Welcome to Week 11, friends. As always, we’re here to provide you with some fantasy football Quick Grades (or Start/Sit Grades, if you prefer) for the week.
We tapped into our consensus projections and rankings and Derek Brown’s weekly Primer to generate this week’s Quick Grades. See below for the results and accompanying notes.
- Week 11 Rankings with Fitz
- Weekly Fantasy Football Expert Rankings
- Fantasy Football Start/Sit Advice
- Fantasy Football Trade Tools
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Week 11 Quarterback Start/Sit Grades
Rank | Grade | Name | Team | Week 11 |
1 | A+ | Jalen Hurts | PHI | WAS |
2 | A | Lamar Jackson | BAL | PIT |
3 | A | Josh Allen | BUF | KC |
4 | A | Brock Purdy | SF | SEA |
5 | A | Jayden Daniels | WAS | PHI |
6 | A | Joe Burrow | CIN | LAC |
7 | B+ | Justin Herbert | LAC | CIN |
8 | B | Bo Nix | DEN | ATL |
9 | B | Jordan Love | GB | CHI |
10 | B- | Patrick Mahomes II | KC | BUF |
11 | B- | Jared Goff | DET | JAC |
12 | C+ | Tua Tagovailoa | MIA | LV |
13 | C+ | Russell Wilson | PIT | BAL |
14 | C+ | Sam Darnold | MIN | TEN |
15 | C | C.J. Stroud | HOU | DAL |
16 | C | Jameis Winston | CLE | NO |
17 | C- | Geno Smith | SEA | SF |
18 | C- | Matthew Stafford | LAR | NE |
19 | C- | Drake Maye | NE | LAR |
20 | D+ | Anthony Richardson | IND | NYJ |
21 | D | Aaron Rodgers | NYJ | IND |
22 | D | Kirk Cousins | ATL | DEN |
23 | F | Derek Carr | NO | CLE |
24 | F | Caleb Williams | CHI | GB |
25 | F | Mac Jones | JAC | DET |
26 | F | Will Levis | TEN | MIN |
27 | F | Gardner Minshew II | LV | MIA |
28 | F | Cooper Rush | DAL | HOU |
29 | F | Trey Lance | DAL | HOU |
30 | F | Joe Flacco | IND | NYJ |
31 | F | Mason Rudolph | TEN | MIN |
Love is the QB9 in fantasy points per game. He has been a QB1 in weekly scoring in four of his seven games this season and has thrown for multiple touchdowns in five games. Among 38 qualifying quarterbacks, Love is 11th in yards per attempt, 13th in CPOE, and 12th in fantasy points per dropback. Since Week 5, Chicago has been a polarizing pass defense that has held quarterbacks to the third-fewest passing touchdowns and the ninth-lowest passer rating while also giving up the 14th-highest yards per attempt and the 11th-highest CPOE. Love has overcome tough matchups this season to post QB1 outings (MIN, HOU), so I wouldn’t bet against him doing it again against a division rival.
Williams has reached a point where it’s not insane to consider dropping him in redraft. Since Week 8, he hasn’t finished higher than QB27 in weekly scoring. Across his last three games, among 38 qualifying quarterbacks, he ranks 37th in yards per attempt, 36th in passer rating, 35th in CPOE, and has the eighth-highest off-target rate. In this stretch, he hasn’t thrown for a single touchdown. He faces a Green Bay pass defense that has come alive. Since Week 5, they have held quarterbacks in check with the ninth-lowest yards per attempt, the fifth-fewest passing touchdowns, and the fourth-lowest CPOE allowed.
Stafford is the QB27 in fantasy with only one QB1 performance this season. Among 38 qualifying quarterbacks, he is 21st in yards per attempt, 22nd in passer rating, 25th in CPOE, and 33rd in fantasy points per dropback. Sadly, Stafford only has two games this season where he has tossed for multiple touchdowns. He could add another notch in that belt this week, though. New England has been a pass defense to exploit this season if you can stay away from Christian Gonzalez. They have allowed the 12th-highest yards per attempt, the seventh-highest success rate per dropback, and the fifth-highest EPA per dropback. Don’t be surprised if Stafford is a low-end QB1 this week.
Maye has finished as a QB1 in half of his starts this season. In his four full starts, he has averaged five carries and 43.8 rushing yards. The rushing equity for Maye has helped raise his weekly floor and ceiling. As a passer, Maye has been up and down this season. Among 38 qualifying quarterbacks, he is 28th in yards per attempt, 23rd in CPOE, and 26th in highly accurate throw rate. Maye could be a QB1 again this week if the Patriots can keep the pocket clean, which will be easier said than done. The Rams have an exploitable pass defense, allowing the eighth-highest passing yards per game, the eighth-highest passer rating, and the second-highest yards per attempt. The fly in the ointment is that they are also seventh in pressure rate and second in quarterback hurry rate. Maye has seen the eighth-highest pressure rate this season (minimum 100 dropbacks).
