully, Lamar Jackson can come healthy out of the Week 7 bye week.

But post-bye week…

It’s a SMASH spot for the Ravens offense – specifically with Derrick Henry. Bears/Dolphins. Sharp managers should be looking to buy low on Henry (presuming they have positive records and don’t need the King over the next few games).

Until then, Henry is probably a low-end RB1/high-end RB2 (still scores TDs) while Zay Flowers is a WR3. Can’t play anyone else. Flowers is another interesting buy-low with an eye toward the Ravens in the second half of the year. Flowers ranks 6th in PFF grade this season.

Route Participation & Air Yards:

Name Team POS RTE RTE % aDOT AY AY Share TGT TGT % TPRR REC YDS TD
Zay Flowers BLT WR 21 100 8 40 26.7 5 25 0.24 5 72 0
DeAndre Hopkins BLT WR 5 23.8 12 24 16 2 10 0.4 2 46 0
Mark Andrews BLT TE 11 52.4 8.7 26 17.3 3 15 0.27 2 22 0
Isaiah Likely BLT TE 9 42.9 11 11 7.3 1 5 0.11 1 12 0
Charlie Kolar BLT TE 5 23.8 10 10 6.7 1 5 0.2 1 10 0
Justice Hill BLT RB 8 38.1 -4.5 -9 -6 2 10 0.25 1 9 0
Keaton Mitchell BLT RB 1 4.8 -5 -5 -3.3 1 5 1 1 5 0
Zaire Mitchell-Paden BLT TE 2 9.5 3 3 2 1 5 0.5 1 3 0
LaJohntay Wester BLT WR 1 4.8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Rashod Bateman BLT WR 14 66.7 24 48 32 2 10 0.14 0 0 0
Derrick Henry BLT RB 6 28.6 2 2 1.3 1 5 0.17 0 0 0
Tylan Wallace BLT WR 1 4.8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Schedule

  • Week 6: vs. Rams (home)
  • Week 7: BYE

Buffalo Bills

Moves to Make: Hold Keon Coleman | Buy Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid continues to deliver strong performances after strong performances. The usage is middling – 54% snap rate in Week 5 – but Kincaid’s hyper-target rate makes him fantasy viable. Being attached to Josh Allen also helps.

With the Bills’ rotation of WRs extending to four guys…Kincaid is emerging as the Bills’ pass-catcher to own. Especially given his fantasy TE designation. The Bills TE ranks 7th among all TEs in target rate per route run this season (23.5%).

However, I am still holding out some hope for Keon Coleman. Was the team’s air yards leader in Week 5 and scored. Even though the sheer target share isn’t bountiful…Coleman has the lead on the high-value targets. However, Khalil Shakir did see three red-zone targets versus the Patriots. Shakir also led the team with a 29% target share.

I’d also like to note that Coleman has been in the coach’s doghouse. Didn’t play on the first offensive series. Last year, he was benched for a quarter after being late.

Route Participation & Air Yards:

Name Team POS RTE RTE % aDOT AY AY Share TGT TGT % TPRR REC YDS TD
Khalil Shakir BUF WR 27 69.2 1.7 15 5.8 9 29 0.33 6 45 0
Keon Coleman BUF WR 25 64.1 13.1 92 35.4 7 22.6 0.28 4 23 1
Dalton Kincaid BUF TE 21 53.8 12.5 75 28.8 6 19.4 0.29 6 108 0
Josh Palmer BUF WR 20 51.3 18 36 13.8 2 6.5 0.1 2 36 0
Curtis Samuel BUF WR 17 43.6 9.5 19 7.3 2 6.5 0.12 2 26 1
Dawson Knox BUF TE 15 38.5 3.5 7 2.7 2 6.5 0.13 2 15 0
Tyrell Shavers BUF WR 9 23.1 21 21 8.1 1 3.2 0.11 0 0 0
James Cook BUF RB 18 46.2 -5 -5 -1.9 1 3.2 0.06 0 0 0
Ty Johnson BUF RB 9 23.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Jackson Hawes BUF TE 2 5.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Ray Davis BUF RB 1 2.6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Schedule

  • Week 6: at Falcons
  • Week 7: BYE
  • Week 8: at Carolina

Carolina Panthers

Moves to Make: Buy Tetairoa McMillan | Hold Rico Dowdle | Add Jalen Coker

Rico Dowdle rushed for over 200 yards versus the Miami Dolphins. The former Dallas Cowboys RB flashed RB1 potential last season…and it was on full display in Week 5. 67% snap share. Trevor Etienne only played 20% of the snaps. He also split route duties with DeeJay Dallas.

Chuba Hubbard is day-to-day, so he may return in Week 6. And although Hubbard would be inserted back as RB1…it’s clear that Dowdle will still have a role.

Tetairoa McMillan remains a priority buy-low target after seeing a 27% target share in Week 5 (6-73 on eight targets with two more RZ targets). Head and shoulders above every other Panthers WR. Shown an extremely high-floor through 5 games (8-plus targets in each contest). 23% target share and 42% air yards share on the season (10th). T-Mac is 8th in expected fantasy points per game as PFF’s 20th-highest graded WR.

Dallas up next. Top-7 schedule ROS for WRs.

Uncle Rico Dowdle‘s revenge game next week.

Other notes:

Jalen Coker‘s 21-day practice window to return has been opened. Stash the talented second-year WR.

Name Team POS RTE RTE % aDOT AY AY Share TGT TGT % TPRR REC YDS TD
Tetairoa McMillan CAR WR 28 82.4 14.8 118 50.9 8 26.7 0.29 6 73 0
Xavier Legette CAR WR 25 73.5 17.7 53 22.8 3 10 0.12 2 31 1
Rico Dowdle CAR RB 14 41.2 -2.3 -9 -3.9 4 13.3 0.29 3 28 0
Jimmy Horn CAR WR 9 26.5 8.7 26 11.2 3 10 0.33 2 21 0
James Mitchell CAR TE 3 8.8 1 1 0.4 1 3.3 0.33 1 11 0
Brycen Tremayne CAR WR 7 20.6 8 8 3.4 1 3.3 0.14 1 9 0
Hunter Renfrow CAR WR 19 55.9 7 14 6 2 6.7 0.11 1 7 0
Trevor Etienne CAR RB 6 17.6 4 4 1.7 1 3.3 0.17 1 7 0
Tommy Tremble CAR TE 23 67.6 7.5 15 6.5 2 6.7 0.09 1 7 0
Mitchell Evans CAR TE 8 23.5 2 2 0.9 1 3.3 0.13 1 4 1
DeeJay Dallas CAR RB 6 17.6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Schedule

  • Week 6: vs. Cowboys (home)
  • Week 7: at Jets

Chicago Bears

Moves to Make: Add Luther Burden | Sell D’Andre Swift | Sell D.J. Moore

D’Andre Swift – The Bears’ rushing attack is anemic. I’d anticipate some kind of change to this RB room post-bye week. Swift (66% snap rate in Week 4) is being his uber-inefficient self from last season. Sell before he loses his job outright. Through four games, D’Andre Swift has the 10th-worst rushing success rate at 3.3 yards per carry (Bottom-15 PFF rushing grade). A Week 5 bye week has me exploring trade options.

Kyle Monangai – The rookie played 28% of the snaps in Week 4. Add him if he got dropped during the bye week. I’d like to stay ahead of next report that says, “Bears looking to revamp run game over bye week.” That could mean more of the rookie 7th-rounder. I’m not saying that Monangai is taking over this backfield by any means (because he has also been inefficient). Maybe down the line, but not necessarily in Week 6. I am saying that Swift might be overvalued as a bell cow who has been very inefficient and doesn’t have a lucrative red-zone role. The receiving gives him a nice boost, and that likely won’t change even if he sees a reduced rushing role. Swift has always been a mid-to-low-end fantasy RB2. If you can get more for that…take it.

