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Beyond the Waiver Wire: Fantasy Football Moves to Make (Week 12)

Welcome back! Week 11 is in the books, and we’re changing things up a bit — both this week and for the rest of the 2025 fantasy football season. With most trade deadlines wrapping up, the focus now shifts to rest-of-season takeaways and fantasy strategy once those first waiver runs clear.

But my final words of advice for those making final-minute trades….chase upside. You want to acquire players capable of week-winning performances even if it’s not consistent. Because every weekly matchup usually comes down to a handful of players who go off, that decides your W/L fate.

This means we’re zeroing in on what really matters: playoff stashes, injury fallout, drop candidates, player usage shifts, and schedule advantages — plus the key questions that were answered this week and the new ones we still need to figure out.

And I’m holding myself accountable to the name of this column — to truly go beyond the box score. No regurgitated stat dumps here (aside from the advanced ones provided by Next Gen Stats). Just the signal, not the noise.

I want to save time. You want to save time. Win-win, baby. Less is more.

Here goes nothing. Beyond the Waiver Wire. We are OFF.

And consider this your Strength of Schedule ROS cheat sheet:

  1. Weeks 12-14
  2. Weeks 15-17
  3. ROS SOS

Arizona Cardinals

Buy Trey McBride | Add Michael Wilson | Hold Zonovan Knight | Add Jacoby Brissett

Jacoby Brissett set the NFL single-game completions record with 47 in a Week 11 loss against San Francisco. Brissett connected on 47 of 57 passes (82.5%) for 452 yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions with a 96.8 passer rating. He became the first player in NFL history with an 80.0+ completion percentage on 50+ pass attempts in a game. Brissett also recorded the highest completion percentage ever by a player with 450+ passing yards in a game (Next Gen Stats).

Michael Wilson caught 15 passes for 185 yards (32% target share) in Week 11 against the 49ers, becoming one of two players this season (Brock Bowers) to catch 11 short passes of 0-9 air yards. Wilson totaled 75 receiving yards on short throws; his previous season highs were three catches and 19 yards on short throws. Wilson also caught two of his three deep targets (20+ air yards) for 68 yards (Next Gen Stats).

Obviously, this game has a ton of garbage time, so it’s not likely to be sustainable. However, Wilson did tie Trey McBride with six first-half targets, so I think his place as WR1 with Marvin Harrison Jr. sidelined is cemented.

With Brissett under center, McBride can’t stop catching TDs. And in Week 17, he faces the Bengals. You might not win your fantasy football league this year if you don’t have McBride on your roster. Not in love with the start of the postseason schedule either for Arizona (HOU, ATL), but Cincy in Week 17 might be all that matters. With Brissett being the starter for presumably the rest of the way, that’s a plus for this offense.

Zonovan Knight had a 60-yard house call in the third quarter, but it was called back on holding. He also had a two-point attempt. Emari Demercado also got hurt in this game in the second quarter (ankle). Emari Demercado suffered a high ankle sprain against the 49ers and is now unlikely to play Sunday.

Knight actually split snaps with Michael Carter, although this was mostly related to the negative game script. Knight’s the lead back until Trey Benson returns.

The Cardinals committed a franchise-worst 17 penalties in a Week 11 loss to the 49ers. This surpassed their previous mark of 16 penalties in Week 1 of the 1936 season against Green Bay when the franchise was located in Chicago. Arizona’s -16 penalty margin is the 2nd-worst by any team in a game in the Super Bowl era (NGS).

Arizona also lost OT Kelvin Beachum and CB Garrett Williams to injuries.

The Cardinals have a great Week 17 matchup – making them worth holding.

Schedule

Week 12 Jacksonville Jaguars
Week 13 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Week 14 Los Angeles Rams
Week 15 at Houston Texans
Week 16 Atlanta Falcons
Week 17 at Cincinnati Bengals
Week 18 at Los Angeles Rams

Atlanta Falcons

Buy Bijan Robinson & Kyle Pitts | Add Tyler Allgeier & Darnell Mooney

Bijan Robinson rushed 23 times for 104 yards and two touchdowns against the Panthers, gaining 98 yards and both scores on 20 carries outside the tackles.

His 87.0% outside run rate was the 6th-highest by any running back in a game this season (min. 10 carries). Of the five higher outside run rates, Robinson has recorded two himself, while teammate Tyler Allgeier has also done so twice. Robinson recorded just nine rushing yards before contact, while his 95 yards after contact were his 3rd-most in a game this season (NGS). Allgeier scored another 1-yard touchdown (one of just three carries), but B-Rob also had a goal-line TD.

Michael Penix Jr. suffered a potential season-ending injury toward the end of the game. The team is seeking a second opinion…but things are not going well for the Falcons. Penix was placed on IR.

Darnell Mooney also got hurt again (23% target share, 3-34 on seven targets). Without London, you’d hope that Mooney could deliver in the upcoming weeks. But he was in this position a few weeks ago and face-planted with Kirk Cousins as the QB. Mooney has been dreadful this season, grading out as PFF’s worst WR this season. Unless I am really desperate, I will let someone else add him off waivers.

In Drake London‘s last six games, when healthy, London has averaged 11.1 targets, 7.3 receptions, and 108 receiving yards per game. He has a solid playoff schedule as well (TB, ARI, LAR). However, London suffered a knee injury during Sunday’s 30-27 overtime loss to the Panthers. It’s a PCL sprain, and he is out for Week 12 and potentially longer. Woof. Already been labeled week-to-week….

Matthew Bergeron was labeled week-to-week after Week 9 and has missed two games. “Hopeful” he comes back in Week 12.

Also the coaches labeled Darnell Mooney “week-to-week” back in early August. He returned to game action a month later.

Coaches even admitted that they will have to run the ball more with Penix/London out.

Terrible game for Kyle Pitts. However, the ROS schedule is favorable for the Falcons’ TE, ranking favorably in the next four games. If you are hurting at tight end…Pitts might be a sneaky add if he gets dropped after back-to-back duds. Two of his targets were from Kirk Cousins. Pitts had one of his best games of the season versus Miami in a game that Cousins started back in Week 8. 9-59 on nine targets (29% target share).

Schedule

Week 12 at New Orleans Saints
Week 13 at New York Jets
Week 14 Seattle Seahawks
Week 15 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Week 16 at Arizona Cardinals
Week 17 Los Angeles Rams
Week 18 New Orleans Saints

Baltimore Ravens

Hold Mark Andrews | Add Ravens DST
Add Isaiah Likely & Keaton Mitchell | Buy Lamar Jackson

Derrick Henry rushed for 103 yards on 18 carries in the Ravens’ Week 11 victory over the Browns. He forced a season-high five missed tackles on the ground, gaining 65 yards after missed tackles. Henry also recorded 65 yards before contact, his 2nd-most in a game this season. He is the first running back this season to record more than 50 rushing yards before contact against the Browns.

Keaton Mitchell had a carry from the Browns’ 6-yard line before Henry scored. Mitchell’s RZ involvement hints at a growing complementary role that could expand if something happens to Henry. He has also been efficient this season when given opportunities (5.2 YPC in Week 11).

Note that Henry’s playoff schedule is tougher—something to file away before the fantasy football trade deadline. Weeks 16-17 are Pats/Packers. The Pats matchup is the one I am most concerned about, given that they allowed only one RB to go over 50 rushing yards against them. And since Henny is not used as a receiver (although coming off a season-high receiving usage), he can’t take advantage of their defense’s weakness. Being nit-picky, but something to keep top of mind regarding Henry in trades.

Mark Andrews made a crazy play. Scored a 35-yard TD run on a fake “tush push” attempt. He also saw two more end-zone targets.

The Ravens continue to use both TEs heavily in high-leverage spots — each drew an end-zone target — but Andrews remains Lamar Jackson‘s go-to weapon in the red area. Expect the split to persist around 50/50 in snaps, with Andrews dominating looks inside the 20. At this point, just hold Andrews. Two matchups versus the Bengals over the next month. Great schedule, ROS.

With Rashod Bateman out, DeAndre Hopkins played the second-most WR snaps (coaches confirmed post-game that this was intentional).

The Ravens have allowed fewer than 20 points in five consecutive games dating back to Week 6, the longest active streak in the NFL. No other team has accomplished this feat in even four consecutive games in 2025. This marks a dramatic defensive turnaround for Baltimore, which allowed 37+ points in four of its first five games of the season (Next Gen Stats). The Ravens’ defense has a strong schedule ROS for DSTs. Add them.

And BUY Lamar Jackson. It hasn’t been the same since returning from injury, struggled against the tough Browns defense on the road. But the schedule is salivating for him and all of his pass-catchers to get back on track from now throughout the fantasy playoffs. No. 1 SOS ROS for fantasy QBs (tied with the Giants).

Schedule

Week 12 New York Jets
Week 13 Cincinnati Bengals
Week 14 Pittsburgh Steelers
Week 15 at Cincinnati Bengals
Week 16 New England Patriots
Week 17 at Green Bay Packers
Week 18 at the Pittsburgh Steelers

Buffalo Bills

Add Joshua Palmer & Dawson Knox | See James Cook

No Keon Coleman (healthy scratch/benching) or Dalton Kincaid (hamstring)? No problem. Buffalo lays a 40-burger on the Bucs at home.

Josh Allen went Superman. Per Next Gen Stats, Allen accounted for six total touchdowns (3 passing, three rushing), the 2nd time in the Super Bowl era in which a quarterback has passed for 3+ touchdowns and rushed for 3+ touchdowns (Allen, 2024 vs LAR). Allen completed 19 of 30 for 317 yards, three touchdowns, and two interceptions, with most of his production coming against zone coverage.

When facing zone, Allen completed 12 of 17 for 225 yards and two touchdowns. Allen added 40 yards and three touchdowns (2 designed runs, 1 QB sneak) on six rushes. Allen truly was a one-man wrecking machine – scoring all the fantasy points and leaving little for the skill players we were even considering starting.

Tyrell Shavers caught a long TD, and Gabe Davis (yes, that Gabe Davis) also helped out with three catches and 40 yards. Shavers ran a route on 50% of the dropbacks. Davis was at 43%. Josh Palmer tied Shavers in targets (5) to lead Buffalo. 47% routes run. Khalil Shakir had one catch for -3 yards. Yikes. Dawson Knox also had just one catch (ran a route on 87% of dropbacks). Note that Palmer popped up on the Bills’ early-week injury report.

Ty Johnson ripped off the big catch-and-run for a TD.

