Fantasy Football Player Notes
2024 Draft Rankings
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1.
Christian McCaffrey
RB - SF
McCaffrey remained "THE DUDE" at running back in fantasy last year. He was the RB1 in fantasy, finishing as an RB1 in 81% of his games and as a top 24 RB in every game he played. McCaffrey averaged 21.2 touches and 126.5 total yards per game while ranking second in carries, fourth in targets, and first in red zone touches among running backs. There's no reason to expect a falloff entering 2024. His deeper efficiency metrics all scream that he remains in the prime of his career after ranking fourth in explosive run rate and 10th in yards after contact last season (per Fantasy Points Data).
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2.
CeeDee Lamb
WR - DAL
Through 18 weeks, CeeDee Lamb finished as the top WR in half-PPR formats, amassing 335.7 fantasy points (19.7 per game, second-best). He had 135 receptions on 181 targets, totaling 1,749 yards with a long catch of 92 yards. Lamb scored 12 receiving and 2 rushing touchdowns, displaying versatility and consistency throughout the season.
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3.
Tyreek Hill
WR - MIA
Tyreek Hill was second overall in total points, scoring 299.2 points (19.9 per game). He recorded 1,717 receiving yards from 112 catches on 158 targets, showcasing his deep-threat ability with a longest reception of 78 yards and 12 touchdowns.
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4.
Ja'Marr Chase
WR - CIN
This Bengals offense could look very different in 2024, but one thing remains certain.
Ja'Marr Chase is going to be the focal point. He finished with an impressive stat line: 100 receptions (career-high) on 145 targets (26% target share), amassing 1,216 yards at an average of 12.2 yards per catch. Chase scored 7 touchdowns while ranking top-10 in red zone targets. Over 16 games, he totaled 212.7 fantasy points, averaging a strong 13.3 points per game (WR13). But we all know Chase left production on the table without his healthy star QB. Weeks 1-10 with Joe Burrow, Chase averaged 16.2 points per game (6th) and 19.6 expected points per game (fifth). |
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5.
Justin Jefferson
WR - MIN
Justin Jefferson finished the season 5th in points per game (16.8) despite missing seven games and losing starting quarterback Kirk Cousins. Still, he had a standout season with 68 receptions from 100 targets, gaining a total of 1,074 receiving yards. Jefferson found the end zone 5 times, showcasing his ability to convert receptions into touchdowns. He commanded a 28% target share, 41% air yards share and finished 8th in weighted opportunity. Before Cousins' injury, he led all WRs in fantasy points scored (21.7 per game). Jefferson's ability to perform without Cousins last season suggests he can still produce in the Vikings 2024 offense that will be without it's former QB. He is going to fall in drafts as a result. But Weeks 15-18, Jefferson was still a clear-cut ALPHA without Cousins. 18.4 points per game (WR3) averaging 119 receiving yards per game. Believe that whether it's Sam Darnold or 2024 first-round pick J.J. McCarthy under center, believe this offensive infrastructure set up by Kevin O'Connell will fuel arguably the best WR in the NFL.
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6.
Amon-Ra St. Brown
WR - DET
Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET): St. Brown finished third with 247.5 points (16.5 per game). He had 112 receptions for 1,371 yards and 9 touchdowns, proving to be a reliable target with a 12.2 yards per reception average. In the season's entirety, St. Brown commanded a 30% target share (6th) and 34% air yards share. He finished 4th overall in total receiving EPA and 11th in total weighted opportunity.
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7.
Breece Hall
RB - NYJ
Despite recuperating from an extensive knee injury, it didn't derail Hall in his second season. He finished the season as the RB6 in fantasy points per game with 299 touches and 1,585 total yards. Hall was 12th in opportunity share and second in weighted opportunities, and in Weeks 5-18, he averaged 20.2 touches and 102.5 total yards. A huge part of his value last season came from his pass game usage, as he led all running backs in targets, receiving yards, and receptions. While some of this was part of the fallout of Zach Wilson at the helm, Hall should remain a focal point for the passing attack in 2024. He was a baller as a receiver last season, ranking third in yards per route run and fourth in expected fantasy points per route run (per Fantasy Points Data). Hall is a top-five fantasy running back in all formats.
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8.
Bijan Robinson
RB - ATL
The Arthur Smith experiment capsized what could have been an enormous rookie season for Robinson. He ranked ninth in snap share, third in targets, sixth in receptions, and fourth in receiving yards among running backs, but he finished as the RB17 in fantasy points per game. Robinson was the RB12 in expected fantasy points per game, but his opportunity share ranked 31st, and he was also 32nd in red zone touches with Smith's insistence on utilizing Tyler Allgeier. If Robinson receives the bulk of the high-leverage touches under the new Falcons regime, he should crush in 2024. Last year, he ranked 23rd in explosive run rate, 17th in yards after contact per attempt, and 25th in yards per route run (per Fantasy Points Data). Robinson is a locked-in RB1 for 2024.
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9.
A.J. Brown
WR - PHI
A.J. Brown rounded out the top five WRs, scoring 237.2 points (14.8 per game). He had 105 receptions for 1,447 yards and 7 touchdowns, demonstrating his ability to make big plays with a longest catch of 59 yards. Brown's only blemish was he - like the Eagles' entire offense - did not finish strong. In weeks 11-17, even with Goedert out of the lineup for a handful of games, AJB was out-scored by DeVonta Smith as the WR25 and WR35 in points per game. If the Eagles' late-season collapse trickles over in 2024, Brown's production might take a hit.
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10.
Jonathan Taylor
RB - IND
It was a weird year for Jonathan Taylor all around. From contract disputes to injuries, we rarely got to see Taylor fully ramped up and healthy in 2023. Entering his age-25 season, Taylor remains firmly in the prime of his career. In Weeks 7-18, he handled 21 touches per game, churning out 99.4 total yards per game. While many of his efficiency metrics were depressed last season, Taylor still ranked 13th in yards after contact per attempt, which tells me all I need to know. He's still one of the best backs in the league and should remain a locked-in RB1 after finishing last season as the RB12 in fantasy points per game. A rushing attack fueled by Taylor and Anthony Richardson should be a nightmare for defensive coordinators this season.
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11.
Puka Nacua
WR - LAR
Puka Nacua is so clearly the alpha in the Rams passing game. 9 catches for 181 yards and 2 TDs on 10 targets (29%) with 100 yards coming after the catch in his final game of his rookie season, capped off a historic rookie campaign that saw him break the receptions and receiving yards records for a first-year player. In his 18 games played, Nacua posted a 29% target share and 15.3 points per game (4th among all WRs). First in yards after the catch, 3rd in receiving EPA and 14th in weighted opportunity.
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12.
Saquon Barkley
RB - PHI
The Philly front office has officially gaslit the entire Giants' fanbase. Barkley's move to the Eagles might be met with some blowback because people are worried about his touchdown equity with Jalen Hurts. Barkley and D'Andre Swift are not close to being in the same talent area code. Bringing in Barkley means we likely see a downtick of Hurts' goalline dives in 2024. While the overall counting stats for Barkley look depressed, he's still very much an every-down bell cow with juice left in the tank entering his age-27 season. Last season, he played at least 70% of the snaps in 11 of his 14 games while ranking second in opportunity share and ninth in weighted opportunities. Last season, Barkley was still an explosive player, ranking 17th in explosive run rate, but his tackle-breaking metrics took a hit as he was 37th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 33rd in yards after contact per attempt (minimum 50 carries per Fantasy Points Data). Barkley remains a stud RB1.
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13.
Jahmyr Gibbs
RB - DET
Every nerd who said the Lions were foolish for selecting Gibbs in the first round has a tiny bit of egg on their face. Gibbs finished the season as the RB8 in fantasy points per game and fantasy points per opportunity. He was a tackle-breaking blur last season, ranking 18th in yards after contact per attempt and 11th in missed tackles forced per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). After David Montgomery returned from injury, Gibbs averaged 14.1 touches and 73.1 total yards per game. Montgomery isn't going anywhere, but that doesn't mean Gibbs can't be a top-shelf RB1 again in 2024.
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14.
Garrett Wilson
WR - NYJ
Garrett Wilson's 2023 peripheral metrics are tantalizing, with his actual production lackluster based on the horrible QB play in New York this past season. He finished with 95 receptions from a whopping 168 targets, amassing 1,042 receiving yards. Wilson only found the end zone three times. He wrapped up the year with 165.7 fantasy points in half-PPR formats, which placed him 31st overall among wide receivers, averaging 9.7 points per game (39th). Wilson was targeted on 30% of the Jets' passing plays, the 5th highest share in the league, and he led the NFL with a 46% air yards share. Assuming the Jets' quarterback play stabilizes and improves, Wilson's ceiling could rise even further in 2024.
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15.
Brandon Aiyuk
WR - SF
Brandon Aiyuk operated as the more traditional WR1 in the 49ers offense in 2023, leading the team with nearly 1,500 receiving yards and 8 TDs in 19 games played despite a mediocre role in the red zone. He led the 49ers offense with a 24% target share and 39% air yards share (15th). 20th overall in weighted opportunity. Aiyuk averaged 12.4 fantasy points per game (WR19) finishing with career-highs across the board in his fourth season. Entering a contract year at age 26, we still may not have seen the best to come from Aiyuk fresh off a second consecutive top-15 WR finish in half-PPR. His efficiency numbers are off the charts as a top-5 finisher in yards per route run in 2023.
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16.
Deebo Samuel Sr.
WR - SF
Deebo Samuel was electric during the fantasy football season, finishing as the fantasy WR12 overall in 15 games played averaging 14.2 points per game as the WR9.
The dominant YAC receiver ranked second on the team in target share (22%) and second in total TDs (12) with his dual usage as both a rusher/receiver. Samuel finished the year with the most total red-zone touches among all WRs. As we project Samuel into 2024, two things need to be strongly considered. First, his injury history is based on how physical of a player he is. Second, he may experience impending TD regression given he scored more fantasy points above expectation than any other WR from Weeks 1-17. He was the WR26 in expected points per game (10.9). His rushing production is difficult to rely on year-to-year, and Brandon Aiyuk is continuing his ascent into the top-tier WR conversation entering a contract year. |
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17.
Josh Allen
QB - BUF
The fantasy track record Josh Allen has compiled is impressive. His yearly finishes in fantasy scoring since 2019: QB7, QB1, QB1, QB2, QB1. He's thrown for more than 4,000 yards in each of his last four seasons, averaging 4,385 passing yards and 34.3 TD passes over that span. Allen adds immense value as a runner. We probably shouldn't expect a repeat of the 15 rushing touchdowns he had this season, since his previous single-season high was nine. But Allen has averaged 596 rushing yards and 9.0 TD runs over the last five years. A spring trade that sent Stefon Diggs to the Texans brings the caliber of the Bills pass-catching into question, but even with a loss of WR firepower, Allen still has a strong case to be considered the QB1.
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18.
Kyren Williams
RB - LAR
Williams was a revelation in 2023 as he quickly kicked Cam Akers to the curb, taking over the starting job in Week 2. Williams was the RB2 in fantasy points per game, ranking fourth in red zone touches, first in snap share, and fourth in opportunity share. Among 68 qualifying backs, he ranked 25th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 27th in yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). Despite his smaller frame, Sean McVay had no issues leaning on Williams as his bellcow. In Weeks 2-17, he averaged 22.3 touches and 117.8 total yards playing at least 72% of the snaps in ten of 11 games played. The only knock on Williams' usage last season was his pass-game role. Despite entering the NFL as a ballyhooed passing down back, Williams only ranked 18th in target share and 58th in yards per route run (among 60 qualifying backs). Williams will need to reprise his every-down role in 2024 or see a bump in passing game usage to retain his high-end RB1 status, which is possible.
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19.
Derrick Henry
RB - BAL
Some players are simply built differently. Henry has and remains one of those guys. Last year, at age 29, he ranked first in rushing attempts and second in rushing yards while showing little drop-off in his efficiency metrics. Last season, among 68 qualifying backs, Henry ranked ninth in explosive run rate and 11th in yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). While he will cross the dreaded age 30 threshold this year, it's tough to project a drop-off for Henry and any reasons that he can't continue to chug along as an RB1., especially when Henry has proven over the last two seasons that his pass game utility should increase despite his advancing age. Over the last two years, Henry has ranked 11th and 14th in TPRR and seventh and first in YPRR among backs. The big fellow isn't slowing down. Continue to believe in the King in 2024 as the Ravens' workhorse back.
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20.
Chris Olave
WR - NO
The usage metrics were ALL there for Chris Olave, who commanded a 25% target share and 40% air yards share (over 1,800 air yards, 8th). Olave made a significant impact with 87 receptions from 138 targets (12th), and he amassed 1,123 receiving yards (17th). He found the end zone 5 times ranked 21st among wide receivers in points per game. Nothing about Olave's talent suggests he should be a fantasy WR2, but that's likely going to be the case with Derek Carr back at QB. However, the duo showed glimpses of improvement in the second half of the season after the bye week as Olave ranked second in catchable target rate (89%) averaging 12.7 points per game (WR16).
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21.
Mike Evans
WR - TB
Mike Evans ranked as the WR4 Iin 2023, totaling 239.3 points (14.4 per game, WR8). He caught 76 passes for 1,233 yards and 13 touchdowns, displaying his scoring prowess with a long catch of 75 yards. He re-signed a two-year deal with the Buccaneers, keeping his talents in Tampa Bay.
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22.
Marvin Harrison Jr.
WR - ARI
Marvin Harrison Jr. quickly ascended at Ohio State, transitioning from a freshman backup behind stars like Chris Olave and Garrett Wilson to a dominant force by his sophomore year. His breakout game came in his first start during the Rose Bowl, where he tallied 6 catches, 71 yards, and 3 touchdowns. Harrison's junior year was stellar, amassing 67 receptions for 1,211 yards and 14 TDs, which led to him being a Heisman Trophy finalist and winning the 2023 Fred Biletnikoff Award. Now as the Arizona Cardinals' WR1 with Kyler Murray throwing to him, Harrison is positioned to be a high-impact player, offering a strong, consistent target share. His collegiate performance, highlighted by a 44% dominator rating, underscores his capability as a top-tier fantasy wide receiver.
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23.
Davante Adams
WR - LV
Davante Adams showed no signs of slowing down despite the QB carousel in Las Vegas. 45% air yard share (nearly 1,900 air yards, 2nd among all WRs) and a league-leading 33% target share with 103 catches on a whopping 175 targets, he notched 1,144 yards at an average of 11.1 yards per reception. Adams' ability to find the end zone was on full display as he secured 8 touchdowns, with the second-most red-zone targets in the NFL (29).
Adams racked up 213.9 points, averaging 12.6 points per game, which placed him as the 18th wide receiver in points per game and WR11 overall. Even at 31 years old, he's shown to still be QB-proof to be a high-end fantasy WR2. |
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24.
Sam LaPorta
TE - DET
Sam LaPorta was a revelation as a rookie, catching 86 passes for 889 yards and 10 touchdowns to finish as the overall TE1. What can LaPorta do for an encore in Year 2? It might be hard for Sammy Ballgame to improve upon or even equal his 2023 touchdown total, but it's reasonable to think he could improve upon his average of 52.3 receiving yards per game and his 7.4 yards per target. LaPorta's age-22 season was a triumph, and he could be one of the top tight ends in the league -- and in fantasy football -- for years to come. Based on the splash he made at such a tender age, there's a strong case to be made that LaPorta should be the first TE selected in 2024 fantasy drafts.
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25.
Travis Etienne Jr.
RB - JAC
From a top-down view, Etienne's 2023 season looks like a smashing success as he was the RB7 in fantasy points per game, logging 325 touches with 1,484 total yards and 12 total touchdowns. If you rostered him last year, you know that his weekly performances left something to be desired down the stretch, and it was a Jekyll and Hyde type of runout. In Weeks 1-8, he averaged 22.3 touches and 106.2 total yards as the RB4 in fantasy points per game. After Week 9, he saw a big dip in his production as he averaged 16.3 touches and 70.5 total yards for the rest of the season as the RB22 in fantasy points per game. Etienne deserves to be in the RB1 conversation for 2024, but we can't ignore these splits and the Jaguars offensive line that finished 32nd in Fantasy Points rush grade and adjusted yards before contact per attempt. Etienne could easily improve upon last year's stats in 2024, but the Jaguars have work upfront to do this offseason.
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26.
DJ Moore
WR - CHI
D.J. Moore finished with 96 receptions on 136 targets, accumulating 1,364 receiving yards, and 8 touchdowns. These impressive numbers placed him as the 6th overall wide receiver in total fantasy points and 10th in fantasy points per game with an average of 14.0. More impressively, he captured a 43% air yards share within his team, the 4th highest in the league, and garnered a top-10 target share at 29%. His 6th place in weighted opportunity highlights his importance in the offensive scheme, combining targets and air yards to showcase his integral role in the Bears' passing game. A notable aspect of Moore's season was his performance with quarterback Justin Fields over 12 games. During this stretch, Moore averaged 16.8 points per game, demonstrating high-end WR1 production. He amassed over 1,100 yards and 8 touchdowns, with an impressive 91 receiving yards per game. Therefore, fantasy managers need to adjust expectations with Fields replaced by rookie Caleb Williams, that will likely hinder Moore's fantasy upside in 2024. As will the addition of a target machine, WR Keenan Allen and the 9th overall pick in this year's draft, Rome Odunze.
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27.
Jalen Hurts
QB - PHI
Jalen Hurts finished QB2 in fantasy scoring in 2023, but there are reasons for concern heading into the 2024 season. After averaging 25.6 fantasy points per game during a banner 2022 campaign, Hurts' scoring average dropped to 21.9 FPPG in 2023. His passing yardage per game fell from 246.7 to 226.9, and his yardage per attempt slipped from 8.0 to 7.2. Hurts also had slippage in completion percentage and touchdown rate, and his passer rating plummeted from 101.5 to 89.1. On the bright side, Hurts provided ample rushing value, with 605 rushing yards and 15 TD runs, the most ever for a quarterback in a single season. The fear is that Hurts' fantasy value could take a tumble in 2024 if there's a significant drop-off in rushing touchdowns. TD runs accounted for 24.1% of Hurts' 2023 fantasy points. If Hurts is to remain a top-three fantasy quarterback, he'll probably need to boost his passing efficiency.
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28.
Nico Collins
WR - HOU
Nico Collins' third-year breakout was truly remarkable. The former Michigan product had glimpses of potential in his first two seasons, but being paired with C.J. Stroud unlocked his fantasy ceiling in 2023. He was a YAC God. Nearly 1500 receiving yards with 1,370 air yards. 641 yards came after the catch. 24% target share. His 3.11 yards per route run ranked second among all WRs. Only three other players have accomplished this feat since 2017 - Tyreek Hill, Cooper Kupp and Julio Jones. Collins averaged 14.6 points per game in 17 games played in 2023 and 15.7 points per game in 15 games played alongside Stroud. Even if newly acquired veteran Stefon Diggs eats into Collins' target share, his efficiency should remain high with another viable weapon for the defense to be concerned about.
