Beyond the Waiver Wire: Fantasy Football Moves to Make (Week 11)

Welcome back! Week 10 is in the books, and it’s time to sift through everything we just watched. This article isn’t about charts or graphs anymore — it’s about clear, actionable takeaways. My goal each week is simple: give you the most important moves to make across every game — who to add, drop, buy, sell, start, or stash — based on what actually matters (or what I think does).

I’ve already done the legwork, digging into the data and film. You just get the results — no noise, no overthinking. Expect plenty of notes on players coming off big or confusing performances, because that’s where the edge usually is.

Let’s go beyond the box scores, beyond the headlines… and once again, Beyond the Waiver Wire.

LFG.

Arizona Cardinals

Buy Trey McBride | Add Emari Demercado| Hold Marvin Harrison Jr. | Add Michael Wilson

Arizona allowed two Jacoby Brissett fumbles to be returned for TDs in the first half. Woof.

Still, he did enough. Brissett completed 22 of 44 passes for 258 yards and two touchdowns.

RB Zonovan Knight also got hurt (ankle injury). However, he still led the backfield with a 47% snap rate. 10 carries for 28 yards (2.8 YPC), plus one catch for 5 yards. He handled most of the early-down work but failed to create chunk plays.

Emari Demercado was right behind him at 41%. Also led backfield in routes while both saw four targets.

Demercado: 4 carries for 64 yards (16.0 YPC) — highlighted by a 55-yard breakaway run — plus three catches for 40 yards on four targets. Technically, these are all “garbage time” stats given the blowout script, so just keep that in mind.

Michael Carter mixed in on just three carries for 4 yards, suggesting a distant RB3 role.

Trey Benson (knee) remained inactive but is eligible to return soon.

If Benson remains sidelined, expect another two-man committee between Knight and Demercado. But if Knight is also out, I’d expect Demercado to be the lead.

Trey McBride had another TD wiped off on an illegal downfield pass play. Even so, McBride continues to be the focal point of Arizona’s passing offense. He caught 9 of 13 targets for 127 yards and a touchdown, leading the team in all major receiving categories.

With Brissett under center, McBride can’t stop catching TDs. And in Week 17, he faces the Bengals. You might not win your fantasy football league this year if you don’t have McBride on your roster.

Marvin Harrison Jr. caught 3 of 12 targets for 33 yards and a touchdown, salvaging his day with a red-zone score. He also caught a 2-point conversion. 12 targets!

MHJ finished second with a 27% target share. A whopping 131 incomplete air yards, which suggests a bigger game upcoming. Also, four redzone targets and five end zone targets.

Last five healthy games..12.8 PPG – low-end fantasy WR1 numbers.

These two are the only guys who see any volume in Arizona’s passing attack.

Not in love with the start of the postseason schedule either for Arizona (HOU, ATL), but Cincy in Week 17 might be all that matters.

With Brissett being the starter for presumably the rest of the way…that’s a plus for this offense.

Update: Marvin Harrison will miss this week and potentially more games. Again if you can just stash MHJ for the fantasy playoffs he is an intruiging buy-low target.

Michael Wilson will be de-facto WR1 in the short-term.

Cardinals WR Marvin Harrison Jr. underwent surgery for appendicitis and is out for at least this week and possibly longer.

— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) November 12, 2025

Arizona lost DT Walter Nolen as well on the defensive line. CB Garrett Williams also got hurt, but he returned after passing concussion protocol.

Derius Robinson also exited Sunday’s game against the Seahawks with a groin injury.

Schedule

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Atlanta Falcons

Buy Bijan Robinson & Kyle Pitts | Add Tyler Allgeier

Drake London was once again the heartbeat of Atlanta’s passing game. He caught 6 of 8 targets for 104 yards and a touchdown, adding a two-point conversion. Per Next Gen Stats, London matched up 17 times with Sauce Gardner, managing two catches for 26 yards and a two-point conversion in those reps — but absolutely dominated against everyone else, going 4-for-4 for 78 yards and a score.

London now has four touchdowns across his last two games (29% target share vs the Colts). The chemistry with Michael Penix continues to grow, and London has looked more dominant at the catch point and in the intermediate game. His usage inside the red zone and on two-point plays reinforces a locked-in WR1 role in fantasy lineups.

Last five games, when healthy, London has averaged 11.6 targets, 7.4 receptions, and 106 receiving yards per game. He has a solid playoff schedule as well (TB, ARI, LAR).

Always be buying.

It was a tale of two halves for Michael Penix Jr., who started strong but completely unraveled after halftime. He finished 12 of 28 for 177 yards and a touchdown, but completed just 5 of 18 passes for 78 yards in the second half and overtime.

Penix posted an average time to throw of 3.36 seconds, his first career game over three seconds, a sign of how long he held onto the ball in search of big plays. He frequently rolled out — 7 times total, completing 3 for 63 yards — but the extended plays led to stalled drives, errant throws, and one costly red-zone sack (Next Gen Stats).

Fantasy managers might feel frustrated, but Bijan Robinson is still the engine of this offense. He played 85% of the snaps and handled 17 carries for 84 yards (4.9 YPC) plus two catches for 4 yards. The problem? All the touchdowns went to Tyler Allgeier, who vultured both red-zone scores, including three goal-line carries.

Allgeier finished with 11 carries for 57 yards (5.2 YPC) and both TDs, while Bijan saw none of the 1-yard opportunities despite out-snapping him nearly 3-to-1.

Bijan remains a locked-in RB1 in usage, but red-zone luck continues to swing Allgeier’s way. Atlanta coaches publicly praised Allgeier earlier in the week — and followed through on Sunday. Expect regression back toward Bijan (ie, buy low after four underwhelming games), but note that Allgeier isn’t going away completely. He can be used in a pinch in favorable matchups and has obvious RB1 upside if Bijan Robinson were to go down. At this point in the fantasy season…he needs to be rostered everywhere based on contingent upside alone.

Kyle Pitts‘s stat line (2 catches for 38 yards on five targets) doesn’t tell the whole story. He dropped a potential long touchdown, his most glaring mistake of the day, though his 18% target share was solid and consistent with recent usage (season-high with a 27% air yards share at 16.5 air yards/target). Still very involved (high % of snaps/routes)….and he’s been better than Darnell Mooney. He had another shot on a deep pass from Penix, but the two failed to connect.

The ROS schedule is favorable for Pitts, ranking favorably in the next four games. If you are hurting at tight end…Pitts might be a sneaky trade-for target.

The Falcons’ TE has 3-plus receptions in all but one game this season (last week).

It’s getting tough to defend Darnell Mooney. He saw eight targets but caught just one for 17 yards — wasting 81 incomplete air yards. Penix took several deep shots to Mooney that fell incomplete. Mooney’s speed still draws attention, but the inefficiency makes him hard to trust in any fantasy format.

CB Dee Alford exited with an injury and did not return — a potential blow to the Falcons’ secondary.

Schedule

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Baltimore Ravens

Sell Mark Andrews | Add Ravens DST | Add Isaiah Likely

Mark Andrews scored again, catching three of five targets for 14 yards and a TD, while Isaiah Likely saw identical volume (five targets) but finished with only two catches for 17 yards. Likely did, however, draw a deep pass-interference flag on a vertical route that would’ve been a chunk gain.

The Ravens continue to use both TEs heavily in high-leverage spots — each drew an end-zone target — but Andrews remains Lamar Jackson‘s go-to weapon in the red area. Expect the split to persist around 50/50 in snaps, with Andrews dominating looks inside the 20.

Still, Likely has a 17% target share in back-to-back games (with two EZ targets). Eventually, he will score, and Andrews won’t.

The Ravens’ No.2 TE could be a sneaky stash ahead of a Week 15 matchup versus Cincy. Also provides reason to keep Andrews around if you can’t get any strong returns.

Jackson completed 17 of 29 passes for 176 yards and 1 TD, adding 36 rushing yards on nine carries. The Vikings limited deep-shot opportunities, forcing Baltimore into a short-passing plan: Zay Flowers had negative incomplete air yards (-9), a clear indicator of near-line-of-scrimmage usage.

Lamar had a zero percent deep ball attempt rate (4.9 average air yards per pass attempt).

Derrick Henry: 20 carries, 75 yards (3.8 YPC); added three catches for 9 yards.

Keaton Mitchell: 4 carries, 31 yards (7.8 YPC); added two red-zone touches, including a near-score. The coaching staff is looking to get him more involved. Four carries in three straight games, with 33% of those attempts coming in the red zone.

Justice Hill: Logged a goal-line TD and limited snaps otherwise.

Mitchell’s explosiveness continues to pop (22-yard run, 7.8 YPC), but Henry’s control of early-down work and goal-line snaps keeps him the clear RB1. Mitchell’s RZ involvement hints at a growing complementary role that could expand if something happens to Henry.

Note that Henry’s playoff schedule is tougher. Something to file away before the fantasy football trade deadline. Weeks 16-17 are Pats/Packers.

The Pats matchup is the one I am most concerned about, given that they allowed only one RB to go over 50 rushing yards against them. And since Henny is not used as a receiver (although coming off a season-high receiving usage), he can’t take advantage of their defense’s weakness. Being nit-picky, but something to keep top of mind regarding Henry in trades.

Zay Flowers led the team with six targets, catching 4 for 75 yards. He recorded -9 incomplete air yards — meaning Lamar’s incompletions toward him were behind the line — underscoring Baltimore’s continued preference to manufacture touches rather than deploy him vertically.

Rashod Bateman drew two red-zone targets, caught one pass for 10 yards, and snagged a two-point conversion. He remains involved situationally, particularly near the goal line, though still distant from fantasy relevance without a larger target share. He also suffered a high ankle sprain (although the coaches say he should be fine).

CB Marlon Humphrey (finger): Left late in the fourth quarter. His status will be worth monitoring heading into Week 11.

The Ravens’ defense has a strong schedule ROS for DSTs. Add them.

Schedule

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Buffalo Bills

Sell/Hold Keon Coleman | Add Joshua Palmer & Dawson Knox

Dalton Kincaid exited with an injury after catching two of three targets for 37 yards, leaving a significant void in Buffalo’s passing attack. He has been labeled week-to-week, so he will be out for a while.

In his absence, Dawson Knox (3 receptions for 37 yards on four targets) stepped back into the TE1 role — where he’s historically been Josh Allen‘s favorite red-zone target.

Jackson Hawes, who caught a 26-yard touchdown, will fill the TE2 role moving forward. Expect Knox to see increased snaps, particularly in goal-to-go situations, while Hawes mixes in on heavier sets.

Josh Allen completed 28 of 40 passes for 306 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, good for a 98.5 passer rating. While he didn’t find the end zone on the ground, he added 31 rushing yards on four attempts.

Allen distributed the ball efficiently: 9 different receivers caught a pass, and three separate TEs were involved, even before Kincaid’s injury.

Khalil Shakir led the team in targets (9), receptions (7), and yards (58), commanding a 22% target share.

Keon Coleman followed closely with eight targets (20%), converting three catches for 46 yards and a touchdown, but left 130 incomplete air yards on the field (44% air yards share). Coleman continues to be Allen’s primary deep threat and contested-catch option, while Shakir thrives in the short and intermediate zones as the team’s de facto slot weapon.

James Cook: 13 carries, 53 yards (4.1 YPC), plus five catches for 24 yards. He also lost a fumble and missed practice this week with an injury.

Ty Johnson: 1 carry, 2 yards, plus two catches for 24 yards.

Interestingly, Ty Johnson ran more routes than Cook in this one, a result of negative game script and Buffalo trailing late.

The Bills are lacking WR playmakers. Coleman has underperformed despite training camp hype.

The lack of pop from Coleman since the season-opener has been sad to see. I don’t think he’s had the best matchups, but the second-year WR has not done enough.