Everybody eats. And therefore nobody does. Doesn’t help that we have a brutal matchup on deck versus Houston. If somebody emerges, then we can make a waiver add. But for now, it’s just Allen and James Cook.

Noting that Cook’s playoff schedule is pretty bad. Two road games against two elite run defenses…then Philly at home. Work flipping for another elite asset.

Schedule

Week 12 at Houston Texans (TNF)
Week 13 at Pittsburgh Steelers
Week 14 Cincinnati Bengals
Week 15 at New England Patriots
Week 16 at Cleveland Browns
Week 17 Philadelphia Eagles
Week 18 New York Jets

Carolina Panthers

Hold Tetairoa McMillan

Bryce Young completed 31 of 45 passes for 448 yards and three touchdowns in the Panthers’ Week 11 win over the Falcons, completing 10 of 15 passes for a career-high 212 yards and 2 TDs on downfield passes of 10+ air yards. Nearly 450 passing yards was definitely NOT on my bingo card. Keep in mind that Young threw for 150 or fewer yards in five games in 2025, which was the most among any starting quarterback in the NFL in 2025.

Young completed 15 of 20 passes in-rhythm (time to throw between 2.5 and 4 seconds) for 302 yards, the 2nd-most by any player this season, and a touchdown. He was pressured 19 times, the 2nd-most he’s faced this season, taking five sacks but completing 8 of 14 passes under pressure for 138 yards. Young even got banged up in this game (went into the locker room) and still put on an absolute show despite the ankle injury. However, TBD whether he plays on MNF at the 49ers. But getting Andy Dalton under center versus an injury-riddled 49ers defense isn’t the worst thing.

Rookie receiver Tetairoa McMillan caught 8 of 12 passes for 130 yards and two touchdowns against the Falcons, recording an identical four receptions for 65 yards and a touchdown both inside the numbers and outside the numbers. McMillan was covered by A.J. Terrell on 32 of his 48 routes, catching three of six targets for 63 yards against Terrell, while catching five of six targets for 67 yards and both of his touchdowns against other defenders (NGS).

I got a lot of start/sit questions regarding T-Mac before Week 11, given the matchup and his lack of ceiling through 10 weeks. Hurts if you left him on the bench…but at least we have now seen a high-end outcome game for the talented first-round pick. Bodes well for him, ROS. The rookie WR is 15th in XPPG this season. Also, the Panthers have a top-10 schedule ROS for WRs (the 49ers up next).

Rico Dowdle had a 38-yard TD catch reversed to a 28-yard gain (T-Mac would eventually score the next TD).

Xavier Legette also got hurt in this game. LB Christian Rozeboom was injured. DE Nic Scourton also left with an injury briefly.

Schedule

Week 12 at San Francisco 49ers
Week 13 Los Angeles Rams
Week 14 BYE
Week 15 at New Orleans Saints
Week 16 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Week 17 Seattle Seahawks
Week 18 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Chicago Bears

Add Luther Burden | Sell D’Andre Swift & Caleb Williams

Kyle Monangai scored the goal-line TD, but D’Andre Swift dominated total touches. However, he didn’t score on any of his three RZ attempts. Monangai continued to operate as the primary goal-line and short-yardage back. This backfield is a split, even if Swift is the 1A. The rookie has cemented his role, ranking sixth in success rate this season. Swift ranks ninth.

Still, the schedule is tough in the playoffs. The Bears have a tougher schedule for RBs in the playoffs: CLE, GB, and SF. Eventually, you will need to get off this ride. After Swift played well in Week 11, I think the time is now to get off the ride.

Coaches have talked about using a hot-hand approach, which creates a scary floor for Swift if the rookie starts to cook. Swift has 80-plus rushing yards in back-to-back games, averaging 21.5 opportunities per game. However, versus the Vikings…he ran a season-low 10 routes and saw just one target (29% route participation).

No Olamide Zaccheaus in the box score. YLTIS. Luther Burden stans, we are HERE. 62% route participation was a new season high. Add him. He is PFF’s 26th-highest graded WR (one spot ahead of Rome Odunze). Seventh in yards per route run.

Rome Odunze is WR14 in XPPG this season. In Week 11, he saw over 100 incomplete air yards—a high-value target savant. Always be buying.

Rookie tight end Colston Loveland split work with Cole Kmet – and actually ran fewer routes. Woof.

As for the schedule, I wrote this last week: Worth noting that this playoff/late-season schedule could be tough on Caleb Williams.

CB Tyrique Stevenson was injured along with LB Noah Sewell.

Schedule

Week 12 Pittsburgh Steelers
Week 13 at Philadelphia Eagles
Week 14 at Green Bay Packers
Week 15 Cleveland Browns
Week 16 Green Bay Packers
Week 17 at San Francisco 49ers
Week 18 Detroit Lions

Cincinnati Bengals

Buy Chase Brown | Add Andrei Iosivas

Chase Brown ran 18 times for 99 yards in Week 12 against the Steelers, recording two explosive runs of 10+ yards. Since Week 7, Brown has the 2nd-highest explosive run rate (19.2%) of any running back with 30+ carries after having the 2nd-lowest such rate (2.7%, min. 30 carries) from Week 1-6.

Brown had 26 total touches while playing 83% of the snaps without Samaje Perine. His targets and receptions have exploded over the last two games. 14 catches for 73 yards on 22 targets (25% target share). Buy Chase Brown. From Weeks 14-16, the Bengals face the Bills, Ravens, and Dolphins. Tied with the Patriots for No. 1 RB schedule in the playoffs.

Great matchups and great schedule overall for this entire Bengals offense – true across all positions. Especially if Joe Burrow does return, Baltimore might be the only matchup that is tougher in real life than on paper…given that the defense is much healthier than they were to start the season, so just keep that in mind.

Noah Fant has been a floor player in every game he’s played in full this season, with at least 3-plus receptions or a TD with at least 26 yards.

Kendall Milton got first action behind Brown, not rookie Tahj Brooks.

Tee Higgins scored early on a long ball but didn’t do much after that.

Ja’Marr Chase was held in check despite 10 targets (3-30). But to make matters worse, he is going to be suspended for one game for spitting on the Steelers’ defensive back, Jalen Ramsey. The Bengals cannot get out of their own way.

Higgins will be a WR1 this week with Chase out. Andre Iosivas will move up to the WR2 spot. Mitchell Tinsley will move the WR3.

Also, we got news that Joe Burrow‘s 21-day practice window has been opened (and that he would practice in 11-on-11 drills this week). Possible that he could make a Thanksgiving return (obviously, depending on the Bengals’ record). Worth stashing if you are playoff-bound – and maybe need some upside at QB. The Bengals’ schedule is very soft.

Cincy lost CB Cam Taylor-Britt and safety Jordan Battle. The Bengals also lost another OL piece in Jalen Rivers in this game to an ankle injury.

Schedule

Week 12 New England Patriots
Week 13 at Baltimore Ravens
Week 14 at Buffalo Bills
Week 15 Baltimore Ravens
Week 16 at Miami Dolphins
Week 17 Arizona Cardinals
Week 18 Cleveland Browns

Cleveland Browns

Sell Jerry Jeudy | Add Cedric Tillman | Hold Harold Fannin Jr.
Add Browns DST | Add Shedeur Sanders | Buy Quinshon Judkins

Dillon Gabriel (concussion) didn’t return to Sunday’s game against the Ravens. I’d expect Sheduer Sanders to start for Gabriel in Week 12 as QBs typically miss the following week after a concussion.

In relief of Dillon Gabriel coming out of the second half, Shedeur Sanders finished 4 of 16 for 47 yards, an interception, while being pressured 11 times, including two sacks. Per Next Gen Stats, the Browns led 16-10 coming out of halftime when Sanders took over for Gabriel. Sanders lost -16.6 expected points added across 21 dropbacks (compared to -4.5 on 12 dropbacks for Gabriel). Sanders’ -0.79 EPA per dropback is the 4th-worst mark by a quarterback with 14+ pass attempts in a game this season. He finished 0 for 4 with a pick on quick passes (under 2.5 seconds).

With Sanders at QB, the targets were as follows: Jerry Jeudy (4) and Harold Fannin Jr. (3), with others mixing in with 1-2 targets. He didn’t complete more than one pass to any WR/TE/RB.

OT Cam Robinson (knee) was ruled out for the rest of Sunday’s game against the Ravens, and OT Jack Conklin also got hurt with a knee injury.

If someone is asleep at the wheel, buy Quinshon Judkins. The Browns have a top-5 schedule ROS for RBs. Saw two goal-line carries (4 red-zone attempts) but just didn’t score versus the Ravens. Judkins has two-plus targets in three straight games…with two targets coming in the second half from Sanders. The rookie RB carried the ball 17 times for 59 yards. Judkins has 19-plus RB opportunities in six of his last eight games played.

Schedule

Week 12 at the Las Vegas Raiders
Week 13 San Francisco 49ers
Week 14 Tennessee Titans
Week 15 at the Chicago Bears
Week 16 Buffalo Bills
Week 17 Pittsburgh Steelers
Week 18 at Cincinnati Bengals

Dallas Cowboys

Hold/Sell Jake Ferguson

George Pickens and CeeDee Lamb sat out the first drive after they reported to “miss” a couple of things. Like the “soft” benching or not, it seemed to motivate the Dallas WRs.

George Pickens caught 9 of 11 targets for 144 yards and a touchdown in the Cowboys’ Week 11 win, gaining 77 yards after the catch, the 8th-most by a wide receiver in any game this season. Pickens now owns two of the top 10 YAC performances by wide receivers in 2025 after he totaled 85 in Week 6 against the Panthers. Pickens forced four missed tackles on the night, tying his career-high and tying for the 2nd-most by any wide receiver in a game this season (Next Gen Stats).

Lamb was also very productive (5-66-1) even though he dropped a walk-in TD that would have been his second on the night.

Ryan Flournoy maintained WR3 duties and also scored.

Javonte Williams had a season-high in carries (22), going for 93 yards. Jaydon Blue was a healthy scratch, while Malik Davis maintained RB2 duties.

Tight end Jake Ferguson scored (4-16 on five targets), but it’s noteworthy how far his targets have dipped since Lamb has returned. In the last three games, Ferguson has just a 12.2% target share. Falling more into the TD-or-bust category. But it’s tight end. would only sell as a way to move up a tier. ROS is solid for the Cowboys’ tight end, especially in the playoffs (tougher leading up to the postseason).