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29.
Lamar Jackson
QB - BAL
Lamar Jackson has long been the best running quarterback in football -- and quite possibly the best of all time. But Jackson made enormous striders as a passer in 2023, thriving under the tutelage of first-year Ravens offensive coordinator Todd Monken. Jackson established new career highs in passing yardage (3,678), completion percentage (67.2%) and yards per attempt (8.0). And of course, Jackson provided plenty of fantasy value as a runner, with 821 rushing yards and five TD runs. Jackson finished QB4 in fantasy scoring in 2023 despite being held out of the season finale, and he had a spectacular stretch run for his fantasy managers, averaging 27.8 fantasy points per game in Weeks 14-17. Jackson will once again take his rightful place on the top QB tier for 2024 fantasy drafts.
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30.
Patrick Mahomes II
QB - KC
Could Patrick Mahomes be a bargain in 2024 fantasy drafts? That will be a distinct possibility if enough fantasy managers are scared off by a disappointing 2023 campaign in which Mahomes finished QB8 in fantasy scoring. Mahomes averaged 261.4 passing yards per game last season, the fewest in his six years as the Chiefs' starting quarterback. He also hit a six-year low in yards per attempt (6.9) and touchdown rate (4.0%). Mahomes is too good to have "lost it." The easy explanation is that Mahomes simply didn't have enough pass-catching firepower. Chiefs TE Travis Kelce is 34 and may have reached the slowdown phase of his career. WR Rashee Rice put up good numbers in 2023, but Rice is a non-traditional receiver who had an average depth of target of only 4.8 yards and made his living off schemed-up receptions. Kansas City has added a couple of quality receivers, signing Marquise Brown and spending a first-round pick on Xavier Worthy, so Mahomes should be back in business. We are, after all, talking about a player who's won two MVP awards, has had two 5,000-yard passing seasons and has had a 50-TD season. Mahomes is on the shortlist of the best pure passers to ever play in the NFL. Fade him at your own peril.
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31.
DK Metcalf
WR - SEA
D.K. Metcalf finished 2023 with 66 receptions on 119 targets (23% target share), accumulating 1,114 yards and over 1,500 air yards (40% air yards share, 14th), averaging 16.9 yards per reception as the WR16 overall. 22nd in weighted opportunity. His longest catch of the season was a notable 73-yard play. He demonstrated his big-play capability with 37 receptions of 20+ yards (10th) and finished 20th in points per game (12.0). Metcalf scored 8 touchdowns, underlining his scoring prowess over 16 games with the 5th-most end-zone targets (15). He missed the first game of his NFL career in 2023. He's an Iron Man and a staple of consistency as high-end fantasy WR2.
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32.
Josh Jacobs
RB - GB
Well, if you had worries about Josh Jacobs following up his nearly 400-touch season in 2022 with a dud last year, your fears were validated. Jacobs was limited to 13 games played (quad strain in Week 13) and looked like someone sucked out his tackle-breaking ability with a straw when he was active. Jacobs wasn't the same guy who, in 2022, ranked 18th in yards per touch, 13th in yards created per touch, and second in evaded tackles. Last season, Jacobs had the 12th-highest stuff rate while also crawling in at 37th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 44th in yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). He enters the Green Bay Packers' depth chart as the clear and unquestioned RB1 with Aaron Jones gone and A.J. Dillon unlikely to return. Jacobs could be this season's Rachaad White. A back who has an elite role while producing mediocre tackle-breaking stats en route to an RB1 season.
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33.
Drake London
WR - ATL
Drake London's usage numbers were strong in 2023, commanding a 23% target share and 31% air yards share. Over 1,200 air yards, 69 catches and 905 receiving yards, but with just 2 TDs. The lack of TDs positioned London as the WR39 overall, averaging just 8.7 points per game (WR46). Like many WRs, London's ceiling cannot be realized unless the Falcons improve their QB play. Until that happens, he's a talented real-life WR relegated to fantasy WR3 status. Hello, Kirk Cousins and (Michael Penix Jr.)
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34.
Travis Kelce
TE - KC
Once the gold standard at the TE position, Travis Kelce will still be the overall TE1 for a lot of people in 2024 fantasy drafts, but he will no longer be a unanimous choice. Kelce finished the 2023 regular season for 93-984-5. That would be a terrific season for any other tight end, but it was the first time since 2015 that Kelce fell short of 1,000 yards. The statistical decline suggests that the 34-year-old Kelce is starting to slow down, But then Kelce went on a postseason rampage, with 32-355-3 in four playoff games. Obviously, playing with QB Patrick Mahomes is a big plus for any pass catcher. Kelce might not be a first-round pick in fantasy leagues anymore, but he's still an immensely valuable asset.
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35.
Jaylen Waddle
WR - MIA
Tyreek Hill will be at the top of nearly every single fantasy football draft, whereas Jaylen Waddle will be drafted much later than in 2024 after his worst professional season to date. WR34 overall and WR24 in points per game (11.6). He still managed over 1,000 receiving yards in 14 games but he scored just 4 times. But his 24% target share was still excellent. He also posted his highest yards per route run (6th) and PFF receiving grade of his career (5th). Probably a sharp buy-low candidate.
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36.
De'Von Achane
RB - MIA
Achane was part of the new wave of explosive young rushers to hit the scene last season. He finished as the RB5 in fantasy points per game. In the eight games he played at least 41% of the snaps, Achane averaged 14.2 touches and 113.8 total yards. Any fantasy gamer who falls in love with efficiency stats will love Achane. He was so damn good last year, ranking first in explosive run rate, third in missed tackles forced per attempt, and second in yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). If he can overtake Raheem Mostert as the team's primary goal-line rusher, Achane could finish as a top-three back in 2024.
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37.
Isiah Pacheco
RB - KC
Pacheco settled in a strong RB2 last season (RB14), but he could have even more upside in 2024 if the team doesn't retain Jerick McKinnon. In the four games he played without McKinnon active, Pachecho averaged 20.2 touches and 100.7 total yards. He was Kansas City's workhorse, as he played at least 70% of the snaps in three of those four games. The second-year back rewarded their faith in him as he was 12th in explosive run rate and 26th in yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). Among 48 qualifying backs, he also ranked 28th in yards per route run. Pacheco had plenty of high-leverage usage last season, ranking seventh in red zone touches and third on Kansas City in red zone targets. He's a solid RB2 who could easily run hot with touchdowns and climb into the RB1 category in 2024.
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38.
Amari Cooper
WR - CLE
Amari Cooper's season-long statistics were impressive during the fantasy football season despite playing with 4 different QBs. 10th in yards (1,250) and tied for second behind only Tyreek Hill in 20 yards gains (42). 10th-highest air yards share at 41%.
17th in points per game (12.7) as the WR18 overall through 17 games. But projecting Cooper ahead, we can look at his 5-game splits with Deshaun Watson has his QB. 23% target share, 42% air yards share were in-line with his full season long usage numbers. Averaged just under 100 receiving yards per game. 14.8 fantasy points per game (6th) and 15.7 expected fantasy points per game (15th). |
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39.
Michael Pittman Jr.
WR - IND
Michael Pittman Jr. proved his alpha status all year long in the Colts offense with 109 receptions (7th) on 156 targets, accumulating 1,152 yards, averaging 10.6 yards per catch. Like Josh Downs, he had an equally bad TD production with only 4 TDs. Even so, in 16 games, racking up 195.7 fantasy points (WR15 overall), which averages out to 12.2 points per game (WR19). Nearly 1300 air yards (33% air yards share), with a 30% target share to boot - 4th-highest among all WRs. Pittman comes with a super-high floor that could be further unlocked with better TD variance in 2024. He will return to the Colts after signing a long-term contract extension.
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40.
Rachaad White
RB - TB
Rachaad White was Leonard Fournette 2.0 for Tampa Bay last season. An inefficient rusher whose pass game role and every down snap share vaults them to RB1 land. Last year, White was the RB10 in fantasy, ranking fourth in snap share, seventh in opportunity share, and fourth in weighted opportunities. He also ranked top-ten in carries (second), targets (ninth), and red zone touches (ninth). White didn't do nearly as much with that volume as we'd hoped. Among 49 qualifying backs, White ranked 42nd in missed tackles forced per attempt, 40th in explosive run rate, and 45th in yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). While he was eighth in overall target volume among running backs, he was only 43rd in targets per route run and 18th in yards per route run. White could easily roll back into 2024 as the Bucs do it all back, but don't be surprised if the team drafts a running back to help him shoulder the load.
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41.
Kenneth Walker III
RB - SEA
Walker continues to hum along as a dependable RB2 in fantasy (RB20 last season) despite dealing with a myriad of injuries in 2023. Walker worked through a bruised shoulder, a strained oblique, a chest issue, and a tender calf last season. This didn't stop him from averaging 17.3 touches and 82 total yards in the 14 games that he played at least 41% of the snaps. Walker remains one of the best pure rushers in the game while sitting at fourth in missed tackles forced per attempt and 26th in explosive run rate last season (minimum 50 carries per Fantasy Points Data). Zach Charbonnet will continue to be a weekly worry as he siphons off red zone and pass game work, but Walker should still lead the backfield in touches this year.
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42.
DeVonta Smith
WR - PHI
Over the last two seasons, DeVonta Smith has FEASTED when A.J. Brown or Dallas Goedert has missed games. This season, Smith was WR16 from Weeks 11-18 after DG got hurt. Including the postseason, Smith averaged 13.6 points per game (backend fantasy WR1 numbers). But before Week 11, Smith was WR25 overall averaging 10.9 points per game (WR29). Again, Smith's talent is undeniable, but it's clear that for him to be a fantasy WR1, somebody else in the Eagles passing game has to take a step back. Overall, Smith finished the year 20th in points per game (12.2) with a 24% target share.
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43.
Tee Higgins
WR - CIN
Tee Higgins recorded 42 receptions from 76 targets, covering 656 yards with a notable average of 15.6 yards per reception. Demonstrating his big-play ability, Higgins had 14 receptions of 20+ yards to go along with a team-high 37% air yards share (17th) on just an 18% target share. He scored 5 touchdowns. Playing in 12 games, Higgins accumulated 116.6 fantasy points, averaging 9.7 points per game (WR40). He dealt with injuries throughout the season and failed to finish as a fantasy WR2 for the first time in the last three seasons. Ergo, 2023 stands out like a complete outlier for the 25-year-old WR, who will likely play for the Bengals for one more season after being franchise-tagged. The command of air yards shows that Higgins is still a dominant downfield receiver, as are the 4 games where he scored 20-plus fantasy points.
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44.
Joe Mixon
RB - HOU
Joe Mixon and Rachaad White were the Spiderman GIF last season. Both were exceptionally inefficient runners who survived on volume and passing game work. Mixon was the RB11 last season, ranking eighth in snap share, third in opportunity share, and seventh in weighted opportunities. He was whopping fifth in carries and 13th in targets as Cincinnati worked in Chase Brown only sparingly. He has the opportunity to reprise that same workload in Houston. With only Dameon Pierce, J.J. Taylor, and Gerrid Doaks behind Mixon, he should be the unquestioned bellcow for the Texans in 2024. Last season, Mixon's per-touch efficiency was horrendous. He was 36th in yards per touch, 35th in yards created per touch, and 41st in breakaway run rate. That didn't stop him from being an RB1 last year, and it likely won't this season.
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45.
C.J. Stroud
QB - HOU
A magnificent rookie season for C.J. Stroud has fans and fantasy managers clamoring for more in 2024, and the trade that brought WR Stefon Diggs to the Texans gives the young quarterback one of the best sets of pass catchers in the league. The second overall pick of the 2023 NFL Draft behind Bryce Young, Stroud was a revelation in his first NFL season, throwing for 4,108 yards and 23 touchdowns in 15 games. Stroud ranked third in the league in passing yardage per game (273.9) among QBs with at least six starts, third in yards per attempt (8.2), sixth in passer rating (101.8) and first in interception percentage (1.0%). The future looks bright for Stroud, who, in addition to Diggs, can also leverage the talents of exciting young WRs Nico Collins and Tank Dell. Stroud doesn't provide a great deal of rushing value, with only 167 rushing yards and three TD runs, but his proficiency as a passer will make him a coveted fantasy asset in 2024 drafts.
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46.
Stefon Diggs
WR - HOU
2023 was a terrible year for Stefon Diggs. He was WR10 overall, but he averaged just 13 points per game as the WR15 in half-point scoring. And his lackluster finish is what had fantasy football gamers pulling their hair out. From Week 10 onward, Diggs was the WR45 averaging a meager 7.3 points and 42 receiving yards per game. This was right around the time the Bills swapped Joe Brady as their new offensive coordinator as Ken Dorsey was fired after Week 10's loss to the Denver Broncos. And it's not like Diggs wasn't seeing opportunities. On the year, the Bills' polarizing WR finished just below a 30% target share with over 1,800 air yards. 12th overall in weighted opportunity. Even during the bad finish, Diggs still had a 25% target share and strong route participation at 85%. That makes it tough to draft Diggs confidently coming off career-lows across the board entering his age 31 season. Even with C.J. Stroud as his QB, competition from both Tank Dell and Nico Collins could mark the end of Diggs' alpha WR status in fantasy football.
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47.
Cooper Kupp
WR - LAR
Many will point to the injuries Cooper Kupp has dealt with throughout the season, as a reason to be concerned about him moving forward. He hasn't looked like himself all season and he will be 31 in 2024. A lot of his production was salvaged by his 5 receiving TDs. Posted a career-low yards per route run (1.77). Kupp was WR27 in points per game in 2023 despite a 26% target share.
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48.
Mark Andrews
TE - BAL
An ankle injury in Week 11 ended Mark Andrews' regular season prematurely, but before he went down, he was having a characteristically productive season, ranking fourth among tight ends in fantasy scoring. Andrews' yearly finishes in fantasy points per game (0.5 PPR) since his second-year breakout in 2019: TE4, TE4, TE1, TE3, TE4. Over that fruitful five-year run, he's averaged 4.9 receptions, 60.6 receiving yards and 0.5 touchdowns per game. Andrews should once again be a prominent contributor in the Baltimore passing attack in 2024 and should be one of the first five tight ends to come off the board in fantasy drafts.
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49.
James Cook
RB - BUF
Cook looks like a locked-in RB1 in 2024. After Joe Brady took over as the Bills' offensive coordinator, his season took off. In Weeks 11-18, Cook was the RB11, averaging 19.6 touches and 104.3 total yards per game. Yes, he only played more than 60% of the snaps twice during that stretch, but it didn't matter. When he was on the field, he was being fed the rock, and his pass game usage skyrocketed. After Week 10, he was 16th in target share (11.4%) among 34 qualifying backs while also ranking 10th in TPRR, fourth in receiving yards per game, and second in YPRR. The touchdown worries and red zone usage remain concerning. In the final seven games of the season, he did lead the running back room with a 48.1% snap rate inside the 20, but that number ranked 32nd out of 61 qualifying backs.
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50.
Tank Dell
WR - HOU
Tank Dell posted an identical air yards share to Nico Collins (31%) while falling just short in target share (21%). Note that Dell posted over 1,000 air yards in just 10 games played.
In those games, Dell posted a 20.5% target share, 33% air yards share and 14.2 points per game. In the 8 games, Collins and Dell played together - each missed a game with injury - the production was nearly identical. 13.9 points per game for Collins and 14 points per game for Dell. |
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51.
Anthony Richardson
QB - IND
Injuries limited Anthony Richardson to just four games in his rookie season, but that appetizer-sized portion of Richardson left fantasy managers craving an entree-sized portion in 2024. Richardson went on injured reserve in October after sustaining a grade-3 AC joint sprain in Week 5. He also missed a game after a Week 2 concussion. But in the two full games he played, Richardson was dazzling, with 21.9 fantasy points in Week 1 and 29.6 points in Week 4, good for weekly fantasy finishes of QB4 and QB2. Richardson had three TD passes and four TD runs. He averaged 0.43 fantasy points per snap. Putting that into perspective, Josh Allen, who led all QBs in fantasy scoring, averaged 0.36 fantasy points per snap. The 6-4, 244-pound Richardson has a rare combination of size and speed that makes him one of the best running QBs in the league. And based on the small 2023 sample, he may be a more advanced passer than he was billed as in the run-up to the 2023 NFL Draft. Richardson's fantasy stock is ready to soar.
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52.
George Pickens
WR - PIT
In four games with Mason Rudolph, George Pickens averaged a 24% target share, 44% air yards share, 14.6 fantasy points (backend fantasy WR1 numbers) and nearly 100 receiving yards per game. On the year, Pickens hauled in 63 receptions from 106 targets, accumulating 1,140 yards, which translated to a remarkable 18.1 yards per reception Weeks 1-18. Pickens closed out the season with 177.3 fantasy points, which gave him an impressive average of 10.3 points per game, ranking him 33rd among wide receivers in points per game. He finished with a 24% target share (6.5 targets per game) and 41% air yards share (13th in total air yards). Pickens offers a lot of upside if Pittsburgh can find the right guy under center. Russell Wilson offers much more upside than Kenny Pickett, given he is a threat to the throw the ball downfield (8th in deep ball rate in 2023). Pickens also will be true alpha in 2024, with Diontae Johnson traded to the Panthers. During the first 5 weeks of the 2023 season with DJ sidelined, Pickens was the WR13 in fantasy averaging 12.8 points per game (19th) with a 43% air yards share and 24% target share. Averaged nearly 80 receiving yards per game.
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53.
David Montgomery
RB - DET
David Montgomery wrapped up his first season in Detroit as a resounding success in real-life football and fantasy. He was the RB15 in fantasy as he managed the second 1,000-yard rushing season of his NFL career. Montgomery did see his volume limited down the stretch some, as he averaged 15 touches and 75.7 total yards after his return in Week 10. He'll continue to share the backfield load with Jahmyr Gibbs weekly, but in one of the best offenses in the NFL, that shouldn't be a massive worry for his 2024 outlook. Montgomery will be the early down hammer (19th in missed tackles forced per attempt, per Fantasy Points Data) and be plenty involved in the red zone. Last season, he was 15th in carries and fifth in red zone touches as he scored 13 touchdowns (fourth-most).
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54.
Malik Nabers
WR - NYG
Malik Nabers, emerging from a robust 3-year stint at LSU, led all college wide receivers with 86 receptions, 1,546 yards, and 14 touchdowns during his junior year, boasting a 34% dominator rating. Over his collegiate career, he totaled 186 receptions for 2,983 yards and 21 touchdowns, marked by a standout 28% career college dominator rating-third among 2024 draft class WRs. Notably, Nabers broke out as a freshman at 18, indicating significant potential for early professional success. Now with the New York Giants, he is poised to become the team's top receiver from the outset. His ability to generate yards after the catch (YAC) reassures concerns about the team's quarterback situation, enhancing his fantasy value.
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55.