There has been a clear decline in usage and production over the last three games. Obviously, this week he scored (although not efficiently), and he has a full-time role in this offense with a ton of high-value opportunities.

Hold him and see if he can build off this game. The Buccaneers are a solid matchup for WRs in Week 11. Or sell-high after he made a nice TD grab. After all, selling high after Week 1 would have netted you a great amount.

But if he can’t…add Joshua Palmer. He might return this week from IR. Palmer is also averaging over 2 yards per route run this season and has more 50-plus yard games than Coleman this season (out since Week 7). The coaches have been talking about Palmer and his impact when he returns. Keep in mind that Palmer was looking to be on track for a huge game versus Atlanta before he got hurt. The current coaching staff is not satisfied with the current WR room, as evidenced by the trade request they sent to acquire Jaylen Waddle.

Schedule

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Carolina Panthers

Buy Tetairoa McMillan

Bryce Young completed 17 of 25 passes for 124 yards with an interception, posting a 62.8 passer rating. The Panthers leaned heavily on quick throws and checkdowns, leading to another week without explosive passing plays (just one completion over 20 yards).

Rico Dowdle operated as a full-fledged workhorse, playing 78% of the offensive snaps and handling 18 carries for 53 yards and a touchdown. He added three receptions for 10 yards on three targets, showing involvement in both early downs and passing situations.

Despite inefficient rushing (2.9 YPC), Dowdle dominated usage — Chuba Hubbard played just three carries and four total touches — confirming that Dowdle is Carolina’s clear lead back. His red-zone role also remains secure, having handled all of the Panthers’ goal-line work.

Rookie wideout Tetairoa McMillan continues to look like the offensive focal point, earning a team-high 32% target share. He caught 5 of 8 targets for 60 yards, working effectively in all areas.

McMillan’s route dominance and steady volume give him one of the safest weekly floors on the team, even if Carolina’s offensive limitations are suppressing his ceiling.

The rookie WR is 13th in XPPG this season. Also, the Panthers have a top-10 schedule ROS for WRs.

Second-year tight end Ja’Tavion Sanders was hyper-targeted, drawing five targets on just 11 routes run (20% target share) and catching all five passes for 32 yards (4 catches in the first half). Mitchell Evans also got hurt in this game, opening up snaps for Sanders – although Tommy Tremble will still be involved. Evans also returned to game action.

CB Jaycee Horn had one of the worst games of his career, allowing four receptions on five targets for 150 yards and two touchdowns. He was burned by both Juwan Johnson (2 big plays totaling 82 yards and a score) and Chris Olave (62-yard TD).

It marked the first game of Horn’s career where he surrendered over 100 yards and multiple TDs in coverage (Next Gen Stats).

Schedule

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Chicago Bears

Add Luther Burden | Add Colston Loveland | Sell D’Andre Swift & Caleb Williams

Caleb Williams completed 20 of 36 passes for 220 yards and a touchdown, while also rushing for 63 yards and a score on eight carries.

D’Andre Swift handled 61% of snaps, logging 13 carries for 80 yards (6.2 YPC) and catching 5 of 8 targets for 18 yards.

His 22% target share led all Bears backs, reflecting consistent involvement in the passing game.

Swift also forced multiple missed tackles and generated 98 total yards despite splitting work with Kyle Monangai.

Monangai continued to operate as the primary goal-line and short-yardage back, logging 39% of snaps, seven carries for 28 yards, and a touchdown. Although Swift also saw a goal-line carry as well.

The rookie also ran 14 routes, suggesting the Bears trust him on passing downs if Swift needs rest.

The coaching staff clearly values Monangai’s physicality.

This backfield is a split, even if Swift is the 1A. And the schedule is tough in the playoffs.

The Bears have a tougher schedule for RBs in the playoffs: CLE, GB, and SF. Eventually, you will need to get off this ride. After Swift played well in Week 10, I think the time is now to get off the ride.

After a quiet Week 9, Rome Odunze reclaimed top-dog status with six catches for 86 yards and a touchdown on 10 targets (28% target share).

Per Next Gen Stats:

• Five receptions for 84 yards vs soft coverage (>=5 yards cushion).
• Caught four in-breaking routes for 75 yards on five targets.
• All six of his catches came against six different defenders — evidence of his route versatility.
• Added three end-zone targets and 93 incomplete air yards, showing unreal opportunity volume.

Odunze is WR12 in XPPG this season.

DJ Moore was held without a catch before exiting with an injury. Moore’s absence opened the door for Luther Burden, who logged season highs in snaps and routes.

Olamide Zaccheaus struggled with multiple drops, making Burden’s increased role likely to stick even when Moore returns. Moore’s injury status should be monitored closely — Burden is a priority add if Moore misses extended time. He is going to see more targets. Add him aggressively.

Colston Loveland caught all 4 of his targets for 55 yards, maintaining his role as a chain-mover. However, his route participation dipped to 56% (60% snap share), limiting his weekly ceiling while Cole Kmet is healthy/active.

As for the schedule… I wrote this last week.

“Worth noting that this playoff/late-season schedule could be tough on Caleb Williams. Look to sell high after Bengals/Giants on Bears.”

Schedule

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Cincinnati Bengals

Buy Chase Brown | Add Joe Burrow

The Cincinnati Bengals fell in a high-scoring duel against the Chicago Bears back in Week 9, despite a vintage performance from Joe Flacco, who threw for nearly 500 yards in one of the most explosive offensive outings of the season. Flacco completed 31 of 47 passes for 470 yards, four touchdowns, and two interceptions, finishing with a 109.4 passer rating and routinely pushing the ball downfield with aggressive intent. After being mostly a check-down artist in his brief Bengals career…Flacco was slinging it all over the yard.

However, a string of injuries to key players — including Tee Higgins and Samaje Perine — marred the afternoon and further complicated Cincinnati’s already inconsistent offensive rhythm.

Tee Higgins was spectacular before getting hurt late in the game, catching 7 of 9 targets for 121 yards and two touchdowns, including a highlight-reel 44-yard grab from Flacco that showed his elite body control and tracking ability. Unfortunately, Higgins exited in the fourth quarter with an apparent leg injury that will need monitoring (can be tricky with Bengals on the bye week). It was confirmed afterward that he was being checked for a concussion, and Zach Taylor said he cleared the protocol.

Ja’Marr Chase was also heavily involved, catching 6 of 8 targets for 111 yards, including several chunk plays in the intermediate range, but was held out of the end zone.

Running back Chase Brown was once again ineffective as a rusher — 11 carries for 37 yards (3.4 YPC) — but made a massive impact in the passing game. He saw 14 targets, catching eight passes for 75 yards, providing a much-needed outlet for Flacco on checkdowns and screens. Brown’s expanded receiving role was the clear bright spot for Cincinnati’s backfield, particularly after Samaje Perine exited early with an injury following his lone carry of the game (expected to miss a few weeks). Brown played 96% of the snaps in his absence.

Buy Chase Brown.

From Weeks 14-16, the Bengals face the Bills, Ravens, and Dolphins. Great matchups and great schedule overall for this entire Bengals offense – true across all positions. Especially if Joe Burrow does return.

Baltimore might be the only matchup that is tougher in real life than on paper…given that the defense is much healthier than they were to start the season, so just keep that in mind.

Rookie Tahj Brooks and wide receiver Andrei Iosivas each handled a carry as part of gadget looks, but the ground game never found rhythm. Iosivas remained involved as a secondary weapon through the air, catching 5 of 7 targets for 66 yards and a touchdown (benefitted from total passing volume), while tight end Noah Fant caught two passes for 28 yards and a score on limited routes (3 targets). Backup tight end Tanner Hudson also made the most of his opportunities, adding two receptions for 42 yards, including a 33-yard gain.

Noah Fant has been a floor player in every game he’s played in full this season, with at least 3-plus receptions or a TD with at least 26 yards.

Also, we got news that Joe Burrow‘s 21-day practice window has been opened. Possible that he could make a December return (obviously, depending on the Bengals’ record). Worth stashing if you are playoff-bound – and maybe need some upside at QB. The Bengals’ schedule is very soft.

Schedule

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Cleveland Browns

Hold/Sell Jerry Jeudy | Add Cedric Tillman | Hold Harold Fannin Jr. | Add Browns DST

Jerry Jeudy finally did something. Jeudy caught six passes for a season-high 78 yards and a touchdown on 12 targets in Week 10 against the Jets.

He was targeted on 32.4% of his routes, his highest target rate in this season after entering the game with a career-low 18.7% target rate. Jeudy also hauled in a 22-yard touchdown from Dillon Gabriel in the first quarter (Next Gen Stats).

If you can sell high on Jeudy, you probably should if you can get something decent. But it is noteworthy that under a new play caller – Tommy Rees – Jeudy sees a season-high 38% target share and his most productive outing to date.

Gabriel completed 17 of 32 passes for 167 yards and two touchdowns, avoiding turnovers and adding five carries for 54 yards on the ground.

Rookie running back Quinshon Judkins rushed for 75 yards on 22 carries and caught two passes for 10 yards in his Week 10 loss against the Jets. He forced eight missed tackles, the most in a game in his career, and gained 22 yards after missed tackles. Judkins has now totaled 28 missed tackles forced on rushing this season, tied for the 2nd-most among rookie running backs (along with Cam Skattebo) entering Sunday afternoon (Next Gen Stats).

He handled over 80% of the RB touches, reaffirming his role as the Browns’ clear bell cow.

If someone is asleep at the wheel…buy Judkins. The Browns have a top-3 schedule ROS for RBs.

Cedric Tillman, in his first game off the IR list, drew a long DPI call. He had another target overthrown in the end zone. Still came back to a full-time role – 74% route participation.

Jeudy remained the focal point, but I think Tillman can still make noise in this receiver room. Add him.

Harold Fannin was also not limited in this game despite suffering a hamstring injury mid-week. The rookie TE saw seven targets, catching 4 for 44 yards.

David Njoku caught both of his targets for 21 yards and a touchdown, converting a well-designed red-zone leak route.

Still, Fannin ran more routes (28 vs 19) compared to Njoku. The rookie tight end has posted a 21% target share with Gabriel under center.

Schedule

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Denver Broncos

Sell Troy Franklin | Hold RJ Harvey

Bo Nix completed 16 of 28 passes for 150 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions in Week 10. According to Next Gen Stats, Nix threw a career-high 39.3% of his passes while on the run (8+ mph), completing 6 of 11 throws for 97 yards and an INT in those situations. He performed well when given time — 15-of-23 for 144 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT when not blitzed — but struggled under pressure, going 1-of-5 for 6 yards and an interception versus the blitz.

This was another reminder of his volatility against zone defenses.

The Broncos’ biggest storyline postgame is the health of JK Dobbins, who played 54% of the snaps before leaving late with a foot injury. Dobbins had been effective (18 carries for 77 yards) and continued to dominate early-down work, but his availability for the rest of the season is now uncertain.

If Dobbins misses time, expect rookie RJ Harvey to take on a larger role. Harvey logged a 26% snap rate, running 11 routes and seeing three targets (with a 4th wiped away by penalty). He also handled one red-zone carry. His receiving ability remains his calling card — he’s been one of the most efficient pass-catching rookie RBs in limited action. Tyler Badie mixed in on 21% of snaps (10 routes) but remained a tertiary option.

I’d imagine Jaleel McLaughlin takes on a larger role if Dobbins is out as well. He should be added to deeper formats.

Second-year WR Troy Franklin once again led the Denver passing attack, commanding a 32% target share (nine targets) and a 60% air yards share, while also earning two red-zone targets. Though he finished with only five receptions for 40 yards and a touchdown, he saw a staggering 113 incomplete air yards — proof that the usage and opportunity remain elite.

Franklin now leads the entire NFL in combined red-zone + two-point conversion targets and ranks as WR18 in expected fantasy points per game (XPPG). His growing chemistry with Nix is eating into Courtland Sutton‘s alpha role — Franklin has posted a 20% target share over the past six weeks, slightly edging Sutton’s 18% in that span.