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Week 11 Wide Receiver Start/Sit Grades
Rank | Grade | Name | Team | Week 11 |
1 | A+ | Ja’Marr Chase | CIN | LAC |
2 | A+ | A.J. Brown | PHI | WAS |
3 | A+ | Justin Jefferson | MIN | TEN |
4 | A+ | Amon-Ra St. Brown | DET | JAC |
5 | A+ | Puka Nacua | LAR | NE |
6 | A+ | Tyreek Hill | MIA | LV |
7 | A | Nico Collins | HOU | DAL |
8 | A | Deebo Samuel Sr. | SF | SEA |
9 | A | George Pickens | PIT | BAL |
10 | A | Cooper Kupp | LAR | NE |
11 | A | Garrett Wilson | NYJ | IND |
12 | A | Terry McLaurin | WAS | PHI |
13 | A | DK Metcalf | SEA | SF |
14 | A | Davante Adams | NYJ | IND |
15 | A | Drake London | ATL | DEN |
16 | A- | Jayden Reed | GB | CHI |
17 | A- | CeeDee Lamb | DAL | HOU |
18 | A- | Zay Flowers | BAL | PIT |
19 | A- | Calvin Ridley | TEN | MIN |
20 | B+ | Courtland Sutton | DEN | ATL |
21 | B+ | Cedric Tillman | CLE | NO |
22 | B+ | DeAndre Hopkins | KC | BUF |
23 | B | DeVonta Smith | PHI | WAS |
24 | B | Jauan Jennings | SF | SEA |
25 | B | Tank Dell | HOU | DAL |
26 | B | Ladd McConkey | LAC | CIN |
27 | B | Darnell Mooney | ATL | DEN |
28 | B | Jaylen Waddle | MIA | LV |
29 | B | Jakobi Meyers | LV | MIA |
30 | B | Khalil Shakir | BUF | KC |
31 | B | Jameson Williams | DET | JAC |
32 | B- | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | SEA | SF |
33 | B- | Tee Higgins | CIN | LAC |
34 | C+ | Jerry Jeudy | CLE | NO |
35 | C+ | Brian Thomas Jr. | JAC | DET |
36 | C+ | Josh Downs | IND | NYJ |
37 | C+ | Amari Cooper | BUF | KC |
38 | C+ | Quentin Johnston | LAC | CIN |
39 | C+ | DJ Moore | CHI | GB |
40 | C | Romeo Doubs | GB | CHI |
41 | C | Jordan Addison | MIN | TEN |
42 | C | Ricky Pearsall | SF | SEA |
43 | C | Tyler Lockett | SEA | SF |
44 | C | Keenan Allen | CHI | GB |
45 | C | Elijah Moore | CLE | NO |
46 | C | Noah Brown | WAS | PHI |
47 | C | Rashod Bateman | BAL | PIT |
48 | C | Rome Odunze | CHI | GB |
49 | C | Christian Watson | GB | CHI |
50 | C- | DeMario Douglas | NE | LAR |
51 | C- | Michael Pittman Jr. | IND | NYJ |
52 | C- | Xavier Worthy | KC | BUF |
53 | C- | Marquez Valdes-Scantling | NO | CLE |
54 | C- | Alec Pierce | IND | NYJ |
55 | D+ | Mike Williams | PIT | BAL |
56 | D+ | Joshua Palmer | LAC | CIN |
57 | D+ | Diontae Johnson | BAL | PIT |
58 | D | Kayshon Boutte | NE | LAR |
59 | D | Ray-Ray McCloud III | ATL | DEN |
60 | D | Dontayvion Wicks | GB | CHI |
61 | D | Demarcus Robinson | LAR | NE |
62 | D | Devaughn Vele | DEN | ATL |
63 | D | Nick Westbrook-Ikhine | TEN | MIN |
64 | D | Gabe Davis | JAC | DET |
65 | D | Mack Hollins | BUF | KC |
66 | D | Calvin Austin III | PIT | BAL |
67 | D- | JuJu Smith-Schuster | KC | BUF |
68 | D- | Parker Washington | JAC | DET |
69 | D- | Jalen Nailor | MIN | TEN |
70 | F | Adonai Mitchell | IND | NYJ |
71 | F | Curtis Samuel | BUF | KC |
72 | F | Andrei Iosivas | CIN | LAC |
73 | F | Jalen Tolbert | DAL | HOU |
74 | F | Tre Tucker | LV | MIA |
75 | F | John Metchie III | HOU | DAL |
76 | F | Mason Tipton | NO | CLE |
77 | F | Van Jefferson | PIT | BAL |
78 | F | Kalif Raymond | DET | JAC |
79 | F | Odell Beckham Jr. | MIA | LV |
80 | F | Troy Franklin | DEN | ATL |
81 | F | Tim Patrick | DET | JAC |
82 | F | Malik Washington | MIA | LV |
83 | F | Lil’Jordan Humphrey | DEN | ATL |
84 | F | Luke McCaffrey | WAS | PHI |
85 | F | Justin Watson | KC | BUF |
