Fantasy Football Trade Values: Week 2

by Dan Harris | @danharris80 | Featured Writer
Sep 13, 2017

I mean, that had to be the most bizarre Week 1 in recent memory, right? It can’t possibly be close. Let’s just briefly run through some of the craziness that we saw between Thursday and Monday:

– The two highest fantasy scorers of the week both play for the notoriously conservative Chiefs, including a quarterback who threw two touchdown passes of at least 75 yards, despite ranking in the bottom five in average depth of throw in each of the past eight seasons. I don’t like to name names, but his may rhyme with Mallex Mith.

– The top five fantasy quarterbacks were Alex Smith, Matthew Stafford, Sam Bradford, Trevor Siemian, and Carson Wentz.

– Two of the top five fantasy scorers were DSTs (Jacksonville and Baltimore).

– The top fantasy kicker was Giorgio Tavecchio, a dude who only made the team because he kicks with his left foot and the Raiders wanted to stay consistent with Sebastian Janikowski.

As my daughter would say, “that day was bananas, B-A-N-N-A-N-S” (leave her alone, she’s six). Not surprisingly, we saw some major movement in trade values even after just the first slate of games. So let’s get right to checking in with our trade values for Week 2.

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Quarterbacks

Player Current Value Previous Value +/-
Aaron Rodgers 29 29  –
Tom Brady 26 26
Drew Brees 24 24
Russell Wilson 19 19
Matt Ryan 19 19
Marcus Mariota 17 17
Kirk Cousins 16 16
Ben Roethlisberger 15 15
Cam Newton 14 16 -2
Jameis Winston 12 11 +1
Dak Prescott 12 11 1
Matthew Stafford 12 7 +5
Derek Carr 9 9
Philip Rivers 9 9
Carson Wentz 9 N/A 9
Andrew Luck 7 12 -5

 
Nothing all that exciting with this position, thankfully. We’re not all jumping off the Tom Brady bandwagon or concerned about Russell Wilson’s porous offensive line just yet (well, maybe a little in this case). We really only have two quarterbacks who make significant moves.

We shouldn’t overreact to one game, but it’s definitely possible that the fantasy community, myself included, slept on Matthew Stafford a bit this preseason. He’s one of six quarterbacks who finished in the top 10 in each of the last two seasons. Since Jim Bob Cooter’s arrival, he’s completed more than 66 percent of his passes and averaged more than 18 fantasy points per game. Given how easily he dismantled a stout Cardinals defense in Week 1, it’s fair to assume that his second-half swoon last season was simply due to his finger injury. He can easily rise in value as the season goes along, but for now, jumps firmly into the low-end QB1 discussion.

Conversely, poor Andrew Luck takes a dip in value without even playing. No, I have no idea when Luck will play again. But here’s what I do know. The Colts are not a good team. Ryan Kelly, the team’s star center, is going to miss significant time. Luck isn’t even throwing, let alone practicing, and so can’t possibly be close to returning. Given how handily the Rams beat them this week, it’s nearly impossible to see the Colts winning a game without Luck (quickly checks schedule to see if the Colts play the Jets . . . ok, they don’t – good, as I was saying . . .). Why on earth would the team push Luck to come back this year and risk getting injured on a lost season? If you want to take a shot on Luck, fine – but you can’t possibly give up anything significant at this stage.

Running Backs

Player Current Value Previous Value +/-
Le’Veon Bell 70 70  –
Ezekiel Elliott 67 40 +27
LeSean McCoy 60 60
Melvin Gordon 59 59
Jay Ajayi 52 52
Devonta Freeman 52 52
DeMarco Murray 50 50
Jordan Howard 50 50
Leonard Fournette 46 40 +6
Todd Gurley 43 40 +3
Dalvin Cook 40 29 +11
Kareem Hunt 36 27 +9
Lamar Miller 28 29  -1
Carlos Hyde 28 28
Ty Montgomery 27 27
Isaiah Crowell 27 27
Christian McCaffrey 25 27 -2
Joe Mixon 24 27  -3
C.J. Anderson 22 19  +3
Marshawn Lynch 22 18  +4
Ameer Abdullah 20 20
Terrance West 19 12  +7
Mike Gillislee 18 16 +2
Mark Ingram 17 17
Doug Martin 17 17
Tevin Coleman 15 15
Bilal Powell 15 15
LeGarrette Blount 13 6 +7
Tarik Cohen 13 N/A +13
Kerwynn Williams 12 N/A +12
Frank Gore 11 11
Derrick Henry 10 10
Jonathan Stewart 9 9
Robert Kelley 9 9
Darren McFadden 9 9
Theo Riddick 9 9
Paul Perkins 8 8
James White 8 5 +3
Duke Johnson 8 8
Adrian Peterson 7 9 -2
Matt Forte 7 7
David Johnson 5 70 -65
Darren Sproles 4 4
Rex Burkhead 4 3 +1
Thomas Rawls 4 4
Javorius Allen 4 N/A +4
Jeremy Hill 4 4
Jacquizz Rodgers 4 4
Chris Carson 4 N/A 4
Samaje Perine 3 3
DeAndre Washington 3 3
Alvin Kamara 3 2 +1
Eddie Lacy 3 3
Giovani Bernard 3 3
Jamaal Charles 3 3
Chris Thompson 3 N/A +3
Jamaal Williams 2 2
Wendell Smallwood 2 2
D’Onta Foreman 2 2
T.J. Yeldon 2 2
Matt Breida 2 2