However, despite Franklin’s top-tier usage, he ranks third in the NFL in fantasy points under expectation, signaling possible regression ahead. With Denver’s tough playoff schedule (GB, JAX, KC), this may be an ideal sell-high window.

Franklin is PFF’s 71st-graded WR this season. And he’s scored 4 TDs in the last four games.
8-plus targets in four straight – one game with more than 40 receiving yards.

Courtland Sutton caught 3-of-4 targets for 24 yards, failing to make much noise as Denver’s passing game funneled through Franklin. He’s still the more efficient scorer (WR31 in PPG vs Franklin’s WR39) but has lost red-zone dominance to the younger receiver as just the WR42 in XPPG. Sutton started slow midseason before heating up last season.

Last four games for Sutton – two games with 67-plus.

Evan Engram ran a route on over 75% of dropbacks, yet once again failed to convert his opportunities, catching just 2 of 5 targets for 12 yards. He also dropped multiple passes, including a potential end-zone target. Adam Trautman technically played more snaps, but Engram remains the route leader.

Marvin Mims (concussion) — missed Week 10; could return after extended rest.

Schedule:

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Dallas Cowboys

Buy CeeDee Lamb

The Dallas Cowboys offense moved the ball well between the 20s in their Week 9 loss to the Cardinals, but repeatedly stalled in scoring range — a familiar and frustrating theme for this group. Dallas produced over 350 yards of offense yet managed just one offensive touchdown, with their only other score coming on a blocked punt return TD. Between two turnovers in Cardinals’ territory and a 0-for-3 mark on fourth down, the Cowboys left plenty of points on the field.

The lone bright spot continues to be Javonte Williams, who dominated the backfield with an 88% snap share. Williams turned 15 carries into 83 yards (5.5 YPC) and caught his lone target, adding four red-zone touches. He did, however, lose a fumble, one of two Cowboys turnovers in plus territory. Even so, his workload and efficiency signal a buy-low opportunity in fantasy formats. Rookie Jaydon Blue was a healthy scratch, and Malik Davis (1 carry) served merely as a change-of-pace option.

Dak Prescott completed 24 of 39 passes for 250 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while also rushing 4 times for 34 yards. He made a few key plays with his legs and looked composed under pressure, but the offense couldn’t finish drives. Prescott briefly appeared hobbled after getting rolled up at the end of the first half, but returned to play the rest of the game. The Cowboys were also shorthanded up front — RT Terrance Steele (migraine) was limited to 72% of the snaps but is expected to be fine going forward.

CeeDee Lamb once again commanded elite usage, drawing a 31% target share and 42% of the team’s air yards, but failed to find the end zone despite multiple end-zone targets and 117 incomplete air yards. He finished with seven catches for 85 yards on 12 targets and remains a prime buy-low candidate given his consistent volume and elite route involvement.

Lamb is averaging a 28% target share since returning from injury in Week 7. If you can trade for him coming off his bye week to a manager with a losing record…Full send.

George Pickens (6 for 79 yards on nine targets) continued to build chemistry with Prescott as the WR2, operating primarily on intermediate routes and crossers.

Ryan Flournoy had his most involved game since Lamb’s return, catching both of his targets for 12 yards and a touchdown while clearly operating as the WR3 ahead of Jalen Tolbert and KaVontae Turpin. Jake Ferguson posted a solid receiving line (5 catches for 50 yards) but had a rough outing otherwise, losing a fumble, dropping a pass, and committing a penalty that negated a long George Pickens catch. He’ll need to clean up the mistakes to maintain his target volume. Luke Schoonmaker (1 catch, 14 yards) and Turpin (2 for 10 yards) were peripheral contributors.

The Cowboys have also added to their defense by adding DL Quinnen Williams from the Jets. Their run defense might not be as bad as the result post-bye week. Williams was PFF’s No.1-graded run defender this season. Per Next Gen Stats, Williams has three more run stuffs for loss or no gain (13) than any other player in the NFL this season, and his 10.2% run stuff rate is at least 1.9% more than that of any other player with 100+ run snaps.

Big D might not be as great a RB matchup to target as it looks like on paper.

Schedule

Detroit Lions

Buy Jameson Williams

Jameson Williams caught 6 of 7 targets for 119 yards and a touchdown in Week 10, including all 4 of his targets for 91 yards and his only TD on just 10 routes against man coverage.

On a 41-yard catch and run in the third quarter, Williams gained 57 yards after the catch (+22 over expected), his season high and the 4th-most of his career, while reaching his fastest speed of the season (21.38 mph) according to Next Gen Stats.

Note that HC Dan Campbell took over some playcalling duties. He had a play sheet and was talking into the headset in between plays. He also confirmed that he had a larger input post-game.

DC loves Jameson Williams…so it’s not a coincidence that a big game happened for Jamo when Campbell took over the playcalling duties.

Amon-Ra St. Brown: five receptions on eight targets for 58 yards and a touchdown.

Sam LaPorta: 5 for 53 on five targets — pure efficiency. Both did most of their damage in the first half.

David Montgomery out-snapped Jahmyr Gibbs (54% to 50%) in a positive game script.

Still, Gibbs exploded for 142 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 15 carries (9.5 YPC), adding three catches for 30 yards and another touchdown through the air.

Montgomery logged 15 carries for 71 yards (4.7 YPC)

Montgomery was my big “sell” five weeks ago. I’ve been talking about this throughout my articles this season, but he is seeing significantly less work under new OC Jon Morton. It’s been better in recent weeks (15-plus opps in back-to-back games), but the Lions’ slight offensive regression in 2025 is hurting Monty (especially with OL injuries).

However, with Campbell taking playcalling, it’s noteworthy that Monty played a season-high in snaps (37). He is still game-script dependent, so I’d probably look to sell high ahead of a matchup versus the Eagles.

That being said…

The Lions have a good schedule ROS for QBs. Their last outdoor game is at Philly in Week 11. Other than that…they are playing indoors until Week 18.

Rather buy (or hold) than sell my Lions.

A few OL pieces for the Lions also got hurt (nothing major). CB Terrion Arnold (concussion) was ruled out for the remainder of Detroit’s game. He has battled injuries all season.

Schedule

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Green Bay Packers

Add Jayden Reed | Christian Watson, Emanuel Wilson, & Luke Musgrave | Buy Josh Jacobs

Jordan Love was pressured on 17 of his 42 dropbacks (40.5%), the 2nd-highest pressure rate he has faced this season.

When pressured, Love completed just 3 of his 12 pass attempts for 21 yards and was sacked three times, including a fumble. For the Eagles, it was their 3rd-highest pressure rate in a game this season, and their 2nd-straight game with a pressure rate over 40% after having just one such game in Weeks 1-7. Six defenders generated multiple pressures, led by newly-acquired Jaelan Phillips (7).

Josh Jacobs handled 21 carries for 74 yards (3.5 YPC) and scored the team’s lone touchdown, adding five catches for 33 yards through the air (75% snap rate).

Always be buying, especially with Jacobs back to his normal snap share (likely fully back from his calf injury).

GB has one of the easiest schedules for ROS.

Jacobs is also PFF’s 8th-highest graded RB this season. RB3 in XPPG.

Wicks (22% target share) continues to see expanded usage (4-38 on eight targets), but he was disappointing with the prime opportunity. Recorded a drop.

Desperate managers can add Wicks, but it’s a fringe play with Golden likely back next week. If Doubs is out…than Wicks can be dart throw in a plus-matchup versus New York.

Christian Watson led the team in routes run (80%), tied with Luke Musgrave, but only finished with two catches for 45 yards.

The Packers’ No. 2 TE played 77% of the snaps, filling in for the injured Tucker Kraft. Musgrave also picked up a DPI call that set up Jacobs’ TD (finished 3-23 on three targets).

Watson was used exclusively as a deep threat – 86 incomplete air yards and a 40% air yards share. Averaged over 30 air yards per target. He also had another 22-yard catch wiped off on a penalty.

Romeo Doubs only ran a route on 51% of the dropbacks. He only had one catch on four targets. He got hurt toward the end of the game, further gutting the playmakers on the Packers roster.

GB was down so many WRs that they had to put Bo Melton (switched to CB this offseason) back at WR. Melton earned five targets and was unable to haul in a fourth-down pass from Love in the third quarter. All his targets came late in the game.

The Packers also lost OL Elton Jenkins, and the injury is feared to be severe.

Green Bay’s offense couldn’t generate explosive plays without Tucker Kraft or Matthew Golden (inactive).

Jayden Reed is expcetd to return later in November. Add him. He should be fully heatlhy from both his collarbone and foot injuries. He was projected to miss 6-8 weeks. He has missed almost close to 8 weeks after getting hurt on September 17th.

Schedule

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Houston Texans

Hold Woody Marks| Sell/Hold Nico Collins| Add Dalton Schultz | Add Jaylin Noel

Davis Mills completed 27 of his 45 pass attempts for 292 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception in his first start of the season against the Jaguars.

Mills fared well against zone coverage, completing 24 of 35 attempts for 273 yards and both touchdowns, but struggled against man coverage (+9.2% CPOE), completing just 3 of 10 attempts for 19 yards and an interception (-23.3% CPOE). Mills also scrambled 2 times for 20 yards and a touchdown that put the Texans ahead late in the 4th quarter (Next Gen Stats).

Woody Marks appeared to take over as the RB1. He got banged up briefly but came back. Played 78% snaps. Handled 14 carries for 63 yards (4.5 YPC) and scored a touchdown while adding two receptions for 18 yards on three targets. Additionally, saw four goal-line carries.

Nick Chubb: 15% snaps. This was a season-low in snaps for Chubb, but it makes sense given the trailing game script. And as this coaching staff has done most of this year, they slightly downplayed Marks’ breakout game in the post-game pressers.

HC DeMeco Ryans highlighted Nick Chubb‘s 9.4 yards per carry (100% rushing success rate), so I don’t wanto get compleletely carried away with Marks. If somebody believes Marks will see this tilted of a touch split every week – I’d sell high for a strong return (emphasis on HIGH return).

Chubb isn’t doing badly enough to fuel a complete and total Marks’ takeover. And this is still the Texans’ terrible offensive line. He was also on the injury report leading up to the Week 10 matchup which might have contributed to his reduced role (along with the game script).

Even so Week 11 is a great matchup for Marks versus the Titans.

And I’ll admit that I feel better about Marks’ usage sticking thinking about it more this week. Ryans also said in an interview this week…these rookies aren’t rookie anywhere. Training wheels are off.

“No more rookies. Woody, like let’s go. We gotta continue to feed him more. Higgins, the guys catch radius is insane. You need a big play on 4th down, who shows up, it’s Jaylin Noel. Tae is doing a good job there at LT. The rookie name plate is off.”

-DeMeco Ryans pic.twitter.com/J10SAhoZlB

— Houston Stressans (@TexansCommenter) November 13, 2025

Nico Collins caught 7 of 15 targets for 136 yards in Week 10 against the Jaguars, his most receiving yards in a game this season. Collins averaged a season-high 13.9 air yards per target, hauling in 4 of 9 targets on throws of 10+ air yards for 111 yards, his most receiving yards on such throws since Week 4 of 2024 against the Jaguars (Next Gen Stats). Collins also saw 6 RZ targets.

This is a matchup that Nico has predictably dominated. And 54 of his yards came on a Hail Mary attempt at the end of the second half.

And that’s why he is a screaming sell high.

Houston’s ROS schedule:

Bottom-3 for QBs in the playoffs and bottom-5 for WRs. And that was before the Colts acquired star CB Sauce Gardner. The QB schedule has ZERO stars per the SOS tool from Weeks 15-17. Bottom-2 for QBs rest of the season.