Rome Odunze – The second-year breakout is a perfect example of why we chase red-zone usage year over year. Odunze was an end-zone monster in 2024. And in 2025, he has turned those end-zone targets into TDs. Trust the process.

DJ Moore – Just more low ADOT (4.3) and low-value targets for DJ Moore in Week 4, culminating in a 4-38 stat line. DJ Moore managers are just keeping their fingers crossed that he gets traded at some point. Because the role Moore has in this 2025 Bears offense is lackluster at best. Moore is the WR48 in expected fantasy PPG this season.

Luther Burden – I’d also expect Burden to be more involved after the bye week. Keep him stashed. We could very much see the Bears’ offense look different and feature more of Burden and fellow rookie Colston Loveland.

Schedule

  • Week 6:at WAS
  • Week 7:vs NO

FantasyPros Fantasy Football Trade Analyzer

Cincinnati Bengals

Moves to Make: Sell Ja’Marr Chase

Last week, I said to buy/hold Ja’Marr Chase. I told everybody you have to wait. You have to wait. Chase then proceeds to go for 6-110-2 on 10 targets against the Lions. Mostly coming in the fourth quarter, down 28-3 against a Lions defense depleted of secondary options. This could be Chase’s best game ROS. Take advantage. Joe Burrow isn’t coming back anytime soon. And Jake Browning‘s on the road versus GB next week. Chase will have productive weeks when he’s playing at home (Weeks 7-9). And the fantasy postseason (Ravens at home/Dolphins) is juicy. But the floor can bottom out with Browning behind the Bengals’ terrible OL. If you can cash out for something really good, I think that’s the move to make. We can always revisit buying Chase closer to the fantasy trade deadline with the postseason closer insight.

Other notes:

Noah Fant has a significantly reduced role after missing last week with a concussion.

Route Participation & Air Yards:

Name Team POS RTE RTE % aDOT AY AY Share TGT TGT % TPRR REC YDS TD
Ja’Marr Chase CIN WR 38 84.4 18.2 164 48 9 22.5 0.24 6 110 2
Andrei Iosivas CIN WR 35 77.8 8.4 59 17.3 7 17.5 0.2 5 82 0
Tee Higgins CIN WR 41 91.1 12.3 86 25.1 7 17.5 0.17 3 22 1
Chase Brown CIN RB 19 42.2 -0.5 -4 -1.2 8 20 0.42 7 21 0
Mike Gesicki CIN TE 20 44.4 8.6 43 12.6 5 12.5 0.25 2 15 0
Samaje Perine CIN RB 21 46.7 -2.5 -5 -1.5 2 5 0.1 2 2 0
Drew Sample CIN TE 12 26.7 -1 -1 -0.3 1 2.5 0.08 1 -1 0
Noah Fant CIN TE 8 17.8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Tanner Hudson CIN TE 1 2.2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Mitchell Tinsley CIN WR 1 2.2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Schedule

  • Week 6: at Packers
  • Week 7: vs Steelers
  • Week 8: vs Jets

Cleveland Browns

Moves to Make: Add Isaiah Bond | Hold David Njoku | Hold Quinshon Judkins

There I was…early Sunday morning, moving both Browns TEs down my Week 5 rankings. My rationale? What are the odds that with a rookie QB, either of these guys sniffs the red zone? Woof.

Both David Njoku and Harold Fannin scored on Sunday with Dillon Gabriel making his first start. The Browns’ rookie QB played point guard and thrived getting the ball to his short and intermediate tight end targets.

I really expected the polar opposite impact for Njoku with the QB change. So if you are an Njoku manager, you are ecstatic after he saw a 24% target share in Gabriel’s first start. Also played 96% of the snaps. Njoku is a streaky producer….so this could be the start of something very positive. Ride the wave.

As for investors in Isaiah Bond and/or Jerry Jeudy. Not so much. Gabriel went 0-for-3 targeting them in the red zone. Njoku and Fannin combined for four red-zone targets (3 for Njoku) and combined for two TDs.

Bond specifically left some meat on the bone with his targets. I think he’s worth the add.

Again, Jeudy is the one who looked most out of place with DG under center. Just three targets despite leading the team in routes run. HC Kevin Stefanski still strongly emphasizes Jeudy is the best WR on the Browns…but that’s not necessarily as bullish as the surface-level comments suggest. This team loves using two TEs, and they just placed their other best WR on IR.

Route Participation & Air Yards:

Name Team POS RTE RTE % aDOT AY AY Share TGT TGT % TPRR REC YDS TD
David Njoku CLV TE 28 77.8 4.5 36 20.5 8 24.2 0.29 6 67 1
Isaiah Bond CLV WR 26 72.2 13.8 69 39.2 5 15.2 0.19 2 29 0
Jamari Thrash CLV WR 14 38.9 49 49 27.8 1 3 0.07 1 22 0
Jerome Ford CLV RB 13 36.1 -4 -8 -4.5 2 6.1 0.15 2 20 0
Quinshon Judkins CLV RB 4 11.1 -1.5 -3 -1.7 2 6.1 0.5 1 18 0
Jerry Jeudy CLV WR 32 88.9 9.7 29 16.5 3 9.1 0.09 2 15 0
Harold Fannin CLV TE 17 47.2 1 4 2.3 4 12.1 0.24 4 13 1
Dylan Sampson CLV RB 6 16.7 0 0 0 1 3 0.17 1 6 0
Gage Larvadain CLV WR 1 2.8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Malachi Corley CLV WR 2 5.6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Schedule

  • Week 6: at Steelers

Dallas Cowboys

Moves to Make: Hold/Buy Javonte WilliamsDak Prescott | Add Jaydon Blue

Dak Prescott is just on fire. And the fact that he is doing so with so many injuries at WR and across his OL is a testament to the level of quarterback he is playing at. The Cowboys QB tossed four more TDs in Week 5 versus the Jets.

Ryan Flournoy was the big-time producer…but don’t chase. This was very much personnel and matchup-based. Kavonte Turpin and CeeDee Lamb were out. George Pickens was getting shadowed by Sauce Gardner. I mentioned on the Week 5 rankings show that the middle of the field and/or slot would eat here for Dallas. Hence, 114 yards and nine targets for Flournoy, who operated as the team’s slot receiver in Week 5.

Jake Ferguson also feasted with 7-49-2 on nine targets.

Miles Sanders sat out this game, and Jaydon Blue was in as the RB2. Just 11 snaps (18%). Juggernaut Javonte Williams remains a buy-high. Cowboys HC Brian Schottenheimer recently said that he is indeed the president of the Javonte Williams fan club. YLTSI.

The Carolina Panthers are next…

Route Participation & Air Yards:

Name Team POS RTE RTE % aDOT AY AY Share TGT TGT % TPRR REC YDS TD
Ryan Flournoy DAL WR 18 54.5 9.8 78 35.8 8 27.6 0.44 6 114 0
George Pickens DAL WR 28 84.8 20.5 82 37.6 4 13.8 0.14 2 57 1
Jake Ferguson DAL TE 19 57.6 3.1 28 12.8 9 31 0.47 7 49 2
Javonte Williams DAL RB 13 39.4 1 2 0.9 2 6.9 0.15 1 4 1
Luke Schoonmaker DAL TE 11 33.3 10 20 9.2 2 6.9 0.18 1 3 0
KaVontae Turpin DAL WR 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL TE 5 15.2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Jalen Tolbert DAL WR 29 87.9 13 13 6 1 3.4 0.03 0 0 0
Jaydon Blue DAL RB 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Schedule

  • Week 6: at Panthers
  • Week 7: vs Commanders (home)
  • Week 8: at Broncos

Denver Broncos

Moves to Make: Buy RJ Harvey | Sell J.K. Dobbins

Pretty typical deployment for the Broncos’ skill players in Week 5 – although Evan Engram being more involved was noteworthy. The Broncos put Lucas Krull on IR earlier in the week. Engram so a slightly increased role as a result…with 4-33-1 on 6 targets. Still, he only ran a route on 53% of the dropbacks. Also worth noting that Pat Bryant ran more routes than Marvin Mims, who is incredibly difficult to trust.