Dak Prescott completed 25 of 33 passes for 268 yards and four touchdowns in the Cowboys’ Week 11 win over the Raiders, facing a pressure rate of just 20.6%, his 2nd-lowest in a game this season. Prescott completed 22 of 27 passes for 256 yards and all 4 of his touchdowns from a clean pocket. He was effective throwing between the numbers, completing 16 of 19 such passes for 206 yards and three touchdowns, according to Next Gen Stats.

Big D might not be as great a RB matchup to target as it looks like on paper, with all the reinforcements they now have defensively: Quinnen Williams, Malik Hooker, Shavon Reveal, DeMarvion Overshown, and Logan Wilson.

According to Next Gen Stats, in his Cowboys debut, Quinnen Williams forced a season-high five pressures on 28 pass rushes (17.9%) and earned 1.5 sacks. He recorded all of his pressures in the first half, tying for the most pressures in a half by any Cowboys defensive tackle since at least 2018. Williams accomplished his pass rush production despite facing 14 double teams (50.0%), the 2nd-most he has faced in a game this season.

Schedule

Week 12 Philadelphia Eagles
Week 13 Kansas City Chiefs
Week 14 at Detroit Lions
Week 15 Minnesota Vikings
Week 16 Los Angeles Chargers
Week 17 at Washington Commanders
Week 18 at New York Giants

Denver Broncos

Sell Troy Franklin | Hold/Buy RJ Harvey

Bo Nix completed 24 of 37 passes for 295 yards in the Broncos’ Week 11 win over the Chiefs, completing 6 of 11 passes for a season-high 171 yards on passes over 10 air yards, including a 32-yard pass to Troy Franklin to set up a game-winning field goal (Next Gen Stats). The second-year WR finished with 124 incomplete air yards (58% air yards share).

Franklin was Nix’s go-to guy as he has been most of this season. The former Oregon wideout ranks as WR12 in expected fantasy points per game (XPPG). His growing chemistry with Nix is eating into Courtland Sutton‘s alpha role — Franklin has posted a 20%-plus target share over the past 7 weeks, slightly edging Sutton’s target share in that span. However, despite Franklin’s top-tier usage, he ranks third in the NFL in fantasy points under expectation, signaling possible regression ahead.

With Denver’s tough playoff schedule (GB, JAX, KC), this may be an ideal sell-high window with Sutton bound to be more involved post-bye week. Franklin is PFF’s 70th-graded WR this season. And he’s scored four TDs in the last five games—8-plus targets in five straight – two games with more than 40 receiving yards.

Sutton also contributed by moving the chains on a few key third downs in the fourth quarter. 21% target share with four catches for 59 yards on eight targets. Last five games for Sutton – three games with 59-plus receiving yards. Now to be clear, this Franklin sell take isn’t a recommendation to buy Sutton. But more of an acknowledgement that both guys will be involved and keep one from posting top-tier production. Sutton should at least bounce back versus the Commanders in Week 12.

Nix had a clean pocket on 72.5% of his dropbacks and posted 273 of his 295 passing yards when not pressured. The Chiefs blitzed on 24.4% of dropbacks, their 3rd-lowest rate of the season – Nix completed 6 of 8 attempts for 113 yards against the blitz.

RJ Harvey dominated the routes/targets, whereas Jaleel McLaughlin filled in the JK Dobbins role. The rookie played 61% of the snaps, whereas the other two RBs played eight snaps apiece. Harvey’s 14 touches for 50 yards were the second-highest in a game this season. He also had 3 RZ attempts but was vultured at the goal line by McLaughlin. Buy low. Dobbins is on IR. And despite Harvey’s “underwhelming” start in his debut, the usage suggests better days ahead. Buy.

Pat Bryant maintained WR3 duties even with Marvin Mims back. He also got banged up in this game, but returned.

Schedule:

Week 12 Bye Week
Week 13 at Commanders
Week 14 at Raiders
Week 15 Green Bay Packers
Week 16 Jacksonville Jaguars
Week 17 at Chiefs
Week 18 Los Angeles Chargers

Trade Analyzer

Detroit Lions

Hold Jameson Williams | Buy Lions DST

The Lions placed Sam LaPorta (back) on injured reserve Saturday. Brock Wright played 83% of the snaps in his absence with 64% route participation. Commanded a serviceable 19% target share.

Jahmyr Gibbs was targeted on 8 of 25 routes and hauled in five receptions for a career-high 107 receiving yards in the Lions’ Week 11 loss to the Eagles. Gibbs also gained a career-high 124 yards after the catch, the most by a running back in a game since Week 14, 2022, when Jerick McKinnon gained 131 yards after the catch against the Broncos. Gibbs also carried the ball 12 times for a team-high 39 yards (-14 rushing yards over expected).

Amon-Ra St. Brown was limited to just two receptions for 42 yards on 12 targets (32% target share and 57% air yards share), the 2nd-fewest receptions over expected (-4.5) by a player in a game in the Next Gen Stats era (since 2016). Adoree’ Jackson led the Eagles’ secondary with 11 matchups against St. Brown, allowing just one reception for 8 yards on five targets.

Cooper DeJean (10 matchups) and Quinyon Mitchell (9 matchups) did not allow a reception to St. Brown, with each of them facing three targets in coverage (Next Gen Stats). The Eagles are a tough matchup for WRs – and St. Brown felt the burn. However, take this game with a grain of salt. The Lions are still an absolute unit on offense. After a prime-time stinker, everybody is a buy low, especially with the targets being more narrow with LaPorta on IR. Buy/hold Jameson (my buy high last week based on the increased usage with Dan Campbell calling plays) and buy St. Brown after a prime-time stinker.

David Montgomery was my big “sell” six weeks ago. I’ve been talking about this throughout my articles this season, but he is seeing significantly less work under new OC Jon Morton. It’s been better in recent weeks (15-plus opps in two of last three games), but the Lions’ slight offensive regression in 2025 is hurting Monty (especially with OL injuries).

However, with Campbell taking playcalling, it’s noteworthy that Monty played a season-high in snaps (37) in Week 10. He is still game-script-dependent, so the matchup against the Eagles was predictably poor. Next week is perfect for him to rebound. Still, don’t overpay. Monty is just PFF’s sixth-worst graded RB this season.

The Lions have a good schedule ROS for QBs. Their last outdoor game was at Philly in Week 11. Other than that, they are playing indoors until Week 18. You need at least one Lion (hopefully Jamo) on your roster ROS. A 40-burger is coming this week at home versus the New York Giants.

Note that Tate Ratledge did get hurt for the Lions on the OL. Safety Brian Branch also got hurt.

Schedule

Week 12 New York Giants
Week 13 Green Bay Packers
Week 14 Dallas Cowboys
Week 15 at Los Angeles Rams
Week 16 Pittsburgh Steelers
Week 17 at Minnesota Vikings
Week 18 at Chicago Bears

Green Bay Packers

Add Jayden Reed & Christian Watson & Emanuel Wilson

Josh Jacobs left the game with a knee injury, although it is not feared to be season-ending. Still, the fact that the injury is associated with a season-ending injury suggests he won’t be back anytime soon. He will avoid surgery but seems destined to miss Week 12.

Obviously, this makes Emmanuel Wilson an “empty the clip” type of waiver wire target this week after he played 71% of the snaps in Week 11. Chris Brooks should be added to deeper formats. GB has one of the easiest schedules for RBs ROS. Also, great schedule next three games for QBs (top-3).

Romeo Doubs was constantly getting hurt in this game and had multiple drops. Christian Watson looked fantastic, highlighted by a deep TD grab in the end zone. He caught an earlier TD in the red zone from Malik Willis. (Jordan Love got hurt at the beginning of the game.) He may not have ever seen WR1 usage (nobody will in GB), but he is an explosive playmaker with a nose for the end zone.

Luke Musgrave might just not be good. Two weeks in a decent-sized role and nothing from the Packers’ No. 2 TE.

Jayden Reed is expected to return later in November. Add him. He should be fully healthy from both his collarbone and foot injuries. He was projected to miss 6-8 weeks. He has missed almost eight weeks after getting hurt on September 17th.

The Packers also had no answers for the Giants’ rushing attack. This defense is elite at home, but plays much less elite on the road. DL Karl Brooks did get hurt in this game, as did LB Quay Walker. And RT Zach Tom also got shaken up.

WR Matthew Golden was limited in his return. Had a deep target but only ran a route on 39% of the dropbacks.

Schedule

Week 12 Minnesota Vikings
Week 13 at Detroit Lions
Week 14 Chicago Bears
Week 15 at Denver Broncos
Week 16 at Chicago Bears
Week 17 Baltimore Ravens
Week 18 at Minnesota Vikings

Houston Texans

Hold Woody Marks| Sell/Hold Nico Collins
Add/Hold Dalton Schultz | Add Jaylin Noel

Nico Collins caught 9 of his 10 targets for 92 yards and a touchdown in Week 11, including five catches on six targets over 10 air yards for 63 yards and a TD. Houston’s ROS schedule: Bottom-3 for QBs in the playoffs and bottom-5 for WRs. And that was before the Colts acquired star CB Sauce Gardner.

The QB schedule has ZERO stars per the SOS tool from Weeks 15-17. Bottom-2 for QBs rest of the season. After another strong outing for Collins, I’d be shipping him off closer to the trade deadline. With C.J. Stroud potentially coming back, you don’t need trade persuasion (S/O the tools on FantasyPros Trade Central) to spin a positive narrative for Collins, who ranks seventh-worst in expected points scored UNDER expectation this season. He has also been much BETTER with Davis Mills as his QB, averaging north of 18 PPG over the last two weeks.

Jayden Higgins has cemented his starter role 4-55 on seven targets with a DPI call and catch at the one-yard line, but fellow rookie WR Jaylin Noel is still buried. Christian Kirk played ahead of Noel and was targeted twice in the end-zone red zone area, but didn’t score. Shocker. Coaches talked yet again about wanting to get Noel more involved…we shall see on Thursday night. If the Texans are trailing, we may get more Noel.

Woody Marks got all the usage (18 carries for 44 yards), but he was brutally inefficient (2.4 YPC). Only one catch with the red-zone work. This was my issue with being too bullish on Marks. The Texans’ OL is just so bad, and I don’t think Marks is particularly great as a rusher. This combination leads to game logs like this. And it doesn’t necessarily suggest that the Texans HAVE to keep feeding Marks when Chubb was efficient on his touches again – over 4 yards on each rush for the second straight week. The veteran is PFF’s 22nd highest-graded rusher this season. Marks is 34th. And the rookie RB ranks dead last in rushing success rate (27%) this season, third worst in EPA/rush attempt.