Collins makes sense as a logical “Sell” candidate – but what you will actually get for him is really the main point. After a big game, C.J. Stroud potentially coming back, you don’t need trade persuasion (S/O the tools on FantasyPros Trade Central) to spin a positive narrative for Collins, who ranks second to last in expected points scored UNDER expectation this season.

Definitely not interested in buying (especially with the Colts as tougher WR matchups).

I’d consider all of the Texans as sell candidates based on the schedule AFTER they face Tennesse.

Dalton Schultz caught 7 of 11 targets for 53 yards and a touchdown.

Star Texans CB Derek Stingley Jr. also got banged up.

Jayden Higgins stepped up, as did Jaylin Noel. Both rookie WRs made big plays.

Higgins (5 receptions, 42 yards, 1 TD) continues to carve out a role as the WR2. Ryans said post-game that they need to keep finding ways to get Higgins the ball and keep him involved. Higgins played ahead of Xavier Hutchinson – not usually the case when Nico Collins is active.

Gives me hope that the Texans will finally put Noel ahead of Christian Kirk. Noel (4 receptions, 35 yards). Kirk was quiet, with one catch for 3 yards on three targets.

Schedule

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Indianapolis Colts

Buy/Hold Alec Pierce | Sell Michael Pittman Jr.

Jonathan Taylor delivered one of the most impressive rushing performances in recent NFL memory, carrying the ball 32 times for 244 yards and three touchdowns — including an 83-yard score that sealed the game.

Per Next Gen Stats:

• Taylor posted +111 rushing yards over expected (RYOE), the highest single-game mark by any rusher this season.
• He gained 228 yards after contact, the most in a game by any player in the last nine seasons.
• That 83-yard touchdown run included 82 yards after contact, also the most on a single carry since tracking began.

Taylor now leads the NFL with +305 RYOE through Week 10 and continues to redefine the Colts’ offensive identity with elite vision, power, and acceleration.

Daniel Jones completed 19 of 26 passes for 255 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, earning a 100.6 passer rating. He added seven rushes for 53 yards, extending drives with his mobility. However, he did also fumble three times.

Tight end Tyler Warren dominated receiving usage, commanding a 39% target share (10 targets) and catching eight passes for 99 yards.

Alec Pierce broke loose with four receptions for 84 yards and a touchdown on seven targets (27% target share). He was Jones’ preferred deep threat, hauling in a 37-yard score off a play-action strike in the second quarter.

Michael Pittman Jr. had just two catches for 19 yards on two official targets, though he lost another target to a penalty. With the passing volume heavily tilted toward Warren and Pierce — and the ground game dominating — Pittman was largely an afterthought in this game. He also drew the toughest CB matchup against Falcons’ CB A.J. Terrell.

Now, admittedly, the schedule ROS isn’t great—bottom-10 ROS for WRs featuring teams like the Chiefs, Texans, and Seahawks.

49ers/Jags are awesome, but the overall schedule suggests some volatile play with the Colts’ No. 1 WR. Pittman is just WR33 in expected points per game this season compared to WR11 in actual points per game. The TDs are helping boost his numbers dramatically.

And his usage is actually very close to Pierce. Targets are near even in the eight games they have played together. But Pierce has more yards with his big-play ability, while Pittman has more receptions (5.5/game).

I don’t want to overreact. The Colts attempted only 26 passes; Pittman remains the team’s WR1 but will fluctuate weekly in this run-heavy offense. But I think if somebody wants to pay for him as a clear-cut alpha WR, you can sell.

Between four talented pass catchers and JT, somebody will undoubtedly get left out in this Colts’ pass attack weekly. And the schedule is not great for WRs ROS.

But no Colts WR is playing better now than Pierce. He’s had 65 yards or more in six of his eight games played this season, with 69-plus in four straight. On a HEATER. Hold through the bye week. He is PFF’s 15th-highest graded WR this season.

DT Grover Stewart missed a portion of the game with an injury, but his absence didn’t slow the defensive front enough to change the outcome.

Schedule

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Jacksonville Jaguars

Hold/Sell Travis Etienne| Sell Brian Thomas Jr. & Trevor Lawrence
Add Parker Washington & Bhayshul Tuten & Brenton Strange

Parker Washington recorded three receptions for 33 receiving yards, 1 receiving touchdown, and a 73-yard punt return touchdown in Week 10 (Next Gen Stats).

This marked Washington’s second punt return touchdown this season and a franchise-record third of his career. Washington became just the second Jaguars player in franchise history with a receiving touchdown and punt return touchdown in the same game (WR Keelan Cole in Week 10, 2020 at GB). He is also the first NFL player since Indianapolis’ Nyheim Hines in 2019 with two punt return touchdowns in a season

Washington followed up last week’s breakout with another all-purpose gem: Offensively, he caught 3 of 7 targets for 33 yards and a touchdown. He also saw three more targets that were negated by penalties.

Travis Etienne handled 58% of snaps, logging 16 carries for 58 yards and a touchdown, while catching 2 of 4 targets for 19 yards (17% target share).

• Etienne saw two goal-line carries, converting one for a score.
• Even as the Jaguars rotated in rookies Bhayshul Tuten (23%) and LeQuint Allen (19%), Etienne maintained control of the high-value touches, including four red-zone opportunities.
• Due to the WR injuries, Etienne’s target share has given him a decent floor (10%-plus target share over the last seven weeks). 3 or more catches in three of the last five games.

Bhayshul Tuten was limited after a brief injury scare but still logged four carries and two targets, totaling 10 yards. He also handled two red-zone carries, further hinting at a continued complementary role. LeQuint Allen was again mixed in for situational snaps and short passes, catching his lone target for 6 yards.

There are a few solid matchups for Etienne after Houston. However, the playoffs feature Denver/Colts, both of whom are top-8 vs RBs this season. The Jets are a layup after their mass exodus of players before the trade deadline, but the other two matchups are tougher for the Jags RB1.

Tim Patrick surprisingly ran more routes than Dyami Brown, who was nearly phased out of the offense (zero catches on one target).

Jakobi Meyers immediately slotted in as a starter: He caught all 3 of his targets for 41 yards.

Meyers led the team in receiving yards and should see his volume grow as he and Lawrence build timing. He caught a TD in the red zone on the Jags’ second drive that was called back on a false start penalty.

Per NGS: The Texans rallied from a 29-10 deficit and outscored the Jaguars 26-0 in the fourth quarter to secure a comeback victory.

The 19-point comeback is the second-largest in Houston franchise history, and tied for the longest of the season (with the Eagles in Week 3 against the Rams and the Broncos in Week 7 against the Giants).

The Jaguars have a bottom-5 schedule ROS for QBs.

Brian Thomas Jr. missed this game with a sprained ankle. He also plays the Jets/Broncos in the fantasy playoffs (bottom-5 in the playoffs). Tough matchups, even if he was playing well.

Bottom-8 schedule for the rest of the season for WRs. The Jets’ matchup has gotten softer given their defensive trades, but Thomas is now dealing with a low-ankle sprain (potential to miss one game). And the Jaguars play the Colts in Week 17 – sooooo BTJ might be getting sauce’d no matter what. Expect this time it’s in the fantasy football championships.

Brenton Strange is still 1-2 weeks away from returning…but he might be a decent TE stash for those hurting at the position.

His 21-day practice window will be opened this week, per HC Liam Coen.

Schedule

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Kansas City Chiefs

Sell Travis Kelce | Hold/Sell Kareem Hunt

The Kansas City Chiefs dropped their fifth straight regular-season meeting to the Buffalo Bills in Week 9, 27-13, as Patrick Mahomes and the offense were smothered by relentless pressure and an opportunistic secondary. Mahomes finished 15-of-34 for 250 yards, no touchdowns, and one interception, posting a 57.2 passer rating in one of the most disrupted outings of his career.

According to Next Gen Stats, Buffalo pressured Mahomes on 20 of his 38 dropbacks (52.6%), marking just the fourth time in his career he faced pressure on over half his attempts — and the first since Week 5, 2020. The constant heat forced Mahomes to hold the ball longer than usual, averaging 3.37 seconds to throw, his longest time in a game over the past two seasons. While he pushed the ball downfield more aggressively than ever — averaging a career-high 14.4 air yards per attempt, the third-most by any quarterback in a game this season — it came with inconsistency, missed connections, and stalled drives.

The bright spot was Rashee Rice, who continued his third-year breakout with a versatile and explosive showing. Rice caught 4 of 7 targets for 80 yards (21% target share), averaging 11.7 air yards per target, the highest mark of his career. On throws traveling 10+ air yards, he caught 3 of 4 for 73 yards, setting career highs in both receptions and yards on downfield passes. Kansas City also got creative with him in the run game — Rice added two carries for 6 yards and his first career rushing touchdown, showing the team’s growing trust in his all-around playmaking ability, especially around the red zone.

Marquise “Hollywood” Brown provided a spark downfield with two catches for 73 yards (only ran a route on fewer than 50% of the dropbacks), including a 40-yard bomb from Mahomes late in the first half, while Travis Kelce was steady, catching 4 of 5 targets for 66 yards, with most of his production coming on intermediate crossers. He also took a big shot in the end zone at the end of the first half.

Rice is the alpha, but Mahomes is more than capable of supporting multiple fantasy assets – even with Hunt scoring a TD every week. Kelce would be the “sell” just based on the larger sample size of him playing with Rice, as his targets are usually nuked. TDs will always be part of the equation (Kelce caught a two-point conversion in Week 9), but Kelce ripping off four plays of 20-plus yards over the last two games is not sustainable.

Xavier Worthy was heavily involved with seven targets, but he caught only three passes for 23 yards despite running the most routes among WRs. The second-year WR also drew over 100 incomplete air yards…but to no avail.

The Chiefs’ ground game was moderately effective but lacked volume due to the negative game script. Kareem Hunt led the backfield with 11 carries for 49 yards (4.5 YPC) and a short-yardage touchdown, while Brashard Smith, Clyde Edwards-Helaire, and Worthy combined for just 19 yards on six total rushes.

Hunt got all the backfield usage, playing 81% of the snaps with six red zone carries.

Ultimately, Kansas City’s offensive line couldn’t handle Buffalo’s simulated pressures and late stunts, leaving Mahomes constantly forced to improvise. Despite a few explosive plays from Rice, Brown, and Kelce, the Chiefs’ passing game never found consistency. Between the heavy pressure rate, inefficient early-down offense, and lack of red-zone execution, Kansas City was held without an offensive touchdown through the air — a rarity in the Mahomes era.

They also dealt with OL problems. Josh Simmons was out already, and Jawaan Taylor got hurt during the game (ankle). The Chiefs will have a chance to regroup over the bye week. Their ROS schedule isn’t great…though given two Broncos matchups and the Texans.

If someone wants to give you something of value for Kareem Hunt, ship him off. However, note that Pacheco is still TBD to practice this week post-bye.

Schedule

Las Vegas Raiders

Hold Ashton Jeanty | Buy Brock Bowers| Hold Tre Tucker

Per Next Gen Stats, Geno Smith completed 16 of 26 passes for 143 yards and one interception, with nearly all of his attempts coming short of 15 air yards. He connected on just one deep pass — a 25-yard strike to Tre Tucker — as Denver’s defense forced Smith into a quick-trigger rhythm and punished him for holding the ball too long.

Smith was sacked six times on 13 pressures (46.2% pressure-to-sack rate) — tied for the worst mark of his career. Smith’s timing and mobility were further hindered after taking a brutal shot to the quad, resulting in a quad contusion that visibly affected his movement and torque later in the game.

Las Vegas’s offensive line woes only compound the problem. Jackson Powers-Johnson (ankle) is expected to miss multiple weeks, while Dylan Parham (high ankle sprain) will also be sidelined. The loss of two starting interior linemen leaves this offense in a precarious position.