J.K. Dobbins continued to lead the backfield with a 53% snap rate in another very productive outing (led backfield with four red-zone carries). Even so…hold at your own risk. We know the injury track record for Dobbins. But if you are cool just riding it out…be my guest.

RJ Harvey played fewer snaps than Tyler Badie. Gross. This hasn’t been the case since very early in the season. But despite the reduced snaps, Harvey still caught three passes on three targets. Badie was in on the 2-minute drill.

Route Participation & Air Yards:

Name Team POS RTE RTE % aDOT AY AY Share TGT TGT % TPRR REC YDS TD
Courtland Sutton DEN WR 41 95.3 10.4 104 32.1 10 25.6 0.24 8 99 0
Troy Franklin DEN WR 32 74.4 18.3 73 22.5 4 10.3 0.13 3 35 0
Evan Engram DEN TE 23 53.5 5.8 29 9 5 12.8 0.22 4 33 1
RJ Harvey DEN RB 8 18.6 1.3 4 1.2 3 7.7 0.38 3 18 0
Tyler Badie DEN RB 13 30.2 -1.5 -3 -0.9 2 5.1 0.15 1 16 0
Trent Sherfield DEN WR 3 7 17.5 35 10.8 2 5.1 0.67 1 15 0
Adam Trautman DEN TE 9 20.9 3 3 0.9 1 2.6 0.11 1 11 0
Marvin Mims DEN WR 19 44.2 16.6 83 25.6 5 12.8 0.26 2 10 0
J.K. Dobbins DEN RB 5 11.6 -4 -4 -1.2 1 2.6 0.2 1 5 0
Nate Adkins DEN TE 7 16.3 0 0 0 1 2.6 0.14 0 0 0
Lucas Krull DEN TE 1 2.3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Pat Bryant DEN WR 23 53.5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Schedule

  • Week 6: at NYJ (London)
  • Week 7: vs NYG

Detroit Lions

Moves to Make: Buy/Hold Jameson Williams | Sell David Montgomery | Add Isaac TeSlaa

If you didn’t sell David Montgomery after the Ravens game, now is the time to move him after the Lions played the Bengals. It was a great spot for him (65 rushing yards on 18 carries and one rushing score), and the Lions fed him extra carries because it was a homecoming for the Cincinnati native

Because at this point and the rest of the season, he will be very TD-dependent. And the next two matchups are against tougher run defenses.

Everybody ate versus Cincy….other than Jameson Williams. Last week’s buy-low did not pan out. The coaching staff is still very firmly on the side of Jamo…so the time to jump ship is not now. The Bengals are terrible versus the run and against TEs. The matchup didn’t dictate targets for Williams, which, admittedly, have been tougher to come by this season in a crowded Lions offense. Just a 14% target share. But he is the air yards leader (424). He will have week-winning weeks.

Also, the Lions are continuing to pile up defensive back injuries. After losing D.J. Reed last week…Terrion Arnold also got banged up and left the game versus the Bengals. Brian Branch and Rock Ya-Sin also got banged up in the game. WR Kalif Raymond also got hurt in this game.

That could lead to more opportunities for Williams. And it would also increase playing time for rookie Isaac TeSlaa…who just makes highlight reel plays every time he sets foot on the football field.

Route Participation & Air Yards:

Name Team POS RTE RTE % aDOT AY AY Share TGT TGT % TPRR REC YDS TD
Amon-Ra St. Brown DET WR 24 85.7 7.1 64 54.2 9 37.5 0.38 8 100 0
Sam LaPorta DET TE 21 75 4.5 27 22.9 6 25 0.29 5 92 1
Jahmyr Gibbs DET RB 13 46.4 -0.5 -1 -0.8 2 8.3 0.15 2 33 1
Isaac TeSlaa DET WR 12 42.9 15 15 12.7 1 4.2 0.08 1 12 1
Brock Wright DET TE 9 32.1 1.3 4 3.4 3 12.5 0.33 2 9 1
Jameson Williams DET WR 23 82.1 6 6 5.1 1 4.2 0.04 1 9 0
David Montgomery DET RB 6 21.4 3 3 2.5 1 4.2 0.17 1 6 0
Ross Dwelley DET TE 1 3.6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Schedule

  • Week 6: at Chiefs
  • Week 7: vs. Buccaneers (home)
  • Week 8: BYE

Green Bay Packers

Moves to Make: Hold Jordan Love and Matthew Golden | Add Romeo Doubs

Romeo DoubsMonster red-zone game for Doubs in Week 4. 3 red-zone TDs. 19% target share and team-high 42% air yards share.

Matthew Golden – No red-zone TDs, but more encouraging usage in Week 4. Caught a big pass to start the game. Finished second in routes run.

Schedule

  • Week 6: vs CIN
  • Week 7: at ARI
  • Week 8: at PIT
  • Week 9: vs CAR

Houston Texans

Moves to Make: Hold

The Woody Marks breakout did not continue into Week 5…

Even though the rookie out-snapped Nick Chubb (39% versus 34%), the veteran RB out-carried Marks (11 vs 7) and was more efficient. Mr. 5-yards-per-carry is back (well, at least he was vs the Ravens).

Each RB saw one target apiece. I think this game is just a reminder that Chubb isn’t going away completely. Even when it looked like Marks was taking over the last few weeks, Chubb was still involved. And I think he’s been running fine despite the circumstances (Texans OL). Chubb owns a higher YPC and success rate than Marks this season. Marks has the second-worst rushing success rate (25%) this season.

But keep in mind that overall snap counts are a bit skewed, given Dameon Pierce got some run at the end of the game. And Marks still has had a role in the red zone…with two more red-zone carries versus the Ravens (including at the 4-yard line). Chubb scored on a 27-yard run.

C.J. Stroud won’t toss 4 TDs every week.

With Houston on bye in Week 6, it’s a reminder to buy into rookies seeing larger roles. Marks might be a nice buy-low after he failed to live up to the hype in a juicy matchup. That being said, Houston has a brutal schedule after the bye week…Seahawks, 49ers, Broncos, before things get lighter. The QB schedule is tied with the Raiders for the toughest ROS.

Best to leave the Texans’ offense on other teams for now. But for those who have Texans hold them and hope that they can build off this performance versus the Ravens.

Route Participation & Air Yards:

Name Team POS RTE RTE % aDOT AY AY Share TGT TGT % TPRR REC YDS TD
Nico Collins HST WR 24 68.6 12.8 64 25.3 5 16.1 0.21 4 52 1
Xavier Hutchinson HST WR 22 62.9 6.3 19 7.5 3 9.7 0.14 3 18 2
Dalton Schultz HST TE 20 57.1 6.8 41 16.2 6 19.4 0.3 5 60 0
Christian Kirk HST WR 19 54.3 11.5 46 18.2 4 12.9 0.21 4 64 0
Jayden Higgins HST WR 16 45.7 6.3 25 9.9 4 12.9 0.25 4 32 0
Jaylin Noel HST WR 12 34.3 6.7 20 7.9 3 9.7 0.25 2 13 1
Woody Marks HST RB 10 28.6 0 0 0 1 3.2 0.1 0 0 0
Harrison Bryant HST TE 7 20 6 12 4.7 2 6.5 0.29 1 5 0
Nick Chubb HST RB 6 17.1 3 3 1.2 1 3.2 0.17 0 0 0
Brenden Bates HST TE 3 8.6 11.5 23 9.1 2 6.5 0.67 2 23 0
Dameon Pierce HST RB 3 8.6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Dare Ogunbowale HST RB 1 2.9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Schedule

  • Week 6: BYE

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Indianapolis Colts

Moves to Make: Buy Michael Pittman Jr.