86 | F | Tutu Atwell | LAR | NE |
87 | F | Xavier Hutchinson | HOU | DAL |
88 | F | Tyler Boyd | TEN | MIN |
89 | F | Ja’Lynn Polk | NE | LAR |
90 | F | Olamide Zaccheaus | WAS | PHI |
91 | F | Jahan Dotson | PHI | WAS |
92 | F | K.J. Osborn | NE | LAR |
93 | F | Nelson Agholor | BAL | PIT |
94 | F | Jermaine Burton | CIN | LAC |
95 | F | Marvin Mims Jr. | DEN | ATL |
96 | F | Dyami Brown | WAS | PHI |
97 | F | Tyler Johnson | LAR | NE |
98 | F | Mecole Hardman Jr. | KC | BUF |
99 | F | Kevin Austin Jr. | NO | CLE |
100 | F | Jalen Brooks | DAL | HOU |
101 | F | DJ Turner | LV | MIA |
102 | F | Robert Woods | HOU | DAL |
103 | F | Xavier Gipson | NYJ | IND |
104 | F | Jordan Whittington | LAR | NE |
105 | F | Bo Melton | GB | CHI |
106 | F | KaVontae Turpin | DAL | HOU |
107 | F | Malachi Corley | NYJ | IND |
108 | F | Jalen Reagor | LAC | CIN |
109 | F | Kendrick Bourne | NE | LAR |
110 | F | Cedrick Wilson Jr. | NO | CLE |
111 | F | Tylan Wallace | BAL | PIT |
112 | F | Jake Bobo | SEA | SF |
113 | F | Ramel Keyton | LV | MIA |
114 | F | Ashton Dulin | IND | NYJ |
115 | F | Jonathan Mingo | DAL | HOU |
116 | F | Johnny Wilson | PHI | WAS |
117 | F | Trenton Irwin | CIN | LAC |
118 | F | Trent Sherfield Sr. | MIN | TEN |
119 | F | KhaDarel Hodge | ATL | DEN |
120 | F | DJ Chark Jr. | LAC | CIN |
121 | F | Jha’Quan Jackson | TEN | MIN |
122 | F | Josh Reynolds | DEN | ATL |
123 | F | Kadarius Toney | CLE | NO |
124 | F | Derius Davis | LAC | CIN |
125 | F | Jermaine Jackson | NO | CLE |
126 | F | Javon Baker | NE | LAR |
127 | F | Ronnie Bell | SF | SEA |
128 | F | Laviska Shenault Jr. | SEA | SF |
129 | F | Ainias Smith | PHI | WAS |
130 | F | Justyn Ross | KC | BUF |
131 | F | Brandon Powell | MIN | TEN |
132 | F | Tim Jones | JAC | DET |
133 | F | Jalen Virgil | BUF | KC |
134 | F | Allen Robinson II | DET | JAC |
135 | F | Bryce Oliver | TEN | MIN |
136 | F | Ryan Flournoy | DAL | HOU |
137 | F | Austin Trammell | JAC | DET |
138 | F | Justin Shorter | LV | MIA |
139 | F | DeAndre Carter | CHI | GB |
140 | F | Equanimeous St. Brown | NO | CLE |
141 | F | Jaelon Darden | CLE | NO |
143 | F | Devin Duvernay | JAC | DET |
In Maye’s four full starts, Boutte has had an 11.8% target share, 1.17 YPRR, and a 15.5% first-read share. In those games, he was the team’s deep threat, with six deep targets (35.3% of his target volume). Boutte could be headed for a big day if he and Maye can sync up on some deep targets. The Rams have allowed the fifth-most deep passing yards and the fourth-highest passer rating to deep passing. Los Angeles has also struggled against boundary receivers. Since Week 6, they have allowed the sixth-most receiving yards per game and the seventh-most fantasy points per game to the position.
Robinson had to cool off sometime after scorching the earth in his previous two games with a pair of two-touchdown outings as the WR18 and WR5 for those weeks. Since Week 8, he has had a 13.7% target share, 1.58 YPRR, and a 15.6% first-read share. In those three games, he has led the team with five end-zone targets. Robinson is a decent flex this week against a secondary that, since Week 5, has allowed the 12th-most receiving yards per game and the 13th-most fantasy points per game to perimeter wide receivers. If Puka Nacua gets shadowed by Christian Gonzalez, Robinson could see a target share bump in Week 11.