Joe Burrow
QB - CIN
If Joe Burrow gets a full season of good health in 2024, he'll likely be one of the more valuable fantasy assets at the QB position. The 2023 season was a frustrating one for Burrow, who got off to a slow start due in part to a calf injury he sustained in training camp, then went on injured reserve in mid-November with a wrist injury. Four games into the 2023 season, with his ailing calf clearly hindering his mobility and perhaps his throwing mechanics, Burrow was QB31 in fantasy scoring averaging 8.4 fantasy points per game. Then he caught fire, averaging 296.0 yards and 2.4 TD passes over a five-game stretch from Week 5 to Week 10 in which he was QB4 in fantasy points per game. That's the Burrow we hope to see in 2024 if his health cooperates. He'll once again get to work with his longtime LSU and Bengals teammate Ja'Marr Chase, one of the finest wide receivers in the game, not to mention high-quality No. 2 receiver Tee Higgins.
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56.
Zay Flowers
WR - BAL
Rookie Zay Flowers emerged as Lamar Jackson's top target, hauling in 5 of his 8 targets (24% target share) for 115 yards and scoring the Ravens' lone receiving touchdown on a spectacular 54-yard play. As he has done all season, he was the clear-cut No. 1 WR for Baltimore. Flowers led the Ravens in air yards/target share (24%) in 2023, totaling over 1,000 air yards, 1,000 receiving yards and 6 receiving TDs (plus one rushing TD) on 86 catches in 18 games played in 2023. Although his final stat line as the WR29 overall and WR31 in points per game (10.7) suggest he left some production on the table. He finished 11th in route participation among all WRs (88%). Only 3 WRs with a route participation that high finished with fewer than 11 points per game.
Note that Flowers is reportedly under investigation for an alleged possible domestic assault, but he has not been charged with any crime at this time. |
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57.
Dak Prescott
QB - DAL
After a disappointing, injury-marred season in 2022, Dak Prescott rebounded with perhaps the finest season of his career in 2023. Prescott led all NFL quarterbacks in touchdown passes (36) and completions (410) last season and finished QB3 in fantasy scoring. Although he doesn't offer a great deal of value as a runner, Prescott is one of the better pure passers in the game. In 2023, he ranked second in completion percentage (69.5%) among QBs with at least six starts, second in passer rating (105.9) and sixth in yards per attempt (7.7). Prescott benefits from playing with CeeDee Lamb, one of the best young receivers in the game.
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58.
Trey McBride
TE - ARI
Trey McBride had an impressive second-year breakout in 2023, finishing with 81 catches for 825 yards and three touchdowns, good for a TE7 fantasy finish in PPR scoring. McBride's 2023 season got off to a slow start. He had two or fewer catches in each of his first five games, and after seven weeks he was TE30 in PPR fantasy scoring. Then, Cardinals TE Zach Ertz went on IR with a quad injury, and McBride caught fire in an expanded role. From Week 8 on, McBride was TE3 in PPR scoring, averaging 6.6 catches and 65.5 receiving yards per game. McBride became the go-to receiver for An Arizona offense thin on talent at the WR position. The Cardinals took WR Marvin Harrison Jr. with the fourth overall pick of the NFL Draft, but the talented McBride figures to be the No. 2 target in the Arizona offense and a high-end fantasy tight end for years to come,
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59.
Rashee Rice
WR - KC
Rashee Rice caught 105 balls for 1,200 yards in 20 games played in 2023 with 8 receiving TDs (19% target share). The former standout from SMU averaged 10.9 fantasy points per game - 29th. His role grew substantially after Week 6, and the rookie delivered averaging 12.1 points per game - placing him firmly inside the top 20. Rice finished the year with a 28% target rate per route run - 13th among all WRs last season. He was Patrick Mahomes's primary underneath option with the lowest average depth of target in the NFL among WRs (5.2). Rice finished the season 6th in targets inside the 10-yard line - more than Travis Kelce. The only "concern" for the Chiefs WR entering Year 2 is that Kansas City will be a favorite team to add more competition at the WR position. So far they have added Marquise Brown. And given Rice's new legal situation, he will likely be facing a mulit-game suspension, shrouding his availability for the start of the 2024 NFL season.
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60.
Kyler Murray
QB - ARI
A dangerous dual-threat quarterback, Kyler Murray will enter the 2024 season more than a year removed from the torn ACL that prematurely ended his 2022 season and delayed his first start of 2023 until Week 10. Since entering the NFL in 2019, Murray has averaged 20.9 fantasy points per game. We saw his ceiling in 2020, when Murray averaged 24.4 fantasy points per game and finished QB2 in fantasy scoring behind only Josh Allen. Murray is a decent passer, with a career completion percentage of 66.6% and a career average of 7.0 yards per pass attempt. But he is an exceptional runner who's averaged 37.7 rushing yards per game over his career and has 26 touchdown runs in 65 games. The Cardinals bolstered a below-average WR corps by spending the No. 4 pick in the NFL Draft on Marvin Harrison Jr., and the 2023 emergence of TE Trey McBride as a pass catcher should help give Murray sufficient pass-catching firepower.
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61.
Christian Kirk
WR - JAC
Christian Kirk played an integral role in the Jaguars' passing game, with 57 receptions on 85 targets (21% target share) for 787 yards, averaging 13.8 yards per catch. Kirk found the end zone 3 times during the season. In 12 games, Kirk accumulated 121.8 fantasy points, averaging 11 points per game, positioning him as a reliable flex option in fantasy leagues. WR28 in points per game. When he and Calvin Ridley were both healthy, Kirk posted the higher target share at 21% as the WR23 overall. With Ridley replaced by the "can't earn targets" Gabe Davis and 1st-round rookie Brian Thomas Jr., Kirk projects as the WR1 in the Jaguars offense in target volume.
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62.
Aaron Jones
RB - MIN
Father Time comes calling for all of us. The hope for Aaron Jones is that he can keep him at bay for one more year. Last season, Jones objectively wasn't healthy until the end of the season. Luckily for him, when he was healthy, we got to see that Jones has plenty left in the tank to consider reinvesting in him in fantasy for one more season. In Weeks 15-20, Jones averaged 21.6 touches and 120.3 total yards as he was a weekly stud. During that same stretch, among 47 qualifying backs, he was eighth in explosive run rate and 10th in yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). Jones should lead the Vikings backfield in 2024 as an RB2 with RB1 upside if he can stay healthy.
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63.
James Conner
RB - ARI
James Conner is like a finely aged bourbon. He keeps getting better as the years are piling up. Since he arrived in Arizona, he has finished as the RB7, RB9, and RB13 in fantasy points per game. On a per-touch basis, last season might have been his best year to date. Despite ranking 21st in rushing attempts, he was sixth in rushing yards in the NFL. Conner showed no signs that Father Time was starting to creep in as he ranked seventh in explosive run rate, eighth in missed tackles forced per attempt, and fifth in yards after contact per attempt. He should reprise his role as Arizona's workhorse back in 2024 in what should be an improved offense with a full season of Kyler Murray under center. Conner is an easy top 15 back for this year who could be a monster value high-end RB1 if everything breaks right.
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64.
Jayden Reed
WR - GB
I loved Jayden Reed coming out as a prospect and his rookie campaign makes me excited for what the future holds. He didn't always play a full-time role as the team's primary slot WR - sub 60% route participation - but he was always targeted heavily with a 25% target rate per route run. He also led all Packers WRs in fantasy points per game at 10.6 - good for WR31 status this past season. He averaged just under 2 yards per route run with ten total touchdowns scored.
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65.
Keenan Allen
WR - CHI
Keenan Allen was a league winner. Third in points per game. WR8 overall. 3rd in target share at 31%. He will be 32 in 2024. In yet, he showed no signs of slowing down with Justin Herbert as his QB. But he will face new challenges in 2024, after being traded to the Bears for a 4th-round pick. Allen himself is hurt by the transaction, given the massive downgrade in QB play, while he battles father time past age 30. Allen's avoided the age cliff up to this point, but a brand new situation with rookie Caleb Williams could be the beginning of his downfall. Rome Odunze and D.J. Moore will be stiff target competition.
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66.
Calvin Ridley
WR - TEN
Calvin Ridley secured a pivotal role in the Jaguars' offense, catching 76 passes on 136 targets for 1,016 yards, averaging 13.4 yards per reception. Nearly 1,800 air yards on a 22.5% target share and 36% air yards share. He scored 8 touchdowns.
Across 17 games, he totaled 191.9 fantasy points, averaging 11.3 points per game, making him a solid WR2 in fantasy formats. WR17 overall but WR26 in points per game. Ridley led the entire NFL in end zone targets (24). He was the WR10 in expected fantasy points per game. But he never fully took advantage of his elite opportunities to churn out a fantasy WR1 season. He signed with the Titans as a free agent, to be their new WR1 alongside DeAndre Hopkins. Hopkins was a fringe fantasy WR1 in ppg with Will Levis at QB albeit in a run-heavy offense. Ridley's going to continue to have spiked weeks of production in a more pass-heavy centric offense heralded by new head coach Brian Callahan. Assuming that the Titans don't draft a top-tier rookie WR - still very much in play as Hopkins enters the final year of his career - a concentrated target share between Hopkins/Ridley would be ideal for fantasy purposes. It's possible that Tennessee might not value the TE position, given the Bengals' lack of TE production under Callahan the last several years. |
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67.
Alvin Kamara
RB - NO
Alvin Kamara retained his every-down role last year despite the team drafting Kendre Miller. Miller spent most of his rookie season on the injury report, so we'll see if Kamara can hold him off in 2024, but at least expect Kamara to be a workhorse (maybe not a bellcow). Last year, Kamara was tenth in opportunity share, eighth in weighed opportunities, and ninth in red zone touches. While Karmara's rushing prowess took another massive hit (40th out of 49 qualifying backs in missed tackles forced per attempt per Fantasy Points Data), his receiving chops remained strong. Last year, out of 60 qualifying backs, he ranked first in target share (18.1%) and sixth in yards per route run. Kamara might not have the same bounce in his step as he did during the Drew Brees era, but his pass game and high-leverage usage in 2024 should keep him firmly planted in the RB1 ranks.
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68.
Rhamondre Stevenson
RB - NE
To say Rhamondre Stevenson's 2023 season was a disappointment would be an understatement. Stevenson was the RB10 in 2022, averaging 86 total yards per game, but he couldn't come close to those numbers last year, finishing as the RB27 in fantasy points per game with 71.4 total yards per game. Stevenson's overall numbers stunk, but if we look further into how his season played out, there's hope for 2024. In Weeks 1-8, among 39 qualifying backs (minimum 50 rushing attempts per Fantasy Points Data), he ranked 33rd in missed tackles forced per attempt and 38th in yards after contact per attempt. In Weeks 9-13 (Stevenson missed the remainder of the season due to a high ankle sprain), he looked like the stud that we thought we were getting for the entire season. In that four-game stretch (minimum 25 carries), among 48 qualifying backs, he ranked 13th in missed tackles forced per attempt and third in yards after contact per attempt. Stevenson could easily bounce back this season and be the hero for Zero RB drafters. With only Kevin Harris, JaMycal Hasty, and Ke'Shawn Vaughn on the roster, Stevenson should be the leader of this running back room with bell-cow upside.
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69.
Najee Harris
RB - PIT
Harris finished last season with his third consecutive season with at least 1,000 rushing yards, eight total touchdowns, and 1,200 total yards, and still, it felt like a huge disappointment. Harris was the RB30, ranking 29th in snap share and 26th in opportunity share as he split with Jaylen Warren. Harris still finished sixth in carries and eighth in red zone touches among backs, but he saw his pass game usage plummet with only a 7.9% target share (33rd) while ranking 49th in route participation. Harris's stats were helped by the fact that Pittsburgh leaned heavily on the run down the stretch. This could happen again in 2024, depending on what the team does at quarterback, but it's not for certain, and don't be surprised if Warren eats into Harris's work further. Harris is an RB3/flex option in 2024.
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70.
Jordan Love
QB - GB
Jordan Love's first full season as an NFL starter raised hopes that he can be one of the better quarterbacks in the league for years to come. After an uneven start to his 2023 season, Love caught fire. Over his first nine starts, Love was averaging 223.2 passing yards per game, with 14 TD passes, 10 interceptions, a 58.7% completion rate and an average of 6.7 yards per attempt. Over his last eight starts of the 2023 regular season, Love averaged 268.8 passing yards per game, with 18 TD passes, one interception, a 70.3% completion percentage and 7.7 yards per attempt. He then went out and dissected the Cowboys in a wild-card game, completing 16-of-21 passes for 272 yards and three TDs. Love adds some value as a runner (247 rushing yards and four TD runs in 2023), and he has a gaggle of good young pass catchers. The future is bright for the Packers' heir apparent at quarterback.
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71.
Zamir White
RB - LV
Zamir White proved capable of carrying the mail last year. He could easily walk into 2024 as the Raiders' workhorse. In Weeks 15-18, he averaged 23.3 touches and 114.3 total yards as the RB12 in fantasy points per game. During this cup of coffee as the team's starter, among 41 qualifying backs, he ranked 13th in explosive run rate, sixth in yards after contact per attempt and 17th in success rate. With Josh Jacobs heading to Cheesehead town, White should be a volume-driven RB2 with upside for more in 2024.
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72.
George Kittle
TE - SF
If you value week-to-week consistency, George Kittle might not be the tight end for you. But if you're an adrenaline-fueled roller coaster enthusiast, Kittle is your guy. In 2023, Kittle had seven games in which he produced 16 or more PPR points and six games in which he produced 6 or fewer PPR points. The drawback with Kittle is that he doesn't see as many targets as other top tight ends. Over the last three seasons, Travis Kelce has averaged 8.5 targets a game, Mark Andrews has averaged 7.8, and Kittle has averaged 6.0. Kittle's well-rounded skill set can actually be a hindrance, since the 49ers like to leverage his exceptional blocking ability. But Kittle is quite a pass catcher, too. He's topped 1,000 receiving yards in three of the last six years and has averaged 9.8 yards per target for his career -- almost a full yard better than Kelce's career average of 8.9 yards per target. The TE5 in fantasy scoring last season, Kittle will again be a good bet for a top-five positional fantasy finish in 2024. Just realize it might not always be a smooth trip.
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73.
D'Andre Swift
RB - CHI
D'Andre Swift lands in Chicago with a contract that is large enough to consider him the clear starter for the Bears. Khalil Herbert and Roschon Johnson had their moments last season, but the aggression and contact size for Chicago speak volumes about how they feel about those two rushers. The Bears obviously felt that an upgrade was warranted. Swift ranked 17th in explosive run rate last season while disappointing in other tackle-breaking metrics as the RB24 in fantasy. Among 49 qualifying backs last season, Swift ranked 40th in yards after contact per attempt and 30th in missed tackles forced per attempt. Swift should be a solid RB2 in 2024.
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74.
Terry McLaurin
WR - WAS
With a final tally of 79 receptions on 132 targets, Terry McLaurin accrued 1,002 receiving yards, averaging 12.7 yards per reception. His longest reception was a 48-yard catch, contributing to his total of 23 catches of 20+ yards. He found the end zone 4 times, finishing the season with 163.7 fantasy points in half-PPR scoring, which placed him at 32nd overall among wide receivers and 41st in points per game with 9.6. McLaurin's utilization in the offensive scheme was reflected in his air yards metrics - he held the 23rd spot in air yards share with 35%, emphasizing his role as a deep threat in the team's offense. His total air yards exceeded 1500, ranking him 13th league-wide, a testament to the Commanders' trust in him to stretch the field. While his touchdowns could see an uptick with better quarterback play or offensive scheme changes, his steady reception and yardage totals make him a reliable WR2/3 at worst in 2024.
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75.
Tony Pollard
RB - TEN
I'll own the L here. Tony Pollard was a massive disappointment last year. He went from being one of the most explosive backs in the NFL to a rusher that left a ton of yards on the field. Pollard got the role that we all wanted last season, ranking seventh in snap share, 13th in opportunity share, and second in red zone touches. He was a volume-eating machine, ranking seventh in carries and 11th in targets among backs, but he did very little with the work. Pollard was the RB11 in expected fantasy points per game, but he was the RB23 in fantasy points per game. He was 44th in yards per touch and 37th in yards created per touch. Some of this could easily be due to the injury he sustained in the prior season because his numbers down the stretch were much better. In Weeks 11-18, among 44 qualifying backs, Pollard ranked 15th in yards after contact per attempt, so there's hope that he bounces back in 2024 with a full offseason to get back to 100%. Tennessee isn't the sexiest landing spot for Pollard, but considering the contract size and length and the team's yearning to move quickly to acquire his services, he should be considered their lead back in 2024. Tyjae Spears will push him at every turn, but money talks, and Pollard got it this offseason.
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76.
Brock Purdy
QB - SF
If there were any doubts about Brock Purdy's QB bona fides following his partial-season success in 2022, he dispelled them with an excellent performance in 2023. Purdy led all NFL quarterbacks in yards per attempt (9.6), passer rating (113.0) and QBR (72.8). He also led the league in touchdown rate (7.0%), although naysayers might suggest that such a high TD rate is destined for regression. Purdy has the benefit of an ideal ecosystem, with Kyle Shanahan as his playcaller and Christian McCaffrey, Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk and George Kittle as his pass catchers. After finishing QB7 in fantasy scoring in 2023, Purdy is destined to be a top-12 fantasy quarterback in 2024 drafts.
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77.
Raheem Mostert
RB - MIA
Raise your hand if you saw Raheem Mostert finishing last season as the RB4 in fantasy with 21 total touchdowns. Funny...I don't see any hands raised. Weird. Mostert thrived as the Dolphins' primary back, playing 15 games and finishing with 234 touches and almost 1,200 total yards. Yes, Mostert played in an explosive offense with plenty of touchdown opportunities propping up his fantasy value, but he was also stellar on a per-touch basis. Mostert finished 17th in yards per touch, sixth in explosive run rate, and 11th in missed tackles forced per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). We'll see if he can hold off Devon Achane for another season as Miami's workhorse, but he should still be a consistent contributor with RB1/2 upside.
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78.
Nick Chubb
RB - CLE
Chubb's 2023 season was cut short in Week 2 due to a gruesome injury. I don't want to say the deck is stacked against Chubb to be a meaningful contributor in 2024, but it won't be a cakewalk. Chubb will be entering his age-29 season, and while (with the pay cut) he'll be staying with the Browns, it's tough to count on him as anything more than a dart throw RB3 for 2024.
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79.
Tua Tagovailoa
QB - MIA
Let's start with a bit of good news: After sustaining multiple concussions in 2022 that left doubts about his NFL future, Tua Tagovailoa made it through the 2023 season concussion-free. But after a hot start last season, Tua cooled off considerably over the second half. Over the first eight weeks of the 2023 season, Tua was QB5 in fantasy scoring, averaging 302.0 passing yards and 2.3 TD passes per game, and producing more than 20 fantasy points four times. From Week 9 on, Tua was QB20 in fantasy scoring, averaging 245.3 passing yards and 1.2 TD passes per game. The drop-off concerning, but there's still a lot to like here. Tua has a terrific WR duo in Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, along with an innovative playcaller in head coach Mike McDaniel. Tua adds zero rushing value, but he's shown us a lofty ceiling as a passer. It's just a matter of whether he can perform at a high level for a full season.