Despite the offensive dysfunction, Ashton Jeanty continues to operate as one of the NFL’s true workhorse backs. He played 88% of the snaps and handled 24 total opportunities (19 carries, five targets), posting 60 rushing yards and a touchdown.

Jeanty remains a fantasy cheat code for volume:

• 88% snap share (elite)
• 5% target share on Thursday
• 5+ targets in consecutive games
• 13%+ target share in 4 of his last five contests
• At least 18 opportunities in 4 of the last five games

Even with a deflected pass off his hands leading to an interception, Jeanty’s involvement is secure. He’s now top-10 in the NFL in total touches and top-15 in both expected and actual fantasy PPG.

While his ceiling may be somewhat capped due to the Raiders’ offensive limitations and line injuries, Jeanty’s volume, versatility, and tackle-breaking ability continue to give him a safe RB1 floor.

Rest-of-season fantasy outlook: Still a buy/hold — particularly targeting a Week 17 matchup vs. the Giants, which could deliver a title-winning spike week. But in the short term, expectations should be tempered given the depleted O-line.

The Raiders – per the SOS tool – have a top playoff schedule for fantasy RBs.

Although being fully transparent, the Eagles/Texans aren’t amazing matchups even if they are somewhat plus spots on paper. It’s not perfect, but there are some decent spots for a three-down workhorse like Jeanty.

The Broncos, Eagles, and Texans aren’t ideal – even if the Chargers/Cowboys/Giants are good on paper.

Unfortunately, Dallas isn’t the same cakewalk matchup after they acquired DT Quinnen Williams from the NY Jets before the trade deadline (also bringing back some other players from injuries). And losing another two OL pieces (along with a banged-up QB) is not ideal for Las Vegas. I think Jeanty will be fine….but I’m pressing the pause on looking to acquire him because I think he’s more a floor than ceiling play ROS. Probably just a hold for now.

It was a frustrating night for Brock Bowers, who finished with one carry for -4 yards and wasn’t able to convert on limited targets (1 catch for 31 yards). Denver’s defense keyed in on him — Raiders coaches even admitted postgame, “We were trying to get the ball to Bowers all night. The calls went his way; the ball just didn’t get there.”

The Broncos bracketed Bowers consistently, forcing Geno Smith to pivot toward short throws and outlets. Despite the quiet box score, the intent to feed Bowers was clear, suggesting a rebound opportunity.

Tre Tucker led all Raiders wideouts in routes run and was the lone WR who consistently gained separation. He had a 31-yard touchdown nullified by a penalty, leaving fantasy points on the field. Tucker remains the team’s most explosive field-stretching option. Not a terrible option next versus Dallas if you need a WR fill-in.

Veteran Tyler Lockett led the team with a 22% target share (5-44 on six targets), while rookie Dont’e Thornton Jr. — running as the WR3 over Jack Bech — saw several deep opportunities (38% air yards share) but had a bad drop on a perfectly thrown bomb.

With Powers-Johnson and Parham both sidelined, Las Vegas will have to rely on backups against an unforgiving schedule. The Raiders face the No. 32-ranked QB schedule per the FantasyPros Strength of Schedule tool, which is brutal news for Geno Smith‘s rest-of-season.

Remaining Schedule:

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Los Angeles Chargers

Hold/Sell Keenan Allen & Quentin Johnston | Add Tyler Conklin

Per Next Gen Stats, Justin Herbert completed 20 of 33 passes for 220 yards and a touchdown, recording a career-best 2.21-second time to throw. His lightning-quick release helped neutralize Pittsburgh’s front — just a 30% pressure rate, his second-lowest of the season.

Herbert was pinpoint in rhythm:

• Under 2.5 seconds: 15-of-21 (71.4%) for 145 yards and his lone TD
• Over 2.5 seconds: 5-of-12 (41.7%) for 75 yards

The Chargers have clearly retooled their approach around Herbert’s ability to distribute quickly, particularly behind an offensive line that’s struggled in protection at times. While it limited explosive plays, it produced an efficient, mistake-free performance and kept the Steelers’ pass rush quiet all afternoon.

After a brief dip in snaps, Kimani Vidal returned to full bell-cow mode, playing a season-high 93% of offensive snaps and handling 25 carries for 95 yards and a touchdown.

Vidal’s workload leaned heavily to the left side — 19 of 25 rushes (76%) — though that proved less efficient (2.7 YPC) as the Chargers schemed away from T.J. Watt, who rushed off the right edge on nearly every snap. On his six right-side runs, Vidal averaged a far more robust 7.3 yards per carry (Next Gem Stats)

Even with that inefficiency, Vidal’s overall command of touches reasserts his top-12 fantasy RB status while Omarion Hampton remains sidelined (not expected to return until after the Chargers’ Week 12 bye week. Vidal now has over 20 touches in three of his last five games.

WR Ladd McConkey exploded for four receptions, 107 yards, and a touchdown on six targets — all coming on in-breaking routes that leveraged his quickness and timing. He torched corner Brandin Echols, catching 3 of 4 targets for 89 yards and a score against him.

Rookie tight end Oronde Gadsden left this game with a knee injury (3 for 13 on six targets). It was a TE committee after he departed.

Matchup is awesome next week (Jags for TEs), so Tyler Conklin becomes a deep sleeper tight end play if Gadsden is out.

Keenan Allen saw a small usage role again—just 60% of the routes run on a 51% snap rate.

His second catch was in garbage time in an effort to get him to break the all-time Chargers receptions record (he needed two catches to achieve this).

The long-time veteran’s routes have now also dipped dangerously low in the last three games – sub-61%. Allen’s targets have dipped dramatically as a result of the last three games (five per game). That’s not a coincidence.

Quentin Johnston led with 10 targets (30% target share, second-highest of the season for him)….which can definitely be encouraging for his managers moving forward, given that Gasden’s emergence coincided with QJ’s fall off in recent weeks.

Wouldn’t say it was a particularly great game for QJ (still not sure how good he really is as a boom-or-bust WR)…but the usage was solid.

If the Gadsden injury is long-term, I think we might see some combination of QJ/Allen bounce back. The rookie tight end’s injury has been labeled day-to-day, so you can kindly disregard the following – but please enjoy the thought experiment in case the injury is actually worse than reported.

Allen benefits from Herbert trying to get the ball out quickly as an underneath outlet.

And in this last game…QJ saw his air yards per target drop to 4.8 (his lowest air yards per target on the season). I said this last week and in previous weeks regarding the Chargers’ WRs…

“We know that these Chargers WRs have weekly upside. They play Dallas in Week 16. Even if QJ/Allen rides your bench or is a boom-or-bust option until Week 16, that one game alone could make them worth targeting/rostering.

Long story short – all these Chargers WRs/TEs have tremendous weekly upside. Suppose somebody is undervaluing that week-winning potential. I’d take advantage.

Think both Allen/QJ are probably worth kicking the tires on, even if they are being added as bench depth.

Again… we already saw this play out. Like we saw with QJ’s injury…just takes one guy to miss for the production floodgates to open for the other Chargers pass-catchers.

Still, the Charges OL does cause concerns, ROS.

And when the Chargers get RB Omarion Hampton back, they could lean on the ground game more. Also FWIW, the Chargers ROS for WRs is near the bottom of the league (playoffs withstanding, of course).

Schedule is the toughest over the next four weeks for WRs and bottom-7 ROS.

Over the next four games…the Chargers have the worst schedule for WRs in the NFL.

I could see scenarios where QJ is both a buy/sell (I guess that means hold?).

But ultimately, if he goes off in Week 16, I think he is worth acquiring.

Again, not trying to flip-flop (QJ was my sell a few weeks ago) as the Gadsen injury changes the equation dramatically.

But based on the current information about Gadsden’s injury…I’m more likely to sell than buy Allen/QJ.

Schedule

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Los Angeles Rams

Add Blake Corum | Hold Kyren Williams | Add Tyler Higbee

Davante Adams suffered an oblique injury during Sunday’s 42-26 win over the 49ers, but he would probably have returned if the score was closer, coach Sean McVay said after the game, Nate Atkins of The Athletic reports.

Adams caught 6 of 8 targets for 77 yards and a touchdown in Week 10 against the 49ers.

Adams was productive on in-breaking routes, where he caught three receptions across four targets for a season-high 51 receiving yards on such targets. It marked his second game this season with at least 50 receiving yards on in-breaking routes, both coming against the 49ers (50 yards in Week 5).

Blake Corum and Kyren split carries 50/50 (but Williams dominated touches in the first half).

Kyren Williams: 14 carries for 73 yards (5.2 YPC) and 2 TDs + 2 receptions for 11 yards. Blake Corum: 13 carries for 56 yards (4.3 YPC). Served as the change-of-pace back, providing between-the-tackles juice without vulturing too many high-value touches.

Williams played 60% of the snaps to Corum’s 37%. Corum also came close to scoring.

Kyren is still RB1, but Corum will continue to mix in. High-end handcuff option or desperation FLEX. I would make sure to keep Corum on the bench if Williams were on my roster.

The schedule is just okay, though…and gets slightly tougher in the fantasy playoffs (DET, SEA) – hence more of a hold than BUY stance.

Matthew Stafford completed 24 of 36 passes for 280 yards and four touchdowns in the Rams’ Week 10 win over the Niners.

Every one of his touchdown passes came against the blitz (13/18, 161 yards, 4 TD vs blitz). His only sack came without extra rushers. With the Rams using play-action on 28.4% of their offensive plays (4th-highest rate league-wide this season), Stafford threw 19 play-action pass attempts, completing 12 for 151 yards and two touchdowns.

The Rams deployed 13 personnel on 30 of their 67 offensive plays (44.8%), the second-highest rate in a game since 2016 and a continuation of the Rams’ three-game streak using it on more than 38.0% of their plays.

The Rams now hold the top three spots in 13 personnel percentage in a game since 2016, with today’s yards per play (6.7), success rate (63.3%), and explosive play rate (20.0%) topping the outputs of the previous two games. The Rams have used 13 personnel on 97 plays over their last four games, more than double any other team entering Sunday Night Football and more than Sean McVay had in his first 137 games as the Rams head coach (84).

The Rams are committed to their TEs, and I think the rookie has some upside. Terrance Ferguson has three-plus targets in his last three games, with 50-plus incomplete air yards in two of his last three. He is their downfield seam stretcher in their TE room.

McVay loves Ferguson and constantly talks about him as a stud. I’m talking like Kyren Williams’ levels of love. Ferguson is a talented playmaker, and the ball could find its way more versus a defense that has been top-5 in points allowed to TEs this season.

Tyler Higbee typically runs the most routes. He has at least three catches in four straight games with two scores over that span.

Schedule

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Miami Dolphins

Buy Jaylen Waddle | Add Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa completed 15 of 21 passes for 173 yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions, good for an 88.1 passer rating. He’s been inconsistent this season, but the schedule is great for a strong finish.

Jaylen Waddle matched up against Bills rookie CB Maxwell Hairston on 13 of his 18 routes, hauling in 3 receptions for 69 yards and a touchdown against the rookie. Hairston, who made his debut last week against the Chiefs, forced two tight-window targets, including an interception on what was virtually an arm punt on 3rd-and-long, midway through the fourth quarter. Waddle accounted for 80.0% of the Dolphins’ team air yards on the day and 33% of the targets. Since Week 5 (without Tyreek Hill), Waddle is 1 of 3 receivers to account for over half of their team’s air yards (Amon-Ra St. Brown and Jaxon Smith-Njigba are the others) – according to Next Gen Stats.

Waddle has stepped up as Miami’s top receiving weapon, catching 5 of 7 targets for 84 yards and a touchdown.

Waddle has now topped 82 yards in five of his six games this season without Hill, averaging over seven targets and 79 yards per contest when Hill plays fewer than 50% of snaps or misses entirely (10-game sample size). He’s cemented himself as an auto-start WR1 with Hill out.

Malik Washington found the end zone, catching 2 of 3 targets for 9 yards.