Week 11 was a great matchup, and he bombed hard despite great usage. The usage mostly stuck from last week (A win with a 66% snap rate), but the performance and efficiency did not. Chubb closed the gap slightly with a 26% snap rate. However, the Buffalo Bills are arguably one of the league’s worst run defenses. Unless you can cash out on Marks for a high return, you probably just have to hold. I am slightly concerned that Marks is not completely dusting Chubb. We run into a Commanders RB situation where it looks like the rookie is the GUY, but then the veteran crawls his way back into the conversation.

Should note that it looked like Tytus Howard got hurt in this game. Not ideal on a short week. Safety Jalen Pitre is also in the concussion protocol.

Dalton Schultz had been steady, and the ROS is solid. The Bills might be a tough matchup (No.1 vs fantasy TEs), but smooth sailing after that.

Schedule

Week 12 Buffalo Bills
Week 13 at the Indianapolis Colts
Week 14 at Kansas City Chiefs
Week 15 Arizona Cardinals
Week 16 Las Vegas Raiders
Week 17 at the Los Angeles Chargers
Week 18 Indianapolis Colts

Indianapolis Colts

Buy/Hold Alec Pierce | Sell Michael Pittman Jr.

Jonathan Taylor delivered one of the most impressive rushing performances in recent NFL memory, carrying the ball 32 times for 244 yards and three touchdowns — including an 83-yard score that sealed the game in Germany.

Per Next Gen Stats: Taylor posted +111 rushing yards over expected (RYOE), the highest single-game mark by any rusher this season. He gained 228 yards after contact, the most in a game by any player in the last nine seasons. That 83-yard touchdown run included 82 yards after contact, also the most on a single carry since tracking began. Taylor led the NFL with +305 RYOE through Week 10 and continues to redefine the Colts’ offensive identity with elite vision, power, and acceleration.

Daniel Jones completed 19 of 26 passes for 255 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, earning a 100.6 passer rating. He added seven rushes for 53 yards, extending drives with his mobility. However, he did also fumble three times.

Tight end Tyler Warren dominated receiving usage, commanding a 39% target share (10 targets) and catching eight passes for 99 yards.

Alec Pierce broke loose with four receptions for 84 yards and a touchdown on seven targets (27% target share). He was Jones’ preferred deep threat, hauling in a 37-yard score off a play-action strike in the second quarter.

Michael Pittman Jr. had just two catches for 19 yards on two official targets, though he lost another target to a penalty. With the passing volume heavily tilted toward Warren and Pierce — and the ground game dominating — Pittman was largely an afterthought in this game. He also drew the toughest CB matchup against Falcons’ CB A.J. Terrell.

Now, admittedly, the schedule ROS isn’t great—bottom-10 SOS for WRs, featuring teams like the Chiefs, Texans, and Seahawks.

Matchups against the 49ers/Jags are awesome, but the overall schedule suggests some volatile play with the Colts’ No. 1 WR. Pittman is just WR32 in expected points per game this season compared to WR11 in actual points per game. The TDs are helping boost his numbers dramatically.

And his usage is actually very close to Pierce’s. Targets are near even in the eight games they have played together. But Pierce has more yards with his big-play ability, while Pittman has more receptions (5.5/game).

I don’t want to overreact. The Colts attempted only 26 passes back in Week 10; Pittman remains the team’s WR1 but will fluctuate weekly in this run-heavy offense. But I think if somebody wants to pay for him as a clear-cut alpha WR, you can sell.

Between four talented pass catchers and JT, somebody will undoubtedly get left out in this Colts’ pass attack weekly. And the schedule is not great for WRs ROS.

But no Colts WR is playing better now than Pierce. He’s had 65 yards or more in six of his eight games played this season, with 69-plus in four straight. On a HEATER. Hold through the bye week (or add him if he was dropped). He is PFF’s 16th-highest graded WR this season.

DT Grover Stewart missed a portion of the game with an injury, but his absence didn’t slow the defensive front enough to change the outcome.

Schedule

Week 12 at Kansas City Chiefs
Week 13 Houston Texans
Week 14 at Jacksonville Jaguars
Week 15 at Seattle Seahawks
Week 16 San Francisco 49ers
Week 17 Jacksonville Jaguars
Week 18 at Houston Texans

Jacksonville Jaguars

Hold/Sell Travis Etienne | Sell Brian Thomas Jr. & Trevor Lawrence
Add Jakobi Meyers & Bhayshul Tuten & Brenton Strange

Travis Etienne and Bhayshul Tuten combined to gain 147 rushing yards, three touchdowns, and 13 combined missed tackles in the Jaguars’ Week 11 win over the Chargers.

Tuten led the way with 74 yards on 15 carries, recording career highs in missed tackles forced (7), yards after contact (67), and yards after missed tackles (26). Etienne added 73 yards on the ground, forcing six missed tackles and totaling 52 yards after contact.

As a unit, the Jaguars offense posted a 57.1% success rate on designed runs, their highest mark of the season (Next Gen Stats). However, Tuten did get hurt toward the end of the game in the fourth quarter (ankle injury). A darn shame, because Tuten looked on his way to taking on an even larger portion of this backfield. He led in the first half with eight carries for 47 yards and one TD.

Not to say that Travis Etienne was ineffective, but the tugboat was COOKING. Hopefully, the ankle injury isn’t too serious (he played through one during his final college season). He told reporters he was fine after the game. There are a few solid matchups for the Jags RBs after Week 11. However, the playoffs feature Denver/Colts, both of whom rank in the top 8 vs. RBs this season. The Jets are a layup after their mass exodus of players before the NFL trade deadline, but the other two matchups are tougher for the Jags RBs. If Tuten’s injury isn’t serious, I could see a case to sell Etienne, but he is probably closer to a hold than a straight-up sell.

If Tuten is available, he is a must-add. Even if he is not the clear-cut RB1, the uber-talented rookie RB is carving out a role in this offense alongside a healthy ETN.

Tim Patrick saw back-to-back red zone targets before scoring on the second one (also continues to play ahead of Dyami Brown).

Parker Washington did draw a deep DPI call. However, Jakobi Meyers was the leading receiver with five grabs and 64 yards on six targets (27% target share). Meyers led the team in receiving yards in two straight weeks. Trevor Lawrence has found his new Christian Kirk. The Jags lost CB Greg Newsome to an injury. Travon Walker also got banged up with a knee injury.

The Jaguars have a bottom-5 schedule ROS for QBs.

Brian Thomas Jr. missed this game with a sprained ankle (second game missed). He also plays the Colts/Broncos in the fantasy playoffs (bottom 5). Tough matchups, even if he was playing well. Bottom-8 schedule for the rest of the season for WRs. The Jets’ matchup has gotten softer given their defensive trades, but Thomas is now dealing with a low-ankle sprain (potential to miss one game). And the Jaguars play the Colts in Week 17 – sooooo BTJ might be getting Sauce’d no matter what. Except this time it’s in the fantasy football championships.

Brenton Strange is still close to returning. He might be a decent TE stash for those hurting at the position. His 21-day practice window was opened last week.

Schedule

Week 12 at Arizona Cardinals
Week 13 at Tennessee Titans
Week 14 Indianapolis Colts
Week 15 New York Jets
Week 16 at Denver Broncos
Week 17 at the Indianapolis Colts
Week 18 Tennessee Titans

Kansas City Chiefs

Buy Rashee Rice

Travis Kelce caught 9 of 13 targets for 91 yards and a touchdown in Week 11, totaling 66 yards after the catch, his most since Week 7, 2023. On his fourth-quarter touchdown reception, Kelce gained 17 yards after forcing a missed tackle, his most such yards on a play since the start of last season (NGS).

Kingsley Suamataia (concussion) was ruled out for the rest of Sunday’s game against the Broncos. However, Josh Simmons allowed just two pressures on 49 pass blocks in Week 11 after missing several weeks (NGS).

Rashee Rice had five catches mid-way through the second quarter, but he tailed off in the second half. Still 10 targets overall for Rice (also had a drop and a short pass that fell short of the end zone, one of his three RZ targets). Buy low.

Rice is first among all WR in XPPG this season. He is the alpha, and Patrick Mahomes is more than capable of supporting multiple fantasy assets. Kelce would be the “sell” just based on the larger sample size of him playing with Rice, as his targets are usually nuked. TDs will always be part of the equation (Kelce scored in Week 11), but the veteran TE consistently ripping off 20-plus yards over the last three games (5) is not sustainable at his age. In the first half (with Rice seeing the majority of targets), Kelce was sitting on two catches for 14 yards on three targets.

Xavier Worthy drew a long DPI but was otherwise not involved.

Kareem Hunt played 80% of the snaps as the featured back with Isiah Pacheco sidelined (knee). If someone wants to give you something of value for Kareem Hunt, ship him off. However, note that Pacheco is still TBD to practice post-bye.

Schedule

Week 12 Indianapolis Colts
Week 13 at Dallas Cowboys
Week 14 Houston Texans
Week 15 Los Angeles Chargers
Week 16 at Tennessee Titans
Week 17 Denver Broncos
Week 18 at Las Vegas Raiders

Las Vegas Raiders

Hold Ashton Jeanty | Buy Brock Bowers| Hold Tre Tucker

Geno Smith completed 8 of his 14 play-action pass attempts for 132 yards and an interception in Week 11 (9.4 yards per attempt) compared to 19 of 28 attempts for 106 yards (3.8 yards per attempt) and a touchdown on straight dropbacks (Next Gen Stats). The Raiders used play action on 29.3% of their snaps, the 3rd-highest rate by any team this season, yet called runs on just 15.5%, the 2nd-lowest rate by any team this season. No other team to use play action at a rate above 25% had a called run rate below 30%.

Las Vegas also completely abandoned the run game. Just six carries for Ashton Jeanty. He had more targets (8), catching six for 27 yards. Still, it is a high-floor based on usage (73% snap rate), but the ceiling can be limited in tougher matchups, given the state of the Raiders’ offense.

Rest-of-season fantasy outlook: Still a buy/hold — particularly targeting a Week 17 matchup vs. the Giants, which could deliver a title-winning spike week. But in the short term, expectations should be tempered given the depleted O-line. The Raiders face the No. 32-ranked QB schedule per the FantasyPros Strength of Schedule tool, which is brutal news for Geno Smith‘s rest-of-season.