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80.
Jordan Addison
WR - MIN
Jordan Addison ended the season with 70 receptions on 108 targets, amassing 911 yards at an average of 13 yards per reception. His long play of the season was a 62-yard catch. He was particularly effective in the red zone, scoring 10 touchdowns (5th) on a 17% target share. Totaled over 1,300 air yards. He played in all 17 games, contributing consistently to the Vikings' offense, with a total of 186.3 fantasy points, averaging about 11 points per game (WR28). Addison averaged slightly more points per game 12.2 (22% target share and 4 TDs) versus 10.1 (6 TDs) with Justin Jefferson sidelined. Considering the team will likely be without T.J. Hockenson to start the 2024 season coming off a torn ACL/MCL, Addison initially looked like a strong bet to return early low-end WR2 value in Year 2. However his stock will be hurt without Kirk Cousins under center in 2024.
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81.
Kyle Pitts
TE - ATL
Kyle Pitts was regarded as one of the best TE prospects to enter the league in years when the Falcons drafted him No. 4 overall in 2021. But after debuting with a 68-catch, 1,026-yard season as a rookie, Pitts has been considered a disappointment the last two seasons. Pitts played 10 games in 2022 before a torn MCL ended his season prematurely. He ranked TE18 in PPR fantasy scoring when he went down, with 28 catches for 356 yards and two touchdowns. Last season, Pitts had 53 catches for 667 yards and three touchdowns, finishing TE13 in PPR scoring. There are reasons to be optimistic that Pitts will rebound in 2024. Arthur Smith, notorious for not getting the ball into the hands of his best playmakers, was dismissed as Atlanta's head coach. Also, it's possible that Pitts was still bothered by the lingering effects of the knee injury, as we learned that he had also sustained PCL damage in addition to the MCL tear. The Falcons signed Kirk Cousins in the offseason, dramatically upgrading the QB position. Pitts has immense athletic talent and entered the league with a sterling college résumé. This might be a good time to buy in, with two dissatisfying seasons likely meaning a discounted price for Pitts in 2024 fantasy drafts.
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82.
David Njoku
TE - CLE
David Njoku was superb in in 2023, his seventh NFL season, establishing new single-season highs in receptions (81), receiving yards (882) and touchdowns (6). But Njoku was far more productive with Joe Flacco at quarterback than he was with Deshaun Watson and other QBs. In the six games he played with Flacco (including the playoffs), Njoku averaged 6.2 receptions and 80.5 receiving yards per game, and he had four TD catches. In 11 games with QBs other than Flacco, Njoku averaged 4.6 receptions and 44.7 receiving yards per game, and he had two TD catches. In the five full games Watson played, Njoku averaged 4.0 catches and 35.2 receiving yards a game, with one TD catch. Njoku is one of the most athletic tight ends in the league, and despite his ample NFL experience, he'll only be 28 when the new season begins. The question is whether Njoku can replicate the success he had with Flacco as his quarterback if the Browns, as expected, open the season with Watson as their starting QB.
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83.
Dalton Kincaid
TE - BUF
The first tight end selected in the 2023 NFL Draft, Dalton Kincaid had an uneven but promising rookie year, finishing with 73 catches for 673 yards and two touchdowns, good for a TE11 finish in PPR scoring. Kincaid was especially productive over a five-game midseason stretch when fellow Bills TE Dawson Knox was out with a wrist injury. With Knox on the shelf, Kincaid averaged 7.4 targets, 6.2 catches and 56.2 receiving yards per game. He also scored both of his touchdowns over that span. In games that Knox played, Kincaid averaged 4.9 targets, 3.8 catches and 35.6 receiving yards per game. Kincaid has considerable talent and plays with one of the NFL's best quarterbacks in Josh Allen. The Bills traded away WR Stefon Diggs and let WR Gabe Davis walk in free agency. They added WR Keon Coleman in the second round of the draft, but with Buffalo having so many vacated targets, Kincaid is poised to play an enhanced role in the Bills' passing game, making him one of the more desirable tight ends for fantasy.
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84.
Brian Robinson Jr.
RB - WAS
Brian Robinson's overall stat lines don't portray how good he was last season. Robinson was the RB14 in fantasy points per opportunity and the RB22 in fantasy points per game. He also stood out in efficiency categories, ranking 22nd in explosive run rate and 13th in yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). In the 12 games in which he played at least 40% of the snaps, Robinson averaged 15.5 touches and 77.9 total yards per game. He quietly displayed a three-down skillset last season, proving that he can play on passing downs, ranking fifth in yards per route run and 12th in PFF's pass-blocking grade (minimum 20 targets and 50 pass-blocking snaps). Robinson will have to fight Austin Ekeler for passing down snaps and red zone work as he settles into the RB3 zone for 2024.
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85.
DeAndre Hopkins
WR - TEN
DeAndre Hopkins showcased his elite receiving skills with 75 catches on 137 targets (28% target share), amassing 1,057 receiving yards, averaging 14.1 yards per reception. He proved to be a deep threat with a long reception of 61 yards and 27 catches of 20+ yards. 1,934 total air yards (42%) - the most of any WR during the regular season. Over 17 games, Hopkins scored a total of 186.1 fantasy points, averaging 10.9 points per game (29th) marking him as a dependable WR2 in fantasy lineups. WR22 overall. Specifically, with Will Levis under center, Hopkins posted a 27% target share, 46% air yards share and 13.4 fantasy points per game (WR13). And that came with a sub-50% catch rate. But with Calvin Ridley added to the fold as legitimate target competition, Hopkins' fantasy value takes a hit.
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86.
Rome Odunze
WR - CHI
Rome Odunze's tenure at Washington was characterized by steady progression, peaking in his junior year with 75 catches, 1,145 yards, and 7 TDs, and further elevating in 2023 with 81 receptions for 1,428 yards and 13 TDs, despite battling injuries. His senior performance earned him a spot on the AP first team and a career-high 33% dominator rating, placing him fourth in his draft class. Notably, Odunze had a breakout season at 19 during his sophomore year, underlining his early development. Drafted 9th overall by the Chicago Bears, he starts the season as the WR3 but has the potential to secure a more significant role as the year progresses. His blend of size, resilience, and early breakout age positions him as a promising fantasy asset.
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87.
Justin Herbert
QB - LAC
Justin Herbert's 2023 season ended after 13 games due to a broken index finger on his throwing hand. Before the injury, he had been providing fantasy managers with low-end QB1 value. Herbert's yearly finishes in fantasy points per game among quarterbacks (six starts minimum): QB7, QB2, QB15, QB10. It would be nice if Herbert could get back to the production level of his first two years in the league. Over the 2020 and 2021 seasons, Herbert averaged 292.2 passing yards, 2.2 TD passes and 23.1 fantasy points per game. Over the last two seasons, he's averaged 262.4 passing yards, 1.5 TD passes and 17.7 fantasy points per game. Herbert has exceptional arm talent and rushing upside, but the Chargers will presumably be run-heavy with new head coach Jim Harbaugh in charge and offensive coordinator Greg Roman calling the plays, potentially capping Herbert's fantasy upside.
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88.
Diontae Johnson
WR - CAR
Before the switch to Mason Rudolph from Week 7-13 (when Diontae Johnson returned healthy), DJ led the team with a 26% target share and 9.2 fantasy points per game.
After Johnson returned from his injury in Week 7, he was overall very effective regardless of the QB play. He led the team with a 23% target share (as he typically does) while scoring 5 TDs averaging 9.7 points per game and 14 expected fantasy points per game. Despite the Steelers' offensive transitions and his own injuries to overcome, Johnson maintained his productivity, finishing the season with 127.2 fantasy points, averaging 10 points per game, and ranking 36th in points per game. Now in Carolina, Johnson will project for a boatload of targets in an offense that fueled Adam Thielen to WR25 finish. Johnson will be at worst a fantasy WR3 with potential ceiling unlocked if Bryce Young can take a step forward in 2024. |
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89.
Javonte Williams
RB - DEN
Javonte Williams looked like a shelf of his former self in the first season. Yes, I know this was his first season coming off a devastating knee injury, but it still wasn't pretty. Volume wasn't the issue for the RB31 last season, as he rolled up 264 touches, but his efficiency numbers were scary. Among 49 qualifying backs last season, he ranked 41st in missed tackles forced per attempt and 33rd in yards after contact per attempt. Williams also was 55th in fantasy points per opportunity and 53rd in yards per touch. Could he bounce back in 2024 and look more like the eventual stud we saw in 2021 and 2022? Sure, it's possible. Is it also possible that a back with a 40th percentile speed score and 72nd percentile burst score never regains his former juice? Yep. Williams looks entrenched as Denver's early down guy, but don't be surprised if Jaleel McLaughlin eats into his carries more this season and capsizes his pass-game usage. Williams is an RB2/3.
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90.
Christian Watson
WR - GB
Christian Watson's sophomore season was completely derailed by hamstring injuries. He missed the first three weeks of the season entirely and struggled to put together any consistent production until his last three games in the regular season when he hurt his hamstring again. Scored four TDs, while averaging 17.1 points per game. Watson has a high ceiling when healthy, but it cannot be realized until he solves his hamstring woes. He averaged 10.6 expected fantasy points per game.
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91.
Marquise Brown
WR - KC
The 2024 free agent had a year to forget in 2023. He struggled with bad Cardinals quarterback play before Kyler Murray returned to the starting lineup as the WR21 overall and as the WR34 in points per game (10.2). But after Murray returned, the Cardinals WR still didn't produce. 5.8 points per game in three full healthy games before ultimately missing the remainder of the season due to injuries. Overall, Brown hauled in 51 receptions on 101 targets, accumulating 574 yards at an average of 11.3 yards per catch. He scored 109.2 points over the season, averaging 7.8 points per game (53rd) in 13 games played. The lack of production was shocking, considering Brown posted nearly 1,200 air yards, a 25% target share, and 39% air yards share with the 16th-highest weighted opportunity rating. But, it's hard to argue against him in the best possible landing spot to resurrect his career with Patrick Mahomes in an offense that needs playmakers not named Rice and Travis Kelce. He can use his speed to stretch the field and be a threat to get the ball, unlike Marquez Valdes-Scatling. But if he hits, it's likely as a fantasy WR2. And Brown's upside is further nerfed after the team drafted Xavier Worthy in the first round.
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92.
Jared Goff
QB - DET
Fantasy managers might not ever get excited about drafting Jared Goff, but after strong seasons with the Lions in 2022 and 2023, Goff should be regarded as no worse than a solid midrange QB2. Goff finished QB7 in fantasy scoring last season, although he was only QB13 in fantasy points per game among quarterbacks who made at least six starts. Over the last two years, he's averaged 265.1 passing yards and 1.7 TD passes a game. Goff adds very little value as a runner, but his solid passing production makes him a useful fantasy asset.
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93.
Chris Godwin
WR - TB
Unlike Mike Evans, Godwin did not experience the same type of resurgence with Baker Mayfield at QB. At least when it comes to scoring fantasy points. Godwin led the Buccaneers with 91 catches for 1,1109 receiving yards, but he only caught 3 TDs...in 19 games played. Meanwhile, Evans totaled 14. His target share (23%) was nearly identical to Evans (25%). But it was the lack of high-value opportunities that nuked Godwin in fantasy football. As a result, he finished with under 10 fantasy points per game (outside top-36 WRs). No player scored fewer TDs with more receiving yards than Godwin. Based on his usage he should be closer to a total of double-digit scores versus the 3 TDs he has the past two years. Still, at 28 years old, Godwin could be in for a major bounce back if Evans leaves Tampa Bay in free agency.
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94.
Caleb Williams
QB - CHI
The No. 1 pick in the 2024 NFL Draft, Caleb Williams figures to be a Day 1 starter for the Bears, who have given their rookie quarterback an embarrassment of pass-catching riches with the WR trio of D.J. Moore, Keenan Allen and No. 9 overall draft pick Rome Odunze. After transferring from Oklahoma to USC in 2022, Williams won the Heisman Trophy in his first season with the Trojans, throwing for 42 touchdowns and running for 10 more. Williams was slightly less spectacular in 2023 but still had a fine season for a defensively weak USC squad that asked its quarterback to carry the team all year. Williams has abundant arm talent and mobility. He's a creative quarterback who excels at making plays out of structure. There's always a steep learning curve for rookie quarterbacks, but C.J. Stroud just reminded us that a high-quality rookie QB can be fantasy-viable right away.
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95.
Trevor Lawrence
QB - JAC
Fantasy managers were hoping to see Trevor Lawrence take a major step forward in 2023 after a promising 2022 season. Much of Lawrence's third NFL season was a disappointment in that regard, but a strong finish raises hopes for 2024. Over the first 10 weeks of the 2023 season, Lawrence was QB19 in fantasy points per game among quarterbacks with at least four starts, averaging 235.6 passing yards and 1.0 TD passes per game. From Week 11 on, Lawrence was QB7 in fantasy points per game, averaging 270.9 passing yards and 1.7 TD passes a game. The former No. 1 pick in the NFL Draft was able to ramp up his production late in the year despite losing WR Christian Kirk to a core injury that kept him out of the last five games of the season. Lawrence has a fabulous toolkit that includes abundant arm talent and above-average rushing ability. Consistency is the missing ingredient, and maybe we'll finally get it from Lawrence in his fourth year in the league.
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96.
Xavier Worthy
WR - KC
Xavier Worthy of the University of Texas has quickly made a name for himself with his standout speed and playmaking prowess. At 6 feet 1 inch and 172 pounds, Worthy distinguished himself early, notching 62 receptions for 981 yards and 12 touchdowns in his freshman year. He capped off his college career with over 1,000 yards and 5 touchdowns in his junior year, securing a 30% career dominator rating-the second highest in his class-and the youngest breakout age at 18. His abilities have drawn comparisons to DeSean Jackson, both from Chiefs Head Coach Andy Reid and draft analyst Thor, underscoring his potential impact. Set to join the Chiefs, Worthy is expected to compete for a significant role, particularly with the possibility of an expanded opportunity if teammate Rashee Rice faces a suspension.
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97.
Evan Engram
TE - JAC
After being considered a fantasy disappointment for the majority of his first five years in the league, Evan Engram has become one of the most productive pass catchers at the position. Engram finished TE6 in half-point PPR fantasy scoring in 2022, then finished TE2 last year (though it should be noted that three TEs finished less than 3 points behind Engram). With 114 catches in 2023, Engram shattered his previous single-season high by 41 receptions. He also had a career-high 963 receiving yards, though Engram averaged a career-low 8.4 yards per catch. As QB Trevor Lawrence's favorite security blanket, Engram had four games with double-digit reception totals in 2023 and eight games with seven or more receptions. Drops are seemingly always an issue for Engram, and he hasn't scored more than four touchdowns in a single season since he was a rookie in 2017. But Engram has become a high-quality fantasy asset and will be a good bet to once again return TE1 value in 2024.
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98.
Jake Ferguson
TE - DAL
One of the best fantasy values at the TE position in 2023, Ferguson had an average draft position of TE25 in PPR leagues, according to FantasyPros ADP data, but finished TE9 in PPR scoring. A fourth-round draft pick out of Wisconsin in 2022, Ferguson emerged as a dependable target for QB Dak Prescott, finishing with 71 catches for 761 yards and five touchdowns. There might not be much more room for statistical improvement out of Ferguson, but he should once again be a prominent part of the Dallas passing attack in 2024.
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99.
Kirk Cousins
QB - ATL
Kirk Cousins is being tasked with jump-starting a Falcons offense that struggled last season with Desmond Ridder and Taylor Heinicke manning the QB position. Cousins was a consistent fantasy producer during his time in Minnesota, but he tore his Achilles on Oct. 29, and as he heads into his age-36 season, we probably shouldn't assume that he'll continue to provide low-end QB1 value. Before going on IR last season, Cousins was averaging 291.4 passing yards and 2.3 TD passes a game. For fantasy managers, drafting Cousins to be your starting quarterback would be risky, but once he's fully healthy, this proven veteran should at least be able to provide solid QB2 value.
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100.
Devin Singletary
RB - NYG
Devin Singletary steps in as the Giants' new lead back with some big shoes to fill with Saquon Barkley's departure. Last year, with the Texans, he proved again that he could be a solid starting tailback in the NFL as he stepped in during the middle of the season and stole the starting job away from Dameon Pierce in Houston. In Weeks 9-18, he averaged 19 touches and 86.6 total yards as the RB21 in fantasy points per game. Singletary continues to roll along as an efficient rusher. Last year, he was 19th in explosive run rate and 22nd in missed tackles forced per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). While the Giants aren't the sexiest landing spot, Singletary should flirt with RB2 production as the team's bellcow.
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101.
Courtland Sutton
WR - DEN
Without any ideas about who the Broncos QB will be in 2024, it's hard to make firm stances about Courtland Sutton. But, Sutton likely won't benefit from the same TD production for 2 years in a row. This past season made a mend for 2022 when he was so horrible at scoring. But now that things have leveled out, after a back-to-back 2-TD season with 10 scores, we are looking more at him in the 4-6 TD range for 2024. And that's going to make things tougher on him, because aside from TDs, Sutton's usage wasn't as great as the WR35 overall. IN fact, it looks pretty similar to Jerry Jeudy's aside from the TDs (10 vs 2). Both guys had 1,000-plus air yards (36% vs 37%), around 90 targets (21% vs 20%), 750-plus receiving yards and just under 60 receptions. But with Jeudy traded to the Browns, that should cement Sutton's floor as the team's projected No. 1 WR regardless fo QB play. Per John Daigle of 4for4, Sutton has a 23% target share without Jeudy the last 3 seasons.
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102.
Gus Edwards
RB - LAC
Gus Edwards arrives in Los Angeles with a two-year deal that is essentially a one-year contract, with the money falling off after 2024. Edwards will likely have a running mate adding to this depth chart during the NFL Draft, but for now, he looks like the team's clear-cut starter. Last season, Edwards was the RB32 in fantasy, with the strength of 13 total touchdowns (fourth-most). Edwards is an early down grinder who only managed a 2.8% target share last season, so all of his value will have to come via rushing. Edwards looks like a player on the decline in the rushing department after finishing 51st in juke rate, 39th in evaded tackles, and 45th in yards created per touch last season. Edwards is currently an RB3, standing alone at the top of the Bolts' depth chart, but his stock will likely drop after the NFL Draft.
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103.
Zack Moss
RB - CIN
Moss parlayed his starting stint last year with the Colts into a possible starting gig with the Bengals. In the seven games he started and played at least 50% of the snaps, he finished with 21.1 touches and 98.5 total yards per game. Moss should handle the early downs in Cincinnati this season after ranking 15th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 18th in yards after contact per attempt last year (per Fantasy Points Data). Chase Brown could eat into his pass game work as Moss was only 41st in yards per route run and 48th in targets per route run. Even if his passing game usage is capped, being the early down back on one of the league's best offenses still puts him in the RB2/3 conversation.
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104.