 
Ok, now it’s getting interesting. The biggest mover is obviously David Johnson, whose wrist injury should keep him out the majority of the season. The Cardinals should still compete even without their star player, so it’s certainly possible that he will return to a team in contention and be a factor down the stretch in fantasy. But it’s not worth much to find out. Pour some out for the poor dude who got the first pick in your fantasy league and whose season is in disarray and move on.

Conversely, Ezekiel Elliott looks like he’ll be getting the Tom Brady treatment and get to play the season out while his fate is decided by the courts. I’m not here to argue about Elliott’s behavior or the merits of that court decision. I am here to say sorry for wasting that draft pick on Darren McFadden and to compliment you if you were brave enough to draft Zeke. He’s clearly the second option behind only Le’Veon Bell going forward.

Two late-second rounders, Leonard Fournette and Todd Gurley, solidified their status in Week 1, and are certainly worth more today than they were last week. Fournette had 29 touches in the Jaguars’ game against the Titans and looked utterly dynamic with nearly every one. History has shown that no team has ever lost a game while trying desperately to keep Blake Bortles from throwing the ball, so you can expect the Jaguars to continue to lean on Fournette and their defense for the rest of the season.

Gurley was . . . less dynamic, averaging a meager 2.1 yards per carry against a poor Colts defense. But he had five receptions for 56 yards and is obviously the only game in town. His involvement in the passing game should provide a fairly high floor going forward, and with Jared Goff looking . . . fine, Gurley should be a reliable running back each and every week.

A couple of exciting rookies also make major moves this week. We were all excited to see what Dalvin Cook could do, and he didn’t disappoint, with 137 total yards on 25 touches. He won’t get to face the Saints every week – at least not until Roger Goodell agrees with my petition – so don’t expect him to dominate quite like that every week. But the thoughts of Latavius Murray significantly eating into Cook’s value are long-gone. And then we have, of course, the top fantasy player in Week 1, Kareem Hunt, who set an NFL record with 246 yards from scrimmage in his first NFL game. Hunt certainly looked the part of a stud running back, but let’s pump the brakes until we see what he can do against the Eagles this week. He still vaults immediately into the low-end RB1 discussion, but wait to anoint him a fantasy game-changer for just a bit.

A couple of former waiver-wire guys make their debuts on the trade value chart, as both Tarik Cohen and Kerwynn Williams instantly become viable flex options. There will be plenty written about both this week, so I’ll just give a brief take – Cohen should be a viable play every week in light of his involvement in the passing game and the fact that every Bears receiver appears to be cursed. Williams has been successful in the past, and should get the lion’s share of the work, though he’ll cede a bit to Chris Johnson and Andre Ellington. Both are worth adds, but not sure either is worth crippling your FAAB budget. Still, plenty of trade value to be had!