De’Von Achane totaled a career-high 225 yards from scrimmage (174 rushing yards, 51 receiving yards), including two rushing touchdowns.

Achane forced 11 missed tackles, his most in a game in his career, and gained 100 yards after forcing a missed tackle. Of his 225 yards from scrimmage, 195 came after contact (165 rushing, 30 receiving) via Next Gen Stats. Also caught all 6 of his targets for 51 yards.

Greg Dulcich ran a route on 76% of the dropbacks. However, the production was lacking, with only one pass for 22 yards on four targets.

Jaylen Wright played more snaps than Ollie Gordon as the Dolphins’ RB2. Wright handled five carries for 17 yards.

Another W for Miami bodes well for Mike McDaniel’s future as the Dolphins HC for the rest of 2025.

The Dolphins’ final eight games feature four at home (one internationally — an ideal setup for fantasy production. With Achane commanding elite usage and Waddle thriving as the WR1 in Hill’s absence, this offense remains a sharp buying opportunity for savvy managers looking ahead to the fantasy playoffs.

Schedule:

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Minnesota Vikings

Add JJ McCarthy | Buy Aaron Jones | Sell TJ Hockenson
Hold Justin Jefferson/Jordan Addison

J.J. McCarthy averaged 11.8 air yards per attempt against the Ravens in Week 10.

McCarthy attempted nine deep passes of 20+ air yards and completed 2 of them, his first game with multiple deep completions. McCarthy’s two interceptions both came on deep passes, resulting in a 29.2 passer rating on such attempts. He completed 18 of 32 passes under 20 air yards for 158 yards and a touchdown (79.9 passer rating) – according to Next Gen Stats.

McCarthy completed 20 of 42 passes for 248 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions, while adding five scrambles for 48 yards.

Minnesota has a solid stretch of matchups as the fantasy playoffs come into play for the Vikings.

Top-10 schedule rest of season for WRs and for QBs. No. 1 schedule for QBs ROS. Add JJ McCarthy.

In two of his four games played this season, the Vikings’ second-year QB has been a top-13 QB, averaging north of 20 PPG. He is also adding value as a rusher (two rushing TDs and 48 rushing yards last week).

Aaron Jones continued to operate as the offensive centerpiece, playing 72% of snaps and posting nine carries for 47 yards and a touchdown, while catching 3 of 6 targets for 22 yards.

Jones has been a top-20 fantasy RB in all three of the games he has stayed healthy that McCarthy has started this season.

Trade for him.

The hope is that with McCarthy righting the ship offensively game after game, the Vikings RBs can take advantage of matchups versus the Ravens, Giants, Bears, and Cowboys – while being easy bench candidates in tougher spots.

Also makes sense for the Vikings to lean more on the run game and put less pressure on their struggling young QB. Also possible they get back center Ryan Kelly soon.

Jordan Mason served as the RB2, logging 23% of snaps and producing 31 yards on five touches (4 carries, one catch). Just a handcuff at this point (one carry in the first half).

Jalen Nailor was the leading receiver…despite Addison and Jefferson seeing double-digit targets.

Jefferson: 12 targets, four catches for 37 yards, plus a failed two-point conversion.

Addison: 11 targets, three receptions for 35 yards, and over 140 incomplete air yards. Like Jefferson, he was repeatedly overthrown or undercut by coverage.

Both of the Vikings’ top-two WRs saw 140-plus incomplete air yards. Needless to say, their second-year QB was not hitting them.

Instead, Nailor erupted for five receptions on six targets for 124 yards and a touchdown, leading the Vikings in every receiving category. Matched career high in receptions and 100 yards for the first time in his career.

However, don’t chase a 14% target share for the Vikings’ No. 3 WR.

And regarding Addison/Jefferson, you just gotta hold. Schedule is No. 1 for WRs in the playoffs.

Most yardage came on the 62-yard gain, with another coming on a 28-yard reception.

T.J. Hockenson was quiet again, catching both of his targets for 8 yards. Hockenson is the one who is seeing his targets evaporate with the second-year QB. Fewer than four targets per game. The coaches did discuss Hock’s lack of targets, so we could see some volume shift his way in Week 11 versus Chicago.

The Vikings lost DE Jonathan Greenard to an injury.

Schedule

New England Patriots

Buy Stefon Diggs & TreVeyon Henderson| Add Mack Hollins & Kyle Williams

Drake Maye completed 5 of 7 passes for 126 yards and a touchdown on intermediate throws of 10-19 air yards in the Patriots’ Week 10 win over the Buccaneers.

His 11.9 air yards per attempt are his most in a game this season, and his 910 intermediate passing yards on the season lead the NFL. Maye faced his 2nd-highest pressure rate in a game this season (47.2%), but took just one sack on 17 pressures. Entering Week 10, Maye had the 5th-highest pressure-to-sack ratio in the NFL (26.2%). He completed just 4 of 13 passes under pressure but threw for 167 yards and a touchdown (Per Next Gen Stats).

Stefon Diggs drew another DPI call on a deep target. But he made an amazing RZ TD catch – catching 5 of 8 targets for 46 yards.

Diggs is also PFF’s 11th-highest graded WR this season.

TreVeyon Henderson broke off two explosive touchdown runs of 55 and 69 yards in the Patriots’ 28-16 win over the Buccaneers. THE BUY-LOW HIT.

Henderson reached a top speed of 22.01 mph on his first touchdown, the 5th-fastest speed of any ball carrier this season. Henderson hit 20 mph on both runs; he hadn’t eclipsed 20 mph before today.

Per Next Gen Stats, Henderson played a career-high 83.1% of snaps in Week 10.

With Rhamondre Stevenson missing his second straight game, Henderson was on the field for 49 of the Patriots’ 66 offensive snaps, far outpacing Terrell Jennings‘ 8.5% share. He was highly efficient on the ground, rushing 14 times for 147 yards and two touchdowns, highlighted by a 55-yard score in the third quarter and a 69-yard TD in the fourth. Henderson finished the game with a career-high 28.0 PPR points according to Next Gen Stats. Jennings also got hurt in this game after looking like he was going to see a large role in the offense at the start.

Fantasy playoffs – Pats have Bills/Ravens/Jets (with Bengals and Giants Weeks 12-13). If Henderson can ride this momentum, he can finish his rookie campaign as a league winner.

The Patriots have the No. 1 schedule ROS for RBs. Just note the Week 14 bye week.

The Patriots used defensive tackle Khyiris Tonga on eight offensive snaps in Week 10, six more than he’d previously played in his entire career (Next Gen Stats). All eight of his snaps were designed runs that went for 75 total yards, with 69 of those coming on TreVeyon Henderson‘s final touchdown. Tonga also played 26 defensive snaps, generating two pressures on 17 pass rushes.

Kyle Williams scored on a long 72-yd TD and ran ahead of DeMario Douglas, who didn’t see a role change with Kayshon Boutte injured.

Mack Hollins consistently made chain-moving catches. Hollins paced the passing attack, catching 6 of 10 targets for 106 yards, including a 54-yard bomb down the right sideline. 85% route participation and 32% of the targets.

The Patriots’ TEs were largely invisible — Hunter Henry and Austin Hooper combined for just one catch on five targets. No usage changes to note.

Schedule

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New Orleans Saints

Sell Alvin Kamara | Add Devin Neal & DeVaughn Vele

Tyler Shough completed 19 of 27 passes for 282 yards and two touchdowns in the Saints’ Week 10 win over the Panthers.

Much of his production was directed outside the numbers, as he finished 11 of 16 for 202 yards and both of his TDs on such attempts. His yardage total outside the numbers was the 2nd-most by a Saints quarterback in the last 8 seasons and most by any rookie in 2025. Shough completed 6 of 10 downfield attempts of 10+ air yards for 191 yards and two touchdowns after having produced just 149 yards and an interception on his 18 downfield attempts entering Week 10 (Next Gen Stats).

Chris Olave erupted for five receptions on eight targets for 104 yards and a 62-yard touchdown, once again proving he’s the heartbeat of the Saints’ aerial attack.

Juwan Johnson caught all four of his targets for 92 yards and a touchdown in the Saints’ Week 10 win, generating all of his production on 13 routes aligned in the slot. Johnson averaged 6.9 yards of separation on his targets, the 3rd-most in a game in his career, and generated a career-high 51 yards after the catch (Next Gen Stats).

Alvin Kamara totaled 25 touches for over 100 yards (64% snaps). 22 carries for 83 yards (3.8 YPC) and catching three passes for 32 yards, totaling 115 yards from scrimmage. Even so…he couldn’t crack fantasy RB1 status.

Devin Neal provided a spark off the bench with four carries for 22 yards (5.5 YPC) and three catches for 9 yards, showing burst and balance on limited touches. He continues to serve as a valuable complement to Kamara, especially when spelling him on passing downs or outside runs.

Not good for Kamara that the rookie tied him in targets despite running half the routes.

Taysom Hill was also involved. Hill (7 carries, 20 yards on a 37% snap rate) was involved situationally.

This backfield still features three different ball carriers. And Kamara is still PFF’s lowest graded RB. Sell. This could be the last time the Saints win this season.

However, I will admit… a glimmer of light might be the ROS schedule. Decent overall, and top 10 for RBs in the playoffs: Jets/Titans Weeks 16-17.

Hence, stash Neal in case Kamara is completely checked out by then.

The Saints have the No. 1 schedule ROS for RBs.

DeVaugh Vele ran a route on 100% of the dropbacks. 50 incomplete air yards. His playing time increased substantially without Rashid Shaheed.

Schedule

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New York Giants

Add Theo Johnson | Hold/Sell Tyrone Tracy Jr. | Add Devin Singletary

According to Next Gen Stats, the Giants deployed 12 personnel (1 RB, 2 TE) on 71.4% of their offensive snaps against the Bears on Sunday, the 2nd-highest rate by an offense in a game this season. Out of 12 personnel, the Giants gained 354 total yards (2nd-most in a game since at least 2016), including 230 passing and 145 rushing. The Bears’ defense responded by avoiding base personnel entirely, instead matching with Nickel on 47 snaps and Dime on the remaining three snaps against the Giants’ 12 personnel.

Wan’Dale Robinson earned a 31% target share. Dominated the short/intermediate area, seeing a team-high 11 targets and catching six passes for 62 yards.

Theo Johnson also earned 22% of the targets, catching 7 of 8 targets for 75 yards, finishing second on the team in both catches and receiving yards.

Rookie QB Jaxson Dart left the game with a concussion. Dart had four designed runs for 51 yards and two touchdowns against the Bears before exiting the game due to injury, adding a career-high +16 rushing yards over expected from these designed runs. Dart also had two scrambles, reaching six rushing carries in the game, recording first downs on all designed run attempts. Through the air, Dart completed a career-high three deep completions (20+ air yards) on four attempts for 90 yards (Per Next Gen Stats).

Darius Slayton made a sick one-handed catch. However, he left briefly and returned from injury. Hence, just the 63% snap share. Still, caught all 4 of his targets for 89 yards, including a 38-yard bomb.

Devin Singletary had a long catch and run – but failed to score on his RZ attempts.

Tyrone Tracy led the backfield in rushing. He wasn’t heavily involved as a receiver (two targets, one catch for 0 yards). Tracy Jr played 66% snaps

Singletary handled 34% snaps with eight carries, eight routes, and three targets. 8 carries for 20 yards (2.5 YPC) but making a bigger impact as a receiver with three catches for 53 yards, including a 41-yard catch-and-run on a broken play.

Tracy led the backfield, but Singletary reared his ugly head in the red zone with two GL carries. Even with Tracy as the lead, Singletary is often used in this capacity (inside the RZ).

After their fourth-quarter loss (their 4th this season when they were winning by 10-plus points on the road), the Giants fired HC Brian Daboll.