Michael Pittman Jr. is really showing that last year was a fluke with his targets because of his back injury. He’s emerging as the alpha in the Colts’ passing game with Daniel Jones under center.

23% target share this season for the Colts. He’s been running hot with TDs…but I don’t think that’s super abnormal. Pittman’s been overdue for TD regression throughout his entire NFL career. 2025 might just be his year when he hits double-digit scores.

Adonai Mitchell had a reduced role (just six snaps) after his epic blunders last week. Ashton Dulin took over his snaps/routes with Alec Pierce missing another week due to his concussion.

Josh Downs also benefited from the loss of other Colts WRs. Lead the team in targets (6-54). Seven of his eight targets came in the first half. Downs is PFF’s 10th-highest graded WR this season.

Other notes:

Coach Shane Steichen confirmed Monday that their kicker will miss the remainder of the season after suffering a torn ACL and MCL in his right knee in Sunday’s win over the Raiders, Stephen Holder of ESPN.com reports.

The Colts also lost DT Grover Stewart and another CB, Mike Hilton, to injuries.

Route Participation & Air Yards:

Name Team POS RTE RTE % aDOT AY AY Share TGT TGT % TPRR REC YDS TD
Ashton Dulin IND WR 26 81.3 19.8 99 38.2 5 15.6 0.19 2 55 0
Josh Downs IND WR 23 71.9 8 56 21.6 7 21.9 0.3 6 54 0
Tyler Warren IND TE 25 78.1 7.8 31 12 4 12.5 0.16 4 44 1
Michael Pittman Jr. IND WR 27 84.4 6.4 32 12.4 5 15.6 0.19 5 39 1
Jonathan Taylor IND RB 22 68.8 0.8 3 1.2 4 12.5 0.18 3 20 0
Mo Alie-Cox IND TE 6 18.8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
DJ Giddens IND RB 1 3.1 0 0 0 1 3.1 1 0 0 0
Adonai Mitchell IND WR 1 3.1 36 36 13.9 1 3.1 1 0 0 0
Andrew Ogletree IND TE 5 15.6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Will Mallory IND TE 3 9.4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Anthony Gould IND WR 2 6.3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Ameer Abdullah IND RB 2 6.3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Schedule

  • Week 6: vs Cardinals (home)

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Jacksonville Jaguars

Moves to Make: Hold Brian Thomas Jr. | Sell Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne‘s role didn’t change as he played 59% of the snaps. But in a tougher matchup…he failed to rip off a big run (long of 16 yards). And despite four red-zone touches…Etienne did not score. He remains a sell-high with tougher matchups coming up.

Bhayshul Tuten played 21% of the snaps, and LeQuint Allen played 22%. Tuten saw two carries in the red zone.

Travis Hunter played 39 snaps on offense (67%) and 25 snaps on defense (39%) against the Chiefs on Monday Night Football. Still just three catches on three targets.

Brian Thomas Jr. was the big-play guy…going 4-80 on six targets.

Tight end Brenton Strange was ruled out from returning to Monday’s game against the Chiefs, John Oehser of the Jaguars’ official site reports.

Hunter Long would start in his place – and he has a good matchup in Week 6 vs Seattle (third-most fantasy points allowed to TEs this season).

Starting offensive lineman/center, Robert Hainsey, also got hurt vs the Chiefs. He would be a big loss for the offensive line.

Schedule

  • Week 6: vs Seahawks (home)
  • Week 7: vs LAR
  • Week 8: BYE

Kansas City Chiefs

Moves to Make: Sell Travis Kelce | Hold Isiah Pacheco | Buy Rashee Rice & Patrick Mahomes

Rice will return to the Chiefs after Week 6. He was a fantasy WR1 last season before his injury. Obviously, the WR room is different from last season with Xavier Worthy, Marquise Brown, and Tyquan Thornton healthy and more involved. That being said, Rice still has the chance to be a force down the stretch for KC….and he is worth kicking the tires on – especially if the Rice manager in your league has a losing record.

Rice’s impending return is also your last chance to trade away Travis Kelce. He went 7-61-1 on Monday Night Football. Sell high.

So much for the expanded Brashard Smith role, the Chiefs’ rookie RB touched the ball four times (3 receptions and one carry from the Jags’ 6-yard line) – half of what we saw last week. He only played six offensive snaps (9%). With Isiah Pacheco (62%) and Kareem Hunt (33%) still heavily involved…Smith is a hold in only extremely deep formats. Needs at least one injury before we can have any confidence with him for fantasy purposes.

Pacheco had a few explosive runs…while playing a season-high snap share. However, these are low-calorie touches…given that Hunt continues to rear his ugly head both in the red zone (2 rushing TDs) and on passing downs.

Schedule

  • Week 6: vs Lions (home)
  • Week 7: vs Raiders (home)
  • Week 8: vs Commanders (home)

Minnesota Vikings

Moves to Make: Sell T.J. Hockenson & Jordan Mason

Jordan Addison sat out the first quarter after missing a team meeting. But he still made an impact in the game. He scored on one of his two red-zone targets.

Justin Jefferson continues to perform at a high level despite inconsistent QB play. 4th in the NFL in target share (29%). 5th in air yards share (45%). 13th in PPG. He continues to get it done in this offense regardless of the QB. I think this kind of makes him a sneaky buy-low candidate with concerns about how his production will be when J.J. McCarthy returns. It’s certainly possible that it gets worse with the young QB back. However, there’s still a real upside case with JJ. Jefferson’s floor is so high that I think it might be worth the risk to see what his asking price is in your league.

The Browns were a tough matchup for Jordan Mason. Luckily, he scored and only fumbled once. Even so…Minnesota is on a bye this week. Then it’s the Eagles/Chargers/Lions. By the time the schedule eases up and the offensive line gets healthy, Aaron Jones might also return. Put him on the block and see if you can get any decent returns.

Route Participation & Air Yards:

Name Team POS RTE RTE % aDOT AY AY Share TGT TGT % TPRR REC YDS TD
Justin Jefferson MIN WR 38 92.7 13.7 151 68.6 11 31.4 0.29 7 123 0
Jordan Addison MIN WR 27 65.9 7.5 45 20.5 6 17.1 0.22 5 41 1
T.J. Hockenson MIN TE 29 70.7 0.7 4 1.8 6 17.1 0.21 6 38 0
Josh Oliver MIN TE 8 19.5 3.7 11 5 3 8.6 0.38 2 35 1
Jalen Nailor MIN WR 24 58.5 7.3 29 13.2 4 11.4 0.17 3 27 0
Jordan Mason MIN RB 20 48.8 -5 -20 -9.1 4 11.4 0.2 3 4 0
Adam Thielen MIN WR 10 24.4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Zavier Scott MIN RB 3 7.3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Schedule

  • Week 6: BYE
  • Week 7: vs Eagles
  • Week 8: @ Chargers
  • Week 9: @ Lions

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Las Vegas Raiders

Moves to Make: Add Michael Mayer | Hold/Buy Ashton Jeanty

Ashton Jeanty‘s receiving usage ( 5 catches and 7 targets) shouldn’t go unnoticed. Without Brock Bowers or Michael Mayer….the short areas of the field are looking for targets. Hence, Jeanty’s target boost.

Also, do not be swayed by the carries/snaps for Jeanty. Raheem Mostert had 6 of his seven touches to close out the loss in the fourth quarter.

The rookie is overcoming OL issues. And I think they continue to lean heavily on him. The Raiders – per the SOS tool – have a top-3 ROS schedule for fantasy RBs.

Just a terrible game for Jakobi Meyers. Not involved whatsoever. Given how involved he usually is (high-floor player), this stands out like a sore thumb.

Other notes:

Coach Pete Carroll said Monday that Bowers (knee) is considered week-to-week, Paul H. Gutierrez of the Raiders’ official site reports.

Your job. No, your mission. Make a trade with the Brock Bowers manager.