Since Meyers’ return, he has gobbled up the volume with a 29% target share, 2.14 YPRR, and a 36.8% first-read share. These are alpha receiver-level numbers. He has averaged 69.5 receiving yards per game as the WR17 in fantasy points per game. In those four games, Meyers has had four red zone targets. Meyers will need all the volume he can get this week in a bad matchup. Miami has allowed the eighth-fewest fantasy points per game and the ninth-fewest receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
Williams had a quiet return to the lineup last week with three receptions and 53 scoreless receiving yards (WR41). Overall, Williams is the WR34 in fantasy points per game and has eight deep targets in seven games played, but he hasn’t seen a red-zone look since Week 2. Williams has a 16.8% target share, a 35.7% air-yard share, 2.21 YPRR, and a 24.8% first-read share. Since Week 4, Jacksonville has utilized two high at the second-highest rate in the NFL (63.5%). Against two-high, Williams has ranked second on the team in TPRR (25%) and YPRR (2.07) while seeing a 31.6% first-read share. Williams could pop off with a big game this week against a secondary that, since Week 5, has allowed the 11th-most fantasy points per game and receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
Last week, with Mac Jones at the helm, Thomas Jr. had a 13.6% target share, 0.55 YPRR, and a 12.5% first-read share. Thomas Jr. had 12 scoreless receiving yards as he finished as the WR75 for the week. That was tough to type. This entire offense (much like DAL) has been capsized by pitiful quarterback play, and I don’t think it looks much (if any) better this week. Since Week 5, Detroit has allowed the ninth-fewest fantasy points per game and the sixth-fewest receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers. Sit Thomas this week.
Since Week 7, Tillman has had a 22.3% target share, 1.90 YPRR, and a 27.2% first-read share. He has averaged 85 receiving yards per game with weekly fantasy finishes as the WR10, WR3, and WR12. In those three games, Tillman has had four red zone targets. He’s been nothing short of awesome. We’ll see if he can keep it going this week against a secondary that, since Week 8, has allowed the tenth-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
In Jameis Winston‘s two starts, Jeudy has finished WR37 and WR25 in weekly fantasy scoring. In those games, he drew a 21.8% target share, 27.4% air-yard share, and 23.9% first-read share, producing 76 receiving yards per game and 1.67 yards per route run. In this small sample, Jeudy has two end-zone targets. Jeudy is a decent flex play. Since Week 8, New Orleans has allowed the tenth-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
Since Jameis Winston assumed the starting QB role for the Browns, Moore has had a 23% target share, 1.49 yards per route run, and a 23.9% first-read share, with one top-24 wide receiver finish (WR22). Moore has one red zone target in his last two games. Moore should be an integral part of the passing attack this week against a secondary that, since Week 5, has allowed the third-most fantasy points per game and the second-most receiving yards per game to slot receivers.
Valdes-Scantling is the only New Orleans wide receiver that makes the Primer this week. He is the only Saints’ wide receiver who had at least a 50% route share last week. Last week, Valdes-Scantling had only a 59% route share, a 12% target share (30.7 aDOT), and an 18.8% first-read share. Valdes-Scantling converted his three targets into big plays. Threading a low-volume needle like that is tough weekly, but he might be able to do it again in Week 11. The Browns have been burnt by deep passing, allowing the fifth-highest passing yards and the seventh-highest passer rating to deep passing. Cleveland has allowed the sixth-most fantasy points per game and the 11th-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
Week 11 Running Back Start/Sit Grades
Rank | Grade | Name | Team | Week 11 |
1 | A+ | Christian McCaffrey | SF | SEA |
2 | A+ | Joe Mixon | HOU | DAL |
3 | A+ | Saquon Barkley | PHI | WAS |
4 | A | Alvin Kamara | NO | CLE |
5 | A | Bijan Robinson | ATL | DEN |
6 | A | De’Von Achane | MIA | LV |