Dallas Goedert
TE - PHI
By now, we have a pretty good handle on what sort of player Dallas Goedert is. He reliably puts up good reception and yardage totals, but he's not a prolific touchdown scorer, and he gets banged up quite a bit. Over his last five seasons, Goedert has averaged 4.1 catches and 48.6 receiving yards per game. But Goedert has never scored more than five touchdowns in a single season, and he's missed 14 games due to injury over the last four years. Goedert's efficiency numbers slipped in 2023. After averaging better than 10 yards per target in 2021 and 2022, he averaged 7.1 yards per target last season. he also averaged a career-low 10.0 yards per catch. Goedert's fantasy ceiling may be somewhat limited due to the presence of Eagles WRs A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith, who give Philadelphia one of the best wide receiver combos in the league. Consider Goedert a low-end TE1 for 2024 fantasy drafts.
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105.
Jayden Daniels
QB - WAS
The Washington Commanders selected this dynamic run-pass threat with the No. 2 pick in the draft and are hoping they've found a long-term answer at quarterback. Daniels won the Heisman Trophy last year, throwing for 3,812 yards and 40 touchdowns at LSU, with only four interceptions. He also ran for 1,134 yards and 10 touchdowns. Daniels completed 72.2% of his throws in his final college season and averaged an outrageous 11.7 yards per pass attempt. Daniels probably won't be able to replicate that sort of passing success in his first exposure to NFL defenses, but Daniels' rushing ability should make him immediately playable in fantasy leagues.
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106.
Jaylen Warren
RB - PIT
Jaylen Warren was one of the most explosive and elusive backs in the NFL. This sounds like a hyperbolic statement I know, but it really isn't. Last season, he finished third in explosive run rate, first in missed tackles forced per attempt, and second in yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). If these numbers don't jump off the page, then I don't know what else to tell you. Oh wait, he was also 12th in yards per route run and fifth in targets per route run. Warren is a stud and outperformed Najee Harris in nearly every metric. While he finished as the RB29 in fantasy points per game, that doesn't tell the entire story. Warren was an RB2 or better in weekly scoring in 50% of his games. Warren will still have to split a backfield this season with Harris, but if you're betting on talent (which you should be), there aren't many better options to grab in drafts that have his type of upside if anything were to happen to Harris.
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107.
Matthew Stafford
QB - LAR
Coming up on his age-36 season, Matthew Stafford is in the twilight of his NFL career, but his performance in 2023 suggests that he still has gas left in the tank. Stafford averaged 264.3 passing yards, 1.6 TD passes and 16.9 fantasy points per game last season. He benefitted from the emergence of rookie WR Puka Nacua, and if Cooper Kupp can stay healthy, Stafford will have one of the better WR duos in the league. Stafford is interception-prone and has only slightly more mobility than the Statue of Liberty, but his talents as a passer should keep him fantasy-relevant in 2024.
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108.
Austin Ekeler
RB - WAS
Austin Ekeler's 2023 season was a letdown, no matter how you look at it. Ekeler suffered an ankle sprain in Week 1, which led to three games being missed and possibly muted production for the rest of the season. Once he returned from injury, he averaged 16.1 touches and 69.2 total yards as the RB28 in fantasy points per game. It was a dramatic fall from grace for a back that had not finished outside the top-nine running backs in fantasy since 2018 (RB28). Ekeler retained some of his pass game prowess as he ranked eighth in target share and 19th in yards per route run (among 60 qualifying backs per Fantasy Points Data), but his rushing skills fell apart. Among 49 qualifying backs, Ekeler ranked 38th in yards after contact per attempt and 46th in missed tackles forced per attempt. Landing in Washington with Anthony Lynn was one of the better-case scenarios this offseason. He likely forms a frustrating committee with Brian Robinson in an Antonio Gibson-plus role for Washington.
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109.
Brock Bowers
TE - LV
Widely considered one of the best TE prospects to enter the league in recent years, Brock Bowers went to the Raiders with the 13th overall pick of the NFL Draft. The 6-4, 230-pound Bowers had at least 56 catches and 714 receiving yards in all three of his seasons at the University of Georgia. He also scored 31 touchdowns in 40 collegiate games, including five rushing touchdowns. Bowers has good speed, terrific hands, and he's an absolute best after the catch. He lacks prototypical TE size, but Bowers plays bigger than he measures. Although the Raiders have one of the shakier QB situations in the league and have a target-hog receiver in Davante Adams, Bowers should nevertheless become fantasy-relevant right away because of his extraordinary athleticism and pass-catching ability.
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110.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
WR - SEA
In his first season, JSN managed 63 receptions from 93 targets (17.5% target share), totaling 628 yards with an average of 10 yards per reception. Smith-Njigba scored 4 touchdowns, indicating his growing role in the Seahawks' offensive scheme. 59th in points per game (7.0) and WR48 overall. But it shouldn't be forgotten that Smith-Njigba suffered a wrist injury that contributed to a slow start. He started to hit his stride more from Week 6 onward where he averaged 8.2 points per game. But still over this span, his route participation (74%, 50th) and high-end target competition made it tough for JSN to produce. With more opportunities in 2024 at just 22 years old, Smith-Njigba is an easy breakout candidate.
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111.
Jameson Williams
WR - DET
Jameson Williams has had a tumultuous two years in the NFL. His rookie year was lost because of a torn ACL, and this year started out slow because of a suspension. When he's been on the field, he's teased big-play upside with a lot of inconsistencies and injuries. Entering Year 3, the former first-rounder will likely be viewed as a logical breakout candidate. After all, the WR2 job should be all his with Josh Reynolds slated to hit free agency. But he's hardly without his warts with just a 10% target share earned, 15% target rate per route run and 6.4 points per game scored in 2023 (WR66 same as Reynolds).
Williams might be overrated heading into 2024, because of his draft capital. But everything he showed in his second season suggests he still has a long way to go, especially as the "at best" third or fourth receiving option on the Lions. |
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112.
Tyjae Spears
RB - TEN
RIP Tyjae Spears RB1 szn. It was fun while it lasted, but Tony Pollard's arrival has kiboshed that. That doesn't mean Tyjae Spears can't be 2021 Tony Pollard to Tony Pollard in Tennessee. Spears operated as discount De'Von Achane last season, ranking fifth in explosive run rate and 14th in yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). He proved that he can be a three-down explosive play monster as well, ranking seventh in target share, 10th in TPRR, and 17th in YPRR. If the Titans trot out an offense with an above-average neutral rushing rate and Spears can continue his insane efficiency, he will remain a strong RB3 who could finish as a low-end RB2 if this offense surprises people.
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113.
Aaron Rodgers
QB - NYJ
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114.
T.J. Hockenson
TE - MIN
T.J. Hockenson would have been drafted as a top-six tight end in the vast majority of 2024 fantasy leagues if he hadn't torn his ACL and MCL on Dec. 24, putting his early-season availability for the new season in doubt. It's possible that the recovery from multiple ligament tears will keep Hockenson out until around midseason, and that he won't be his typically impactful self immediately upon his return. A healthy Hockenson is a fantasy difference-maker. He had 86 catches for 914 yards and six touchdowns in 2022, good for a TE2 finish in PPR fantasy scoring behind only Travis Kelce. Hockenson was having an even better season in 2023, with 95 catches for 960 yards and five touchdowns before the injury. Monitor the reports on Hockenson's recovery throughout the offseason, and resist the temptation to overspend on a player trying to come back from major knee surgery.
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115.
Dalton Schultz
TE - HOU
Dalton Schultz hasn't been able to recapture the glory of his 2021 season, when he had a career-high 808 yards and eight touchdowns to finish as the fantasy TE3, but he's been a decent fantasy performer over the last two years. Schultz had 57-577-5 in 2022 and 59-635-5 in 2023, finishing TE10 and TE11 in PPR fantasy scoring in those two seasons. Schultz re-signed with the Texans in the offseason, so he'll continue to play with impressive young QB C.J. Stroud. The problem is that Houston traded for WR Stefon Diggs in the offseason, so Schultz will likely be No. 4 in the target pecking order behind Diggs, Nico Collins and Tank Dell, limiting his top-end fantasy potential.
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116.
Trey Benson
RB - ARI
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117.
Cole Kmet
TE - CHI
Credit Cole Kmet for defying the limitations of the Bears' low-octane passing attack. Over the last three seasons, Chicago has finished 25th, 32nd and 28th in passing yardage, but Kmet has finished with 612. 544 and 719 receiving yards in those three seasons. He had a career-high 73 catches last year and scored six touchdowns, finishing TE8 in PPR fantasy scoring. The Bears spent the No. 1 pick in the NFL draft on QB Caleb Williams, so the Chicago passing game should have some added juice in 2024. The problem is that the Bears now have a WR trio of D.J. Moore, Keenan Allen and Rome Odunze, so Kmet faces stuff target competition that could cap his fantasy upside. Consider him a high-end to midrange TE2.
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118.
Chase Brown
RB - CIN
We'll see if the rumors that Joe Mixon will be cut become a reality, but for now, Chase Brown remains a high-end handcuff bet for 2024. Brown was impressive on a per-touch basis last season, although the sample size is pretty limited (44 carries). Among 77 backs with at least 40 carries, Brown ranked 12th in yards after contact per attempt and 16th in missed tackles forced per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). Brown likely won't be given the job even if Mixon is cut, but that doesn't mean he couldn't win it in camp this year. Brown is a player to get exposure with during early best balls, as his ADP could vary widely depending on how the next few weeks play out.
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119.
Tyler Lockett
WR - SEA
Tyler Lockett is past his prime and he showed it all year long with his very inconsistent play. 43rd in points per game (9.6) and WR33 overall despite a strong 22% target share and over 1,300 air yards. He failed to crack the top 30 WRs for the first time since 2017. It was also the first time he failed to match or exceed D.K. Metcalf in fantasy points.
Lockett recorded 79 receptions on 122 targets, totaling 894 receiving yards at an average of 11.3 yards per catch. He found the end zone 5 times. Lockett is also a logical cut candidate with him due nearly $28M against the salary cap in 2024 and 2025. Seattle has an "out" in his contract for 2024. Entering his age-32 season, you don't need to squint to see the potential fall for Lockett in fantasy football. |
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120.
Mike Williams
WR - NYJ
Mike Williams was signed to a one-year deal worth $15 million by Gang Green, but he's going to be 30 years old coming off a Week 3 torn ACL. It's another band-aid fix that shouldn't dramatically alter the Jets' draft plans on a WR.
For what it's worth, Big Mike was productive before he got hurt. Ranked as WR15 overall and WR17 in points per game. Williams can at least slide in as the immediate No. 2 behind Garrett Wilson. |
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121.
Deshaun Watson
QB - CLE
Will we ever again see the early-career version of Deshaun Watson -- the one who was a top-five fantasy quarterback in each of his first three full seasons as an NFL starter? Watson has struggled to recapture the magic of his run with the Texans from 2018 to 2020. He was understandably rusty when he made his Browns debut late in the 2022 season after serving an 11-game suspension for violating the NFL's personal-conduct policy. Watson wasn't significantly better in six 2023 starts for the Browns before a shoulder injury ended his season. In each of his two abbreviated seasons with Cleveland, Watson has averaged 15.1 fantasy points per game. He's completed 59.8% of his passes over the last two years and has averaged 6.5 yards per attempt. Watson turns 29 at the beginning of the 2024 season, and it's seeming less and less likely that he'll ever recapture the electrifying form he showed when he first burst onto the NFL scene. Approach with caution.
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122.
Jakobi Meyers
WR - LV
Jakobi Meyers' underrated talent was on full display all season in 2023, as the first-year Raider scored 8 receiving TDs (10 total) on a 21% target share and 15 red-zone targets (23rd). After failing comically to find the end zone as a member of the Patriots for most of his time spent there, Meyers couldn't stop scoring in 2023. This will likely regress next season as he scored four more TDs over expectation. Meyers accumulated 183.1 fantasy points over the season, resulting in an average of 11.4 points per game, ranking him 25th among wide receivers in points per game
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123.
Baker Mayfield
QB - TB
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124.
Chuba Hubbard
RB - CAR
Chuba Hubbard stole the lead back job in Carolina from Miles Sanders last year. Maybe injuries helped pave the way, but Hubbard proved the entire season that he was the better player on a per-touch basis. Hubbard rolled up volume as Carolina's guy. In Weeks 6-18, as the RB24 in fantasy points per game, he averaged 19.2 touches and 77.7 total yards. We'll see if Hubbard can keep the job this year with a new coaching staff that has no allegiances to him. His efficiency stats don't paint a pretty picture, as he was 30th in explosive run rate, 32nd in missed tackles forced per attempt, and 31st in yards after contact per attempt last season (per Fantasy Points Data). Hubbard could be the Panthers' starting running back this season, but this situation could easily evolve into a messy committee.
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125.
Jerome Ford
RB - CLE
Nick Chubb isn't assuredly returning to the Browns for 2024. He's an unrestricted free agent in 2025, and if Cleveland cut him this offseason, they could save roughly 11.8 million against the cap. Jerome Ford could be their starting tailback again this season. Last season, in Weeks 3-17, when Ford was the starter, he averaged 14.9 touches and 66.6 total yards as the RB20 in fantasy. Ford played well, ranking 13th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 16th in yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). If he is the team's starter again this season, he should be considered an RB2 with upside. He could see even more work this season if the team doesn't sign or draft someone or feel that Pierre Strong is up to the task of assuming Kareem Hunt's role.
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126.
Ladd McConkey
WR - LAC
Ladd McConkey emerged in his third season at Georgia as a redshirt sophomore, achieving 762 receiving yards and seven touchdowns with a 20% dominator rating, despite a late breakout at 21 years old. Competing for targets with Brock Bowers, one of college football's top tight ends, and ahead of 2024 second-round pick AD Mitchell on the depth chart, McConkey demonstrated his capability, especially in the two games without Bowers in 2023, posting his highest yardage totals. Although injuries impacted his final year's stats, he remained efficient, ranking 8th nationally in yards per route run (3.26). Known for his quickness and polished route-running rather than size, McConkey's agility and speed, highlighted by a sub-4.4 40-yard dash at the combine, make him a promising professional prospect. Drafted by the Chargers who traded up in Round 2, he enters a team with a weak WR corps, positioning him to potentially lead in targets.
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127.
Romeo Doubs
WR - GB
Doubs followed up on decent rookie campaign with an improved second season. He was a consistent presence in the Packers' passing game, recording 69 receptions on 105 targets for 908 yards.
Doubs found the end zone 9 times, proving to be a valuable red zone target. Over 19 games, he averaged 9.4 points per game (WR47), making him a solid WR4 in fantasy leagues. He benefitted greatly from TDs and injuries to other primary Packers pass-catchers. Worth noting that he also failed to take full advantage of the vast opportunity in the offense, scoring fewer than his expected output (11.1 per game). |
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128.
Zach Charbonnet
RB - SEA
Zach Charbonnet played a complementary role in Seattle for most of his rookie season. Overall, he finished as the RB48 in fantasy points per game with 141 touches and 671 total yards. In the three games that he played at least 61% of the snaps, he averaged 19.7 touches and 75.3 total yards, with two top-18 running back finishes (RB18, RB13). Charbonnet did prove that he could carry the mail last year and surprised with his top-20 rankings in explosive run rate (20th) and yards after contact per attempt (11th, per Fantasy Points Data). Charbonnet could eat into Kenneth Walker's work more in 2024, but he's likely best viewed as a high-end handcuff with some stand-alone flex value.
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129.
Blake Corum
RB - LAR
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130.
Ezekiel Elliott
RB - DAL
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131.
Gabe Davis
WR - JAC
Gabriel Davis did not play in the final two games of the Bills' season. The 2024 free agent will hit the open market in a relatively weak WR free agent class, which will likely create the demand for the extremely boom-or-bust WR. He finished the season as the WR40 in total points, averaging 8.2 points per game as the WR50. Davis posted 5 games with 20-plus fantasy points in 2023 to go along with 7 TDs and 1,200 air yards (30th), but he also went completely catch less in four of his last 8 games played. Even if he goes to a new team where he can improve on his 2023 15% target share (85th), Davis' body of work as a boom-or-bust player will be hard to knock. One could argue that with a step back with Trevor Lawrence has his new QB, his spiked weeks might also not be nearly as big even if he is slightly more consistent on a week-to-week basis. The latter is also hardly a lock, given the depth the Jaguars have across their several established pass-catchers. They also drafted a better version of Davis in the draft, in the form of Brian Thomas Jr.
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132.
Keon Coleman
WR - BUF
Keon Coleman stands out at 6'4" and 215 lbs, embodying the ideal traits of an outside X-receiver. His junior year at Florida State marked a continuation of his upward trajectory with 50 receptions, 658 yards, and 11 touchdowns, earning a 31% dominator rating. Coleman initially broke out during his sophomore season at Michigan State, where he logged 58 catches for 798 yards and seven touchdowns, notching a 29% dominator rating at just 19 years old. Notably, he outperformed Jayden Reed, a future NFL prospect, in every category despite being three years younger. Drafted in the second round of the 2024 NFL Draft, Coleman joins a team with a strong quarterback and a depth chart he is well-positioned to climb, suggesting a promising start to his NFL career.
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133.
Brian Thomas Jr.
WR - JAC
Brian Thomas Jr. burst onto the scene in his junior year at LSU, demonstrating impressive growth with a 33% dominator rating, leading the FBS with 17 touchdowns, and accumulating 1,177 yards over 68 receptions, at an average of 17.3 yards per catch. At 6'4" and 205 lbs with a 4.47-second 40-yard dash, he fits the prototype of a boundary X-receiver. Despite not being the primary focus in LSU's offense, Thomas still managed the 6th-highest college dominator rating in his draft class at 24%, often competing for targets with fellow standout Malik Nabers. Drafted by the Jaguars in the first round of the 2024 NFL Draft, Thomas is positioned to inherit a significant volume of targets left by Calvin Ridley and Zay Jones, potentially nearing or surpassing 100 targets. This volume, coupled with his physical attributes and track record, positions him as a promising rookie in fantasy football, though his weekly consistency may vary due to Jacksonville's diverse offensive weapons.
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134.
Pat Freiermuth
TE - PIT
After averaging 9.5 and 9.9 PPF fantasy points per game in his first two seasons in the league, Pat Freiermuth averaged only 6.4 PPR points per game in 2023, as he was thwarted by uneven QB play and a hamstring injury that cost him five games. Freiermuth had seven TD catches as a rookie in 2021. He only scored two touchdowns in 2022 but ramped up his yardage, finishing with 63 receptions for 732 yards. Freiermuth is adept at working the middle of the field, has dependable hands and is tough to bring down after the catch. A nine-catch, 120-yard performance vs. the Bengals in late November showed what Freiermuth is capable of. The Steelers aren't exactly loaded at the WR position, so Freiermuth should see enough targets in 2024 to give him a chance at low-end TE1 fantasy value.
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135.
Geno Smith
QB - SEA
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136.
Jonathon Brooks
RB - CAR
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137.