The Raiders – per the SOS tool – have a top playoff schedule for fantasy RBs.Although being fully transparent, the Eagles/Texans aren’t amazing matchups even if they are somewhat plus spots on paper. It’s not perfect, but there are some decent spots for a three-down workhorse like Jeanty. The Broncos, Eagles, and Texans aren’t ideal – even if the Chargers/Giants are good on paper.

Tre Tucker was the Raiders’ WR1 (4-47-1) on eight targets, leading the offense in routes run, whereas Tyler Lockett faded back into oblivion (3-33) on just three targets.

Brock Bowers was solid (7-72) on 12 targets (29% target share/52% air yards share). However, he didn’t score on his lone end-zone target.

The Raiders also lost DT Jonah Laulu to an injury in this game.

Remaining Schedule:

Week 12 Cleveland Browns
Week 13 at Los Angeles Chargers
Week 14 Denver Broncos
Week 15 at Philadelphia Eagles
Week 16 at Houston Texans
Week 17 New York Giants
Week 18 Kansas City Chiefs

FantasyPros Waiver Wire Advice

Los Angeles Chargers

Hold/Sell Keenan Allen & Quentin Johnston | Buy Ladd McConkey

Bruh. Leave it to the Chargers to lay an egg flying West Coast to East Coast for a 1 pm local time kickoff. Bad offensive lines don’t travel.

Justin Herbert completed 10 of 18 passes for 81 yards with an interception in the Chargers’ Week 11 loss to the Jaguars, including just 1-of-3 for zero yards and a pick in the second half before exiting in the fourth quarter. He was pressured on 52.2% of his dropbacks, his third-highest rate of the season. Herbert has now faced pressure on over half of his dropbacks in three games this season, tied for the most such games by any quarterback. Under pressure, he finished 3-of-8 for 12 yards and an interception (Next Gen Stats).

Kimani Vidal also got hurt in this game. Omarion Hampton remains sidelined (not expected to return until after the Chargers’ Week 12 bye). However, it is still not a guarantee. Hold Vidal through the bye week.

Everybody bombed in this game, and it’s just a reminder of how things can crumble for a team behind a patchwork OL. This won’t always be the result, but it’s always a risk that is heightened when the Bolts play on the road.

Herbert’s injury is most concerning, given all the hits he has taken this season. Actually, Herbert didn’t even get hurt (technically, he was just sent to the blue medical tent to be checked for a concussion), which I was actually shocked by. I thought for sure that when I saw Trey Lance enter the game, it was due to an injury. The coaches took him out in a blowout loss, down 35-6.

This performance likely blows things WAY out of proportion for the Chargers’ offense pieces. They still have strong weekly upside. That being said, the only guy I want to buy is Ladd McConkey (No.1 WR coming off a season-low in routes in a blowout loss). The second-year WR leads the NFL in routes run.

I’ve been much more on the sell QJ/Keenan Allen train this season and see no reason to pivot that stance too much. They are playoff stashes/targets. And given they are on bye in Week 12, you can probably add them for free or next to nothing.

Keenan Allen‘s routes bumped back up to 76% after being dangerously low the three prior weeks (sub-61%). As a result, his targets increased again (6, 23% target share). Still, the schedule is the toughest over the next four weeks for WRs and bottom-7 ROS.

Over their next three games, the Chargers have the worst schedule for WRs in the NFL. We know that these Chargers WRs have weekly upside. They play Dallas in Week 16. Even if QJ/Allen rides your bench or is a boom-or-bust option until Week 16, that one game alone could make them worth targeting/rostering. It’s Dallas in Week 16 or bust for the non-McConkey WRs.

Schedule

Week 12 BYE
Week 13 Las Vegas Raiders
Week 14 Philadelphia Eagles
Week 15 at Kansas City Chiefs
Week 16 at Dallas Cowboys
Week 17 Houston Texans
Week 18 at Denver Broncos

Los Angeles Rams

Add Blake Corum & Terrance Ferguson
Hold Kyren Williams | Sell Davante Adams

Kyren Williams rushed for 91 yards and a touchdown across his 12 carries in the Rams’ Week 11 win against the Seahawks. He generated 65 yards after missed tackles and averaged 5.7 yards after contact per carry, both second-most in a game in his career (Next Gen Stats). He also dramatically out-gained Blake Corum (8 for 10 yards), who had two rushes of -3 and -5 yards, but also had 3 GL attempts.

Kyren Williams only had one GL carry. Kyren remains RB1, but Corum will continue to mix in. High-end handcuff option or desperation FLEX. I would make sure to keep Corum on the bench if Williams were on my roster. The schedule is just okay, though, and gets slightly tougher in the fantasy playoffs (DET, SEA) – hence more of a hold than BUY stance.

Tyler Higbee injured his ankle during Sunday’s contest versus the Seahawks, per Stu Jackson of the Rams’ official site. If he is out, we should expect boosted roles for all three of the other LA TEs. The upside play is rookie Terrance Ferguson. Sean McVay loves Ferguson and constantly talks about him as a stud. I’m talking like Kyren Williams levels of love. Ferguson is a talented playmaker. Upside. Bright future, etc.

Colby Parkinson played the most snaps (69%) and scored.

Davante Adams only caught one pass despite eight targets. And of course it was TD. Adams is now ninth in points scored below expectation this season. The TDs have helped him dramatically, but there’s reason to believe he was not at 100% after getting hurt last week. His 51% catch rate is the worst of his NFL career, as his YAC/reception is in the bottom 10.

Adams is definitely starting to show some signs of decline (soon to be 33 years old). I think if you can sell high (emphasis on HIGH) on him after he scored again but remained inefficient, that’s the move to make. But if you can’t get anything in return, I think it’s okay to hold. It’s not as if the TDs will suddenly stop coming. The schedule ROS is bottom-10 for WRs the next three weeks, but average in the postseason.

Safety Quentin Lake (elbow) was ruled out for the rest of Sunday’s contest against the Seahawks. Jared Verse also received medical attention.

Schedule

Week 12 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Week 13 at Carolina Panthers
Week 14 at Arizona Cardinals
Week 15 Detroit Lions
Week 16 at Seattle Seahawks
Week 17 at Atlanta Falcons
Week 18 Arizona Cardinals

Miami Dolphins

Buy Jaylen Waddle | Add Ollie Gordon

De’Von Achane ran outside the tackles on 17 of his 21 carries against the Commanders, gaining 109 yards (47.1% success rate) on outside runs compared to just 11 yards on four inside carries (25.0% success rate). Achane recorded a career-high six explosive runs on outside carries, along with 76 yards after contact, the most allowed to a running back by the Commanders this season (NGS).

Ollie Gordon reclaimed RB2 duties and scored from inside the red zone on one of his nine carries that went for 45 rushing yards. Achane did get banged up in this game, so Achane managers should add Gordon just to be safe.

The Dolphins have allowed an explosive play (10+ rushing yards, 15+ passing yards) on 16.1% of defensive plays this season, the 4th-highest rate in the NFL, and have allowed a 46.5% success rate, the 5th-highest in the NFL. However, in their last three games, the Dolphins have allowed a 42.4% success rate, 12th-lowest in the league, while still surrendering explosive plays at a similar rate (15.3%) via Next Gen Stats.

Jaylen Waddle was disappointing, but this was an outlier performance. He had a bad drop that could have helped him finish with a better stat line. Regardless, he still led the team with seven targets (35% target share and 74% air yards share). Waddle has now topped 82 yards in five of his seven games this season without Hill, averaging over seven targets and 77 yards per contest when Hill plays fewer than 50% of snaps or misses entirely (11-game sample size). He’s cemented himself as an auto-start WR1 with Hill out.

Another W for Miami bodes well for Mike McDaniel’s future as the Dolphins HC for the rest of 2025. The Dolphins’ final seven games feature three at home (one internationally — an ideal setup for fantasy production. With Achane commanding elite usage and Waddle thriving as the WR1 in Hill’s absence, this offense remains a sharp buying opportunity for savvy managers looking ahead to the fantasy playoffs, especially with Waddle coming off a bad game during a bye week.

Schedule:

Week 12 BYE
Week 13 New Orleans Saints
Week 14 at New York Jets
Week 15 at Pittsburgh Steelers
Week 16 Cincinnati Bengals
Week 17 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Week 18 at New England Patriots

Minnesota Vikings

Add JJ McCarthy | Buy Aaron Jones & Justin Jefferson
Sell TJ Hockenson | Hold Jordan Addison

Minnesota has a solid stretch of matchups as the fantasy playoffs come into play for the Vikings. It’s a top-10 schedule rest of season for WRs. For QBs, No. 1 schedule ROS and Weeks 15-17. Add/Hold JJ McCarthy. Or at last have him on your radar after the upcoming back-to-back road matchups.

Justin Jefferson got the targets (9, 28% target share), but no cigar.

Jordan Addison salvaged his day with a TD. The third-year WR finished with 124 incomplete air yards (49% air yards share).

Regarding Addison/Jefferson, you just have to hold or even BUY. Schedule is No. 1 for WRs in the fantasy playoffs. Jefferson is WR7 in XPPFG, but WR19 in actual PPFG. Over the last three weeks, he has been underperforming by nearly 7 PPG. The usage: Targets, air yards, etc, are all there.

We just need McCarthy to play better. And maybe it never happens this season. Very possible. @GB+@SEA next look brutal. But if Jettas can just get it together in Weeks 14-17, it was worth buying low on Jefferson before your trade deadline closed. McCarthy fueled a WR2 overall weekly finish from Jalen Nailor back in Week 10. He’s capable. Addison/Jefferson were low-end fantasy WR2s in Week 11.

Aaron Jones totaled over 20 RB opportunities on a 67% snap rate. But Jordan Mason scored from the 16-yard line. Even so, trade for Jones. Revenge game versus GB up next. The hope is that with McCarthy improving with more experience, the Vikings RBs can take advantage of matchups versus the Ravens, Giants, Bears, and Cowboys – while being easy bench candidates in tougher spots.

It also makes sense for the Vikings to lean more on the run game and put less pressure on their struggling young QB. Also possible they get back center Ryan Kelly soon. He might help McCarthy the most, as it puts less on the QB’s plate if he can call out the line protections, etc.

CB Isaiah Rodgers got hurt in this game. Safety Josh Metellus also got hurt.