7 | A | Derrick Henry | BAL | PIT |
8 | A | Kyren Williams | LAR | NE |
9 | A | Jonathan Taylor | IND | NYJ |
10 | A- | Jahmyr Gibbs | DET | JAC |
11 | A- | Breece Hall | NYJ | IND |
12 | A- | Kenneth Walker III | SEA | SF |
13 | A- | Josh Jacobs | GB | CHI |
14 | B+ | Kareem Hunt | KC | BUF |
15 | B+ | Chase Brown | CIN | LAC |
16 | B | David Montgomery | DET | JAC |
17 | B | Aaron Jones | MIN | TEN |
18 | B | James Cook | BUF | KC |
19 | B | J.K. Dobbins | LAC | CIN |
20 | B | D’Andre Swift | CHI | GB |
21 | B | Rhamondre Stevenson | NE | LAR |
22 | B- | Nick Chubb | CLE | NO |
23 | B- | Tony Pollard | TEN | MIN |
24 | B- | Travis Etienne Jr. | JAC | DET |
25 | C+ | Brian Robinson Jr. | WAS | PHI |
26 | C+ | Najee Harris | PIT | BAL |
27 | C+ | Rico Dowdle | DAL | HOU |
28 | C | Audric Estime | DEN | ATL |
29 | C | Austin Ekeler | WAS | PHI |
30 | C | Alexander Mattison | LV | MIA |
31 | C | Tyler Allgeier | ATL | DEN |
32 | C | Gus Edwards | LAC | CIN |
33 | C | Tyjae Spears | TEN | MIN |
34 | C | Javonte Williams | DEN | ATL |
35 | C | Raheem Mostert | MIA | LV |
36 | C- | Justice Hill | BAL | PIT |
37 | C- | Braelon Allen | NYJ | IND |
38 | C- | Jerome Ford | CLE | NO |
39 | D+ | Roschon Johnson | CHI | GB |
40 | D+ | Zach Charbonnet | SEA | SF |
41 | D | Jaylen Warren | PIT | BAL |
42 | D | Jaylen Wright | MIA | LV |
43 | D | Cam Akers | MIN | TEN |
44 | D | D’Ernest Johnson | JAC | DET |
45 | D- | Samaje Perine | KC | BUF |
46 | D- | Kenneth Gainwell | PHI | WAS |
47 | F | Zamir White | LV | MIA |
48 | F | Ray Davis | BUF | KC |
49 | F | Emanuel Wilson | GB | CHI |
50 | F | Jaleel McLaughlin | DEN | ATL |
51 | F | Jordan Mason | SF | SEA |
52 | F | Ezekiel Elliott | DAL | HOU |
53 | F | Khalil Herbert | CIN | LAC |
54 | F | Blake Corum | LAR | NE |
55 | F | Chris Brooks | GB | CHI |
56 | F | Cordarrelle Patterson | PIT | BAL |
57 | F | Ty Johnson | BUF | KC |
58 | F | Antonio Gibson | NE | LAR |
59 | F | JaMycal Hasty | NE | LAR |
60 | F | Tyler Goodson | IND | NYJ |
61 | F | Trey Sermon | IND | NYJ |
62 | F | Jordan Mims | NO | CLE |
63 | F | Dare Ogunbowale | HOU | DAL |
64 | F | Carson Steele | KC | BUF |
65 | F | Jeremy McNichols | WAS | PHI |
66 | F | Ameer Abdullah | LV | MIA |
67 | F | Isaac Guerendo | SF | SEA |
68 | F | Pierre Strong Jr. | CLE | NO |
69 | F | Ty Chandler | MIN | TEN |
70 | F | Dameon Pierce | HOU | DAL |
71 | F | Kyle Juszczyk | SF | SEA |
72 | F | Keaton Mitchell | BAL | PIT |
73 | F | Will Shipley | PHI | WAS |
74 | F | Hunter Luepke | DAL | HOU |
75 | F | Tank Bigsby | JAC | DET |
76 | F | Hassan Haskins | LAC | CIN |
77 | F | Alec Ingold | MIA | LV |
78 | F | J.J. Taylor | HOU | DAL |
79 | F | Patrick Ricard | BAL | PIT |
80 | F | Michael Burton | DEN | ATL |
81 | F | Craig Reynolds | DET | JAC |
82 | F | Trayveon Williams | CIN | LAC |
83 | F | Dalvin Cook | DAL | HOU |
84 | F | D’Onta Foreman | CLE | NO |
85 | F | Adam Prentice | NO | CLE |
86 | F | Julius Chestnut | TEN | MIN |
87 | F | C.J. Ham | MIN | TEN |
88 | F | Jamaal Williams | NO | CLE |
89 | F | Travis Homer | CHI | GB |
90 | F | Sione Vaki | DET | JAC |
91 | F | Avery Williams | ATL | DEN |
92 | F | Ronnie Rivers | LAR | NE |
93 | F | Isaiah Davis | NYJ | IND |
94 | F | MarShawn Lloyd | GB | CHI |
95 | F | Aaron Shampklin | PIT | BAL |
96 | F | Kenny McIntosh | SEA | SF |
97 | F | Blake Watson | DEN | ATL |
98 | F | Terrell Jennings | NE | LAR |
99 | F | Deuce Vaughn | DAL | HOU |
100 | F | Jase McClellan | ATL | DEN |
101 | F | Tyreik McAllister | LV | MIA |
Jones got banged up last week with a rib issue. He practiced in a limited fashion all week until upgrading to a full practice on Friday. He doesn’t carry an injury designation into Week 11. Jones is the RB18 in fantasy points per game, ranking 18th in snap share, 15th in opportunity share, and 11th in red zone touches. Jones has averaged 18.9 touches and 101.3 total yards per game. Among 50 qualifying backs, Jones ranks 25th in explosive run rate and 11th in yards after contact per attempt. Jones will likely be bottled up this week against a tough Tennessee run defense. Since Week 5, Tennessee has had the 11th-lowest missed tackle rate, the sixth-lowest yards after contact per attempt, and the 13th-fewest rushing yards per game allowed.