Route Participation & Air Yards:

Name Team POS RTE RTE % aDOT AY AY Share TGT TGT % TPRR REC YDS TD
Tre Tucker LV WR 34 82.9 12.7 76 30.3 6 16.7 0.18 4 62 0
Ashton Jeanty LV RB 14 34.1 0.3 2 0.8 6 16.7 0.43 5 42 0
Albert Okwuegbunam LV TE 23 56.1 3.3 20 8 6 16.7 0.26 5 36 0
Jakobi Meyers LV WR 35 85.4 11 66 26.3 6 16.7 0.17 4 32 0
Jack Bech LV WR 14 34.1 11.8 47 18.7 4 11.1 0.29 3 27 0
Ian Thomas LV TE 14 34.1 0.3 1 0.4 3 8.3 0.21 3 20 0
Alex Bachman LV WR 3 7.3 6 6 2.4 1 2.8 0.33 1 9 0
Carter Runyon LV TE 1 2.4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Dont’e Thornton LV WR 24 58.5 16.5 33 13.1 2 5.6 0.08 0 0 0
Raheem Mostert LV RB 20 48.8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Schedule

  • Week 6: Titans
  • Week 7: at KC
  • Week 8: BYE

Los Angeles Chargers

Moves to Make: Sell Keenan Allen | Hold Ladd McConkey | Add Hassan Haskins and Kimani Vidal

This was supposed to be Ladd McConkey week. The matchup was divine. But Keenan Allen ends up leading the team in targets (9) and yards (58) to go with two more red-zone targets. Quentin Johnston comes back to Earth (4-40) but is still involved. McConkey catches just five balls for 39 yards. He scores! And he had a punt return TD (called back on a penalty). Even so, you are happy you played him. But I think now, he’s more of a fantasy WR3. The second-year WR is matchup dependent, and probably needs at least one injury to either Allen/QJ to produce anything like his rookie numbers. The upside case still exists – Allen is 33 years old and hasn’t played a full season over the last few years – so I like holding him. If anything, I’d want to make sure I can pair Allen/McConkey on a roster.

It’s also possible that with Omarion Hampton gone, the offense goes back to ignoring RBs in the passing game (status quo in Greg Roman’s offense). The boosted RB targets may also be more related to the OL injuries. Either way…Ladd’s highest target game came in Week 1…when Hampton saw just two targets.

Coach Jim Harbaugh said Monday that Omarion Hampton (ankle) will be placed on injured reserve in the coming days, Daniel Popper of The Athletic reports.

Massive blow for the Chargers, who are down so many starters across their offensive line as well as running back. Hassan Haskins and Kimani Vidal are expected to pick up the slack…but I’m not optimistic about either behind this offensive line. Haskins had a 0% rushing success rate in Week 5 (5 carries for 13 yards).

The duo split carries in Week 5 (21% snaps each). Haskins has been on the active roster, whereas Vidal has been on the practice squad. I think I slightly lean Haskins over Vidal off waivers…but both should be added to see how things shake out. However, I wouldn’t be overly bullish on either guy. There’s a reason why the Bolts went out his offseason and acquired both Najee Harris and Omarion Hampton. Haskins has ties to Jim Harbaugh back to Michigan. But the most likely scenario is a split backfield. It’s what Greg Roman prefers…and when you have a backfield of JAGs. You probably don’t want to commit to one RB. Haskins and Vidal are different types of RBs anyway, so they are better deployed in tandem. Vidal did see the most red-zone touches (3) in Week 5.

Also, given the injury to Hampton. Don’t be surprised if the Chargers sign a street free agent like Gus Edwards.

Route Participation & Air Yards:

Name Team POS RTE RTE % aDOT AY AY Share TGT TGT % TPRR REC YDS TD
Keenan Allen LAC WR 24 60 7.5 60 40.8 8 24.2 0.33 5 58 0
Quentin Johnston LAC WR 28 70 6.5 26 17.7 4 12.1 0.14 4 40 0
Ladd McConkey LAC WR 29 72.5 7.7 54 36.7 7 21.2 0.24 5 39 1
Tyler Conklin LAC TE 12 30 4.3 13 8.8 3 9.1 0.25 2 30 0
Omarion Hampton LAC RB 19 47.5 -2.2 -13 -8.8 6 18.2 0.32 6 26 0
Oronde Gadsden LAC TE 21 52.5 6 6 4.1 1 3 0.05 1 14 0
Hassan Haskins LAC RB 7 17.5 1 1 0.7 1 3 0.14 1 2 0
Kimani Vidal LAC RB 5 12.5 0 0 0 1 3 0.2 1 1 0
KeAndre Lambert-Smith LAC WR 6 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Tre Harris LAC WR 13 32.5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Tucker Fisk LAC TE 2 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Schedule

  • Week 6: at the Dolphins
  • Week 7: vs IND
  • Week 8: vs MIN
  • Week 9: at TEN

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Los Angeles Rams

Moves to Make: Add Blake Corum

Kyren Williams and Blake Corum both lost fumbles on Thursday Night. Williams was particularly bad, given that it may have cost the Rams a victory. Even so, Williams has looked good, and his explosion in the passing game will be something to monitor moving forward. Still, the fumbles are piling up. I wouldn’t anticipate Williams seeing another 91% snap share in Week 6. Still, he’s the RB1 for this team even if his snaps reduce back to the 65-75% range. Also, the Ravens are a smash spot for Williams and the Rams’ run game.

Corum is still a high-end handcuff with tremendous upside.

Davis Allen played the majority of TE snaps with Tyler Higbee out.

Schedule

  • Week 6: at Baltimore

Miami Dolphins

Moves to Make: Buy Jaylen Waddle | Hold Malik Washington | Sell Darren Waller

Darren Waller was heavily involved from the jump, seeing all of his receiving usage in the first half. Keep using him. I think he will be a serviceable fantasy TE until he gets hurt. And for those that streamed Waller (Tucker Kraft bye-week replacement), sell high to the Brock Bowers manager.

Jaylen Waddle WR1 szn. 6-110-1 on ten targets (25% target share and two RZ targets). Jaylen Waddle is 8th in PFF grade this season.

Malik Washington did not see the spike in usage many had hoped. He played fewer snaps than Nick Westbrook-Ikhine. However, he did run more routes and saw more targets. Hold if you picked him up for one more week. Washington caught a lot of passes behind the LOS but couldn’t generate much YAC. Also caught both of his targets in the red zone…but that resulted in -6 yards.

Route Participation & Air Yards:

Name Team POS RTE RTE % aDOT AY AY Share TGT TGT % TPRR REC YDS TD
Jaylen Waddle MIA WR 31 77.5 14.6 131 46 9 25 0.29 6 110 1
Darren Waller MIA TE 26 65 12 60 21.1 5 13.9 0.19 5 78 1
De’Von Achane MIA RB 29 72.5 2.4 17 6 7 19.4 0.24 6 30 1
Julian Hill MIA TE 11 27.5 7 35 12.3 5 13.9 0.45 4 22 0
Tanner Conner MIA TE 7 17.5 6 12 4.2 2 5.6 0.29 2 16 0
Malik Washington MIA WR 24 60 4.8 24 8.4 5 13.9 0.21 4 0 0
Ollie Gordon MIA RB 6 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine MIA WR 23 57.5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Tahj Washington MIA WR 3 7.5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Schedule

  • Week 6: vs Chargers (home)
  • Week 7: at Browns
  • Week 8: at Falcons

New England Patriots

Moves to Make: Buy/Hold TreVeyon Henderson | Buy Stefon Diggs

The universe is doing everything in its power to get TreyVeon Henderson more involved. Rhamondre Stevenson fumbled again. Antonio Gibson is going to miss the rest of the season with a torn ACL. Henderson continues to be a buy – even if the statistics say otherwise. With the backfield down to just 2 RBs…(with one having a serious fumbling problem), it’s not hard to see how this works out for the rookie RB. Buy.