Mike Kafka will take over as the interim HC – so I wouldn’t expect a dramatic shift in offensive personnel usage. Although…Singletary has been well-known as Daboll’s guy, so this could be solid for Tracy.

But as I alluded to last week, the schedule does Tracy no favors, as the schedule is the toughest according to the FP SOS tool (especially over the next four weeks after the Bears game).

You might be able to ship Tracy off to an RB-needy roster.

The Giants also had a bunch of defensive injuries….Demetrius Flannigan-Fowles, Rakeem Nunez-Roches, Kayvon Thibodeaux, Tyler Nubin, etc.

Bad defense with no Dart next week (most likely one game missed after a concussion) should create more passing volume for the receivers and running backs.

At least it’s just one week for Dart, as the schedule is great for fantasy QBs (particularly Weeks 15-17).

Schedule

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New York Jets

Sell Breece Hall | Add Adonai Mitchell

The Jets would have lost against the Browns had they not scored two TDs on special teams, as Justin Fields threw for just 54 yards. Woof.

Fields completed 6 of 11 passes for 54 yards with one touchdown and one interception in the Jets’ Week 10 victory over the Browns.

He struggled passing beyond the line of scrimmage, connecting on just 2 of 7 such attempts for 7 yards. However, he completed all 4 of his passes behind the line of scrimmage for 47 yards, including his lone touchdown, a screen pass to Breece Hall in the fourth quarter. Fields averaged -1.9 air yards per completion, the 3rd-shortest mark in a game by any quarterback with at least 10 pass attempts in the NGS era (since 2016).

Garrett Wilson had zero catches. And he was reinjured in the 3rd quarter and did not return. The Jets’ No. 1 WR re-injured his knee, which had sidelined him for the last 2 weeks. His three targets were STILL 27% of the targets. Alas, he will be out another 3-4 weeks. In a lost season, I’d be surprised if he comes back at all.

Breece Hall caught a 42-yard TD to go with 21 carries for 83 yards. He is the workhorse of this offense (70% snaps). High touch floor every week with the ability to rip off explosives at any given time.

But it’s another brutal matchup versus the Patriots. The schedule is tough. Weeks 15-16 are both on the road, and Week 17 is the Pats. Love Hall, but there’s a lot of risk being too heavily invested in the Jets in the fantasy postseason – I think you’ve got to sell high.

The Jets also lost CB Azareye’h Thomas.

New York is down badly offensively and will play on a short week, going to New England on Thursday Night Football.

I’d fully expect Adonai Mitchell to be active. And I’m pretty sure he is the best WR on the Jets with Wilson out. Add him. HC Aaron Glenn basically confirmed as much this week when talking about the passing game, that AD is their best guy behind Wilson.

Great schedule for WRs ROS. Worth the dart throw.

Schedule

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Philadelphia Eagles

Sell A.J. Brown| Buy DeVonta Smith

Jalen Hurts completed 15 of 26 passes for 183 yards and one touchdown with no turnovers, adding 27 rushing yards on five carries.

Saquon Barkley – 70% snap share – carried the ball 22 times for just 60 yards (2.7 YPC) but chipped in 3 catches for 41 yards — including a 41-yard catch-and-run screen that provided a rare spark and set up the DeVonta Smith TD pass.

However, the Eagles lost RT Lane Johnson, a massive blow to their offensive line. Yes, the Packers can play like one of the league’s best defenses (especially at home), but this Eagles’ offense is going to be less effective without Johnson. He did return….but TBD on his status long term. Good that he avoided a serious injury – but operating at less than 100% is not ideal for the Philly offense.

From last season, according to Next Gen Stats…The Eagles have struggled in the passing game without Lane Johnson since Jalen Hurts became the starting QB in 2021.

The Eagles’ 7.8 yards per attempt with Lane on the field would rank 2nd in the league during that span; however, their 6.7 mark without Lane would be the 9th-lowest in the league. Additionally, the team’s pressure rate allowed jumps from 13th lowest in the league with Lane (33.5%) to the highest rate allowed without him (42.3%).

Also, Barkley was losing snaps to both Will Shipley (19%) and Tank Bigsby (13%), especially in the first half.

Shipley mixed in on passing/third downs, while Bigsby was inefficient (7 yards on three carries).

DeVonta Smith reclaimed the WR1 mantle, leading the Eagles with seven targets (27% target share), 69 yards, and one TD on a beautiful throw from Hurts.

A.J. Brown‘s quiet game (13 yards) continues to frustrate fantasy managers, and he failed to record a catch in the second half (one target on 4th down).

Smith has been better than AJB this season.

He is the WR28 in XPPG.

And what I said last week remains true for these Eagles WRs…

Their inconsistent passing game creates a shaky floor for at least one of these three pass-catchers every week. These dud games are always going to be possible in the current way the Eagles offense is constructed. Once they boom, I think you should flip for a high ROI if possible.

So if you missed the sell window on AJ Brown, you likely had to hold tight.

Because, as I predicted on last week’s trade show, Smith is going to out-produce Brown for the rest of the season.

This season, Smith is PFF’s 9th-highest graded WR. Brown is 30th. Through 8 games, they have nearly identical target shares, with Smith now having the slight edge after Monday Night.

However, Smith has been much more efficient. Has more yards/catches by a substantial margin. Smith is averaging 2.26 yards per route. Career high.

AJB is averaging a career-low 1.59 yards per route run.

I always talk about No. 2 WRs being undervalued…and Smith feels like that guy because of AJB’s alpha-ness. But given the way AJB has carried himself this season and underperformed, I think Smith finishes this season as the Eagles’ No. 1 WR.

We have seen teams phase out alphas post bye weeks before, when they want to embrace the run game (Stefon Diggs in last season with Buffalo).

Out of the bye week, Brown sees three targets – second-lowest target total this season.

The schedule has plus spots – Tied for easiest schedule ROS for WRs – so it makes Brown a tricky guy to sell. Still, the up-and-down performances, regardless of matchups, can be brutal.

Rather buy into Smith taking OFF with a favorable schedule than AJB.

Dallas Goedert continues to provide safety-valve utility, with four catches for 43 yards on seven targets (23% target share).

Schedule

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Pittsburgh Steelers

Add Pat Freiermuth | Buy Jaylen Warren & DK Metcalf

It was a rough night for Aaron Rodgers, who completed 16 of 31 passes for 161 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions. Per Next Gen Stats, Rodgers connected on just 1 of 8 passes for 15 yards and an INT on throws over 10 air yards — his worst deep-ball performance of the season.

Rodgers wasn’t under duress often — pressured on only 8 of 34 dropbacks (23.5%) — but failed to capitalize, going 0-for-5 under pressure while taking three sacks, including a safety. The Chargers blitzed him just once all game (2.9%), the second-lowest blitz rate by any team in a game this season, yet Rodgers couldn’t find a rhythm.

The offense lacked vertical bite and cohesion, with most of Aaron Rodgers‘ completions coming near the line of scrimmage. His connection with DK Metcalf remains volatile — the two missed on multiple potential big plays, including a deep ball that traveled 74 incomplete air yards and a fourth-down end-zone fade that fell incomplete.

It’s easy to be frustrated with DK Metcalf‘s box scores lately, but the underlying metrics still scream buy-low. He commanded a 22% target share (seven targets) and was the focal point of Rodgers’ few downfield attempts — including a would-be long touchdown that just missed and another end-zone fade on fourth down. This was after a Week 9 game where he saw multiple red-zone targets but failed to score.

Through Weeks 15-17 (Fantasy Playoffs): Dolphins, Lions, Browns — the No. 2 WR schedule per FantasyPros’ SOS tool. Just a great schedule overall for fantasy WRs.

Metcalf’s peripherals suggest he’s still a high-end WR2 with WR1 upside once Rodgers connects on a few of these missed shots and targets in the end zone.

Kenneth Gainwell led the way with 52% of snaps, dominating routes run and handling most of the passing-down work. However, he didn’t see his second target until the fourth quarter, with most of his involvement coming in garbage time. He also had zero carries in the entire game.

Kaleb Johnson, meanwhile, saw more early-down action, suggesting a potential role shift if this trend continues with two carries for 3 yards.

Jaylen Warren (RB18 in Expected Points Per Game) remains the most efficient of the group of Steelers RBs (14 carries for 70 yards) and is due for positive touchdown regression — he’s scored just two rushing TDs all year despite consistent red-zone involvement.

The schedule gets easy again (with some plus spots in the fantasy playoffs). The next four games are the No. 1 schedule for RBs. Admittedly, the playoffs aren’t nearly as good, so Warren is a better win-now target than a postseason target in my opinion.

He only has two rushing TDs this season. The Bengals up next could change that. Warren is PFF’s 19th-highest graded RB and 11th in success rate this season.

If Warren were to miss time, this may not be a full Gainwell takeover anymore — Johnson’s early-down usage in Week 10 makes this a potential committee split moving forward. Deep formats, I think it’s worth just throwing Johnson on the bench.

The Steelers continue to split tight end usage among Pat Freiermuth, Jonnu Smith, and Darnell Washington, making the group mostly untouchable for fantasy — except this upcoming week.

Freiermuth has 3+ receptions in four straight games (three for 33 on three targets in Week 10) and had his best performance of the season against Cincinnati earlier this year.

Jonnu Smith continues to lead the TE group in routes run, giving him sneaky fantasy appeal in deeper formats.

With the Bengals’ defense allowing one of the highest fantasy point rates to TEs, Freiermuth (and to a lesser degree, Smith) are both streaming options heading into Week 11.

Schedule

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San Francisco 49ers

Add Brock Purdy, Brian Robinson Jr., & 49ers DST
Hold Christian McCaffrey | Buy Jauan Jennings  

Mac Jones completed 33 of 39 pass attempts (84.6%) for 319 yards, three touchdowns, and an interception for the 49ers on Sunday.

Jones achieved his 2nd-highest success rate in a game in his career (64.1%), with his Week 5 performance against the Rams tying as his 3rd-highest (60.0%). Jones completed 11 of his 12 pass attempts released in under 2.5 seconds for 119 yards and a touchdown. When aligned under center, Jones was perfect, completing all ten of his passes for 93 yards and a touchdown. Jones also maintained perfect efficiency on passes to receivers running out-breaking routes, completing all nine attempts for 63 yards and two touchdowns (Next Gen Stats).

Head coach Kyle Shanahan said after Sunday’s 42-26 loss to the Rams that Purdy (toe) has a real chance to return in Week 11 against the Cardinals, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports.

Add Purdy off waivers.

George Kittle recorded a perfect nine receptions on nine targets for a season-high 84 yards and a touchdown against the Rams in Week 10.

Kittle was particularly effective when matched up against safety Kam Curl, catching all four targets for 48 yards across their nine total matchups. This marks Kittle’s third game of the season with a 100% catch rate, tied for the most among tight ends (min. four targets). Kittle gained 34 of his 84 yards after the catch, exceeding his combined YAC from his first four games this season (26), according to Next Gen Stats. Kittle scored late in the 4th quarter

Jauan Jennings had solid usage. 23% target share, 35% air yards share with an end-zone target.

In the last four games, Jennings is the WR target leader for the 49ers. He has a real connection with Purdy, and every passing day is seemingly improving his health. He’s “due” to produce, ranking 7th in xPPG, scored under expectation.

He’s been solid the last two weeks, scoring in both contests. Also finished 6-71-1 versus the Rams.

Brian Robinson: 8 carries, 41 yards (5.1 YPC) and a touchdown; 1 reception for 4 yards. He handled two red-zone carries and scored from inside the 10 (3 RZ carries). 26% snap share.

Christian McCaffrey: 12 carries for 30 yards (2.5 YPC) + 8 receptions for 66 yards on 10 targets. While his rushing efficiency dipped, his receiving role remained elite. CMC’s 12 carries were the second-lowest of the season.