Tennessee has been talking about lightening Pollard’s workload, which we saw happen last week. Pollard played 53% of the snaps with 13 touches and 63 total yards. He split the red zone snaps 50/50 with Tyjae Spears. As long as Spears stays healthy, this could be the backfield split we see from now on, which would be a huge hit in Pollard’s recent volume RB2 status (RB21 in fantasy points per game). Among 50 qualifying backs, Pollard ranks 18th in explosive run rate and fifth in yards after contact per attempt. Pollard could disappoint this week. Since Week 5, Minnesota has given up the third-fewest rushing yards per game, the tenth-lowest explosive run rate, and the fourth-lowest yards after contact per attempt.
Last week, Spears returned after a three-game absence to play 46% of the snaps with ten touches and 51 total yards. He played 49% of the passing down snaps and split the red zone snaps 50/50 with Tony Pollard. Spears is a must-sit this week with a horrible rushing matchup incoming. Since Week 5, Minnesota has given up the third-fewest rushing yards per game, the tenth-lowest explosive run rate, and the fourth-lowest yards after contact per attempt.
Last week, Estime led the way for the Denver rushing attack, playing 45% of the snaps with 14 carries and 53 rushing yards. He didn’t see a target in the passing game. Estime handled two of the three backfield red zone rushing attempts last week. He posted a forgettable 2.21 yards after contact per attempt and didn’t force a missed tackle, but it’s a small sample. Overall this season, his 3.07 yards after contact per attempt has been impressive (29 carries). Atlanta is a perfect matchup for Estime to pop off with a big game if Denver can keep the score close because I do worry about Estime’s ability to get game scripted out. Atlanta has allowed the 11th-highest explosive run rate, the 12th-most rushing yards per game, and the sixth-highest success rate to gap runs (Estime 55.2% gap).
The box score last week lied. This remains Dobbins’ backfield. Dobbins played 67% of the snaps last week and 59% of the snaps in the red zone. The biggest concern for Dobbins is that his tackle-breaking metrics have been awful since Week 3. Since Week 3, among 40 qualifying backs, Dobbins ranks 35th in explosive run rate, 30th in missed tackles forced per attempt, and 36th in yards after contact per attempt. There’s nothing pretty there. Dobbins has survived with volume with 19.2 touches and 73.1 total yards per game during that stretch as the RB25 in fantasy points per game. This isn’t a great matchup for Dobbins. Since Week 5, Cincy has ranked 15th in rushing yards per game allowed while holding backs to the fifth-lowest explosive run rate and the 12th-lowest missed tackle rate and yards after contact per attempt.
Edwards is a flex play that is best left on the bench this week. Last week, he returned to play 25% of the snaps overall and only 29% of the snaps in the red zone. Edwards logged ten carries with his 15 snaps played for 55 rushing yards. This isn’t the plus rushing matchup that many think it is. Since Week 5, Cincy has ranked 15th in rushing yards per game allowed while holding backs to the fifth-lowest explosive run rate and the 12th-lowest missed tackle rate and yards after contact per attempt. Sit Edwards.
Last week’s blowout loss to Philly skewed Dowdle’s numbers. In the first three-quarters of that game, Dowdle played 58% of the snaps, handling 58% of the rushing work and a 38% route share. That route share isn’t far off the 46% that he saw in Week 9 when he played 71% of the snaps and had 17 touches and 107 total yards. I expect Dowdle to see 13-15 touches this week. Since Week 5, among 54 qualifying backs, Dowdle has flashed more juice, ranking 27th in explosive run rate and 19th in yards after contact per attempt. Dowdle has a tough road to travel this week. Houston has remained a tough run defense. Since Week 5, they have allowed the 11th-fewest rushing yards per game, the fifth-lowest missed tackle rate, the sixth-lowest yards per carry to zone runs, and the fourth-lowest success rate to zone runs (since Week 5, Dowdle 55.1% zone).