Schedule

Week 12 at Green Bay Packers
Week 13 at Seattle Seahawks
Week 14 Washington Commanders
Week 15 at Dallas Cowboys
Week 16 at New York Giants
Week 17 Detroit Lions
Week 18 Green Bay Packers

New England Patriots

Hold TreVeyon Henderson | Buy Hunter Henry & Stefon Diggs

Nearly all of Drake Maye‘s production through the air against the Jets came on dropbacks over 2.5 seconds, including 237 of his 281 passing yards and his lone touchdown. Despite Maye holding for longer than 2.5 seconds on a season-high 73.5% of his dropbacks, he was sacked only once on the night. Maye was at his best targeting receivers on in-breaking routes, finishing 12 of 16 for 158 yards (Next Gen Stats).

Stefon Diggs is the alpha. He caught 9 of his 11 targets for 105 yards in the Patriots’ TNF win over the Jets. Against zone coverage, Diggs was targeted nine times, catching eight for 100 yards. Most of Diggs’ production came on passes thrown under 10 air yards, earning seven receptions on eight targets for 62 yards (Next Gen Stats). There was a usage change here with Diggs as well that shouldn’t go unnoticed. Season high snaps (71%) and route participation (88%). If Diggs is truly becoming an every-down WR…he can challenge for fantasy WR1 status ROS. Buy high.

TreVeyon Henderson. HOLD THE LINE. Even if Rhamondre Stevenson does return, I think it’s clear who the No. 1 is. Also, the schedule ROS suggests both guys can still be usable pieces even if it’s not Henderson seeing 90% of the snaps.

For the fantasy playoffs, the Pats have Bills/Ravens/Jets (with Bengals and Giants Weeks 12-13). The Patriots have the 1 schedule ROS for RBs. Just note the Week 14 bye week.

Henderson gained more rushing yards after contact (70) than he did total on the ground (62) in a three-touchdown performance against the Jets. Henderson forced a career-high nine missed tackles across 24 touches (19 rushing, five receptions). Henderson, who played on 56 of 62 snaps (90.3%), became the first Patriots running back to play over 90% of snaps in a game since Ezekiel Elliott in Week 18, 2023 (NGS).

Hunter Henry was so close to scoring in the red zone, but Maye’s pass got tipped at the line of scrimmage before the Pats TE could snag it in the end zone. Pain. However, we will not tilt because the Bengals are next.

Kyle Williams is playing ahead of DeMario Douglas.

The biggest injury was to Patriots DT Milton Williams. If he misses games, the Pats’ run defense won’t be nearly as elite as it has been for most of the 2025 season.

Schedule

Week 12 at Cincinnati Bengals
Week 13 New York Giants
Week 14 BYE
Week 15 Buffalo Bills
Week 16 at Baltimore Ravens
Week 17 at New York Jets
Week 18 Miami Dolphins

New Orleans Saints

Sell Alvin Kamara | Add Devin Neal & Devaughn Vele & Saints DST & Taysom Hill

Tyler Shough completed 19 of 27 passes for 282 yards and two touchdowns in the Saints’ Week 10 win over the Panthers. Much of his production was directed outside the numbers, as he finished 11 of 16 for 202 yards and both of his TDs on such attempts. His yardage total outside the numbers was the 2nd-most by a Saints quarterback in the last 8 seasons and most by any rookie in 2025. Shough completed 6 of 10 downfield attempts of 10+ air yards for 191 yards and two touchdowns after having produced just 149 yards and an interception on his 18 downfield attempts entering Week 10 (Next Gen Stats).

Chris Olave erupted for five receptions on eight targets for 104 yards and a 62-yard touchdown, once again proving he’s the heartbeat of the Saints’ aerial attack.

Juwan Johnson caught all four of his targets for 92 yards and a touchdown in the Saints’ Week 10 win, generating all of his production on 13 routes aligned in the slot. Johnson averaged 6.9 yards of separation on his targets, the 3rd-most in a game in his career, and generated a career-high 51 yards after the catch (Next Gen Stats).

Alvin Kamara totaled 25 touches for over 100 yards (64% snaps). 22 carries for 83 yards (3.8 YPC) and catching three passes for 32 yards, totaling 115 yards from scrimmage. Even so…he couldn’t crack fantasy RB1 status.

Devin Neal provided a spark off the bench with four carries for 22 yards (5.5 YPC) and three catches for 9 yards, showing burst and balance on limited touches. He continues to serve as a valuable complement to Kamara, especially when spelling him on passing downs or outside runs. Not good for Kamara that the rookie tied him in targets despite running half the routes.

Taysom Hill was also involved. Hill (7 carries, 20 yards on a 37% snap rate) was involved situationally. This backfield still features three different ball carriers. And Kamara is still PFF’s lowest graded RB. Sell. This could be the last time the Saints win this season. However, I will admit… a glimmer of light might be the ROS schedule. Decent overall, and top 10 for RBs in the playoffs: Jets/Titans Weeks 16-17. Hence, stash/add Neal in case Kamara is completely checked out by then.

The Saints have the No. 1 schedule ROS for RBs.

Also, their DST schedule is fantastic. Falcons, Dolphins, Bucs, Panthers, Jets, Titans, etc.

And to be honest, their real-life defense isn’t even that bad. Eleventh in fewest yards allowed per game (under 200 passing yards per game). Nineteenth in total defensive DVOA.

Devaughn Vele ran a route on 100% of the dropbacks. 50 incomplete air yards. His playing time increased substantially without Rashid Shaheed.

After my first run of Week 12 rankings…I think Taysom Hill might be an option this week. The Saints are the favorites at home versus the Falcons. Hill is coming off a 9-touch opportunity game (7 rushes, 1 target and 1 pass attempt).

Schedule

Week 12 Atlanta Falcons
Week 13 at Miami Dolphins
Week 14 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Week 15 Carolina Panthers
Week 16 New York Jets
Week 17 at Tennessee Titans
Week 18 at Atlanta Falcons

New York Giants

Add Theo Johnson & Devin SingletaryIsaiah Hodgins
Sell Tyrone Tracy Jr. | Buy Wan’Dale Robinson

Jameis Winston faced pressure on 48.4% of his dropbacks in Week 11, with the Packers’ defense pressuring at their fastest mark this season (2.42 seconds). Despite the pressure, Winston completed 10 of 13 attempts for 124 yards when under duress, compared to just 9 of 16 for 77 yards and an interception without pressure.

Isaiah Hodgins was one of Winston’s primary targets, catching 5 of 6 targets for 57 yards in his return to the Giants (21% target share on an 81% routes run rate) according to Next Gen Stats. Yes, this is the same Hodgins who broke out with the Giants back in 2022-2023 with Daniel Jones. He signed with the Giants from the Steelers’ practice squad on Thursday.

Tyrone Tracy Jr. and Devin Singletary combined for 132 rushing yards and two touchdowns, running inside the tackles on 68.6% of attempts. Tracy played 52% of the snaps to Singletary’s 48%. The duo averaged 2.4 yards before contact on inside runs and were hit behind the line of scrimmage on just 4.2% of those attempts. Giants’ rushers averaged only 0.7 yards before contact and were tackled behind the line of scrimmage on 47.9% of their inside rushing attempts from Weeks 1-10 (Next Gen Stats).

Singletary’s RZ role (two TDs and almost three on six GL carries and 9 RZ attempts) and role overall did not diminish even though HC Brian Daboll was no longer with the team. Winston scored the other rushing TD on a sneak. Alas, no bump to Tracy. So if you can sell high to an RB-needy team, I would.

The schedule does Tracy no favors, as the schedule is the toughest according to the FP SOS tool (especially over the next 2 weeks before a Week 14 bye week). You might be able to ship Tracy off to an RB-needy roster. He is coming off a 23-touch game with 139 yards from scrimmage. Back-to-back weeks with 70-plus rushing yards

Wan’Dale Robinson was quiet but led with nine targets (31% target share and air yards share). Presuming Jaxson Dart returns (or even if he doesn’t), I’d be scooping up Wan’Dale for cheap. At least it’s just hopefully one week for Dart, as the schedule is great for fantasy QBs (particularly Weeks 15-17).

Jalin Hyatt was not unlocked by Winston. However, he did have a deep target and saw the RZ target that was picked by GB. He ran a route on 84% of the dropbacks.

CB Paulson Adebo was ruled out of this game early in the first quarter after it appeared that he was going to play.

Overall, no massive usage shifts -aside from Hodgkins – in Mike Kafka’s first game as Giants interim HC.

Schedule

Week 12 at Detroit Lions
Week 13 at New England Patriots
Week 14 BYE
Week 15 Washington Commanders
Week 16 Minnesota Vikings
Week 17 at Las Vegas Raiders
Week 18 Dallas Cowboys

New York Jets

Sell Breece Hall | Add John Metchie

Mason Taylor split work with Jeremy Ruckert. The rookie TE’s saving grace was that he would be the clear-cut No. 1 tight end in usage for New York. Not the case in Week 11. Taylor ran a route on just 51% of the dropbacks (season-low). BOO.

Adonai Mitchell was the target share leader at 22% (and was getting open), but my man couldn’t squeeze the football. Instead, John Metchie stole the spotlight as the other WR the Jets traded for. Caught all three of his targets and scored. And more importantly, he caught the attention of his HC, who said post-game that Metchie is a guy they need to get the ball to with Garrett Wilson out for the next several weeks.

There is no timetable for Wilson’s return, but the Jets HC says he expects him to play again in 2025. Still, I wouldn’t be optimistic about a return in a lost season for New York. Either way, Mitchell/Metchie look like the top two WRs for New York the rest of the way. Great schedule for WRs ROS. Worth the add for the former second-round pick from Alabama.

Aaron Glenn also pointed out that Breece Hall (72% snap share) was not seeing enough targets, so that should change in the upcoming weeks. High touch floor is there every week with Hall (16 touches in Week 11), but the lack of TDs limits the ceiling unless he rips off an explosive play. The schedule is tough. Weeks 15-16 are both on the road, and Week 17 is the Pats. Love Hall, but there’s a lot of risk being too heavily invested in the Jets in the fantasy postseason – I think you’ve got to sell if you still can to a RB-needy team.

News broke Monday that Tyrod Taylor would start. Add him in Superflex formats, as the Jets have the No. 1 schedule in fantasy postseason for QBs.

Schedule

Week 12 at Baltimore Ravens
Week 13 Atlanta Falcons
Week 14 Miami Dolphins
Week 15 at Jacksonville Jaguars
Week 16 at New Orleans Saints
Week 17 New England Patriots
Week 18 at Buffalo Bills

Philadelphia Eagles

Sell A.J. Brown| Buy DeVonta Smith & Dallas Goedert

Stud Eagles tackle Lane Johnson got hurt for the second straight game.