Khalil Herbert
RB - CHI
Last season, the Bears could not decide who they wanted to be their lead back as it rotated weekly from Khalil Herbert to Roschon Johnson to D'Onta Foreman. With D'Andre Swift in Chicago now, Herbert returns to a backup role, which is saddening. Last year, Herbert proved once again that when given the opportunity, he is one of the better rushing talents in the NFL. Last season, he ranked 12th in explosive run rate and ninth in missed tackles forced per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). In the eight games he played at least 43% of the snaps last season, he averaged 14 touches and 77.8 total yards. Herbert is a high-end handcuff currently with only fringe flex value for 2024.
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138.
Ty Chandler
RB - MIN
With Aaron Jones now in Minnesota, Ty Chandler will be a backup for the Vikings in 2024. In Weeks 15-18, he played at least 53% of the snaps in every game, averaging 15.3 touches and 81.8 total yards. Chandler topped 90 total yards once in that four-game span, and his per-touch efficiency was in the toilet overall. Among 49 qualifying backs, Chandler ranked 47th last season in missed tackles forced per attempt and yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). Chandler had hope entering this offseason that he had hopefully done enough in 2023 to have a shot at the starter's role, but sadly, that isn't in the cards for next season.
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139.
Jerry Jeudy
WR - CLE
Jeudy, showcased his route running finesse and quickness, turning his 54 receptions on 87 targets into 758 receiving yards, averaging 14 yards per catch in 2023. However, finding the end zone was less frequent for Jeudy, with only 2 touchdowns to his name. Over the season, he accumulated 114.8 fantasy points, coming out to an average of 7.2 points per game to a WR50 overall finish. Both Courtland Sutton and Jeudy had 1,000-plus air yards (36% vs 37%), around 90 targets (21% vs 20%), 750-plus receiving yards and just under 60 receptions. Hard to see Jeudy breaking the fantasy WR3 mold unless we get elite QB play from Deshaun Watson, in addition to the newcomer playing/earning a full-time role.
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140.
Curtis Samuel
WR - BUF
Curtis Samuel finished the 2023 season as the WR44 overall, averaging 7.9 fantasy points per game as the WR52 in points per game (7.9). Par for the course when it comes to Samuel, who always seems to string together consecutive weeks of production before seeing his numbers drop off because of injury.
His receiving numbers were nearly identical to his 2020 campaign, albeit he was more efficient as the Commanders primary slot WR. Unfortunately, he was barely used as a rusher with only 7 carries compared to 38 in 2022. Entering his age 28 season, Samuel has never finished higher than WR25 at any point during his career, regulating him to WR4 fantasy status regardless of any new landing spot. He will have his fair share of productive weeks, but nothing to move the needle as a fantasy game-changer. However it needs to be noted his best season came in 2020 under Joe Brady, his new OC in Buffalo. Attached to Josh Allen in a full-time role, Samuel has nice sleeper appeal in the Bills offense, especially with Stefon Diggs traded to the Houston Texans. |
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141.
Tyler Allgeier
RB - ATL
Allgeier is a talented rusher, but last season, he was the thorn in the side of every Bijan Robinson drafter as Arthur Smith's prized pupil. Allgeier surprised in his rookie season as the RB31 in fantasy, finishing with 226 touches and nearly 1,200 total yards. While Allgeier shocked people in 2023 with 37 red zone touches (24th) and 186 carries, he couldn't carry his rookie season efficiency into last year. Last season, among 49 qualifying backs, he ranked 45th in explosive run rate and 35th in missed tackles forced per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). With Smith out of town, Robinson will likely own this backfield in 2024, which leaves Allgeier as a handcuff only.
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142.
Brandin Cooks
WR - DAL
Brandin Cooks ended the season as the WR45 in points per game (9.1) and WR36 overall. After his sluggish start, Cooks was unlocked from Week 6 onward as we saw the Dallas offense start to click. WR22 overall and WR28 in points per game (11.2).
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143.
Rashid Shaheed
WR - NO
Rashid Shaheed enjoyed a solid sophomore season, as a boom-or-bust option. He totaled over 1,000 air yards on just 75 targets (14% target share). Shaheed excelled in making big plays, as seen in his 31 catches of over 20 yards (14th). He scored 132.6 fantasy points, averaging 8.3 points per game. Shaheed was ranked 49th among wide receivers in points per game.
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144.
Kendre Miller
RB - NO
Injuries decimated Kendre Miller's rookie season. He was limited to only eight games played, and he crossed the 30% snap mark only three times. Miller posted interesting/borderline impressive per-touch numbers when he got opportunities, with a 24% missed tackle rate and 3.07 yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). We'll see how much work he can siphon off from Alvin Kamara this season, but don't be surprised if he can eat into his work and carve out a 40-50% snap role weekly. He does have to contend with Jamaal Williams as Kamara's understudy, so it's not a clear path to success. Miller is still an intriguing late-round pick/RB4 for 2024.
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145.
Josh Downs
WR - IND
Josh Downs made a notable impact in his rookie season with 68 receptions from 98 targets (17% target share), totaling 771 yards at an average of 11.3 yards per reception. Note that he was very unlucky when it came to scoring, with just two TDs. Only Drake London had more receiving yards and fewer than 3 TDs than Downs did in 2023. As a result, over 17 games, he amassed 123.1 fantasy points, averaging 7.2 points per game (WR46). But it should recognized that Downs' production fell off after he suffered a knee injury that lingered. Weeks 1-8, Downs led the Colts in yards per route run (2.0), averaging 9.9 points per game with a 19% target share.
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146.
Will Levis
QB - TEN
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147.
Antonio Gibson
RB - NE
Gibson lands in New England on a three-year deal, which is essentially a puffed-up one-year deal. New England can get out of Gibson's contract after one season if he doesn't pan out as Rhamondre Stevenson's running mate this upcoming season. Last season, in a breather role, Gibson ranked first in missed tackles forced per attempt and eighth in yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). Gibson has displayed explosive playmaking when utilized properly, as well as also demonstrating the ability to be a volume rusher when it has been called for. Gibson should work in tandem with Stevenson as the pass-catching component of this backfield, but if Stevenson falters out the gate, don't be surprised if Gibson takes over the lead role. Gibson is an interesting RB3 with upside in 2024.
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148.
Derek Carr
QB - NO
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149.
Jahan Dotson
WR - WAS
Curtis Samuel is a free agent and could leave in free agency. This is important, because it suggests that we could have live for Jahan Dotson in Year 3. Dotson broke out as a rookie, but was a TOTAL BUST in 2023. And he ran all the routes you could possibly ask for. Garrett Wilson and teammate Terry McLaurin were the only guys who ran more routes than Dotson did in 2023. He was brutally inefficient - as was the entire Commanders passing game that was more volume over efficiency - finishing bottom-10 in yards per route run. But Samuel missed or played very little in 3 games in 2023 - Weeks 8,9, and 11. These were by FAR Dotson's best games. 15.2 points per game with a TD scored in all 3 contests. Still was narrowly out targeted by McLaurin as the No. 2 WR. McLaurin and Dotson need a C.J. Stroud-esque rookie QB impact for them to take any leap for fantasy football. Don't hold your breath.
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150.
Rico Dowdle
RB - DAL
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151.
Baltimore Ravens
DST - BAL
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152.
J.K. Dobbins
RB - LAC
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153.
Juwan Johnson
TE - NO
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154.
Luke Musgrave
TE - GB
Rangy and athletic, Luke Musgrave has the tools to become one of the better pass-catching tight ends in the league. A second-round draft pick out of Oregon State, Musgrave produced modest rookie-year numbers: 34 catches for 352 yards and one touchdown. But Musgrave missed six games with a lacerated kidney and was averaging a respectable 7.3 PPR fantasy points per game before he got hurt. Musgrave gets to play with QB Jordan Love, a rising star. One concern, however, is that the Packers spent a third-round draft pick on another tight end last year, Tucker Kraft, who also had some impressive flashes as a rookie. Musgrave profiles as a midrange TE2 for 2024 fantasy drafts, but he could come on fast.
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155.
San Francisco 49ers
DST - SF
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156.
Roschon Johnson
RB - CHI
Roschon Johnson had a consistent role as a committee back in his rookie season, but he was never able to fully seize the backfield. In the three games he played at least 49% of the snaps, he did average 9.7 touches and 53.5 total yards while flashing upside in the passing game. Among 60 qualifying backs last year, he ranked 27th in yards per route run and 17th in targets per route run rate (per Fantasy Points Data). Sadly, though, Johnson's collegiate tackle-breaking prowess didn't translate to the NFL in year one as he finished outside the top 40 backs in explosive run rate (46th), missed tackles forced per attempt (49th), and yards after contact per attempt (42nd). Johnson will likely serve as the passing down compliment to Khalil Herbert again in 2024.
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157.
Khalil Shakir
WR - BUF
Khalil Shakir tied a bow on his second season on an extremely high note. He showed up big in the absence of Gabe Davis, catching 16 of 17 targets for 180 yards and 2 TDs over the last three games of the season. Shakir finished the season with the NFL's highest catch rate (88%) and passer rating generated (141.5). He led the Bills in receiving EPA, and ranked 16th overall in that category among all NFL receivers. He has definitely "earned" a bigger role in the offense in 2024, but he will still have to compete for targets with second-round rookie, Keon Coleman.
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158.
Joshua Palmer
WR - LAC
Difficult to not view Josh Palmer as a legitimate winner after the Chargers moved on from both Mike Williams and Keenan Allen in the same offseason. Palmer stepped up big time in the Chargers offense last season when Williams/Allen missed time. In Week 18, he commanded 10 targets despite a 58% snap share. During the season, he posted an 18% target share and averaged 1.89 yards per route run. In games played without Williams fully healthy, Palmer averaged 10.6 points per game. During the final three games of the year with neither Williams or Allen or Justin Herbert available, Palmer hit a 20% target share and 23% target rate per route run averaging 11.5 points per game (WR25). The Chargers will draft a WR, so don't go crazy with Palmer. But note that he is still a solid in-house option on the roster at WR. Not Quentin Johnston.
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159.
Adonai Mitchell
WR - IND
Adonai Mitchell had a standout season with the Texas Longhorns, achieving a 32% dominator rating with 11 touchdowns from 55 receptions. Standing at 6'2" and weighing 204 pounds, his physique is well-suited for an outside receiver role. Mitchell's performance at the NFL Combine was impressive, featuring a 4.34-second 40-yard dash, a 1.52-second 10-yard split, a 39.5-inch vertical jump, and a 136-inch broad jump, drawing comparisons to D.J. Chark Jr. Drafted by the Colts in the second round, Mitchell is expected to fill Alec Pierce's role in Shane Steichen's offense and complement Anthony Richardson's strong arm as a deep threat. However, with Michael Pittman Jr. established as the primary target and Josh Downs likely the second option, Mitchell's role may be limited to being the third receiver, focusing on high-value, downfield catches. This setup might make him a valuable asset in best-ball formats for occasional high-scoring weeks, but he might not provide consistent weekly fantasy points.
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160.
Marvin Mims Jr.
WR - DEN
A low-key winner of the Jerry Jeudy trade is second-year Broncos WR, Marvin Mims. Mims' role was redundant with Jeudy's last season, hence his limited playing time. His overall lackluster rookie year was tough due to lack of opportunity. He ran a route on 41% of the dropbacks - that outside the top 100. And we did see flashes with a 100-yard effort in his second game, along with another 73-yard game when he earned a season-high 5 targets back in Week 3. Was also named Second-Team All-Pro as a returner. Leave the light on for Mims to take off in Year 2 should he play starting snaps, which is much more likely with Jeudy gone.
Broncos HC Sean Payton said at the 2024 NFL Scouting Combine, that Mims' progression as a receiver was hindered because he played the same role as Jeudy. WR depth on Denver hurt Mims. Payton also said they were generally happy when they did get Mims involved - duh - and that should continue in Year 2. However, Payton went against his word when he drafted Troy Franklin in the 2024 NFL Draft. He suggested slotting Franklin as the Z, which is the role Jeudy played last season. WOOF. |
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161.
Dallas Cowboys
DST - DAL
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162.
Daniel Jones
QB - NYG
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163.
Hunter Henry
TE - NE
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164.
Cade Otton
TE - TB
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165.
New York Jets
DST - NYJ
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166.
Elijah Mitchell
RB - SF
Elijah Mitchell retains his backup/handcuff role in San Francisco for Christian McCaffrey. Mitchell struggled to stay healthy in the NFL, which continued in 2023. He was limited to 11 games played and 81 touches. Mitchell is a viable handcuff option in the later rounds of drafts again this season, but don't be surprised if Jordan Mason overtakes him as McCaffrey's backup. Mason was impressive with his limited work last season, with a 7.5% explosive run rate, a 23% missed tackle rate, and 2.95 yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). Mitchell is a player to still get some exposure to in the later rounds of best ball and redraft formats.
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167.
Cleveland Browns
DST - CLE
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168.
Taysom Hill
QB,TE - NO
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169.
Jaleel McLaughlin
RB - DEN
Fully expect me to be above consensus regarding Jaleel McLaughlin this season. Last year, he was electric with every touch he earned. Among all running backs with at least 50 rushing attempts or 20 targets, McLaughlin ranked 14th in explosive run rate, fifth in missed tackles forced per attempt, fourth in yards after contact per attempt, and fourth in yards per route run. Denver made it a point to get him involved in the passing game when he was on the field as he also ranked first in targets per route run. McLaughlin could easily earn more opportunities this season, as Samaje Perine wasn't amazing last season, and Javonte Williams looked like a shadow of his former self. If McLaughlin earns Sean Payton's trust, he could be an RB3/4 that vaults into steady RB2 production.
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170.
J.J. McCarthy
QB - MIN
The Vikings have tabbed McCarthy as the successor to Kirk Cousins, trading up one spot to select the University of Michigan product with the No. 10 pick in the draft. McCarthy has a strong arm, good mobility and an impressive track record of success that includes a national championship last season and a 61-3 record as a starter since high school. McCarthy steps into a good situation, with Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison at wide receiver and T.J. Hockenson at tight end (though Hockenson sustained a major knee injury late last year). Rookie struggles may be inevitable, but McCarthy has a chance to provide QB2 fantasy value as a rookie.
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171.
Michael Wilson
WR - ARI
The highlight of Week 18? Rookie Michael Wilson.
6 targets (21% target share), 6 receptions for 95 yards, averaging 15.8 yards per catch, with a long of 28 yards. 68 air yards and 40% air yards share. The rookie posted a very under-the-radar campaign as a highly involved Cardinals WR. He ran a route on 80% of the dropbacks (35th among all WRs) which locks him into a full-time role in this offense next season, regardless of any additional moves they make. He also finished his season on an extremely high note, averaging 15.5 points per game after his last two contests with Marquise Brown out of the lineup. |
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172.
Keaton Mitchell
RB - BAL
We'll see when Keaton Mitchell is active this season after tearing his ACL in Week 14, but when he's ready to go, Mitchell should be the primary backup to Derrick Henry in Baltimore. Mitchell was impressive in his rookie season. Among 71 qualifying backs, he buried the competition ranking first in explosive run rate, missed tackles forced per attempt, and yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). Mitchell could have some stand-alone flex appeal working alongside Henry this season, but it likely won't be a consistent stream of fantasy points.
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173.
Quentin Johnston
WR - LAC
After a disappointing rookie season, Quentin Johnston's fantasy value is on life support. The team moved on from Keenan Allen/Mike Williams, but drafted rookie WR Ladd McConkey 34th overall.
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174.
Adam Thielen
WR - CAR
Adam Thielen's 2023 season provided the full-body experience of an older veteran WR with zero competition for targets. He started out of the gates red hot, as the WR11 overall through 11 weeks, scoring fantasy points per game at a top-15 rate at 13.7. But alas the 33-year-old could not continue his production with shoddy QB play from his rookie QB. WR51 from Weeks 12-18. Woof. With 103 receptions (10th) on 137 targets (25% target share, 14th), Thielen racked up 1,014 receiving yards, averaging 9.8 yards per reception, and notched 4 touchdown receptions running the 5th-most routes in the NFL. He ended the season with a 10.6 points per game average, securing him as the 25th overall wide receiver in half-PPR scoring. WR31 per game. He's under contract until 2026 and will be entering the offseason as the Panthers' No. 1 WR until they add more WRs in the draft/free agency - the latter of which will likely happen based on the Panthers' interest before this past year's trade deadline.
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175.
Ricky Pearsall
WR - SF
Ricky Pearsall excelled at Arizona State and later at Florida, posting a dominator rating of 25% in his final season with 963 receiving yards. After a notable college career, he impressed at the NFL Combine with a 4.41-second 40-yard dash, a 42-inch vertical, and strong agility metrics. Drafted in the first round, Pearsall's mature route-running and reliable hands make him a ready-to-contribute player in the NFL. While he has a high floor due to his refined skills and physical tests, his potential ceiling may be limited by the depth and talent of his NFL team's receiver corps, especially if teammates like Samuel and Aiyuk remain prominent in the offense.
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176.
Buffalo Bills
DST - BUF
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177.
Dontayvion Wicks
WR - GB
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178.
Miami Dolphins
DST - MIA
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179.
AJ Dillon
RB - GB
The Packers have brought back A.J. Dillon to back up Josh Jacobs. Sadly, Dillon could see a reduced role in 2024 if Jacobs can bounce back and stay healthy. Dillon has declined to a lowly change-of-pace grinder. Last year, he was only 48th in yards per touch, 51st in breakaway run rate, and 54th in juke rate. He had four games last year in which he played at least 60% of the snaps; only once did he surpass 80 total yards, and he finished outside the top 30 running backs twice in weekly scoring (RB33, RB69). Dillon is a low-end handcuff in 2024.
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180.
Tucker Kraft
TE - GB
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181.
Dameon Pierce
RB - HOU
The expectations for Dameon Pierce to follow his stellar rookie season with a bang were palpable last summer. Sadly, that's now how Pierce's sophomore season panned out. In Weeks 1-8, he averaged 16.9 touches, producing only 58.7 total yards. He was running behind an offensive line that was beaten up and struggling in those first seven games as Houston ranked dead last in adjusted yards before contact per attempt (Weeks 9-18, 12th-best). Pierce sprained his ankle in Week 9, and when he returned from injury, he found himself replaced by Devin Singletary as the starter. With Joe Mixon in town, Pierce's hopes of reclaiming the starting role have essentially been snuffed out. He falls into middling handcuff status for 2024.
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182.
Kansas City Chiefs
DST - KC
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183.
MarShawn Lloyd
RB - GB
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184.
Justin Tucker
K - BAL
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185.
Philadelphia Eagles
DST - PHI
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186.
Pittsburgh Steelers
DST - PIT
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187.
Troy Franklin
WR - DEN
Troy Franklin capped his junior year at Oregon with nearly 1,400 yards and 14 touchdowns, showcasing his deep-threat capabilities with a 29% dominator rating. Despite concerns about his slender frame at 6-foot-3 and 183 lbs, his rumored 4.35-second 40-yard dash underscores his potential as a top-tier receiver. Drafted on Day 3 by the Broncos after a disappointing combine, Franklin finds a favorable situation under Sean Payton, who has a history of trading up for wide receivers like Brandin Cooks and Marvin Mims. Positioned to play the "Z" role previously held by Jerry Jeudy, Franklin's existing chemistry with Broncos QB Bo Nix, his former college teammate, could give him an edge over other young receivers like Marvin Mims, enhancing his opportunity to make an immediate impact.