Week 11 Tight End Start/Sit Grades
Rank | Grade | Name | Team | Week 11 |
1 | A | Travis Kelce | KC | BUF |
2 | A | George Kittle | SF | SEA |
3 | A- | Brock Bowers | LV | MIA |
4 | B+ | David Njoku | CLE | NO |
5 | B | T.J. Hockenson | MIN | TEN |
6 | B | Mark Andrews | BAL | PIT |
7 | B | Kyle Pitts | ATL | DEN |
8 | B- | Taysom Hill | NO | CLE |
9 | C+ | Evan Engram | JAC | DET |
10 | C+ | Tucker Kraft | GB | CHI |
11 | C- | Jonnu Smith | MIA | LV |
12 | C- | Dawson Knox | BUF | KC |
13 | D+ | Dallas Goedert | PHI | WAS |
14 | D+ | Mike Gesicki | CIN | LAC |
15 | D+ | Hunter Henry | NE | LAR |
16 | D+ | Will Dissly | LAC | CIN |
17 | D | Jake Ferguson | DAL | HOU |
18 | D | Pat Freiermuth | PIT | BAL |
19 | D | Zach Ertz | WAS | PHI |
20 | D | Cole Kmet | CHI | GB |
21 | D- | Dalton Schultz | HOU | DAL |
22 | D- | Tyler Conklin | NYJ | IND |
23 | D- | Juwan Johnson | NO | CLE |
24 | F | AJ Barner | SEA | SF |
25 | F | Foster Moreau | NO | CLE |
26 | F | Chig Okonkwo | TEN | MIN |
27 | F | Josh Oliver | MIN | TEN |
28 | F | Noah Gray | KC | BUF |
29 | F | Davis Allen | LAR | NE |
30 | F | Austin Hooper | NE | LAR |
31 | F | Brock Wright | DET | JAC |
32 | F | Adam Trautman | DEN | ATL |
33 | F | Tanner Hudson | CIN | LAC |
34 | F | Isaiah Likely | BAL | PIT |
35 | F | Lucas Krull | DEN | ATL |
36 | F | Colby Parkinson | LAR | NE |
37 | F | Michael Mayer | LV | MIA |
38 | F | Cade Stover | HOU | DAL |
39 | F | Darnell Washington | PIT | BAL |
40 | F | Josh Whyle | TEN | MIN |
41 | F | Jordan Akins | CLE | NO |
42 | F | Grant Calcaterra | PHI | WAS |
43 | F | Brenton Strange | JAC | DET |
44 | F | Hayden Hurst | LAC | CIN |
45 | F | Charlie Kolar | BAL | PIT |
46 | F | Quintin Morris | BUF | KC |
47 | F | Mo Alie-Cox | IND | NYJ |
48 | F | Drew Sample | CIN | LAC |
49 | F | Kylen Granson | IND | NYJ |
50 | F | Jeremy Ruckert | NYJ | IND |
51 | F | Drew Ogletree | IND | NYJ |
52 | F | Sam LaPorta | DET | JAC |
53 | F | Will Mallory | IND | NYJ |
54 | F | Nate Adkins | DEN | ATL |
55 | F | Noah Fant | SEA | SF |
56 | F | Shane Zylstra | DET | JAC |
57 | F | Julian Hill | MIA | LV |
58 | F | Gerald Everett | CHI | GB |
59 | F | Luke Farrell | JAC | DET |
60 | F | Durham Smythe | MIA | LV |
61 | F | Nick Vannett | TEN | MIN |
62 | F | Ben Sims | GB | CHI |
63 | F | Pharaoh Brown | SEA | SF |
64 | F | Luke Schoonmaker | DAL | HOU |
65 | F | Tucker Fisk | LAC | CIN |
66 | F | Ross Dwelley | ATL | DEN |
67 | F | Hunter Long | LAR | NE |
68 | F | Connor Heyward | PIT | BAL |
69 | F | Johnny Mundt | MIN | TEN |
70 | F | John Bates | WAS | PHI |
71 | F | Brevyn Spann-Ford | DAL | HOU |
72 | F | Ben Sinnott | WAS | PHI |
73 | F | Eric Saubert | SF | SEA |
74 | F | Kenny Yeboah | NYJ | IND |
75 | F | Peyton Hendershot | KC | BUF |
76 | F | Geoff Swaim | CLE | NO |
77 | F | Stone Smartt | LAC | CIN |
78 | F | Jaheim Bell | NE | LAR |
79 | F | Dallin Holker | NO | CLE |
80 | F | Josiah Deguara | JAC | DET |
81 | F | Cam Grandy | CIN | LAC |
82 | F | Teagan Quitoriano | HOU | DAL |
83 | F | John FitzPatrick | GB | CHI |
84 | F | Marcedes Lewis | CHI | GB |
Last week with Cooper Rush, Ferguson had a 13.8% target share, 1.04 YPRR, and a 17.4% first-read share. He finished with four receptions and 24 scoreless receiving yards as the TE25 for the week. Ferguson will be a matchup-based streamer moving forward, and the matchup isn’t right to consider playing him this week. Houston has allowed the fifth-fewest fantasy points per game and the fewest receiving yards to tight ends.