I still think CMC is not “untouchable” as a trade asset due to his injury history, but we can never be sure when/if that will happen. I’d just be 100% going after Brian Robinson Jr. because these back-to-back performances showcase what he could do if given the RB1 opportunity.

B-Rob has scored in back-to-back weeks on the ground with four total RZ carries to CMC’s seven.

I get it if you just want to ride it out with CMC. I’m just saying that if you can get a really strong return (Bijan Robinson after bad games, etc.) I’d be willing to part ways with CMC.

The playoff schedule for the 49ers is fantastic – so I’d be trying to get at least one Niner on my bench for the playoff run, whether that be Purdy or one of these WR pieces.

The Colts’ Week 16 matchup loses some luster with Sauce Gardner joining their secondary.

Add 49ers DST. Great schedule for ROS.

Also, Brandon Aiyuk will not see his 21-day practice window opened. Who comes back first? Aiyuk, Ricky Pearsall, or Bigfoot?

Schedule

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Seattle Seahawks

Buy Rashid Shaheed

Sam Darnold completed 10 of 12 passes for 178 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, posting an impressive 111.8 passer rating despite limited volume. If you played him in fantasy, don’t feel bad – Seattle just scored so much so quickly they did not need to throw in the second half.

Buy low.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba caught five of six targets for 93 yards and a touchdown, including a 43-yard score. JSN did get banged up at one point in the second quarter – but he returned.

Rashid Shaheed ran a route on 62% of the dropbacks in his season debut with the Seahawks. 3 touches for 26 total yards (two carries, one catch). Decent usage considering the game script. In a back-and-forth game versus the Rams (who Shaheed just played and commanded a 36% target share, catching 5 of 9 targets for 68 yards, just two weeks ago), I love targeting Shaheed after a meh debut. Not his fault. Coaches are already talking up getting him more pass opportunities.

Cooper Kupp turned just two catches into 74 yards, including a 67-yard catch-and-run

Zach Charbonnet: 14 carries, 83 yards (5.9 YPC), a 6-yard TD, and a 30-yard long run.

Kenneth Walker III: 14 carries, 67 yards (4.8 YPC), plus a reception for 3 yards.

George Holani contributed 31 yards and a score on seven carries — primarily in mop-up duty — but his involvement in the red zone (1 TD) capped Walker’s ceiling slightly. Holani scored his 9-yard TD in the first quarter.

More split backfield that has no major takeaways in a massive blowout.

Keep this in mind…

Per Next Gen Stats:

In a game where the Seahawks led by double digits for nearly 55 game minutes, the Seahawks offense called a run play on 78% of their plays, the 3rd-highest rate in a game in the NGS era (since 2016).

On 46 team carries across seven different ball carriers, the Seahawks gained 198 yards on the ground, including six explosive runs and 13 combined missed tackles forced. The offense was led by Zach Charbonnet, who finished with 14 carries for 83 yards and a touchdown, including a season-high five missed tackles forced. Charbs also scored on one of his two GL carries.

Worth noting that Seattle did lose center Jalen Sundell.

Schedule

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Add Tez Johnson & Sean Tucker | Sell Rachaad White

Baker Mayfield completed 28 of 43 passes for 273 yards and three touchdowns, marking another efficient outing despite inconsistent protection (the Bucs lost LG Ben Bredeson during the game).

Per Next Gen Stats, Mayfield was surgical in the middle of the field:

• 10 of 13 completions (165 yards, 3 TDs) came on intermediate passes (10-19 air yards).
• On all other throws, he went 18 of 30 for 108 yards, illustrating how central those mid-range windows were to Tampa’s success.

Emeka Egbuka once again asserted himself as Tampa’s WR1, commanding a 30% target share and nearly 50% of the team’s air yards.

Matched up with Christian Gonzalez on 32 of 43 routes, Egbuka caught 3 of 9 targets for 56 yards in that shadow coverage but torched the rest of New England’s secondary for three catches, 59 yards, and a touchdown on his other four targets.

Egbuka continues to lead the team in both target share and air yards over the last month — he’s firmly established as Mayfield’s first read and deep/intermediate option.

10-plus targets per game over the last three games.

Rookie Tez Johnson delivered another efficient and clutch performance, catching 4 of 5 targets for 42 yards and two touchdowns, both on red-zone targets — one coming late in the 4th quarter.

Johnson’s 3 RZ targets tied for the team lead, and he’s now scored four touchdowns in his last three games. While his target volume trails Egbuka’s, Johnson’s role as Tampa’s WR2 and trusted scoring weapon continues to rise. He ran a route on 87% of the dropbacks.

Cade Otton quietly dominated intermediate and short-area usage, catching 9 of 12 targets for 82 yards, good for a 28% target share. He’s now seen 17 targets over his last two games.

Rachaad White vs. Sean Tucker: True Split Emerging

The Buccaneers’ backfield shifted closer to a 50/50 workload:

Sean Tucker became the first RB to rush for 50+ yards versus New England’s defense this season, averaging 5.9 yards per carry and showing excellent burst. Meanwhile, Rachaad White maintained his route-running and checkdown dominance, catching all 5 of his targets.

It’s been two weeks in a row that Tucker has seized a larger role in the Bucs’ backfield. White is averaging just 3.3 YPC over his last seven games.

With Bucky Irving still sidelined and Tucker’s role growing weekly, this is now a true committee with both backs fantasy-relevant. Sell high on White ahead of the Bills’ matchup.

Last two games, the number of carries has been a near even split (23 vs 21 in favor of White), but Tucker has out-gained White while matching him in goal-line opportunities (three each).

Christian Barmore‘s in-game injury briefly softened New England’s interior, opening lanes for Tucker and White. Monitor his health, as Tampa’s run game looked best during his absence.

LG Ben Bredeson‘s injury could impact the Bucs’ interior protection and blocking going forward.

Even so, savvy managers with a strong record should be looking to buy Buccaneers on the injury discount.

Weeks 16-17: Panthers/Dolphins. ROS? Top-10 schedule for WRs, RBs, and QBs.

Schedule

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Tennessee Titans

Buy Tyjae Spears | Hold Tony Pollard | Add Chimere Dike & Elic Ayomanor

Cam Ward and the Tennessee Titans struggled to move the ball consistently in a home loss to the Los Angeles Chargers back in Week 9, as the sophomore quarterback managed just 145 passing yards on 12-of-21 attempts without a touchdown or interception. Ward was efficient on short throws, completing 9 of 11 passes under 10 air yards for 80 yards, but failed to connect downfield, going just 3 of 10 for 65 yards on passes 10+ yards beyond the line of scrimmage. According to Next Gen Stats, Ward handled single-high coverage well (7-of-9, 96 yards) but struggled versus split-safety looks (5-of-12, 49 yards), underscoring his ongoing development as a passer.

The Titans’ rushing attack was led by Tony Pollard, who recorded 56 yards on 10 carries (5.6 YPC), providing solid efficiency but failing to break any explosive runs or reach the end zone (59% snaps). He had 3 GL carries but didn’t score.

Tyjae Spears mixed in as the change-of-pace back, logging 26 yards on seven carries and catching all three of his targets for 36 yards (14% target share), including a 26-yard gain (46% snaps). Spears has had 3-plus catches over the last four games (10-plus overall touches in the last two games).

Ward also chipped in 6 yards on two scrambles.

ROS, I think a healthy Spears should be the preferred Titans RB ROS. Pollard can be dropped in shallower formats.

Through the air, Elic Ayomanor paced the receivers with 46 yards on three catches (six targets for a 29% target share), highlighted by a 29-yard grab. Spears’ versatility was again evident as he finished second on the team in receiving yards, while Van Jefferson caught one pass for 21 yards and tight end Gunnar Helm added a 15-yard reception. Tony Pollard and Chig Okonkwo combined for three short completions, while Chimere Dike had one catch for five yards on three targets – but he did give fantasy managers a score on a 67-yard punt return TD.

As for Calvin Ridley, he is still on the roster (how?). Note that the Titans have a tough remaining schedule, featuring games against Houston, Seattle, and the Browns on the road.

Schedule

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Washington Commanders

Add Chris Rodriguez | Hold/Sell Jacory Croskey-Merritt | Sell Deebo Samuel & Zach Ertz

Marcus Mariota delivered one of his most efficient outings as a Commander, completing 16 of 22 passes for 213 yards and two touchdowns, good for a 133.3 passer rating. He attacked vertically — averaging 12.8 air yards per attempt, his second-deepest mark of the season and sixth-highest among all QBs in any game this year (Next Gen Stats).

Mariota completed 6 of 10 passes 10+ yards downfield for 157 yards, including 3 of 6 on deep attempts (20+ air yards) for 108 yards. His improved pocket discipline and decisiveness stood out, even as Washington trailed nearly wire to wire.

Deebo Samuel continued to serve as Washington’s offensive engine. He tied for the team lead with a 23% target share (5 targets), catching four passes for 29 yards and a touchdown, while also drawing three red-zone targets and a 2-point conversion look.

Samuel’s tendencies to fall off in the second halves of seasons – especially in what looks like a lost year for Washington – are concerning. Samuel has finished outside the top-45 fantasy WRs in three of his last four games…despite averaging over five targets/game.

Had it not been for the TD, Samuel would have busted with under 45 yards for the fourth straight game. Sell-high ahead of the Miami matchup.

Sophomore tight end Ben Sinnott played his most snaps since Week 2 and caught his only target for a 4-yard touchdown. Post-game, coaches praised Sinnott’s “Year 2-level growth” in his confidence, blocking, and speed — clear signs they view him as a long-term piece.

That said, Zach Ertz (five targets, four catches, 54 yards) remains the primary tight end in usage and route participation, still commanding a 23% target share. Ertz continues to be heavily featured in this offense even as Sinnott gains ground.

Without his star quarterback, Ertz has been a total non-factor this season when Marcus Mariota has been the starting QB.

The Commanders’ backfield remains frustrating as a fantasy wasteland.

Chris Rodriguez started after being named a team captain, scoring a 9-yard TD, but exited with a shoulder injury.

Jacory Croskey-Merritt led the team with 11 carries for 30 yards but remained inefficient (2.7 YPC) and lost goal-line work to others.

Jeremy McNichols mixed in for 25 yards on five carries and added a short reception.

The committee approach continues to sap fantasy value across the group, though Croskey-Merritt remains the most stable early-down option (lock for double-digit carries) if C-Rod is out for an extended period of time.

Bill has been a buy “target” for me the last few weeks (and most of this season), but things just aren’t looking great. He’s had brutal matchups, and his QB is hurt again.

And it looked like he was benched in favor of Rodriguez…Until his injury.

Despite Rodriguez’s early involvement, no RB topped 30 rushing yards, and JCM’s 2-point conversion attempt was one of the few bright spots as the other two backs saw the GL carries.

Still… The Commanders still have a decent schedule for the rest of the season for RBs. Specifically in the fantasy playoffs, the Giants/Cowboys is very juicy.

Just hold Bill for now. He gets Miami in Week 11 – although their defense has played better in the last few games.

And we got word from Dan Quinn already that C-Rod is goingt to play. They will lean on him as one of their most “consistent” players according to the Commanders HC.

Add him if you need a RB play this week because he is going to out-touch JCM unless he gets hurt.

After flashing earlier this year, rookie Jaylin Lane was inexplicably playing behind first-round bust Treylon Burks. Lane still made the most of his lone chance, hauling in a 41-yard catch on his only target. The coaching staff’s insistence on limiting his snaps — despite Lane’s consistent efficiency — continues to baffle.

Chris Moore, who usually runs the most routes, also barely played.

Washington’s defense suffered another wave of injuries and controversy:

CBs Jonathon Jones and Trey Amos both exited with injuries.

DT Daron Payne was suspended for punching Amon-Ra St. Brown, costing him next week’s game (and, as one report put it, “a free trip to Spain”).

The defensive unit allowed repeated chunk plays as depth became a major concern.

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