This is very bad for the Eagles’ offense. As I wrote out last week, from last season, according to Next Gen Stats, the Eagles have struggled in the passing game without Lane Johnson since Jalen Hurts became the starting QB in 2021. The Eagles’ 7.8 yards per attempt with Lane on the field would rank 2nd in the league during that span; however, their 6.7 mark without Lane would be the 9th-lowest in the league. Additionally, the team’s pressure rate jumped from the 13th-lowest in the league with Lane (33.5%) to the highest rate allowed without him (42.3%).

A.J. Brown faced off against Rock Ya-Sin on 19 of his 28 routes in Week 11, including 14 man coverage matchups, with 8 of his 11 targets coming against Ya-Sin. In just his third start this season, Ya-Sin played tight-man coverage against Brown, allowing four receptions for 39 yards and forcing five tight-window targets. On average, Ya-Sin spent 1.02 seconds of each matchup with Brown within a yard of Brown.

Ya-Sin’s 19.4 seconds in tight coverage against Brown is the 2nd-most Brown has faced against a cornerback in a game in his career. Brown drew a defensive pass interference penalty on Ya-Sin on 3rd & 8 with 1:51 remaining in the fourth quarter, effectively ending the game (Next Gen Stats). This is your last chance to sell AJB. He had 13 targets (39% target share and 3 RZ targets) in this game and still failed to go over 50 receiving yards. If this were the “squeaky wheel” game, consider me very unimpressed. Sell high with Dallas up next. You’ll get someone to bite.

DeVonta Smith has been better than AJB this season. Even after a one catch performance on SNF, Smith still commanded 83 incomplete air yards. He is the WR23 in XPPG (Brown 26th).

And what I said last week remains true for these Eagles WRs. Their inconsistent passing game creates a shaky floor for at least one of these three pass-catchers every week. These dud games are always going to be possible in the current way the Eagles offense is constructed. Once they boom, I think you should flip for a high ROI if possible.

This season, Smith is PFF’s 21st-highest graded WR. Brown is 31st. Through nine games together, they have nearly identical target shares, with Brown taking back over after SNF. However, Smith has been much more efficient. Has more yards/catches by a substantial margin. Smith is averaging 2.06 yards per route. Career high. AJB is averaging a career-low 1.59 yards per route run. I always talk about No. 2 WRs being undervalued…and Smith feels like that guy because of AJB’s alpha-ness. But given the way AJB has carried himself this season and underperformed, I think Smith finishes this season as the Eagles’ No. 1 WR. The schedule has plus spots – Tied for easiest schedule ROS for WRs – so it makes Brown a tricky guy to sell. Still, the up-and-down performances, regardless of matchups, can be brutal. Rather buy into Smith taking OFF with a favorable schedule than AJB.

Or buy Dallas Goedert – the Eagles TE has the best SOS rest of the season for TEs.

The Eagles’ offense overall could be in big trouble with Lane Johnson. In the second half, they scored one FG on five possessions. They punted three times in 5 or fewer plays, while turning it over on downs in their last real possession before kneel-downs ended the last drive.

Saqoun Barkley played pretty well but fell short in the fantasy box score. 26 carries for 83 yards. 28 total opportunities. He got ruled down at the one and lost a TD to Jalen Hurts. Hurts also missed him on a deep route down the sideline. Still, he hasn’t been as good as last season, and the Johnson injury causes more concerns. At least getting back Cam Jurgens helped against the Lions.

Schedule

Week 12 at Dallas Cowboys
Week 13 Chicago Bears
Week 14 at Los Angeles Chargers
Week 15 Las Vegas Raiders
Week 16 at Washington Commanders
Week 17 at Buffalo Bills
Week 18 Washington Commanders

FantasyPros Fantasy Football Start-Sit Assistant

Pittsburgh Steelers

Sell Jaylen Warren

Before leaving the game with a hand injury, Aaron Rodgers was averaging the longest time to throw (3.49 seconds) of any game since 2016 (min. 10 attempts). Rodgers completed 8 of 13 passes of longer than 2.5 seconds to throw for 108 yards and a touchdown (Next Gen Stats).

Mason Rudolph became just the third quarterback (min. 10 attempts) this season to complete every one of his passes under 10 air yards, going 11 for 11 with 110 yards and a touchdown on such throws. Despite the short passing game, Rudolph threw 13 of his 16 passes over 2.5 seconds, completing 9 of 13 for 116 yards. Rodgers is trying to play next week despite his left wrist injury, according to the latest reports. So truly TBD on his status, but it seems like he avoided a long-term injury.

DK Metcalf had a 30-yard pass negated by an OPI call on Metcalf. Eight targets total (second-highest on the year), but just five (tied for highest) for 49 yards (26% target share and 69% air yards share). It’s easy to be frustrated with DK Metcalf‘s box scores lately, but the underlying metrics still scream buy-low. He commanded a high target share again and saw five targets from Rudolph. Aaron Rodgers missed him on a corner route that could have been a chunk gain.

He is third in points under expectation in the last three games (-16.1). Through Weeks 15-17 (Fantasy Playoffs): Dolphins, Lions, Browns — the No. 2 WR schedule per FantasyPros’ SOS tool. No. 1 Schedule overall for fantasy WRs. Metcalf’s peripherals suggest he’s still a high-end WR2 with WR1 upside once we get some positive regression based on his usage.

With managers likely spooked by the Rodgers injury on his non-throwing wrist, it’s prime time to buy low. However, I do want to recognize that this has to be a buy-low. Rodgers has played a part in Mectalf’s production dip over the last couple of weeks. As noted by Jack Sperry on X, Rodgers’ numbers have declined over the last three weeks ever since he hurt his finger on his throwing hand in pregame warmups before the Colts matchup in Week 9. That being said, a healthy Rudolph could provide Metcalf a boost.

Jaylen Warren also got hurt in this contest, which led to an increase in usage for Kenneth Gainwell (60% snap rate). Warren only played one snap after suffering an ankle injury in the third quarter. Mike Tomlin said post-game that he thought he would be able to return, so it might not be super severe. Meanwhile, Gainwell ate in the passing game. Mason Rudolph fed him underneath targets, and he scored twice (once from each QB).

Kaleb Johnson came in right after Warren got hurt, but the RZ touches went to Gainwell shortly after. Gainwell drew the direct GL carries. The schedule gets easy again (with some plus spots in the fantasy playoffs). The next three games are the No. 1 schedule for RBs. Admittedly, the playoffs aren’t nearly as good (bottom-of-the-barrel), so Warren was a better win-now target than a postseason target in my opinion.

The injury complicates things. If Warren were to miss more time, this may not be a full Gainwell takeover anymore. Johnson’s early-down usage in Week 10 and Week 11 makes this a potential committee split moving forward. Given Warren’s recent injury, I think it’s worth it to add Johnson to the bench. And Warren might be a solid sell low, given his injury and tougher schedule in the playoffs.

Brandin Echols (-9.8) despite being hurt twice and Kyle Dugger (-6.5) combined to allow a target EPA of -16.3, with both contributing to a defensive touchdown in the Steelers’ Week 12 win over the Bengals. Echols allowed just 9 yards (2 catches) on four targets in coverage, forcing a fumble that James Pierre returned for a touchdown. Kyle Dugger returned a Joe Flacco pass for a touchdown, increasing the Steelers’ win probability by 25.4% on the play (Next Gen Stats).

Darnell Washington was the leading receiver among TEs with 4-67 on five targets. However, just two targets from Rudolph. Still led the Steelers TEs with a 71% snap rate (season-high) with 58 yards after the catch.

Schedule

Week 12 at Chicago Bears
Week 13 Buffalo Bills
Week 14 at Baltimore Ravens
Week 15 Miami Dolphins
Week 16 at Detroit Lions
Week 17 at Cleveland Browns
Week 18 Baltimore Ravens

San Francisco 49ers

Add Brock Purdy, Brian Robinson Jr., & 49ers DST
Buy Ricky Pearsall

In his first game back as a starter, Brock Purdy averaged a 3.33-second time to throw in Week 11 against the Cardinals, his 4th-longest in his career. On passes with over a 2.5-second time to throw, Purdy completed 15 of 22 passes for 161 yards and all 3 of his touchdowns. Despite his long time to throw, Purdy faced just a 25.0% pressure rate, tied for the 4th-lowest rate in his career (Next Gen Stats). The 49ers have the No.1 schedule in the fantasy playoffs for QBs

George Kittle caught all 6 of his targets for 67 yards and two touchdowns in Week 11 against the Cardinals, with both of his touchdowns coming on downfield throws over 10 air yards. It was Kittle’s second game of his career with multiple TD receptions on targets over 10 air yards (3 in Week 5, 2023 vs DAL) according to Next Gen Stats.

I still think Christian McCaffrey is not “untouchable” as a trade asset due to his injury history, but we can never be sure when/if that will happen. I’d just be 100% going after Brian Robinson Jr. because his usage in the last few weeks showcases his upside. B-Rob has scored in two of the last three weeks on the ground with five total RZ carries to CMC’s 10. Also noteworthy is that he was only out-touched by CMC 7-to-3 in the first half of Week 11. B-Rob is getting more involved in an attempt to keep Christian McCaffrey upright. Don’t hate it. I get it if you just want to ride it out with CMC. I’m just saying that if you can get a really strong return…I’d be willing to part ways with CMC. Again, even in his legendary 2023 season, he got hurt in Week 17.

Jauan Jennings remained the most involved WR, even though Ricky Pearsall made his return. In the last five games, Jennings is the WR target leader for the 49ers. He has a real connection with Purdy, and every passing day is seemingly improving his health. He’s “due” to produce, ranking 14th in xPPG, scored under expectation. Slick Rick was not involved with just one catch for zero yards on three targets. He had a target from the 4-yard line, but couldn’t score. However, the snaps were there at 75% – tied with Jennings for the most among SF WRs. Players coming off injuries always carry high boom-or-bust profiles. At least Pearsall proved he is over his injury, and therefore, that makes him a screaming buy-low after a poor statistical showing. The playoff schedule for the 49ers is fantastic – so I’d be trying to get at least one Niner on my bench for the playoff run, whether that be Purdy or one of these WR pieces.

The Colts’ Week 16 matchup loses some luster with Sauce Gardner joining their secondary.

Add 49ers DST. Great schedule for ROS.

Also, Brandon Aiyuk will not see his 21-day practice window opened.