Wide Receiver

Player Current Value Previous Value +/-
Antonio Brown 67 67  –
Julio Jones 66 66
Odell Beckham Jr. 60 64 -4
A.J. Green 59 59
Mike Evans 58 58
Jordy Nelson 56 52 +4
Dez Bryant 51 51
Michael Thomas 51 51
Doug Baldwin 40 40
Amari Cooper 37 32 +5
Brandin Cooks 34 32 +2
DeAndre Hopkins 26 27 -1
Demaryius Thomas 26 26
Keenan Allen 26 26
Michael Crabtree 25 25
Terrelle Pryor 25 25
Martavis Bryant 23 23
Tyreek Hill 23 21 +2
Sammy Watkins 22 22
Davante Adams 22 22
T.Y. Hilton 21 28 -7
Alshon Jeffery 21 21
Golden Tate 21 21
Emmanuel Sanders 20 20
Stefon Diggs 20 20
Jamison Crowder 19 19
Kelvin Benjamin 18 18
Tyrell Williams 18 18
Larry Fitzgerald 18 18
DeSean Jackson 17 17
Pierre Garcon 17 17
Devante Parker 16 16
Jarvis Landry 14 14
John Brown 13 13
Jeremy Maclin 9 9
Corey Davis 9 9
Kenny Golladay 9 N/A 9
Kenny Britt 8 8
Eric Decker 8 8
Mike Wallace 7 7
Brandon Marshall 7 7
Donte Moncrief 7 7
Chris Hogan 7 7
Adam Thielen 7 7
Corey Coleman 6 6
Ted Ginn 6 6
Randall Cobb 6 4  +2
Cooper Kupp 6 3 +3
Marvin Jones 5 5
Rishard Matthews 5 5
Jordan Matthews 4 4
Willie Snead 4 4
Robby Anderson 4 4
Marqise Lee 3 N/A +3
Devin Funchess 3 3
Allen Hurns 3 N/A +3
Zay Jones 3 3
Sterling Shepard 3 3
Danny Amendola 3 N/A +3
Nelson Agholor 3 N/A +3

 
There’s not a whole lot of movement in receiver values this week. Amari Cooper is getting targeted in the red zone, so that’s pretty cool (and would be cooler if he could hold onto a few more of those targets). Jordy Nelson is still awesome. And T.Y. Hilton’s outlook is cloudy at best with the news on Andrew Luck not getting better.

But there is always movement in the trade chart, and Week 1 was no exception. Kenny Golladay looked incredible on Sunday against the Cardinals, making circus catches and using his athleticism like a star. He’s an add, for sure, but he’s still going to be third in the pecking order behind Golden Tate and Marvin Jones. Whether Golladay will provide consistent production is still an open question, and so his trade value stays relatively in check.

Other newcomers include a pair of Jaguars wide receivers – Marqise Lee and Allen Hurns – both of whom benefit by the unfortunate Allen Robinson injury. As we said, the Jaguars are desperate to not allow Blake Bortles to have to throw, so the ceiling for either receiver is capped. But Lee in particular showed what he could do last year, and there was some speculation that he would be the most valuable receiver in Jacksonville even before Robinson got injured. Of the two, I’d prioritize Lee, but both get a minimal – as opposed to zero – amount of trade value.

Tight End

Player Current Value Previous Value +/-
Rob Gronkowski 48 48  –
Travis Kelce 26 26
Greg Olsen 20 20
Jimmy Graham 20 20
Jordan Reed 18 20 -2
Kyle Rudolph 18 18
Zach Ertz 16 16
Tyler Eifert 16 16
Delanie Walker 16 11 +5
Martellus Bennett 11 11
Jack Doyle 8 8
Eric Ebron 8 8
Hunter Henry 8 8
Coby Fleener 8 4 +4
Austin Hooper 8 3
Jared Cook 7 3
Julius Thomas 4 4
Jason Witten 3 3

 
Just a few names to mention here. Everyone knows that Jordan Reed is an injury risk, but the reports that came out just before the game that he has a fractured toe and may have to battle through it were disconcerting.

Reed played and hauled in five of his eight targets and seriously, we once saw him on the sidelines of a game in the second quarter with his arm in a sling only to come back after halftime and score two touchdowns. So, the dude can play in pain. But the report knocks his value down a wee bit.

There are more mouths to feed in Tennessee, but it’s clear that Marcus Mariota has still saved the big piece of chicken for Delanie Walker (that’s a Chris Rock reference, guys. NONE of my material is original). Walker had nine targets and caught seven of them against the Raiders, and he’s been a top-five option each of the past two seasons. I’m sorry for doubting you, Delanie. My bad.

Finally, Coby Fleener looked more than competent against the Vikings, hauling in five of six targets for 54 yards and a touchdown against the Vikings on Monday. Fleener’s value goes up, but it’s worth noting that he had his best game of the season last year with Willie Snead out, as was the case Monday. Until Snead returns, we won’t really know if Fleener has taken an actual step up, or is just the beneficiary of the Snead suspension. Most likely, it’s a little of both, and so Fleener gets a bit of a bump.

Until next week, friends.


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Dan Harris is a featured writer for FantasyPros. For more from Dan, check out his archive or follow him on Twitter at @danharris80.


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