In Week 5, Henderson played 50% of the snaps to Stevenson’s 52% snap share. Stevenson got the red-zone touches, but we know his role is on extremely thin ice.

Stefon Diggs continues to dominate in the Pats offense…after he broke out in Week 4. 10-146 on 12 targets (40% target share). He’s back to pre-injury form and is the WR1 for the rest of the season for New England. And he is so overdue for a TD score. He seemed to fall just short of the end zone on multiple occasions versus Buffalo despite looks near the end zone. Diggs is PFF’s 5th-highest graded WR this season.

Patriots are BUYs because their schedule is so easy for the rest of the season. If you could buy-low on Drake Maye…after a zero TD game…DO IT.

Route Participation & Air Yards:

Name Team POS RTE RTE % aDOT AY AY Share TGT TGT % TPRR REC YDS TD
Stefon Diggs NE WR 22 61.1 8.9 107 48.4 12 40 0.55 10 146 0
Hunter Henry NE TE 25 69.4 15 60 27.1 4 13.3 0.16 2 46 0
Kayshon Boutte NE WR 20 55.6 13.7 41 18.6 3 10 0.15 3 43 0
DeMario Douglas NE WR 15 41.7 5 15 6.8 3 10 0.2 2 17 0
Rhamondre Stevenson NE RB 14 38.9 3.5 7 3.2 2 6.7 0.14 2 13 0
Antonio Gibson NE RB 1 2.8 -6 -6 -2.7 1 3.3 1 1 5 0
TreVeyon Henderson NE RB 17 47.2 -1 -3 -1.4 3 10 0.18 2 3 0
Austin Hooper NE TE 11 30.6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kyle Williams NE WR 7 19.4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Mack Hollins NE WR 14 38.9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Schedule

  • Week 6: vs. Saints (home)
  • Week 7: at Titans
  • Week 8: vs CLE
  • Week 9: vs ATL
  • Week 10: at TB

New Orleans Saints

Moves to Make: Add Kendre Miller | Sell Alvin Kamara | Add Taysom Hill

Alvin Kamara is still seeing red-zone touches and targets, so he still holds value. But you’d be lying as Kamara manager if you weren’t just a bit concerned about Kendre Miller‘s increased involvement.

Miller led the Saints in carries in Week 5, playing 39% of the snaps to Kamara’s 56% snap rate. Miller was also more efficient, carrying the ball 10 times for 41 yards.

This season, Kamara is PFF’s 14th-lowest graded RB. Miller is PFF’s 4th-highest graded RB.

But what was even more concerning was Taysom Hill stepping back into a role with six carries of his own on just nine snaps played (14%). He touched the ball on 7 of his nine offensive snaps (including a rush at the Giants’ 12-yard line).

Kamara’s targets were present here in Week 5 (6), but this number has fluctuated weekly. The Patriots’ defense has also been tough on RBs. And frankly, the Saints offense just isn’t good enough to support two fantasy RBs, let alone three different players seeing carries. Put Kamara on the trade block.

It’s October, so naturally, another fantasy football tight end had to transform back into a pumpkin. Juwan Johson – despite an 85% snap share and 81% route participation – caught just two passes for 17 yards.

So, although the narrative that his role would get nuked with Foster Moreau and Hill back…it only decreased slightly. That being said…those guys probably will combine for more than six routes moving forward. If you’ve been riding with Johnson…might be wise to explore other TE options.

Other notes:

Saints lost safety Justin Reid with a concussion.

Route Participation & Air Yards:

Name Team POS RTE RTE % aDOT AY AY Share TGT TGT % TPRR REC YDS TD
Rashid Shaheed NO WR 29 90.6 16 80 38.6 5 15.6 0.17 4 114 1
Chris Olave NO WR 30 93.8 8.2 82 39.6 10 31.3 0.33 7 59 0
Alvin Kamara NO RB 19 59.4 3.3 20 9.7 6 18.8 0.32 4 28 0
Juwan Johnson NO TE 26 81.3 6.7 20 9.7 3 9.4 0.12 2 17 0
Devaughn Vele NO WR 12 37.5 0.5 1 0.5 2 6.3 0.17 2 13 0
Kendre Miller NO RB 9 28.1 -1 -1 -0.5 1 3.1 0.11 1 8 0
Brandin Cooks NO WR 18 56.3 5 5 2.4 1 3.1 0.06 1 5 0
Taysom Hill NO TE 1 3.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Foster Moreau NO TE 5 15.6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Schedule

  • Week 6: vs. Patriots
  • Week 7: at Bears
  • Week 8: vs Buccaneers

New York Giants

Moves to Make: Add Wan’Dale RobinsonTheo Johnson | Sell Cam Skattebo

We love Cam Skattebo. He’s a fun player to cheer for. But the upcoming schedule is brutal. Eagles twice and a road game at the Broncos, wedged in between. With Tyrone Tracy also making his way back to the starting lineup (limited on Monday’s injury report), we could see Skattebo’s role and production dip in the upcoming weeks. He is the darling of every football fan’s eye right now, but he still plays for the New York Giants. He also lost a fumble in Week 5 that was returned for a TD. Brian Daboll isn’t always kind to RBs that put the ball on the ground. And the way that he just invites contact…well, I’m not exactly confident that will necessarily last over an entire NFL season.

Theo Johnson has been a huge winner since Jaxson Dart took over at QB. Tied for the team lead in targets (8) with two more TD receptions (four red-zone targets). The second-year TE played 82% of the snaps as a near every-down player. If you are hurting at tight end, you could do much worse than the Giants’ TE1.

Darius Slayton hurt his hamstring versus the Saints, so I’d expect Wan’Dale Robinson to be the de facto WR1 for Week 6. Robinson failed to catch a red-zone target last week.

Route Participation & Air Yards:

Name Team POS RTE RTE % aDOT AY AY Share TGT TGT % TPRR REC YDS TD
Daniel Bellinger NYG TE 14 30.4 6.8 27 9.1 4 10 0.29 4 52 0
Cam Skattebo NYG RB 23 50 -0.7 -4 -1.4 6 15 0.26 6 45 0
Theo Johnson NYG TE 31 67.4 6.9 48 16.2 7 17.5 0.23 6 33 2
Darius Slayton NYG WR 26 56.5 16.3 98 33.1 6 15 0.23 3 31 0
Wan’Dale Robinson NYG WR 41 89.1 1.4 10 3.4 7 17.5 0.17 5 30 0
Beaux Collins NYG WR 17 37 4.3 13 4.4 3 7.5 0.18 1 7 0
Devin Singletary NYG RB 13 28.3 -2 -4 -1.4 2 5 0.15 1 4 0
Jalin Hyatt NYG WR 22 47.8 36 108 36.5 3 7.5 0.14 0 0 0

Schedule

  • Week 6: vs Eagles
  • Week 7: at Broncos
  • Week 8: vs Eagles

New York Jets

Moves to Make: Buy Breece Hall | Add Mason Taylor

Breece Hall played 62% of the snaps with Braelon Allen out. Isaiah Davis played 40% of the snaps. Hall did get “injured” after he fumbled toward the end of the first half, but he returned to start the second half. Touches were still very much in favor of Hall over Davis (18-4). Hall also saw a goal-line carry from the 3-yard line in pursuit of his first TD score this season. Alas, stuffed for a 4-yard loss.

Even so, the bell cow usage and 100-plus yards from scrimmage for Hall make him a buy with Allen on IR (out for 8-12 weeks). After the Broncos…Hall will face the Panthers and Bengals before the bye week.

Mason Taylor saw two red-zone targets but didn’t score. That was to go along with the rest of his strong production – 9-67 on team-high 12 targets.