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188.
Miles Sanders
RB - CAR
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189.
Jermaine Burton
WR - CIN
Jermaine Burton's collegiate career took a notable turn during his senior year at Alabama, achieving a 30% dominator rating at 22 years old. Initially at Georgia, Burton showed promise, posting a 19% dominator rating in his first year at Alabama with 677 yards and 7 TDs, after a competitive stint at Georgia where he battled for targets with players like George Pickens and Brock Bowers. His standout traits include a significant downfield role, evidenced by a 20.2 average depth of target (aDOT) - third highest in the FBS in 2023 - and excellent efficiency, leading all WRs in the 2024 class in yards per route run with zero drops. Drafted by the Bengals in the third round, Burton is poised for a rising stock, especially with speculation around Tee Higgins' future with the team. Despite concerns over occasional off-field issues, Burton's explosive skill set and the opportunity in Cincinnati's passing game could make him a key player to watch, assuming he navigates his professional landscape effectively.
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190.
New Orleans Saints
DST - NO
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191.
Russell Wilson
QB - PIT
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192.
Bryce Young
QB - CAR
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193.
Ja'Lynn Polk
WR - NE
Ja'Lynn Polk emerged as a key player at Washington, particularly impressing during his junior year. Standing at 6'1" and weighing 203 lbs, Polk's physique is ideal for versatility, allowing him to excel both outside and in the slot. After overcoming an injury in his sophomore year, he delivered a stellar senior season with 69 receptions for 1,159 yards and nine touchdowns, averaging 16.8 yards per catch. Known for his quickness, strong hands, and excellent body control, Polk consistently makes difficult catches in traffic, showcasing his well-rounded skills. Drawing comparisons to NFL players like Mohamed Sanu, Tyler Boyd, and Joshua Palmer, Polk is considered a safe, reliable receiver. Selected in the second round of the 2024 NFL Draft by the Patriots, he is poised to become a dependable part of their passing game.
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194.
Darnell Mooney
WR - ATL
Darnell Mooney is coming off a horrible and injury-plagued season, but I can't help but think he is going to be a STEAL in a very bad WR free agent class on a new team. The Bears drafted Tyler Scott in the 2023 draft to be Mooney's replacement in 2024. Mooney finished the season 10th in yards after the catch per reception (6.0) despite entering the year coming off a late November broken ankle injury.
Mooney shined his brightest from 2021-2022 in the NFL with a 27% target share. He has shown the ability to command targets at a high level. In Atlanta, there is nobody behind Drake London, cementing Mooney as the clear-cut WR2 in a Kirk Cousins-led offense. |
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195.
DeMario Douglas
WR - NE
Demario Douglas was essentially 2023's version of Jakobi Meyers - a completely afterthought of rookie WR that made an impact that could not score a TD to save his life. Case in point, his team leading 561 receiving yards were the most among all players to score 0 TDs in 2023.
Therefore, his final WR68 standing does a poor job projecting him going forward. He was the best playmaker on the Patriots all season. 18% target share. Earned 7 targets in his first NFL game. 5-plus targets in his 9 games played, seeing 7-plus in over half those contests. From Week 7 onward, Douglas produced a 21% target share (27th), 25% air yards share, 11 missed tackles and 12.6 expected fantasy points per game (31st). Slightly behind Rashee Rice. Despite his strong showing, the Patriots drafted 2 WR in this year's draft. |
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196.
Elijah Moore
WR - CLE
|
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197.
Rashod Bateman
WR - BAL
The Baltimore Ravens signed wide receiver Rashod Bateman to a 2-year contract through the 2026 season.
|
|
198.
Harrison Butker
K - KC
|
|
199.
Jason Sanders
K - MIA
|
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200.
Xavier Legette
WR - CAR
Xavier Legette, a standout wide receiver from South Carolina, made his mark in college football with exceptional performances, especially during his super senior year. At 6'3" and 227 lbs, Legette combines size and athleticism, ideal for an outside receiver role. Known for his strong hands and ability to secure catches in traffic, he doesn't rely on his body to catch the ball, which underscores his reliability. Legette broke out in his fifth year with a 35% dominator rating, accumulating 1,255 yards and seven touchdowns on 71 receptions. While entering the NFL at 23 as a one-year wonder does present concerns about his consistency, his physical attributes are reminiscent of players like D.K. Metcalf, highlighting his potential but also his dependence on the right team setup. Drafted in the first round by the Carolina Panthers, who see his fit in an offense designed to leverage his playmaking and yards-after-catch skills under new HC Dave Canales, Legette's success may hinge significantly on how well he's utilized in the Panthers' scheme.
|
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201.
Brandon Aubrey
K - DAL
|
|
202.
Chigoziem Okonkwo
TE - TEN
A trendy sleeper choice a year ago, Chigoziem Okonkwo turned in a mildly disappointing season in 2023, but he's an intriguing post-hype sleeper candidate for 2024. After a promising rookie season in which he had 32 receptions for 450 yards and three touchdowns, Okonkwo boosted his reception and yardage totals in 2023, with 54 catches for 528 yards. But Okonkwo scored only one touchdown last season, and he went from 14.1 yards per catch and 2.61 yards per route run in 2022 to 9.6 yards per catch and 1.31 yards per route run in 2023. If young Titans QB Will Levis endures growing pains, Okonkwo's breakout chances could suffer. On the other hand, the Titans don't have a great deal of firepower at the WR position, which boosts Okonkwo's target outlook. Consider Okonkwo a midrange TE2 for 2024 fantasy drafts.
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203.
Ben Sinnott
TE - WAS
The Commanders spent a second-round draft pick on Kansas State TE Ben Sinnott, signaling that they see him as their tight end of the future. Washington signed Zach Ertz in the offseason, but Ertz turns 34 in November and has lost 17 games to injury over the last two seasons. Sinnott had 49 catches for 676 yards and six touchdowns at K-State last season. Keep an eye out for news on the Commanders' TE competition in early August. If Sinnott can win the starting job, he might be able to offer high-end to midrange TE2 value.
|
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204.
Tyler Bass
K - BUF
|
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205.
Michael Mayer
TE - LV
Michael Mayer had a somewhat disappointing rookie season for the Raiders, with 27 catches for 304 yards and two touchdowns in 14 games. He seemed like a candidate for a second-year breakout, but then the Raiders spent their first-round draft pick on mega-talented University of Georgia TE Brock Bowers, seemingly kneecapping Mayer's 2024 fantasy value. Mayer was wildly productive in college, with more than 800 receiving yards in his final two seasons at Notre Dame. Mayer averaged only 2.9 targets a game in 2023, and it's hard to imagine his weekly target counts significantly increasing when he has to share targets with Bowers and superstar WR Davante Adams.
|
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206.
Wan'Dale Robinson
WR - NYG
|
|
207.
Jaylen Wright
RB - MIA
|
|
208.
Javon Baker
WR - NE
Javon Baker's journey saw a significant shift after transferring from Alabama to UCF, where he stood out during his final two seasons with dominator ratings of 23% and 31%. At 6-foot-1 and 202 pounds, Baker distinguished himself as a big-play threat, leading to the second-highest average of yards per reception nationally (21.9) in 2023 and ranking fifth in yards per route run among his draft class. Often compared to DeVonta Smith for his route-running and body control, Baker adds more size and yards-after-catch ability. Drafted by the Patriots in the fourth round, he enters a team with a relatively weak receiver depth chart, positioning him as a potential standout. Despite being selected after Ja'Lynn Polk, Baker's ability to consistently make plays downfield, evidenced by his top performance in deep-target metrics, suggests a higher ceiling and the potential to become a leading figure in New England's passing attack.
|
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209.
Isaiah Likely
TE - BAL
|
|
210.
Jake Elliott
K - PHI
|
|
211.
Younghoe Koo
K - ATL
|
|
212.
Alexander Mattison
RB - LV
|
|
213.
Jalin Hyatt
WR - NYG
|
|
214.
Jake Moody
K - SF
|
|
215.
Darius Slayton
WR - NYG
|
|
216.
Minnesota Vikings
DST - MIN
|
|
217.
D'Onta Foreman
RB - CLE
|
|
218.
Drake Maye
QB - NE
|
|
219.
Roman Wilson
WR - PIT
Roman Wilson's standout senior year at Michigan culminated in a 37% dominator rating, as he gathered 48 receptions for 789 yards and 12 touchdowns, marking it as the 6th-highest single-season dominator rating in the 2024 class. Despite concerns about his late breakout at 22 and only one significant year of production, Wilson's draft stock rose after impressing at the Senior Bowl and running a sub-4.40 40-yard dash at the NFL Scouting Combine. He has drawn comparisons to Tyler Lockett, reflecting his ability as a deep threat-53% of his routes were downfield. However, his fantasy outlook is tempered by joining a Pittsburgh Steelers offense, which is expected to lean heavily on the run under new OC Arthur Smith, coupled with their recent investments in the offensive line, casting some doubt on the volume of passing opportunities Wilson will receive.
|
|
220.
Kenneth Gainwell
RB - PHI
|
|
221.
Evan McPherson
K - CIN
|
|
|
222.
Malachi Corley
WR - NYJ
Malachi Corley demonstrated consistent productivity at Western Kentucky, particularly excelling in creating yards after the catch. Despite his smaller stature, his thick frame allowed him to navigate through defenses effectively. However, concerns arise regarding his play style being more akin to a running back than a traditional receiver. Coupled with doubts about the Jets' offensive creativity, Corley's potential may be limited in their system. Despite being a third-round pick, I'd exercise caution in investing in him for fantasy purposes.
|
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223.
Ka'imi Fairbairn
K - HOU
|
|
224.
Noah Fant
TE - SEA
|
|
225.
Ray Davis
RB - BUF
|
|
226.
Braelon Allen
RB - NYJ
|
|
227.
Houston Texans
DST - HOU
|
|
228.
Audric Estime
RB - DEN
|
|
229.
Treylon Burks
WR - TEN
|
|
230.
Cameron Dicker
K - LAC
|
|
231.
Denver Broncos
DST - DEN
|
|
232.
Chicago Bears
DST - CHI
|
|
233.
Dustin Hopkins
K - CLE
|
|
234.
Justice Hill
RB - BAL
|
|
235.
Jamaal Williams
RB - NO
|
|
236.
Justin Fields
QB - PIT
Justin Fields is a dangerous dual-threat quarterback in fantasy football, but how much of a chance will he get to play in 2024? The Steelers acquired Fields from the Bears in a mid-March trade, giving up a sixth-round pick that could become a fourth-rounder depending on Fields' playing time this season. The modest compensation the Bears received -- particularly when there were other QB-needy teams that didn't make a play for Fields -- suggests that the league doesn't value the sack-prone young quarterback as much as fantasy managers may have. Fields now finds himself in the same QB room as Russell Wilson, whom the Steelers acquired earlier in the offseason, and early reports suggest that Wilson has the inside track to be the Week 1 starter. Fields has landed in QB1 range in fantasy points per game each of the last two seasons (6 starts minimum), finishing QB5 in FPPG in 2022 and QB12 in 2023. Fields' rushing production fell from 76.2 rushing yards per game and eight TD runs in 2022 to 50.5 rushing yards per game and four TD runs in 2023, but he averaged a career-high 197.1 passing yards per game last season.
|
|
237.
Demarcus Robinson
WR - LAR
|
|
|
238.
Jonathan Mingo
WR - CAR
|
|
239.
Matt Gay
K - IND
|
|
240.
Kendrick Bourne
WR - NE
The Patriots re-signed Kendrick Bourne to a 3-year, $19.5 million contract. He will be 29 years old in 2024, coming off a Week 8 torn ACL injury. Before his injury, Bourne was the fantasy WR28 averaging 10.2 points per game in half-PPR (38th). Led the Patriots with a 19.4% target share with a 28% air yards share. He will likely be in the starter's chair until a rookie or younger WR usurps him on the depth chart.
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|
241.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire
RB - KC
|
|
242.
Bucky Irving
RB - TB
|
|
243.
Tank Bigsby
RB - JAC
|
|
244.
Gerald Everett
TE - CHI
|
|
245.
Ja'Tavion Sanders
TE - CAR
|
|
246.
Rondale Moore
WR - ATL
|
|
247.
Tyler Conklin
TE - NYJ
|
|
248.
Jason Myers
K - SEA
|
|
249.
Devontez Walker
WR - BAL
Devontez Walker's college career showcased his explosiveness and knack for making big plays, especially evident in his remarkable dominator rating at Kent State. Despite his impressive physical attributes and speed, Walker's limitations in generating yards after the catch are notable. Drawing comparisons to Marvin Jones, he presents significant upside but also carries a boom-or-bust label, highly dependent on his landing spot for optimal performance. Joining the Ravens in the fourth round offers him the opportunity to work with Lamar Jackson, but he faces competition for targets in a crowded receiving corps led by Zay Flowers and Mark Andrews. Walker's success in the NFL may hinge on his ability to carve out a role in a balanced offensive scheme.
|
|
250.
Darren Waller
TE - NYG
Darren Waller was routinely coming off the board in the fifth or sixth round of 2023 fantasy drafts, but he was a major disappointment last year, missing five games due to a hamstring injury and averaging 9.4 PPR fantasy points in the games he played. He finished the 2023 season with 52 catches for 552 yards and one touchdown. Waller was once among the most impactful tight ends in football, producing back-to-back 1,000-yard seasons for the Raiders in 2019-2020. But Waller is entering his age-32 season and has missed 19 games over the last three years. Insist on a discount if you're thinking about investing in the oft-injured Waller for 2024.
|
|
251.
Alec Pierce
WR - IND
|
|
252.
A.T. Perry
WR - NO
|
|
253.
Tyler Boyd
WR - FA
Boyd had 67 receptions on 98 targets, totaling 667 receiving yards at an average of 10 yards per catch, with a long catch of 64 yards. Boyd found the end zone twice. Over 17 games, Boyd earned 112.3 fantasy points, averaging 6.6 points per game as the WR64 in points per game. He will likely be a nice depth piece for a new team in 2024, and possibly provide some early in-season production as he turns 30 years old.
|
|
254.
Mike Gesicki
TE - CIN
|
|
255.
Zay Jones
WR - FA
Jones had a moderate impact with 34 receptions on 64 targets, gathering 321 yards at an average of 9.4 yards per reception. He was hurt the entire season with three different injuries, so I'd call his 2023 campaign a wash. Playing in 9 games, he earned 61.1 fantasy points with 2 TDs, averaging 6.8 points per game. WR62 in points per game. I'd look more at his final four games as a better representation of what we can expect from a healthy Jones. Without Kirk, Jones averaged 8 fantasy points per game and 17.3 expected points per game. Similar to Calvin Ridley, there was a stark difference between expected and actual production.
|
|
256.
Jelani Woods
TE - IND
|
|
257.
Dawson Knox
TE - BUF
|
|
258.
Jalen McMillan
WR - TB
Jalen McMillan showcased significant potential at Washington, breaking out in his second season with a 19% dominator rating and further elevating his performance in 2022 to achieve 1,098 receiving yards and 9 TDs, leading to a 25% dominator rating. His success came despite sharing targets with future NFL prospects Rome Odunze and Ja'Lynn Polk, where he led the Huskies in targets and receptions that year. However, his role diminished in the following season due to injuries and a reduced downfield role in Washington's vertical offense, limiting his production. Despite these challenges, McMillan's early breakout and strong route-running skills, particularly from the slot where he played over 89% of snaps in the last two seasons, highlight his readiness for the NFL. Drafted by the Buccaneers in the third round, he has a clear path to becoming the WR3 this season and potentially WR2 by 2025, especially in a team that could leverage his abilities in the slot.
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259.
Bo Nix
QB - DEN
The Broncos are hoping Nix can stabilize their QB situation after spending the No. 12 overall draft pick on the Oregon quarterback in April. As a five-year college starter, Nix enters the NFL with a wealth of playing experience, having made 61 starts over three seasons at Auburn and two at Oregon. Nix completed 74.9% of his throws at Oregon the last two years, with 74 touchdowns and only 10 interceptions. Nix is an accurate short passer but doesn't have a big arm. The hope for fantasy is that Nix can be a poor man's Drew Brees for Broncos head coach Sean Payton.
|
|
260.
Kimani Vidal
RB - LAC
|
|
261.
Tyler Higbee
TE - LAR
|
|
262.
Cairo Santos
K - CHI
|
|
263.
Odell Beckham Jr.
WR - MIA
Beckham just turned 31 years old and did not live up to his contract expectations as a Raven in 2023. WR63 overall averaging 6.4 fantasy points per game (WR67). However, he still had his moments averaging 1.8 yards per route run - identical to his averages during his time spent in Cleveland from 2019-2020. Top-30 WR in PFF receiving grade with a top-3 ADOT among WRs as a primary deep threat in the Ravens' offense. And once OBJ got his sea legs under him - after Week 8 - he started to show out more and more. 18th in yards per route run (2.3). He's not completely washed and still can provide some fantasy juice in a favorable offensive environment.
|
|
264.
Kareem Hunt
RB - CLE
|
|
265.
Cincinnati Bengals
DST - CIN
|
|
266.
Will Shipley
RB - PHI
|
|
267.
New England Patriots
DST - NE
|
|
268.
K.J. Osborn
WR - NE
|
|
269.
Indianapolis Colts
DST - IND
|
|
270.
DJ Chark Jr.
WR - LAC
The 27-year-old is hitting free agency (again) after playing a complimentary role with the Panthers in 2023. Chark caught a long pass that was initially ruled a TD in Week 18, but it was overturned to a fumble through the end zone. Woof. He is a free agent in 2024 and will likely land on a new team as a complimentary deep threat who misses games with injuries.
Chark was the WR58 overall in 2023, averaging 6.5 points per game (65th). He led the Panthers in TDs (5) and posted over 1,000 air yards on a team-high 31% air yards share (33rd). No player had more air yards with fewer targets (66) than Chark despite two missed games. |
|
271.
Josh Reynolds
WR - DEN
|
|
272.
Brenden Rice
WR - LAC
Brenden Rice brings a compelling combination of size, athleticism, and football pedigree to the wide receiver position, standing out with his 6'3" frame and impressive physical presence. While his collegiate journey included a breakout season at Colorado and a productive senior year at USC, his final season dominator rating fell slightly below expectations. Nevertheless, Rice's ability to make an impact in the red zone and his proficiency in catching touchdowns highlight his potential as a scoring threat at the next level. His comparison to Josh Palmer underscores the importance of his quarterback and offensive situation in maximizing his impact on the field. Joining the Chargers in the seventh round presents Rice with an opportunity to continue his development and carve out a role in their offense.
|
|
273.
Daniel Carlson
K - LV
|
|
|
274.