Schedule

Week 12 Carolina Panthers
Week 13 at Cleveland Browns
Week 14 BYE
Week 15 Tennessee Titans
Week 16 at Indianapolis Colts
Week 17 Chicago Bears
Week 18 Seattle Seahawks

Seattle Seahawks

Buy Rashid Shaheed | Add AJ Barner | Hold/Buy Kenneth Walker

In the Seahawks’ Week 11 loss to the Rams, quarterback Sam Darnold finished with zero touchdowns and four interceptions for the third time in his career (also Week 7, 2019, and Week 9, 2018). Darnold is the only quarterback to have multiple games of zero touchdowns and four-plus interceptions since entering the NFL in 2018. There have been only 10 other instances across the league during that span. Darnold completed 29 of 44 attempts for 279 yards, but threw four interceptions in the Seahawks’ loss to the Rams. All four of Darnold’s interceptions came while he stood in the pocket with a time to throw over 2.5 seconds, completing only 9 of 18 such throws for 68 yards. On throws over 10 air yards, Darnold threw just three completions on 12 attempts for 61 yards and three of his four interceptions. He was also 6 of 13 for 43 yards and two interceptions under pressure (13 pressures, zero sacks) according to Next Gen Stats.

OL Grey Zabel suffered a knee injury in Sunday’s 21-19 loss to the Rams, John Boyle of the Seahawks’ official site reports. This is the second OL injury Seattle has had in the last two weeks. Initial reports on Zabel’s knee have been positive.

Kenneth Walker had another 15-yard TD called back on holding. He led the backfield with 51% of the snaps to Zach Charbonnet‘s 43%. Out-touched him 19-13. However, it was 8-6 in the first half in favor of Charbs. Don’t think anything has really changed how we view this split backfield. KW3 just ripped off more explosive runs (18, 23, and 25 yards) as we know he is capable of doing. He also had a GL carry, but so did Charbonnet. Walker has 13-plus opportunities in four straight games to Charbonnet’s three.

But I think it’s worth mentioning the coachspeak here (S/O Coachspeakindex) from Mike Macdonald. Point blank: “I think Ken [Walker] is showing he is deserving of some more opportunities.” This is definitely new. Buy Walker. Again, worst case, he just remains a fantasy RB2, but now there’s an upside case. And versus Tennessee? Cooking with gas. Also, have to mention this Reddit comment on the same post from Macdonald.

.SerbTex: “Until he gets stopped at the 1 yard line… then it’s Charbonnet time.” LOL.

Rashid Shaheed only played 54% of the snaps while running a route on 73% of the dropbacks. He had three targets of 10-plus air yards and an end-zone target, but was lackluster in the final box score—56 incomplete air yards. Usage is still trending in the right direction for Shaheed. Buy low.

AJ Barner had a monster game: 10 catches for 70 yards on 11 targets. Played 87% of the snaps and saw a season-high in route participation (80%). Add him if you are hurting at tight end. He is PFF’s 11th-highest graded tight end this season – and has tush push goal-line TD appeal.

Schedule

Week 12 at Tennessee Titans
Week 13 Minnesota Vikings
Week 14 at Atlanta Falcons
Week 15 Indianapolis Colts
Week 16 Los Angeles Rams
Week 17 at Carolina Panthers
Week 18 at the San Francisco 49ers

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Add Sean Tucker | Sell Rachaad White | Buy Bucky Irving & Emeka Egbuka

The Buccaneers recorded a season-high 202 rushing yards and three rushing touchdowns against the Bills in Week 11, generating five explosive runs and 134 yards after contact, with contributions from Baker Mayfield (34), Sean Tucker (52), and Rachaad White (41).

Entering the late Sunday window, the Bills have allowed 153.0 rushing yards per game (3rd-most) and a league-high 17 rushing touchdowns (NGS). Sean Tucker rushed for 106 yards and 2 touchdowns on 19 carries against the Bills, with the majority of his production coming outside the tackles (9 carries, 80 yards, 2 TDs) via Next Gen Stats. Tucker generated two explosive runs on outside carries while also contributing in the passing game, catching both of his targets for 34 yards and a touchdown.

I wish I had talked more about Tucker in this matchup, given how great it was, and how he is seeing more work in the Bucs’ backfield. I used it more as a reason to be low on White…and not raise Tucker up enough. It’s now been three weeks in a row that Tucker has seized a larger role in the Bucs’ backfield. Womp.

Still, Bucky Irving is expected to return soon (coaches expecting him to do more in practice this week), but I highly doubt we will see him operate at an extreme bell cow level like we saw before his injury, in case Irving managers get extremely spooked by Tucker’s emergence. It might impact White more than Irving potentially. Glad I listed White as a sell last week.

They have constantly talked about the “hot hand,” so if Bucky Irving gets going… he could really get going and be a league-winner two years in a row. That being said… If he comes back less than 100% and doesn’t impress, it’s not ideal. Truly a home-run swing to trade for Bucky with him close to returning. Savvy managers with a strong record should be looking to buy Buccaneers on the injury discount. Weeks 16-17: Panthers/Dolphins. ROS? Top-10 schedule for WRs, RBs, and QBs. After the Rams matchup in Week 12, it’s nothing but smooth sailing for Irving after just four games played so far in 2025. Guy has fresh legs.

Tampa Bay has the Top-2 schedule in fantasy playoffs for QBs.

Also, add the Bucs DST. Top-4 schedule ROS and in the playoffs. At least after they face the Rams.

Cade Otton disappointed – but it was a tougher matchup versus Buffalo. Not enough volume.

Emeka Egbuka still saw nine targets (32% target share). Not concerned. Buy low while everybody is trying to parse the Buccaneers’ backfield.

The Bucs lost CB Jamel Dean and S Tykee Smith (he did return).

Schedule

Week 12 at Los Angeles Rams
Week 13 Arizona Cardinals
Week 14 New Orleans Saints
Week 15 Atlanta Falcons
Week 16 at Carolina Panthers
Week 17 at Miami Dolphins
Week 18 Carolina Panthers

Tennessee Titans

Hold Tyjae Spears | Sell Tony Pollard | Add Elic Ayomanor

Cam Ward recorded an average time to throw of 2.60 seconds against the Texans, the fastest of his career. Through the first 10 weeks of the season, Ward averaged 2.97 seconds per throw, 5th-longest in the NFL. Ward was at his best on quick throws in Week 11, completing 15 of his 21 such attempts for 113 yards and a touchdown. As a result of his quick time to throw, Ward was pressured on just 25.6% of his dropbacks, the 2nd-lowest rate he’s faced this season (Next Gen Stats).

Chimere Dike cleared concussion protocol but sustained a chest contusion. Interim head coach Mike McCoy noted after Sunday’s 16-13 loss to the Texans that Calvin Ridley is out for the season with a broken fibula.

Tyjae Spears led the backfield (53% snaps) and the team in catches (5). Still a split backfield on a bad offense. ROS, I think a healthy Spears should be the preferred Titans RB ROS. Tony Pollard can be dropped in shallower formats. He is PFF’s third-lowest graded RB this season.

Titans are tied with the Giants for the worst schedule for RBs for the rest of the season.

Van Jefferson was the target leader (8), route leader (93%), and scored. Elic Ayomanor had six targets with 68 incomplete air yards. Ayomanor came out of the game with a hamstring injury.

Rookie TE Gunnar Helm was more involved with 4-29 on five targets.

WR Mason Kinsey also had two chances for big plays.

With all three of the top WRs hurt, expect the Titans to trot out a potential combination of Van Jefferson and Mason Kinsey and to go along with the two TEs. Maybe former Miami star WR, Xavier Restrepo, gets the nod from the practice squad if the other rookie WRs can’t go.

Schedule

Week 12 Seattle Seahawks
Week 13 Jacksonville Jaguars
Week 14 at Cleveland Browns
Week 15 at San Francisco 49ers
Week 16 Kansas City Chiefs
Week 17 New Orleans Saints
Week 18 at Jacksonville Jaguars

Washington Commanders

Add Chris Rodriguez Jr. | Hold Jacory Croskey-Merritt | Sell Deebo Samuel & Zach Ertz

Chris Rodriguez Jr. recorded a season-high 79 rushing yards on 15 carries against the Dolphins in Week 11. His +25 rushing yards over expected were his 2nd-most in a game this season. Rodriguez recorded three explosive runs and forced four missed tackles on his rushes against the Dolphins, both his 2nd-most in his career. Rodriguez was most successful against Miami’s stacked box (8+ defenders), gaining 56 yards (+18 RYOE) and all three of his explosive runs on such carries (NGS).

C-Rod started and played 45% of the snaps. He looked good, and there’s no reason to think he will lose out on the RB1 role post-bye week. Still, this was a prime matchup, and C-Rod still ceded touches to Jacory Croskey-Merritt and Jeremy McNichols. However, the Commanders still have a decent schedule for the rest of the season for RBs. Specifically in the fantasy playoffs, the Giants/Cowboys is very juicy. Add C-Rod and hold JCM in case the backfield changes hands again. If he starts and bombs versus Denver…Bill could take back the RB1 role. Not like anybody has a vice grip on the starting gig. C-Rod is a bottom-10-graded RB this season.

Deebo Samuel caught seven of his eight targets for 74 yards and a touchdown in Week 11. Six of Samuel’s seven receptions came against zone coverage, accounting for 77 yards and a touchdown. Samuel generated 57 yards after the catch, tying his season high, with 22 of those yards coming on a screen pass touchdown early in the third quarter.

Again…last chance to sell high on Deebo. Samuel’s tendencies to fall off in the second halves of seasons – especially in what looks like a lost year for Washington – are concerning. Samuel has finished outside the top-45 fantasy WRs in three of his last five games…despite averaging over six targets/game. Had it not been for the 28-yard reception late, Samuel would have finished under 50 yards for the fourth time in five weeks. He is averaging just 5.6 YAC/reception this season, more than 3 yards worse than his career average (9.0).

Terry McLaurin may also return after the bye week. And the Commanders also have the single-worst schedule for WRs in the games after the bye week.

Without his star quarterback, Zach Ertz has been a total non-factor this season when Marcus Mariota has been the starting QB. 4 catches for 42 yards. The Commanders also have the worst TE schedule ROS.

Jaylin Lane was forced out of Sunday’s game against the Dolphins in Madrid during the third quarter due to a hip injury and is listed as questionable to return. Samuel Cosmi also got banged up in this international contest.

Schedule

Week 12 BYE
Week 13 Denver Broncos
Week 14 at Minnesota Vikings
Week 15 at New York Giants
Week 16 Philadelphia Eagles
Week 17 Dallas Cowboys
Week 18 at Philadelphia Eagles

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