Name Team POS RTE RTE % aDOT AY AY Share TGT TGT % TPRR REC YDS TD
Garrett Wilson NYJ WR 49 90.7 12.8 128 37.9 10 21.7 0.2 6 71 1
Mason Taylor NYJ TE 44 81.5 5.5 66 19.5 12 26.1 0.27 9 67 0
Breece Hall NYJ RB 19 35.2 12 48 14.2 4 8.7 0.21 4 42 0
Josh Reynolds NYJ WR 40 74.1 8 32 9.5 4 8.7 0.1 3 29 0
Jeremy Ruckert NYJ TE 13 24.1 4.3 17 5 4 8.7 0.31 4 28 0
Isaiah Davis NYJ RB 23 42.6 2.3 9 2.7 4 8.7 0.17 3 28 0
Arian Smith NYJ WR 33 61.1 4 4 1.2 1 2.2 0.03 1 14 0
Allen Lazard NYJ WR 17 31.5 15 30 8.9 2 4.3 0.12 1 3 0
Tyler Johnson NYJ WR 2 3.7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Schedule

  • Week 6: vs. Broncos (London)
  • Week 7 vs. Carolina
  • Week 8: at Bengals
  • Week 9: Bye week

Philadelphia Eagles

Moves to Make: Sell DeVonta Smith | Add Will Shipley

A.J. Brown did his best against Patrick Surtain (5-43 on eight targets)…but we knew the matchup would favor DeVonta Smith‘s box score. The Slim Reaper went OFF, and had more production left on the cutting room floor (30-yard gain wiped away on a flag).

Unfortunately, the Eagles’ throwing 38 times per game isn’t the way they want to play.

Sell high on Smith with an inevitable heavy ground attack on deck for Thursday Night versus the Giants. Saquon Barkley had six carries in Week 5. That’s not repeating in Week 6.

Also, it’s worth noting that Barkley was listed on the Week 6 injury report with a knee injury. Make sure Will Shipley isn’t available on waivers. And put Barkley on the trade block. He hasn’t been the same guy as last season. Eagles OL has regressed. Barkley is PFF’s 5th-lowest graded RB. The schedule has been tough, so things should be better the next few weeks in some plus spots versus the Giants. Would entertain selling HIGH if he pops off versus the Giants for a 100-yard/multi-TD game.

Other notes:

  • Eagles’ offensive line isn’t playing at the same level that they have in years past. Landon Dickerson is hurt again.

Route Participation & Air Yards:

Name Team POS RTE RTE % aDOT AY AY Share TGT TGT % TPRR REC YDS TD
DeVonta Smith PHI WR 43 95.6 9.4 94 23.7 10 26.3 0.23 8 114 0
Saquon Barkley PHI RB 16 35.6 10 30 7.6 3 7.9 0.19 3 58 1
A.J. Brown PHI WR 38 84.4 10.5 84 21.2 8 21.1 0.21 5 43 0
Jahan Dotson PHI WR 30 66.7 30.7 92 23.2 3 7.9 0.1 1 24 0
Dallas Goedert PHI TE 32 71.1 11.9 95 23.9 8 21.1 0.25 3 19 1
Grant Calcaterra PHI TE 5 11.1 3 6 1.5 2 5.3 0.4 2 18 0
Will Shipley PHI RB 6 13.3 -4 -4 -1 1 2.6 0.17 1 4 0
AJ Dillon PHI RB 4 8.9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kylen Granson PHI TE 9 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Schedule:

  • Week 6: at Giants
  • Week 7: at Vikings
  • Week 8: vs. Giants (home)
  • Week 9: BYE

Pittsburgh Steelers

Moves to Make: Add Kenneth Gainwell | Sell DK Metcalf

Kenneth Gainwell – Full-blown bell cow back in Week 4. We got news early Sunday morning that Jaylen Warren was out. The Steelers turned to Gainwell, who played 77% of the snaps and was close to scoring 3 TDs (27% target share).

Kaleb Johnson – Johnson was active in Week 4 and saw his highest involvement as a rookie. 21% of the snaps (11) with 6 carries for 22 yards. With Gainwell stealing the show, the 2025 optimistic outlook for Johnson now comes with leapfrogging both Warren/Gainwell on the depth chart. No need to hold him through the bye week. Not worth adding until we see something else.

Jaylen Warren – I viewed Warren as a winner post Week 3 after a strong outing versus the Patriots. But with a bye week coming up and Gainwell’s massive performance, I think this Steelers backfield could morph into more of a committee. And that’s not even factoring in Johnson, who – like a lot of rookies – could see an expanded role post bye week.

DK Metcalf buried me as a fade in Week 4 – ripping off a HUGE 80-yard catch-and-run to the house. But the facts are the facts. Through four games, Metcalf is outside the top-50 in expected fantasy points per game. 3rd-most points scored ABOVE expectation. And that’s because he owns a super low Adot (5.9) and a 20% target share (5.5 targets per game). He has scored in three straight games. Metcalf’s current usage (low-aDOT, low volume) suggests that his production will tail off dramatically. Sell high.

Schedule

  • Week 6: vs. Browns (home)
  • Week 7: at Bengals
  • Week 8: vs. Packers (home)

San Francisco 49ers

Moves to Make: Add Kendrick Bourne | Sell Christian McCaffrey | Buy Ricky Pearsall

CMC is on pace for 442 touches through 5 weeks. What could go wrong? McCaffery’s receiving usage has been off the charts…but eventually the 49ers will get most of their starting WRs and TEs back. Consider that CMC has been bad as a rusher…right now is the time to flip him for MAX ROI. He is PFF’s 12th-lowest graded RB this season, averaging 3.1 yards per carry with the NFL’s 9th-lowest success rate.

Assuming that Ricky Pearsall‘s health is in check…I want to buy low on him. However, he was not at the 49ers’ early week Monday practice (Jauan Jennings was there, Brock Purdy was not).

Before making a deal for Pearsall…let’s get him back to practice first. Not following for another Trey Benson fiasco. But if he’s healthy. Smash buy. Top-15 in yards this year despite battling injuries. And he is PFF’s 13th-highest graded WR.

With George Kittle a long shot to play in Week 6…Jake Tonges will get the starting nod again at tight end.

Kendrick Bourne is also worth the add coming off a breakout game. He has a real connection with Mac Jones, but expect Jennings to return to the 49ers starting lineup as soon as Week 6.

Route Participation & Air Yards:

Name Team POS RTE RTE % aDOT AY AY Share TGT TGT % TPRR REC YDS TD
Kendrick Bourne SF WR 38 76 7.6 84 32.8 11 22.4 0.29 10 142 0
Christian McCaffrey SF RB 41 82 0.4 3 1.2 8 16.3 0.2 8 82 1
Jake Tonges SF TE 39 78 2.9 32 12.5 11 22.4 0.28 7 41 1
Demarcus Robinson SF WR 40 80 12.6 88 34.4 7 14.3 0.18 3 39 0
Marquez Valdes-Scantling SF WR 25 50 8.7 26 10.2 3 6.1 0.12 1 9 0
Luke Farrell SF TE 12 24 6 6 2.3 1 2 0.08 1 8 0
Brayden Willis SF TE 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Brian Robinson SF RB 4 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Skyy Moore SF WR 2 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Malik Turner SF WR 3 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Schedule

  • Week 6: at Buccaneers

Seattle Seahawks

Moves to Make: None

Another week of Seattle Seahawks backfield watch. And another week, it’s a split backfield. Kenneth Walker plays 44% of the snaps to Zach Charbonnet‘s 56%. But like always, Walker is more efficient rushing (10 for 86) while Charbonnet chugs along (9 for 36) but scores the red-zone TD. Who’s tilting? At least Walker managers occasionally see him also see red-zone carries, as it’s not every single time they take him out to put in Charbonnet when they approach the goal line.

Tight end AJ Barner caught 2 TDs on three red-zone targets while playing 80% of the snaps. Still, I think his boom was more matchup-based than predictive.

Seattle won’t have LB Derick Hall versus the Jaguars in Week 6.