Jacob Cowing
WR - SF
Jacob Cowing, though lacking in size at under 5-foot-9 and 168 pounds, compensates with exceptional speed, agility, and precise route-running, making him a constant threat on the field. With a career dominator rating of 32%, Cowing's dominance at Arizona and UTEP is undeniable, highlighted by elite single-season marks of 42% and 41% in 2020 and 2021 respectively. Despite concerns about his size, his senior year showcased his ability to stretch the field and create after the catch, amassing 89 receptions for 868 yards and 13 touchdowns. While a Senior Bowl injury may have dampened his stock, Cowing's K.J. Hamler-esque profile and sub-4.4 speed make him an intriguing prospect, particularly in a Kyle Shanahan-style offense like the one in San Francisco, where undersized receivers have thrived before.
|
|
|
275.
Trey Palmer
WR - TB
|
|
276.
Andrei Iosivas
WR - CIN
|
|
277.
Jordan Mason
RB - SF
|
|
278.
Samaje Perine
RB - DEN
|
|
279.
Jeff Wilson Jr.
RB - MIA
|
|
280.
Jacksonville Jaguars
DST - JAC
|
|
|
281.
Cedric Tillman
WR - CLE
|
|
282.
Jerick McKinnon
RB - FA
|
|
283.
Gardner Minshew II
QB - LV
|
|
284.
Pierre Strong Jr.
RB - CLE
|
|
285.
Tyrone Tracy Jr.
RB - NYG
|
|
286.
Michael Thomas
WR - FA
|
|
287.
DeVante Parker
WR - PHI
|
|
288.
Blake Grupe
K - NO
|
|
289.
Michael Gallup
WR - LV
|
|
290.
Noah Brown
WR - HOU
|
|
291.
Michael Carter
RB - ARI
|
|
292.
Israel Abanikanda
RB - NYJ
|
|
293.
Kadarius Toney
WR - KC
|
|
294.
Michael Penix Jr.
QB - ATL
The Falcons drew heavy criticism by selecting Penix with the No. 8 pick in the draft after signing Kork Cousins to a lucrative four-year contract in the offseason. Penix has no clear path to playing time in 2024, although it should be noted that Cousins is coming off a torn Achilles and is entering his age-36 season. Penix has a strong, accurate arm and is good at sack avoidance, having taken just 16 sacks over his last two college season. Penix has a worrisome injury history, however. He's torn his ACL twice and has also endured shoulder issues. Penix won't be draftable in most redraft leagues, though he'd become a popular waiver-wire addition if Cousins were to go down.
|
|
|
295.
Deuce Vaughn
RB - DAL
|
|
296.
Chris Rodriguez Jr.
RB - WAS
|
|
297.
D'Ernest Johnson
RB - JAC
|
|
298.
Dalvin Cook
RB - BAL
|
|
299.
Trey Sermon
RB - IND
|
|
300.
Joshua Kelley
RB - LAC
|
|
|
301.
Evan Hull
RB - IND
Unfortunately, Evan Hull got injured in Week 1 of the NFL season, so we were not able to see him in action during the regular season outside of one carry. Hull walks into the 2024 season as Jonathon Taylor's immediate backup. Hull only had 17 rushing attempts in the preseason, but he finished with a passable 2.53 yards after contact per attempt (per PFF). Hull proved in college that he has a three-down skillset with over 1,400 total yards and a 17.3% target share in his final season at Northwestern. Hull is a high-priority handcuff for 2024. If Taylor misses any time, Hull could be this year's Zack Moss.
|
|
302.
Robert Woods
WR - HOU
|
|
303.
Tyler Scott
WR - CHI
|
|
304.
Emari Demercado
RB - ARI
|
|
305.
Sam Darnold
QB - MIN
|
|
|
306.
Aidan O'Connell
QB - LV
|
|
307.
Chase Edmonds
RB - TB
|
|
308.
Isaac Guerendo
RB - SF
|
|
|
309.
Ronnie Rivers
RB - LAR
|
|
310.
Jonnu Smith
TE - MIA
|
|
311.
Detroit Lions
DST - DET
|
|
312.
Cordarrelle Patterson
RB - PIT
|
|
313.
Dylan Laube
RB - LV
|
|
314.
Isaiah Spiller
RB - LAC
|
|
315.
Rashaad Penny
RB - PHI
|
|
316.
Logan Thomas
TE - FA
|
|
317.
Zach Ertz
TE - WAS
|
|
318.
Greg Dulcich
TE - DEN
|
|
319.
Green Bay Packers
DST - GB
|
|
320.
Theo Johnson
TE - NYG
|
|
321.
Brandon McManus
K - WAS
|
|
322.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling
WR - FA
|
|
323.
Cam Akers
RB - MIN
|
|
324.
Jacoby Brissett
QB - NE
|
|
325.
Eric Gray
RB - NYG
|
|
326.
Luke McCaffrey
WR - WAS
Luke McCaffrey's brother was the final pick in Round 3 by the Washington Commanders. They were in need of a slot WR, and the younger LMC can fill that void in Kliff Kingsbury's offense. McCaffrey has not been playing WR for very long, but possesses elite athletic bloodlines that have helped him make the switch.
Usually, you don't chase the draft capital of WRs that go well ahead of consensus, but McCaffrey's Day 2 draft capital needs to put fantasy managers on notice. In his final season at Rice, he commanded a 30% target share (5th) and ranked 9th in total unique routes run. |
|
327.
Hunter Renfrow
WR - FA
|
|
328.
Malik Washington
WR - MIA
Malik Washington, standing at 5-foot-8 and weighing 191 pounds, made a significant impact in his final college season at Virginia, after transferring from Northwestern. He achieved an impressive 47% dominator rating, led the 2024 draft class with a 38% target share, and accumulated nearly 1,400 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns, earning him the second-highest PFF grade of 92.4 among WRs. Washington's exceptional performance continued into the NFL Combine, where he led his class with a 42.5-inch vertical jump (98th percentile), showcasing his remarkable athleticism despite his shorter stature. Drafted by the Dolphins in the sixth round, his skills as a YAC (yards after catch) specialist make him a promising addition to an offense that already features dynamic playmakers like Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. Coach Mike McDaniel's enthusiasm for Washington suggests he could significantly exceed expectations, benefiting from both opportunity and a quarterback capable of enhancing his fantasy production.
|
|
329.
Latavius Murray
RB - BUF
|
|
330.
Tutu Atwell
WR - LAR
|
|
331.
Matt Breida
RB - NYG
|
|
332.
Allen Lazard
WR - NYJ
|
|
333.
Greg Zuerlein
K - NYJ
|
|
334.
Salvon Ahmed
RB - MIA
|
|
335.
Greg Dortch
WR - ARI
|
|
336.
Wil Lutz
K - DEN
|
|
337.
John Metchie III
WR - HOU
|
|
338.
Keaontay Ingram
RB - KC
|
|
339.
JuJu Smith-Schuster
WR - NE
|
|
340.
Skyy Moore
WR - KC
|
|
341.
Las Vegas Raiders
DST - LV
|
|
342.
Donald Parham Jr.
TE - LAC
|
|
343.
Kenny Pickett
QB - PHI
|
|
344.
Sam Howell
QB - SEA
|
|
345.
Greg Joseph
K - GB
|
|
346.
Royce Freeman
RB - DAL
|
|
|
347.
Rasheen Ali
RB - BAL
|
|
348.
Colby Parkinson
TE - LAR
|
|
349.
Los Angeles Rams
DST - LAR
|
|
|
350.
Erick All
TE - CIN
|
|
351.
Washington Commanders
DST - WAS
|
|
352.
Chase McLaughlin
K - TB
|
|
353.
Craig Reynolds
RB - DET
|
|
354.
Donovan Peoples-Jones
WR - DET
|
|
355.
Daniel Bellinger
TE - NYG
|
|
356.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
DST - TB
|
|
357.
Carolina Panthers
DST - CAR
|
|
358.
Graham Gano
K - NYG
|
|
359.
Brevin Jordan
TE - HOU
|
|
360.
Atlanta Falcons
DST - ATL
|
|
361.
Nelson Agholor
WR - BAL
|
|
362.
Riley Patterson
K - JAC
|
|
|
363.
Johnny Wilson
WR - PHI
Johnny Wilson brings a unique blend of size and athleticism to the wide receiver position, standing out with his imposing 6'6" frame. While he faced challenges with a late breakout age and a dip in production in his final collegiate season, his standout performances at Florida State underscore his potential as a red zone threat and contested catch specialist. Wilson's ability to exceed expectations in terms of target rate highlights his impact on the field, despite any statistical fluctuations. The interest from NFL teams in potentially transitioning him to tight end adds another dimension to his potential role at the next level, offering fantasy managers additional flexibility in their roster considerations. Joining the Eagles in the sixth round presents an opportunity for Wilson to further develop and carve out a niche in Philadelphia's offense.
|
|
|
364.
Tre Tucker
WR - LV
|
|
365.
Bo Melton
WR - GB
|
|
|
366.
Ainias Smith
WR - PHI
Ainias Smith emerged as a versatile playmaker for the Aggies, showcasing his skills both as a receiver and running back. Despite a setback in 2022 due to injury and off-field issues, he rebounded in his final season with impressive receiving yardage and punt return ability. While not the fastest, his dynamic open-field prowess and versatility make him an intriguing prospect, especially for teams like the Philadelphia Eagles, who have shown interest in him during the pre-draft process. If Smith can put his red flags behind him, he has the potential to contribute early on, possibly even cracking the starting lineup in Philadelphia's receiver corps.
|
|
367.
Los Angeles Chargers
DST - LAC
|
|
368.
Hayden Hurst
TE - LAC
|
|
|
369.
Jaheim Bell
TE - NE
|
|
370.
Matt Prater
K - ARI
|
|
371.
Parker Washington
WR - JAC
|
|
372.
Kalif Raymond
WR - DET
|
|
373.
Joe Flacco
QB - IND
|
|
|
374.
Donovan Edwards
RB - FA
|
|
|
375.
Jamari Thrash
WR - CLE
Jamari Thrash's college career boasted impressive production, highlighted by his standout seasons at both Georgia State and Louisville. His ability to consistently produce at a high level, even after transferring to a higher level of competition, speaks to his maturity and readiness for the NFL. Thrash's agility and skill in gaining yards after the catch stand out as key strengths, evidenced by his rankings in YAC/reception and broken tackle rate. However, his vertical game and route consistency are areas that may need refinement at the next level. Joining the Browns in the fifth round offers him an opportunity to further develop under NFL coaching while competing for a role in their receiving corps.
|
|
376.
Seattle Seahawks
DST - SEA
|
|
377.
Mecole Hardman Jr.
WR - KC
|
|
378.
Calvin Austin III
WR - PIT
|
|
|
379.
Cade Stover
TE - HOU
|
|
380.
Van Jefferson
WR - PIT
|
|
381.
Xavier Hutchinson
WR - HOU
|
|
382.
Noah Gray
TE - KC
|
|
383.
Justin Watson
WR - KC
|
|
384.
Drew Lock
QB - NYG
|
|
385.
Jarrett Stidham
QB - DEN
|
|
386.
Zach Evans
RB - LAR
|
|
387.
Jalen Tolbert
WR - DAL
|
|
388.
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine
WR - TEN
|
|
|
389.
Will Mallory
TE - IND
|
|
390.
Chris Boswell
K - PIT
|
|
391.
Jameis Winston
QB - CLE
|
|
392.
Xavier Gipson
WR - NYJ
|
|
|
393.
Frank Gore Jr.
RB - BUF
|
|
394.
Tanner Hudson
TE - CIN
|
|
395.
Cedrick Wilson Jr.
WR - NO
|
|
396.
Isaiah Hodgins
WR - NYG
|
|
397.
Jeremy Ruckert
TE - NYJ
|
|
398.
Isaiah Davis
RB - NYJ
|
|
399.
Jauan Jennings
WR - SF
|
|
400.
Ty Johnson
RB - BUF
|
|
401.
Johnny Mundt
TE - MIN
|
|
402.
Charlie Jones
WR - CIN
|
|
403.
Mack Hollins
WR - BUF
Mack Hollins is entering his age 31 season (wait what) and signed with the Buffalo Bills this offseason, presumably to operate as a field-stretcher and downfield blocker. Our new cardio king.
Hollins has only had one productive season in the NFL (2022 with the Raiders as the fantasy WR41) when finished 10th in routes run per dropbacks (93%) and commanded 1,153 air yards as the clear-cut No. 2 wide receiver. The journeyman new landing spot will likely be completely overlooked by fantasy managers, but a WR running a route on 90% or more of Josh Allen's dropbacks (the Gabe Davis role) is pretty tantalizing, especially at a free price tag. Just don't get carried away with Hollins as anything more than a depth fantasy WR4/5 a best. Worth an addition in deeper WR formats. |
|
404.
Cole Turner
TE - WAS
|
|
405.
Nick Folk
K - TEN
|
|
|
406.
Jase McClellan
RB - ATL
|
|
407.
Kylen Granson
TE - IND
|
|
|
408.
Jared Wiley
TE - KC
|
|
409.
Tyquan Thornton
WR - NE
|
|
410.
Sean Tucker
RB - TB
|
|
411.
Irv Smith Jr.
TE - KC
|
|
412.
New York Giants
DST - NYG
|
|
413.
Leonard Fournette
RB - FA
|
|
414.
Mac Jones
QB - JAC
|
|
415.
Tennessee Titans
DST - TEN
|
|
416.
Michael Badgley
K - DET
|
|
417.
Arizona Cardinals
DST - ARI
|
|
|
418.
Josh Crockett
WR - FA
|
|
419.
Tim Patrick
WR - DEN
|
|
420.
Boston Scott
RB - LAR
|
|
421.
Eddy Pineiro
K - CAR
|
|
422.
Kyle Philips
WR - TEN
|
|
423.
Anders Carlson
K - GB
|
|
424.
Chase Claypool
WR - BUF
|
|
425.
Chris Moore
WR - ARI
|
|
426.
David Bell
WR - CLE
|
|
427.
Kevin Harris
RB - NE
|
|
428.
Joey Slye
K - NE
|
|
429.
Patrick Taylor Jr.
RB - SF
|
|
430.
Brett Maher
K - LAR
|
|
431.
Trayveon Williams
RB - CIN
|
|
432.
Terrace Marshall Jr.
WR - CAR
|
|
433.
Quez Watkins
WR - PIT
|
|
434.
Austin Seibert
K - NYJ
|
|
435.
Emanuel Wilson
RB - GB
|
|
436.
Isaiah McKenzie
WR - NYG
|
|
437.
Jake Browning
QB - CIN
|
|
438.
Brandon Powell
WR - MIN
|
|
|
439.
Justyn Ross
WR - KC
|
|
440.
Josh Oliver
TE - MIN
|
|
441.
Durham Smythe
TE - MIA
|
|
442.
Kenny McIntosh
RB - SEA
|
|
443.
Ryan Tannehill
QB - TEN
|
|
444.
Jamison Crowder
WR - WAS
|
|
445.
Braxton Berrios
WR - MIA
|
|
|
446.
Kendall Milton
RB - PHI
|
|
447.
Parris Campbell
WR - PHI
|
|
448.
DeeJay Dallas
RB - ARI
|
|
449.
Malik Davis
RB - DAL
|
|
450.
Zach Wilson
QB - DEN
|
|
451.
Darnell Washington
TE - PIT
|
|
|
452.
Jha'Quan Jackson
WR - TEN
|
|
453.
Austin Hooper
TE - NE
|
|
454.
Darrell Henderson Jr.
RB - FA
|
|
455.
Deon Jackson
RB - NYG
|
|
|
456.
Cody Schrader
RB - SF
|
|
457.
Marcus Mariota
QB - WAS
|
|
|
458.
Jawhar Jordan
RB - HOU
|
|
459.
Will Dissly
TE - LAC
|
|
460.
JaMycal Hasty
RB - NE
|
|
|
461.
Blake Watson
RB - DEN
|
|
462.
Foster Moreau
TE - NO
|
|
463.
Chris Brooks
RB - MIA
|
|
464.
Tyler Huntley
QB - CLE
|
|
|
465.
Tanner McLachlan
TE - CIN
|
|
|
466.
AJ Barner
TE - SEA
|
|
467.
Harrison Bryant
TE - LV
|
|
468.
Mike White
QB - MIA
|
|
|
469.
Tahj Washington
WR - MIA
Tahj Washington caught 13 of his 15 deep targets in 2023 (87%). Perfect passer rating generated on deep targets from Caleb Williams.
Broke out at an early age in 2020 at Memphis while competing for targets with Calvin Austin III, before transferring to USC the last three seasons. 5-foot-10 and 174 pounds, he is definitely on the smaller side of this WR class. Posted his most productive season this past year, with over 1,000 yards and 8 TDs (23% dominator rating). Counting stats were not elite, but he was absurdly efficient. Exceptional route runner, slot player and useful after the catch. Second in the class in both YAC/reception and broken missed tackle per reception. He was drafted by the Dolphins in Round 7. |
|
470.
Kyle Juszczyk
RB - SF
|
|
471.
Mason Rudolph
QB - TEN
|
|
472.
Jimmy Garoppolo
QB - LAR
|
|
473.
Laviska Shenault Jr.
WR - SEA
|
|
|
474.
Michael Wiley
RB - WAS
|
|
475.
Ameer Abdullah
RB - LV
|
|
476.
Brock Wright
TE - DET
|
|
|
477.
Dallin Holker
TE - NO
|
|
|
478.
Cornelius Johnson
WR - LAC
|
|
479.
Lil'Jordan Humphrey
WR - DEN
|
|
480.
James Robinson
RB - NO
|
|
481.
Spencer Rattler
QB - NO
|
|
482.
Richie James Jr.
WR - KC
|
|
|
483.
Daijun Edwards
RB - PIT
|
|
484.
Allen Robinson II
WR - FA
|
|
485.
Sterling Shepard
WR - NYG
|
|
486.
Jalen Guyton
WR - LAC
|
|
487.
Kayshon Boutte
WR - NE
|
|
488.
Devin Duvernay
WR - JAC
|
|
489.
Marvin Jones Jr.
WR - FA
|
|
|
490.
Luke Schoonmaker
TE - DAL
|
|
491.
Nyheim Hines
RB - CLE
|
|
492.
Trent Sherfield
WR - MIN
|
|
493.
Pharaoh Brown
TE - SEA
|
|
494.
Adam Trautman
TE - DEN
|
|
|
495.
Keilan Robinson
RB - JAC
|
|
496.
Trenton Irwin
WR - CIN
|
|
497.
Joshua Dobbs
QB - SF
|
|
|
498.
Dillon Johnson
RB - TEN
|
|
499.
Davis Allen
TE - LAR
|
|
|
500.
Tip Reiman
TE - ARI
|
|
501.
Jordan Akins
TE - CLE
|
|
|
502.
Emani Bailey
RB - KC
|
|
|
503.
Bryson Nesbit
TE - FA
|
|
|
504.
Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint
WR - WAS
|
|
505.
Trey Lance
QB - DAL
|