Kraft has been balling this year as the TE8 in fantasy points per game. Among tight ends, he is tenth in receiving yards, second in yards after the catch, and sixth in red zone targets. He has a 12.5% target share, 1.74 YPRR, and an 11.3% first-read share. Chicago is 15th in fantasy points per game allowed to tight ends while also giving up the tenth-most receiving yards per game to the position.
Kmet is the TE13 in fantasy, ranking tenth in deep targets while seeing five red zone targets this season. Unfortunately, he has only one red zone target across his last six games. Kmet has an 11.6% target share, 1.49 YPRR, and an 11.2% first-read share. Kmet could flirt with TE1 value this week against a defense that has allowed the 11th-most receiving yards per game and fantasy points per game to tight ends.
In Maye’s four full starts, Henry has had a 16.2% target share, 1.66 YPRR, and a 20.2% first-read share. He has finished as a TE1 in three of those four games and has seen four red zone targets. The Rams have been eaten alive by tight ends all year. They have allowed the ninth-most receiving yards per game and the second-highest yards per reception to the position. Henry could be a TE1 yet again this week.
Since Week 8, Smith has been the TE24 in fantasy points per game. Smith has had a 62.4% route share, a 17% target share, 1.76 yards per route run, and a 20% first-read share. He has two red-zone targets in those three games. Smith should flirt with TE1 value this week against a Raiders secondary that has allowed the fifth-most fantasy points per game and the sixth-most receiving yards per game to tight ends.
Week 11 Defense / Special Teams Start/Sit Grades
Rank | Grade | Name | Team | Week 11 |
1 | A+ | Houston Texans | HOU | DAL |
2 | A | Detroit Lions | DET | JAC |
3 | A | Minnesota Vikings | MIN | TEN |
4 | A | Green Bay Packers | GB | CHI |
5 | A | New York Jets | NYJ | IND |
6 | A- | Los Angeles Rams | LAR | NE |
7 | B+ | San Francisco 49ers | SF | SEA |
8 | B | Miami Dolphins | MIA | LV |
9 | B | Denver Broncos | DEN | ATL |
10 | B | New Orleans Saints | NO | CLE |
11 | B- | Los Angeles Chargers | LAC | CIN |
12 | C+ | Cleveland Browns | CLE | NO |
13 | C | Indianapolis Colts | IND | NYJ |
14 | C | Atlanta Falcons | ATL | DEN |
15 | C | Buffalo Bills | BUF | KC |
16 | C | Philadelphia Eagles | PHI | WAS |
17 | C | Chicago Bears | CHI | GB |
18 | C- | Tennessee Titans | TEN | MIN |
19 | D+ | Kansas City Chiefs | KC | BUF |
20 | D | Pittsburgh Steelers | PIT | BAL |
21 | D | Baltimore Ravens | BAL | PIT |
22 | D | Washington Commanders | WAS | PHI |
23 | D- | New England Patriots | NE | LAR |
24 | F | Dallas Cowboys | DAL | HOU |
25 | F | Seattle Seahawks | SEA | SF |
26 | F | Las Vegas Raiders | LV | MIA |
27 | F | Cincinnati Bengals | CIN | LAC |
28 | F | Jacksonville Jaguars | JAC | DET |
Week 11 Kicker Start/Sit Grades
Rank | Grade | Name | Team | Week 11 |
1 | A+ | Ka’imi Fairbairn | HOU | DAL |
2 | A- | Chris Boswell | PIT | BAL |
3 | B+ | Jason Sanders | MIA | LV |
4 | B | Jake Bates | DET | JAC |
5 | B- | Cameron Dicker | LAC | CIN |
6 | C+ | Tyler Bass | BUF | KC |
7 | C+ | Harrison Butker | KC | BUF |
8 | C | Justin Tucker | BAL | PIT |
9 | C | Jake Elliott | PHI | WAS |
10 | C | Brandon McManus | GB | CHI |
11 | C | Brandon Aubrey | DAL | HOU |
12 | C | Evan McPherson | CIN | LAC |
13 | C | Zane Gonzalez | WAS | PHI |
14 | C | Jake Moody | SF | SEA |
15 | C | Wil Lutz | DEN | ATL |
16 | C | Younghoe Koo | ATL | DEN |
17 | C | John Parker Romo | MIN | TEN |
18 | C- | Jason Myers | SEA | SF |
19 | C- | Matt Gay | IND | NYJ |
20 | D+ | Blake Grupe | NO | CLE |
21 | D+ | Dustin Hopkins | CLE | NO |
22 | D | Joshua Karty | LAR | NE |
23 | D | Joey Slye | NE | LAR |
24 | D | Spencer Shrader | NYJ | IND |
25 | D | Cairo Santos | CHI | GB |
26 | D | Daniel Carlson | LV | MIA |
27 | D- | Nick Folk | TEN | MIN |
28 | D- | Cam Little | JAC | DET |
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