Route Participation & Air Yards:

Name Team POS RTE RTE % aDOT AY AY Share TGT TGT % TPRR REC YDS TD
Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA WR 30 88.2 12.4 112 39 9 26.5 0.3 8 132 1
Cooper Kupp SEA WR 29 85.3 6.7 60 20.9 9 26.5 0.31 6 59 0
AJ Barner SEA TE 20 58.8 5.3 37 12.9 7 20.6 0.35 7 53 2
Tory Horton SEA WR 16 47.1 8.3 33 11.5 4 11.8 0.25 3 39 1
Dareke Young SEA WR 3 8.8 35 35 12.2 1 2.9 0.33 1 36 0
Zach Charbonnet SEA RB 16 47.1 1.5 3 1 2 5.9 0.13 1 12 0
Elijah Arroyo SEA TE 14 41.2 6 6 2.1 1 2.9 0.07 1 10 0
Kenneth Walker SEA RB 6 17.6 1 1 0.3 1 2.9 0.17 1 0 0
Jake Bobo SEA WR 2 5.9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Eric Saubert SEA TE 2 5.9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Schedule

  • Week 6: at Jacksonville
  • Week 7: vs Houston (home)
  • Week 8: BYE

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Moves to Make: None

Rachaad White played 80% of the snaps with Bucky Irving sidelined. Sean Tucker played just 13 snaps (21%). White scored 2 rushing TDs and caught four passes for 30 yards. White out-touched Tucker 3-1 in the red zone.

Chris Godwin…saw a red-zone target but was otherwise not heavily involved. Stark contrast from last week’s 10 targets. Still, let Stefon Diggs‘ slow start be a reminder that Godwin is still knocking off the rust after his injury last season.

Other notes:

The Buccaneers’ secondary is still very hurt.

Route Participation & Air Yards:

Name Team POS RTE RTE % aDOT AY AY Share TGT TGT % TPRR REC YDS TD
Emeka Egbuka TB WR 30 78.9 19.1 134 58.8 7 21.2 0.23 7 163 1
Cade Otton TB TE 22 57.9 8.4 42 18.4 5 15.2 0.23 4 81 0
Tez Johnson TB WR 20 52.6 7 28 12.3 4 12.1 0.2 4 59 0
Rachaad White TB RB 21 55.3 -5.3 -21 -9.2 4 12.1 0.19 4 30 0
Chris Godwin TB WR 26 68.4 2.8 11 4.8 4 12.1 0.15 3 26 0
Sterling Shepard TB WR 12 31.6 9.2 46 20.2 5 15.2 0.42 4 24 1
Sean Tucker TB RB 7 18.4 -4 -12 -5.3 3 9.1 0.43 3 -4 0
Kameron Johnson TB WR 2 5.3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Payne Durham TB TE 1 2.6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Ryan Miller TB WR 2 5.3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Devin Culp TB TE 2 5.3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Schedule

  • Week 6: vs SF
  • Week 7: at Detroit
  • Week 8: at NO
  • Week 9: BYE

Tennessee Titans

Moves to Make: Sell Tony Pollard | Add Calvin Ridley

Tyjae Spears made his return to the lineup in Week 5, but Tony Pollard remained the bell cow. 73% snap share to Spears’ 25% snap share. However, given this was Spears’ first game back, it’s not surprising that he was eased back in. He got his touch in the middle of the first quarter. Cam Ward also said (according to the game broadcast team) that “Superman’s back” when referencing the return of Spears to the lineup.

With another touch running matchup – the Raiders – on deck for the Titans, I’d STILL be trying to get out of the Pollard business. After LV, it’s Patriots, Colts, and Chargers before a Week 10 bye week.

Calvin Ridley finally had a good game after many (like me) had given up hope. 42% air yards share (152 air yards) with a 23% target share. We saw last year that veterans like Terry McLaurin and Courtland Sutton start slow with rookie 1st-round QBs. Positive development for Ridley. If he were dropped, I’d scoop him back up.

Other notes:

The Titans’ TE room became a committee. There were reports/rumblings last week that we could see more of rookie Gunnar Helm. That was correct as he split routes with Chig Okonkwo 50/50. Helm actually played more snaps as well and earned the lone Titans’ red-zone target.

Route Participation & Air Yards:

Name Team POS RTE RTE % aDOT AY AY Share TGT TGT % TPRR REC YDS TD
Calvin Ridley TEN WR 33 78.6 16.9 152 41.8 9 23.1 0.27 5 131 0
Chig Okonkwo TEN TE 23 54.8 3.5 14 3.8 4 10.3 0.17 4 48 0
Gunnar Helm TEN TE 23 54.8 6.2 31 8.5 5 12.8 0.22 4 34 0
Elic Ayomanor TEN WR 35 83.3 9.8 39 10.7 4 10.3 0.11 2 18 0
Chimere Dike TEN WR 16 38.1 19 95 26.1 5 12.8 0.31 2 17 0
Tony Pollard TEN RB 23 54.8 1 3 0.8 3 7.7 0.13 3 11 0
Tyler Lockett TEN WR 15 35.7 5.7 17 4.7 3 7.7 0.2 1 6 0
Van Jefferson TEN WR 5 11.9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Tyjae Spears TEN RB 10 23.8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
David Martin-Robinson TEN TE 2 4.8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Julius Chestnut TEN RB 1 2.4 13 13 3.6 1 2.6 1 0 0 0

Schedule

  • Week 6: at the Raiders

Washington Commanders

Moves to Make: Buy Jacory Croskey-Merritt | Sell Deebo Samuel

Trust the process. In Bill we trust! As bad as my Trey Benson “buy” call aged (like spoiled milk), buying Croskey-Merritt aged like fine wine. Full takeover in Week 5. 47% snap share and drew the start. Nearly a flawless day for the super explosive rookie RB (aside from a lost fumble) as he averaged 7.9 yards per carry and 19.5 yards per reception. Totaled 111 rushing yards and scored two TDs.

Buy good RBs. Bears/Cowboys up next. Saddle up, Bill. No.1 schedule rest of season for RBs? The Washington Commanders.

Chris Rodriguez played 25% of the snaps, and so did Jeremy McNichols. C-Rob might be annoying in red-zone situations (out-carried JCM 4-2 in the red zone). 80% of his carries came inside the 14-yard line (at the end of the game). But JCM did at least score from the 5-yard line.

Other notes:

Coach Dan Quinn said Monday the Commanders are optimistic about McLaurin (quadriceps) having a chance to play in next Monday night’s game against the Bears, Tashan Reed of The Washington Post reports.

Terry McLaurin‘s season just seems destined to fail after he held out all of training camp. But his return figures to put a damper on Deebo Samuel, WR1 szn. Make trades accordingly.

Route Participation & Air Yards:

Name Team POS RTE RTE % aDOT AY AY Share TGT TGT % TPRR REC YDS TD
Deebo Samuel WAS WR 28 87.5 10 110 44.7 11 42.3 0.39 8 96 1
Luke McCaffrey WAS WR 11 34.4 37.5 75 30.5 2 7.7 0.18 1 50 0
Jacory Croskey-Merritt WAS RB 10 31.3 1.5 3 1.2 2 7.7 0.2 2 39 0
Jaylin Lane WAS WR 13 40.6 15 30 12.2 2 7.7 0.15 1 16 0
Jeremy McNichols WAS RB 9 28.1 -4.5 -9 -3.7 2 7.7 0.22 1 12 0
John Bates WAS TE 6 18.8 2 2 0.8 1 3.8 0.17 1 9 0
Tay Martin WAS WR 6 18.8 5 5 2 1 3.8 0.17 1 9 0
Chris Rodriguez WAS RB 6 18.8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Ben Sinnott WAS TE 4 12.5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Zach Ertz WAS TE 21 65.6 9 9 3.7 1 3.8 0.05 0 0 0
Chris Moore WAS WR 20 62.5 21 21 8.5 1 3.8 0.05 0 0 0

Schedule

  • Week 6: vs Bears
  • Week 7: at Dallas
  • Week 8: at KC

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